Small Craft Advisory 86, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

913 
WHUS71 KBOX 141633
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1233 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

ANZ256-150045-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T0000Z-110815T2000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1233 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

688 
WHUS71 KBOX 142046
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
446 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

ANZ255-150500-
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1000Z-110816T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
446 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-150500-
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1600Z-110816T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
446 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-150500-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1000Z-110816T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
446 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DOODY

145 
WHUS71 KBOX 150432
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1232 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

ANZ255-256-151230-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1000Z-110816T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1232 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-254-151230-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1600Z-110816T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
1232 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

618 
WHUS71 KBOX 150845
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
445 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

ANZ231-151645-
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1600Z-110816T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
445 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-151645-
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1400Z-110816T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
445 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-151645-
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1600Z-110816T0700Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
445 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-151645-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T0845Z-110816T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
445 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. 
  SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ251-151645-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1600Z-110816T1200Z/
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
445 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-151645-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1200Z-110817T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
445 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-151645-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1700Z-110816T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
445 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

802 
WHUS71 KBOX 151609 AAA
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1209 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

ANZ256-160015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1209 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-251-160015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1209 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-160015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
1209 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-160015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T0700Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
1209 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
  SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-160015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110817T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1209 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-160015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.110815T1700Z-110816T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1209 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

711 
WHUS71 KBOX 152027 AAA
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
427 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

ANZ256-160430-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
427 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-251-160430-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
427 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-160430-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
427 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. SEAS
  3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-160430-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T0700Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
427 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
  SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-160430-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110817T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
427 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-160430-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
427 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

689 
WHUS71 KBOX 160346
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1146 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

ANZ256-161200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1146 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-251-161200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1146 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-160700-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T0700Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
1146 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-160700-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T0700Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
1146 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-161200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110817T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1146 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-161200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1146 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
  SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

562 
WHUS71 KBOX 161534
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1134 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

ANZ251-162100-
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T2100Z/
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1134 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-162100-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1134 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-162345-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110817T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1134 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DUNTEN

651 
WHUS71 KBOX 162014
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
414 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

ANZ250-251-162115-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110816T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
414 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

SEAS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 5 FT...THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

ANZ254-255-170415-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110817T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
414 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DUNTEN

631 
WHUS71 KBOX 170429
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1229 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

ANZ254-255-170600-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110817T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1229 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

308 
WHUS71 KBOX 170602
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
202 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2011


ANZ254-255-170715-
/O.EXP.KBOX.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-110817T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
202 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW 5 FEET. 

$$

WTB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
405 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND LIFT NORTH AND
EAST BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...INTO NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND BY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN
AROUND MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

INITIAL WAVE...PRESENTLY ONGOING...IS A COMBINATION OF UPR LVL
SUPPORT THRU THE RIGHT ENTRANCE RGN OF A H3 JET AXIS...WITH
MATURATION OF LLVL CONVERGENCE AND INCREASING ISENTROPIC ASCENT OF A
WARM AND MOIST CONVEYOR BELT. ALL OF THIS IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING
AND DIGGING TROF OUT OF THE GRT LKS RGN INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC.
QUESTIONS STILL RESIDE AS TO THE JUXTAPOSITION OF THE EWD RETREATING
SFC RIDGE OF HIGH PRES...AND LONGEVITY OF DRIER THETAE AIR TO REMAIN
IN PLACE OVER E NEW ENGLAND THRU THE LOW-MID LVLS. WITH INCREASING
SFC S/SELY ONSHORE FLOW...COUPLED WITH INCREASING MOIST TRANSPORT
THRU THE LLVLS INTO S NEW ENGLAND...ANTICIPATE RAINS TO OVERSPREAD
MUCH OF THE RGN BY DAYS END...THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OF WHICH MAY
REMAIN ACROSS A BROAD SWATH OF AREA FROM THE HUDSON RVR TO THE CT
VLY RGN. THIS IS WHERE MDL SOLNS AGREE ON A MODEST TONGUE OF
HIGHER THETAE AIR RIDING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE MEAN MID-LVL TROF
COUPLED WITH ENHANCED ASCENT THRU THE ATMOS COLUMN. A CLOUDY DAY
AND ANTECEDENT RAINS WILL MAKE FOR A COOL DAY IN THE LOW TO MID
70S RGN WIDE. LOW AVAILABILITY OF INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR
ISOLATED THUNDER CHCS WITH PERIODS OF RAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...

