Alert archive / Massachusetts / Gale Watches in 2011
Gale Watch 20, NWS Boston/Norton, MA
NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this gale watch at Oct 28, 2011, 4:14 AM EDT. It took effect at Oct 29, 2011, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 28, 2011, 4:14 AM EDT (08:14 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 29, 2011, 12:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 28, 2011, 3:03 PM EDT
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Boston/Norton, MA
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
714 WHUS71 KBOX 280814 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 414 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ANZ254>256-281615- /O.CAN.KBOX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-111028T1100Z/ /O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 414 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS AND SEAS...DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS TODAY...THEN INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS SATURDAY WITH SPEEDS BY EVENING 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS SATURDAY BUILDING TO 10 TO 15 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ231>235-237-281615- /O.CAN.KBOX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-111028T1100Z/ /O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T1900Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY- RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 414 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS AND SEAS...DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS TODAY. WINDS THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST SATURDAY WITH SPEEDS BY EVENING 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ230-236-281615- /O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T2100Z-111030T1000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 414 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING SATURDAY WITH SPEEDS BY EVENING 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ250-281615- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 414 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. * WINDS AND SEAS...DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS TODAY. WINDS THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST SATURDAY WITH SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 KT AND GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS ON SATURDAY BUILDING TO 12 TO 17 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ251-281615- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 414 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. * WINDS AND SEAS...DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS TODAY. WINDS THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AND INCREASING BY EVENING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS SATURDAY BUILDING TO 8 TO 13 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
2 follow-up statements
238 WHUS71 KBOX 281351 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 951 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ANZ254>256-282200- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T2300Z/ /O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 951 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING SATURDAY NIGHT TO 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING 10 TO 15 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ250-282200- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T2300Z/ /O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 951 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS INCREASING SATURDAY NIGHT TO 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ251-282200- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T2300Z/ /O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 951 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS INCREASING SATURDAY NIGHT TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING 8 TO 13 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ231>235-237-282200- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T1900Z/ /O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY- RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 951 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS INCREASING SATURDAY NIGHT TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ230-236-282200- /O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T2100Z-111030T1000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 951 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS INCREASING SATURDAY NIGHT TO 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
886 WHUS71 KBOX 281903 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 303 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ANZ231>235-237-290315- /O.EXP.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T1900Z/ /O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0005.111029T2100Z-111030T1200Z/ CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY- RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 303 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE GALE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KT SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS BUILDING 6 TO 11 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ250-290315- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T2300Z/ /O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0005.111029T2100Z-111030T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 303 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... ...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE GALE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 40 TO 50 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KT SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS BUILDING 21 TO 26 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ254>256-290315- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T2300Z/ /O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0005.111029T2100Z-111030T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 303 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... ...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE GALE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KT SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS BUILDING 15 TO 20 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ251-290315- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-111028T2300Z/ /O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T1600Z-111030T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0005.111029T2100Z-111030T1200Z/ MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 303 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... ...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE GALE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 35 TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KT SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS BUILDING 13 TO 18 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ230-236-290315- /O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0020.111029T2100Z-111030T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0005.111030T0000Z-111030T1200Z/ BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 303 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... ...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE GALE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS BUILDING 2 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ FRANK
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Oct 28, 3:57 AM EDT, 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 3:57 AM EDT, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER NEW ENGLAND TODAY BRINGING SUNNY SKIES
AND COOL TEMPERATURES. LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF TEXAS WILL MOVE
CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND SPREAD PRECIPITATION IN
ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL BE A POTENTIAL VERY EARLY SEASON WINTER
STORM WITH RAIN AND HEAVY WET SNOW OVER THE WEEKEND. DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECT FOR EARLY TO MID WEEK WITH A MID WEEKEND LOW PRES CENTER
PROBABLY REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE. A COLD FRONT MAY PRODUCE SHOWERS
LATE IN THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
STRONG GUSTY NORTH WINDS CONTINUE OVER CAPE COD AND ISLANDS. ALSO
OCEAN INDUCED INSTABILITY WITH 850 MB TEMPS AROUND -5C AND WATER
TEMPS IN CAPE COD BAY STILL MILD IN THE UPPER 50S. THE RESULT HAS
BEEN SOME OCEAN-EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF CAPE COD AND
NANTUCKET. TEMPS AT 850 MB WILL MODERATE A LITTLE TODAY WHILE WINDS
DIMINISH...SO EXPECT THESE CLOUDS/SHOWERS TO GO AWAY.
OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER NEW ENGLAND. SHOULD BE PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE WITH INCREASING CIRRUS THIS AFTERNOON. MIXING DEPTHS
ARE FORECAST AROUND 4000 FEET AND 900 MB TEMPS FORECAST AT -2C TO
-3C...SO MAX TEMPS IN THE 40S ARE REASONABLE...SOME WARM SPOTS MAY
TOUCH 50.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
TONIGHT...
HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD/SLIGHTLY NORTH...THIS SHOULD KEEP THE WEATHER
DRY AND COOL. WINDS COME AROUND TO EAST-NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND SO
WILL BE COMING OFF MID TO UPPER 50S WATER. THIS SHOULD KEEP COASTAL
AREAS FROM COOLING BELOW FREEZING. TEMPS WERE GENERATED FROM A
BLEND OF BIAS CORRECTED MOS.
SATURDAY...
A DIGGING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MISSISSIPPI WILL GENERATE ANOTHER
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT...THIS ONE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
USA. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE UP THE COAST ON SATURDAY. THE DIGGING
TROUGH TURNS OUR UPPER FLOW FROM WEST TO SOUTHWEST...BRINGING MOIST
AIR NORTH ONCE AGAIN.
THE COASTAL LOW WILL HAVE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED...WITH A 50-70
KNOT EAST-NORTHEAST JET LEADING THE LOW. ISENTROPIC SURFACES SHOW
STRONG LIFT...ON THE ORDER OF 20 MB/HOUR...AND A SATURATING AIRMASS
MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND ON SATURDAY WITH THE MOST FAVORABLE VALUES
MOVING IN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
TIME-HEIGHT SECTIONS SHOW LOWERING/THICKENING MOISTURE LAYER
SATURDAY MORNING AND A DEEP COLUMN OF LIFT AND MOISTURE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. TEMPERATURE PROFILES CLEARLY FAVOR RAIN IN THE
COASTAL PLAIN WITH BUFKIT SHOWING 2000-3000 FOOT DEEP LAYERS OF
ABOVE-FREEZING AIR AT THE SURFACE. FARTHER NORTH AND WEST THE
PROFILES ARE COOLER...BUT TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO BE 1500-2000 FEET DEEP AND MAX TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE UPPER 30S AND LOW 40S. SO WE EXPECT THE PCPN TO START AS RAIN
IN THESE AREAS.
LATE IN THE DAY...TOWARD THE GATHERING GLOOM OF SUNSET...DIURNAL
COOLING...DYNAMIC COOLING...AND EVAPORATIVE COOLING WILL ALL START
TO WORK ON CHANGING THE RAIN TO SNOW. EXPECT THIS TO FIRST TAKE
PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN HILLS...THEN EXPAND SOUTHEAST.
TEMPS ARE A BLEND OF BIAS CORRECTED MOS. POPS COME FROM A BLEND OF
21Z SREF/00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF/00Z GMOS.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MAIN POINTS...
* POTENTIAL MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT
* HIGH PRES AND SEASONABLE TEMPS DURING THE MID WEEK
* ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK
OVERVIEW AND MODEL PREFERENCES...