SUNDAY NIGHT...
SUBTLE DIFFERENCES EXIST BETWEEN MDL SOLNS CONCERNING THE DVLPMNT OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC BAROCLINIC ZONE...CONSEQUENTIAL TO THE PLACEMENT OF
THE SFC LOW AND COLLOCATED WARM MOIST CONVEYOR BELT. THIS WILL HAVE
A LARGE IMPACT AS TO THE EXPECTED AREA OF HEAVIEST RAINS AND
PLAUSIBLE FLOODING IMPACTS...SEE THE HYDRO SECTION BELOW. OVERALL
WITH THE MID-LVL TROF MATURING EWD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC...A
BAROCLINIC ZONE WITH ATTENDANT SFC LOW PRES BECOMES BETTER DEFINED.
THIS WORKS TO ENHANCE LLVL WARM AND MOIST CONVEYOR BELT CONVERGENCE
INTO S NEW ENGLAND...WHICH IS CONTINUED TO BE FCST AS A FAVORABLE
RGN OF ENHANCED ASCENT AND UPR LVL SUPPORT WITH GREATER DIFLUENT
FLOW AHEAD OF THE MID-LVL TROF. LIKENED TO THE GFS SOLN WOULD
ENHANCE THE BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA NWD INTO
CENTRAL NY INTO THE ST LAWRENCE RVR VLY WITH THE SFC LOW ADJACENT
AND OFFSHORE. THUS THE GREATEST ASCENT OF THE WARM AND MOIST
CONVEYOR BELT /TONGUE OF HIGHER THETAE AIR/ WOULD BE E AND N OF THE
SFC LOW ITSELF THRU THE RGN IN THE VICINITY OF AND IN BETWEEN THE
HUDSON RVR/CT VLY RGNS. MILD EVENING WITH MODEST DEWPOINTS. SHOULDNT
SEE TEMPS FALL OFF TREMENDOUSLY...LOW TO MID 60S. LIMITED
INSTABILITY...CONTINUED ISOLATED THUNDER CHCS.

MONDAY...
CONTINUED MDL DIFFERENCES STILL APPLY INCLUDING THE PROPAGATION AND
EVOLUTION OF THE MID-LVL TROF THRU THE ERN CONUS. AS SUCH
UNCERTAINTIES RESIDE AS TO THE LOCALITY OF THE WARM MOIST CONVEYOR
BELT AND TONGUE OF HIGHER THETAE AIR...AS WELL AS TO THE AREA OF
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION. DEPENDENT ON THE LOCATION OF THE SFC
LOW...DRIER AIR APPEARS LIKELY TO ENTRAIN THRU THE MID-LVLS ALONG
THE SW BACKSIDE...WHILE GREATEST MOIST CONVERGENCE WILL BE TO THE
N/E LOOPING BACK AROUND TO THE NW WHERE A TROWAL STRUCTURE AND
DEFORMATION ZONE IS APPARENT PER ISENTROPIC THETAE FIELDS. THEREFORE
ANTICIPATE A BROAD SWATH OF RAIN THRU MUCH OF THE NERN CONUS WITH
THE HEAVIEST RAINS...COLLOCATED WITH THE NOSE OF THE THETAE MOIST
AXIS...CONVERGENT INTO ERN NEW ENGLAND...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ERN
SLOPES OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THEREFORE DURING THE PD OF SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINS IS EXPECT TO HAVE
PROPAGATED EWD OUT OF THE CT VLY RGN. TEMPS A REPEAT OF SUNDAY AS
WELL AS ISOLATED THUNDER CHCS AND RAIN. WITH THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY
LIFTING AT THIS POINT...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ESTIMATES PLACE 2 TO 3
INCHES FROM A N/S LINE THRU WORCESTER AND ON WESTWARD.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

  * HEAVY SHOWERS LIKELY MONDAY WITH MORE SHOWERS ON TUESDAY
  * DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK

MODEL PREFERENCES AND OVERVIEW...
SYNOPTIC PATTERN IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH THE LONG TERM
PROVIDING MODERATE TO HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN GENERAL TREND.
MON/TUES TIMEFRAME WILL BE MARKED WITH UNSETTLED CONDITIONS DUE TO
GRADUALLY WEAKENING LONGWAVE TROF SETTLING OVER SNE. THE KEY
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN EXTENDED MODELS IS THE TIMING OF SHORTWAVE
ENERGY ROTATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THIS TROF AND THE SFC LOW PRES
RESPONSE. ATTM...GFS REMAINS FASTEST MODEL...SUGGESTING INITIAL LOW
PRES MOVES WELL E OF THE BENCHMARK BY MON EVE. NAM/GEFS MEAN/ECMWF
ARE A BIT SLOWER WITH THIS INITIAL LOW...SUGGESTING WEAK DRY SLOT
ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS LOW DOES NOT REACH SNE UNTIL OVERNIGHT
MON NIGHT. MODELS THEN SHOW FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE
LONGWAVE TROF MOVES VERY LITTLE...AND AS SUCH LLVL BOUNDARY S OF
SNE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH TUE...WHICH ALLOWS A FINAL
KICKER SHORTWAVE TO ROTATE THROUGH WITH SFC CYCLOGENESIS TRACKING
S OF SNE. GFS REMAINS FURTHEST S...WHILE GEFS MEAN AND ECMWF HAVE
THE SECONDARY LOW TRACKING TO THE NE LIKE ITS PREDECESSOR.
CURRENTLY...THIS LATTER SCENARIO IS PREFERRED...GIVEN THE UPPER
LVL PATTERN SUGGESTED BY THE GFS FAVORS THE ECMWF AND GEFS SOLN
ANYWAY. FINALLY...MID AND UPPER LVL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION
MID WEEK INTO FRI...WHICH REMAIN IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.
HOWEVER...IT IS INTERESTING TO NOTE THE 12Z OPNL GFS HAS BACKED
OFF ON THE STRENGTH OF THE SFC HIGH SOMEWHAT...WITH CONTINUED
BROAD LONGWAVE TROF TO THE S.