THE KEY IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE POTENTIALLY STRONG AND EARLY
WINTER STORM OVER THE LATE SAT INTO SUN TIMEFRAME. GUIDANCE SUITE
IS CONVERGING ON A SOLN MORE AND MORE WITH EACH RUN...ALTHOUGH
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES OF 50+ NM THAT MAY MAKE A DIFFERENCE ON
WHERE THE BEST SNOW TOTALS ARE AND HOW MUCH FALLS. ECMWF/GEFS MEAN
ARE STILL THE COOLEST MODELS PARTIALLY DUE TO THEIR PLACEMENT JUST
SE OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK. GFS/NAM IS JUST INSIDE THE BENCHMARK
AND THUS...A BIT WARMER. WITH SOME TIME AND DISCREPANCIES STILL
LEFT...LIKE THE GFS/ECMWF BLEND THAT HAS BEEN USED OF LATE. SO
WILL USE THESE TO POPULATE FCST,
THE DRAW OF ANOMALOUSLY COLD AIRMASS AND STRONG NEAR 1030 HPA HIGH
PRES SUN...FOLLOWING THE COASTAL STORM...LOOKS TO BE WELL
ENTRENCHED AND PROVIDES ENOUGH OF A BLOCK AT ALL LVLS TO FORCE
WAVES FROM THE W TO THE N...AND COASTAL SYSTEMS OUT TO SEA THROUGH
AT LEAST MID WEEK. WILL BEGIN TO SHOW SOME POPS DURING THE THU
TIMEFRAME THANKS TO A STRONGER TROF DRAGGING A FRONT AND POTENTIAL
DOUBLE-BARRELED SYSTEM LATE IN THE WEEK.
DETAILS...
SUN NIGHT INTO EARLY SUN...
STRONG TROF SHIFTING NEG WITH 1.5PVU SFC AT NEAR 730MB WILL SLIDE
OVER NRN PORTIONS OF THE FA DURING THIS PERIOD. THE SFC
REFLECTION...A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL MOVE UP THE COAST AND PASS
SOMEWHERE IN THE NEAR VICINITY OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. USING THE GFS/ECMWF BLEND MENTIONED
EARLIER...TAKES INTO ACCOUNT AN INSIDE AND OUTSIDE TRACK
RESPECTIVELY. THIS BLEND ALSO ACCOUNTS FOR THERMAL STRUCTURE
DIFFERENCES WITH THE ECMWF THERMAL PROFILE SUPPORTING ALMOST ALL
SNOW FOR THE ENTIRETY OF THE EVENT...WHILE THE GFS IS WARMER AND
MAY TAKE A BIT LONGER FOR CHANGEOVER.
IN EITHER CASE DYNAMICS ARE VERY STRONG WITH THIS EVENT THANKS TO
GOOD DEFORMATION AND FRONTOGENESIS IN THE CLASSIC TROWAL SENSE.
GIVEN THESE STRONG DYNAMICS...FEEL THAT MUCH OF THE AREA WILL SEE
AT LEAST SOME -SN WITH THIS CURRENT TREND THANKS TO STRONG DYNAMIC
COOLING. THE BEST BANDING LOOKS TO BE RIGHT ALONG THE CORRIDOR
MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS AFD...FROM THE N CENTRAL CT HIGHLANDS
THROUGH NRN RI AND INTO THE BOS SUBURBS. THE KEY WILL BE WINDS TO
DRAW EITHER COOL AIR OR MARINE AIR INTO THE FRONTOGENETICAL
SYSTEM...AS WINDS SHIFT TO MORE OF A N COMPONENT THANKS TO STRONG
ISALLOBARIC FLOW N OF THIS LINE...AND MAY EVEN BECOME MORE ESE S
OF THE LINE WHICH WOULD DRAW WARMER MARINE AIR TO THE COASTAL
PLAIN. THE COOL AIR MEETS WARM MARINE AIR IS ALSO A FACTOR IN THE
GENERATION OF STRONG COASTAL FRONTOGENESIS...WHICH MAY AID IN
SN/RA FALL NEAR ERN SHORES. THERE IS STILL SOME TIME TO NAIL THIS
DOWN AS THE RELATIVELY SMALL /50+ NM OR SO/ DIFFERENCES IN TRACK
COULD MAKE A HUGE DIFFERENCE IN EITHER A HIGH SN TOTAL OR A MIX.