DETAILS...

MON THROUGH TUE...
WITH MODELS CONTINUING TO FAVOR UNSETTLED AND WET CONDITIONS
THROUGH THIS PERIOD...WILL CONTINUE WITH POPS/COOL HIGHS/WARM
LOWS. THE KEY WITH QPF MON WILL BE A LOW TO MID LVL JET WRAPPING
AROUND SFC/MID LVL LOW PRES. TIMING SUGGESTS THAT THE SWLY DRAW
OVER ERN SRN AND PORTIONS OF THE FA CONTINUE INTO THE DAY MON.
THEREFORE...EXPECTING PERIODS OF HEAVIER RAIN TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY PORTIONS OF THE DAY. WILL DELAY ANY POP REDUCTIONS TO
OVERNIGHT MON NIGHT...AS H85 CUTOFF LOW MAY SUPPLY SOME LLVL
FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. AFTER WHAT MAY
BE A BRIEF LULL IN PRECIP ACTIVITY LATE MON NIGHT INTO
TUE...SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT S OF SNE IN RESPONSE TO SHORTWAVE
ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASED ISENTROPIC LIFT ESP N OF A WARM
FRONT S OF THE REGION. MODELS STILL SUGGESTING THE WEAK LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE REMAINS FURTHER TO THE S AND OVERALL
SYSTEM IS OCCLUDING/WEAKENING WITH TIME...SO WHILE -SHRA ACTIVITY
MAY CONTINUE...NOT EXPECTING AS MUCH OVERALL QPF WITH THIS SECOND
SOURCE OF PRECIP.

DUE TO THE FACT THIS SYSTEM IS ASSOCIATED WITH COOL MID/UPPER LVL
TROF SETTLED WELL OVER THE REGION...EXPECTING TEMPS TO BE A BIT ON
THE COOL SIDE ESPECIALLY FOR DAYTIME HIGHS. H85 TEMPS REACH AROUND
+13C...BUT THESE WILL LIKELY GO UNREALIZED GIVEN SIG CLOUD COVER
EXPECTED. A MAV/MET BLEND LOOKED REASONABLE GIVEN THE EXPECTED
CONDITIONS.

WED THRU THU NIGHT...
WITH TROF BEGINNING SLOW MIGRATION SE AND WEAKENING LONGWAVE
RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE
REGION PROVIDING SOME REPRIEVE FROM THE WET CONDITIONS EARLY IN
THE WEEK. WILL TREND GRIDS TOWARD DRY SOLN STILL FAVORED BY GEFS
MEAN/ECMWF...BUT OPNL GFS HAS TRENDED PATTERN ALOFT TO A WEAK REX
BLOCK SCENARIO WITH OPEN TROF S OF THE REGION. SHOULD THIS TREND
CONTINUE AMONGST OTHER MODELS...CONDITIONS MAY PROVE TO BE MORE
UNSETTLED THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED. FOR NOW CONSISTENCY IS MUCH
BETTER WITH THE ECMWF/GEFS.

FRI INTO SAT...
MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A WARM FRONT LIFT OVER THE REGION
DURING THE DAY FRI. WHILE SIG SPATIAL DIFFERENCES ARE
APPARENT...THE TIMING OF PRECIP ONSET LOOKS TO BE DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS FRI...AND FRI DAYTIME. WILL CONTINUE TO SUGGEST POPS
WITH THIS FEATURE.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
  LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
  MODERATE...30 PERCENT TO 60 PERCENT
  HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT

REST OF TONIGHT...
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR. CLOUDS SLOWLY LOWERING WITH THE ONSET OF -RA
OVER THE WRN TERMINALS. THESE RAINS MAY COME IN THE VICINITY OF
THE ERN TERMINALS COME MORNING...FOR TERMINALS OUT ALONG THE CAPE
AND ISLANDS INTO AFTN. LGT SLY FLOW TO PREVAIL.