HOWEVER...THIS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED BECAUSE THANKS TO THE
STRONG DYNAMICS...QPF TOTALS WILL BE VERY HIGH...AND EVEN AREAS
THAT STAY MOSTLY RAIN COULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FLOODING.
THE OTHER ISSUE WILL BE WINDS... GUIDANCE SUPPORTS 50 TO 60 KT
H92 ELY JET DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM. WITH LLVL DYNAMIC
COOLING INLAND AND FURTHER FROM THE JET...LAPSE RATES LIKELY
UNFAVORABLE FOR BRINGING ALL THIS MOMENTUM TO THE SFC. CLOSER TO
THE COAST HOWEVER...GIVEN MARINE INFLUENCE...LLVL LAPSE RATES
COULD SUPPORT SOME OF THESE WINDS MIXING DOWN TO THE SFC. COMBINE
THIS WITH SOME CONTINUED ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ALONG THE ERN
SHORES AND A SECOND ROUND OF COASTAL FLOODING IS CERTAINLY
POSSIBLE.
IN ANY CASE DUE TO THE NEG TILTING TROF AND CONTINUED FAST FLOW
ALOFT...THE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY BE EXITING WITH SOME CLEARING
SKIES DURING THE DAY SUN.
GIVEN ALL OF THESE FACTORS...WITH WET SNOW FALLING ON STILL LEAFY
TREES...STRONG WINDS NEAR THE COAST...AND COASTAL FLOODING HAVE
OPTED /ALONG WITH NEIGHBORS/ TO ISSUE A WATCH FOR POTENTIAL
IMPACTS WITH THIS STORM. THE WATCH WILL INCLUDE SRN NH...MUCH OF
INTERIOR MA...AND NRN RI AND CT. PLEASE SEE THE WATCH STATEMENT
FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION.
LATE SUN INTO WED...
AS MENTIONED IN THE MODEL DISCUSSION STRONG HIGH PRES WITH COOL
AIRMASS WILL LINGER THANKS TO CONFLUENT JET NEARLY STALLED OVER
WRN ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A PERIOD OF DRY
WX THROUGH MID WEEK.
THU INTO NEXT WEEKEND...
SIG DIFFERENCES IN THE HANDLING OF A LONG WAVE TROF DURING THIS
PERIOD...WILL AT LEAST HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WITH THE POTENTIAL
PRECIP DURING THIS PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
MODERATE...30 PERCENT TO 60 PERCENT
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT
TODAY...
VFR. ANY LINGERING LOW CLOUDS WILL MOVE OFF BY SUNRISE...THEN
MOSTLY CLEAR. INCREASING HIGH THIN CLOUDS LATE. HIGH CONFIDENCE
TONIGHT...
INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS INCREASING OUT OF THE
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. VFR. HIGH CONFIDENCE.
SATURDAY...
CEILINGS LOWERING TO MVFR BY MIDDAY AND IFR DURING THE AFTERNOON.
VSBYS LOWERING TO MVFR BY THE AFTERNOON WITH AREAS OF IFR LATE IN
THE DAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
KBOS TERMINAL...
VFR THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. CLEARING SKIES TODAY...THEN INCREASING
HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT. CLOUDS LOWERING AND THICKENING ON SATURDAY.
MVFR CEILINGS/VSBYS SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH AREAS OF IFR
ESPECIALLY LATE. INCREASING EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 15 KNOTS GUSTING
TO 25 KNOTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...THEN MODERATE
CONFIDENCE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
SAT NIGHT...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE. A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL
IMPACT THE TERMINALS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IFR/LIFR IN SNOW
AND FOG OVER TERMINALS N AND W OF A BOS TO PVD LINE. WITH A MIX OF
SNOW RAIN AD FOG S AND W OF THIS LINE...MVFR/IFR HERE. THE SNOW MAY
BE MODERATELY HEAVY AT TIMES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SRN NH
CENTRAL AND WRN MA. N AND NE WIND GUSTS MAY REACH 30 TO 40 KT OVER
E COAST TERMINALS.
SUN INTO TUE...
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR IS DOMINANT CATEGORY AFTER STORM
MOVES OUT EARLY SUN. HIGH PRES WILL DOMINATE.
&&
.MARINE...
TODAY...
OBSERVED NORTH WINDS EARLY MORNING WERE 15-25 KNOTS SUSTAINED AND
25-30 KNOT GUSTS. WINDS ARE DIMINISHING...SO NO FURTHER GALES
EXPECTED FOR A FEW HOURS. THE EXISTING GALE WARNING HAS BEEN
CONVERTED TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH
THROUGH THE DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD. EXPECT THE SCA
HEADLINES TO END LATER AFTERNOON/EVENING.
TONIGHT...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD BE
LIGHT.
SATURDAY...
NEXT LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES UP THE COAST. THIS ONE WILL GATHER
LOTS OF STRENGTH...GENERATING STRONG WINDS AHEAD AND BEHIND THE
CENTER. WINDS JUST OFF THE DECK WILL BE IN THE 50-60 KNOT
RANGE...WITH 35-45 KNOTS EXPECTED NEAR THE SURFACE.
EXPECT INCREASING WINDS ON SATURDAY WITH THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS
REACHING OUR WATERS DURING THE AFTERNOON...SOONEST ON THE SOUTHERN
WATERS AND LATEST OFF CAPE ANN. DUE TO THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF
THE WINDS...WE HAVE ISSUED A GALE WATCH STARTING SATURDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR ALL OF OUR WATERS. THE WATCH WILL CONTINUE
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A SMALL BUT REAL POTENTIAL THAT SOME
OF THOSE 50 KNOT WINDS ALOFT MAY REACH TO THE SURFACE...IF THIS
SIGNAL BECOMES CLEARER THEN THE EVENT MAY BE UPGRADED TO STORM FORCE.
SEAS WILL BUILD THROUGH THE DAY WITH HEIGHTS BY EVENING 10-14 FEET
ON THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND 5-9 FEET ON THE EASTERN WATERS.
OUTLOOK...SATURDAY NIGHT THOUGH TUESDAY...
SAT NIGHT...
NE WINDS MAY APPROACH STORM FORCE DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS A
COASTAL STORM AFFECTS THE WATERS. ROUGH SEAS AND LOW VISIBILITY IN
RAIN AND FOG IS LIKELY. FOR NOW...WITH LOW CONFIDENCE ON STORM
FORCE WINDS...WILL ISSUE A GALE WATCH FOR THIS TIME PERIOD AS THE
CHANCE FOR GALE FORCE WINDS IS LIKELY.
SUN...
WINDS AND SEAS GRADUALLY DIMINISH BUT BOTH LIKELY TO REMAIN ABOVE
SCA THRESHOLDS ESPECIALLY OVER OUTER WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THEREFORE SCA WILL LIKELY FOLLOW GALES.
MON INTO TUE...
WINDS AND SEAS DROP BELOW SCA THROUGH THIS PERIOD.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE IS TRENDING LOWER TODAY. WINDS TODAY WILL
MOVE OFFSHORE. THESE FACTORS SHOULD MEAN NO COASTAL FLOOD
HEADLINES WILL BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.
AT LEAST MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY FOR THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE IS VERY
HIGH ASTRONOMICALLY TO BEGIN WITH...12.2 ABOVE MLLW BOSTON HARBOR.