SUNDAY...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE VFR/MVFR. CONCERNS FOCUS UPON TIMING OF IMPACTS
SUCH AS RAINFALL INTENSITY...POTENTIAL CIG/VSBY IMPACTS...AND
WHETHER THUNDER WILL BE A FACTOR. FEEL TSRA WILL BE ISOLATED...
THE LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY OF WHICH RESULTED IN NO MENTIONING OF CB
UNTIL A BETTER HANDLE CAN BE GAINED. HAVE TRENDED IN TAFS A
GRADUAL W TO E DETERIORATION OF CIGS AND VSBYS...ESPECIALLY
TOWARDS THE LATE AFTN INTO EVNG PD. FEEL TERMINALS WITHIN THE CT
VLY RGN WILL HAVE THE GREATEST THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AT TIMES
DURING THE DAY...EXPECT INTERMIXED MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS. SLY FLOW
BECOMING MORE E/SELY.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE MVFR/IFR. AN AREA OF LOW PRES WILL TRACK CLOSE
TO SE NEW ENGLAND WHILE LIFTING NEWD FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC.
ANTICIPATE LOWERING CIGS AND VSBYS DURING THE OVERNIGHT WITH A
CONSISTENT ONSET OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...AND MODEST E/SELY
FLOW ONSHORE. COULD SEE SOME LIFR AS WELL...LIKELY MORESO WITH THE
INTERIOR TERMINALS. UNCERTAINTY AS TO REGARDS OF TSRA...SO NO
MENTION OF A CB GROUP YET.

KBOS TERMINAL...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. VFR TO PREVAIL DURING THE DAY ALBEIT THE
INCREASING INTENSITY OF RAIN AND LOWERING CIGS UNDER SLY FLOW.
WINDS TO BACK E/SELY OVRNGT WITH LOWER CIGS AND REDUCED VSBYS TO
MVFR AND POTENTIALLY IFR WITH THE INCREASING THREAT OF RAIN. RAIN
MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. UNCERTAIN AS TO REGARDS TO TS CHCS...SO
HAVE NOT GONE WITH A MENTION OF A CB GROUP AT THIS TIME. A FAIR
AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO TS DEVELOPMENT AND TIMING.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

MON NGT INTO TUE...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN PERIODS OF RAIN AND
FOG THROUGH THE PERIOD. CIGS LIKELY TO BE LOW AS WELL.

WED THRU THU...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE VFR DOMINATES WITH HIGH PRES BUILDING OVER
THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...

TODAY...
WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. MAY NEED TO
WATCH WINDS OVER RHODE ISLAND SOUND. SEAS IN THIS VICINITY WILL BE
BUILDING TO 4 FEET DURING THIS TIMEFRAME. S/SELY WINDS OF 10 TO 15
KTS.

TONIGHT...
SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FEET CAN BE ANTICIPATED OVER RHODE ISLAND SOUTH...
WITH ALL OTHER LOCALES REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. WINDS
BECOMING MORE SELY WITH CONTINUED 10 TO 15 KT FLOW.

MONDAY...
LOW PRES WILL BE LIFTING N FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC. WINDS OUT OF THE
E AT 10 TO 15 KTS. GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS WILL BE PSBL. WINDS AND
SEAS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AT THIS
TIME.

OUTLOOK...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

TUE... LOW PRES AFFECTING THE REGION MAY BRING A FEW GUSTS CLOSE
TO 25 KT AND SEAS AROUND 5 FT OVER ESPECIALLY OVER OUTER SRN
WATERS. LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE NEED FOR AN SCA ATTM.

WED AND THU...
WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE
WATERS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
WILL BE FOCUSED IN THE LOWER CT RIVER VALLEY AND BERKSHIRES...
CONTINUING NORTHWARD. THE POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
EXIST WEST OF A NORTH-SOUTH LINE THROUGH WORCESTER MASSACHUSETTS.
IT IS PLAUSIBLE THAT THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR
POOR-DRAINAGE AND URBAN FLOODING...AND MAY PUSH A FEW SMALL
STREAMS TO NEAR BANKFULL LEVELS. AS WITH PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN
EVENTS WE HAVE HAD RECENTLY...THE URBAN AREAS WOULD BE THE MOST
VULNERABLE. AT THIS TIME RIVER FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DOODY/SIPPRELL
NEAR TERM...SIPPRELL
SHORT TERM...SIPPRELL
LONG TERM...DOODY
AVIATION...DOODY/SIPPRELL
MARINE...DOODY/SIPPRELL
HYDROLOGY...SIPPRELL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
407 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-142015-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
407 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL THROUGH SUNDAY WILL LIKELY BE FOCUSED IN THE
CONNECTICUT VALLEY AND BERKSHIRES WHERE FLOOD ADVISORIES MAY BE
ISSUED. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-142015-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
407 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.