WHILE WINDS AND A NORTHEAST FETCH WILL BE JUST BEGINNING TO
INCREASE...A SURGE OF AROUND 3/4 FT IS EXPECTED AND THAT WOULD BE
ENOUGH TO CAUSE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON TOP OF THE HIGH
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE. THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS NOT AS HIGH FOR
SATURDAY NIGHT...FOR EXAMPLE 10.5 MLLW AT BOS HARBOR...BUT A
HIGHER SURGE OF ABOUT 1.5 TO 2 FT AND WAVES APPROACHING 15 FT
OFFSHORE WOULD LIKELY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ONCE AGAIN. IT IS SOBERING TO NOTE THAT A TIMING DIFFERENCE OF
ABOUT 12 HOURS ON THIS STORM WOULD HAVE SET US UP FOR A
POTENTIALLY VERY SERIOUS COASTAL FLOOD SCENARIO.
&&
.CLIMATE...
ACCUMULATING SNOW IN OCTOBER IS RARE BUT HAS OCCURRED AT ALL OF
OUR 4 MAJOR CLIMATE SITES.
TOP SNOWY DAYS IN OCTOBER IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
BOSTON
1.1 INCHES ON OCT 29TH IN 2005
0.4 INCHES ON OCT 14TH IN 1913
0.2 INCHES ON OCT 10TH IN 1979...EARLIEST MEASURABLE
TRACE OR MORE ON 30 OF 119 YEARS
PROVIDENCE
2.5 INCHES ON OCT 10TH IN 1979...EARLIEST MEASURABLE
1.6 INCHES ON OCT 25TH IN 1962
0.7 INCHES ON OCT 19TH IN 1972
TRACE OR MORE ON 17 OF 104 YEARS
WORCESTER
7.5 INCHES ON OCT 10TH IN 1979
4.7 INCHES ON OCT 26TH IN 1962
3.6 INCHES ON OCT 25TH IN 1960
2.1 INCHES ON OCT 21ST IN 1964
TRACE OR MORE ON 42 OF 107 YEARS
EARLIEST MEASURABLE WAS OCTOBER 8 1988
WINDSOR LOCKS
1.7 INCHES ON OCT 10TH IN 1979...EARLIEST MEASURABLE
0.4 INCHES ON OCT 19TH IN 1972
0.1 INCHES ON OCT 30TH IN 1925
TRACE OR MORE ON 30 OF 100 YEARS
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR MAZ002>006-008>014-017-026.
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MAZ007-014-020-
021.
NH...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR NHZ011-012-015.
RI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR RIZ001-002.
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR RIZ002>007.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
FOR ANZ231>235-237-250-251-254>256.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
ANZ231>235-237.
GALE WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
FOR ANZ230-236.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ250-
251-254>256.
&&
SYNOPSIS...WTB/DOODY
NEAR TERM...WTB
SHORT TERM...WTB
LONG TERM...DOODY
AVIATION...WTB/DOODY
MARINE...WTB/DOODY
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 28, 4:06 AM EDT, 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 406 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>013-017-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001-290815- HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA- EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA- WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI- 406 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ018-023-RIZ008-290815- WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-DUKES MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI- 406 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ020-021-RIZ003>007-290815- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-WESTERN KENT RI- EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- 406 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FREEZE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ014-RIZ002-290815- SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- 406 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FREEZE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ231>235-237-250-251-254>256-290815- CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY- RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 406 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ230-236-290815- BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 406 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ015-016-019-022-024-290815- SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA- NANTUCKET MA- 406 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY TIMEFRAME. RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW...WITH SOME ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE...IS LIKELY DURING THE EVENT. STRONG NE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ007-290815- EASTERN ESSEX MA- 406 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FREEZE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY TIMEFRAME. RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW...WITH SOME ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE...IS LIKELY DURING THE EVENT. STRONG NE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM EDT | Winter Storm Watch | BOX | Bristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex and 2 more | 25 hr |
| Oct 28, 3:03 PM EDT | Storm Watch | BOX | 14 hr | |
| Oct 28, 3:13 PM EDT | High Wind Watch | BOX | Barnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Middlesex, Nantucket and 3 more | 14 hr |
| Oct 28, 3:27 PM EDT | Winter Storm Warning | BOX | Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk and 2 more | 38 hr |
| Oct 28, 4:21 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Watch | BOX | Barnstable, Dukes, Essex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth and 1 more | 19 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.