Alert archive / Massachusetts / Flood Watches in 2011

Flood Watch 3, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

March 6, 20114 states

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this flood watch at Mar 6, 2011, 5:35 AM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Mar 6, 2011, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2011, 5:35 AM EST (10:35 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 6, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Mar 7, 2011, 7:00 AM EST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Flood severity
None

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Cheshire County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2011-03-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2011-03-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 163 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
878 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

156 
WGUS61 KBOX 061035
FFABOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
535 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011


CTZ002>004-MAZ002>021-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-061845-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0003.110306T1800Z-110307T1200Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...AYER...JAFFREY...
KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
535 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
 MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND RHODE ISLAND...
 INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
 HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT. IN MASSACHUSETTS...
 CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN ESSEX MA...EASTERN FRANKLIN 
 MA...EASTERN HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...EASTERN 
 NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...
 NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA...NORTHERN WORCESTER MA...SOUTHEAST 
 MIDDLESEX MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...
 SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA...SUFFOLK MA...WESTERN ESSEX MA...
 WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...WESTERN HAMPDEN MA...WESTERN HAMPSHIRE 
 MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA. IN SOUTHERN 
 NEW HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH AND 
 WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH. IN RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL 
 RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...
 SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI.

* FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* RAIN WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON WITH
  LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

* RAINFALL OF 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN NEW
  HAMPSHIRE...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...AND PARTS OF NORTHERN
  CONNECTICUT. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN RHODE
  ISLAND AND PARTS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

* MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PROMOTE SNOW MELT IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN
  TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
404 
WGUS61 KBOX 061818
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
118 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>021-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-070230-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...AYER...JAFFREY...
KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
118 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN 
 NEW HAMPSHIRE AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREAS...IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND 
 WINDHAM CT. IN MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN 
 ESSEX MA...EASTERN FRANKLIN MA...EASTERN HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN 
 HAMPSHIRE MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...
 NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA...NORTHERN 
 WORCESTER MA...SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...
 SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA...SUFFOLK MA...
 WESTERN ESSEX MA...WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...WESTERN HAMPDEN MA...
 WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH 
 MA. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN 
 HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH. IN 
 RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...
 NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON 
 RI AND WESTERN KENT RI.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN NEW
  HAMPSHIRE...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...AND PARTS OF NORTHERN
  CONNECTICUT. ONE TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED IN RHODE ISLAND
  AND PARTS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THE
  CAPE AND ISLANDS. 

* THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR LATE TODAY THROUGH MIDNIGHT IN
  WESTERN NEW ENGLAND...SHIFTING TO EASTERN NEW ENGLAND AFTER 10 PM.

* UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL
  WILL PROMOTE RAPID SNOW MELT WITH SHARP RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND
  STREAMS THROUGH MONDAY. URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS
  LIKELY...ALONG WITH FLOODING ON SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS.

* THE FOLLOWING RIVERS ARE FORECAST TO GO INTO FLOOD.

  FARMINGTON RIVER AT UNIONVILLE...LATE TONIGHT
  BLACKSTONE RIVER AT NORTHBRIDGE...LATE TONIGHT
  BLACKSTONE RIVER AT WOONSOCKET...MONDAY MORNING 
  FARMINGTON RIVER AT SIMSBURY...MONDAY MORNING
  PISCATAQUOG RIVER AT GOFFSTOWN...MONDAY MORNING
  ASSABET RIVER AT MAYNARD...MONDAY MORNING 
  SHAWSHEEN RIVER AT WILMINGTON...MONDAY MORNING 
  SOUHEGAN RIVER AT MERRIMACK...MONDAY AFTERNOON 
  NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG...MONDAY AFTERNOON
  SQUANNACOOK RIVER AT WEST GROTON...MONDAY AFTERNOON
  NASHUA RIVER AT EAST PEPPERELL...MONDAY AFTERNOON
  FARMINGTON RIVER AT TARIFFVILLE...MONDAY NIGHT
  CONCORD RIVER AT LOWELL...MONDAY NIGHT
  CHARLES RIVER AT DOVER...MONDAY NIGHT 
  MERRIMACK RIVER AT LAWRENCE...MONDAY NIGHT 
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT HARTFORD...TUESDAY MORNING

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
989 
WGUS61 KBOX 070215
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
915 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>021-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-071200-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T1200Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...AYER...JAFFREY...
KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
915 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN 
 NEW HAMPSHIRE AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREAS...IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND 
 WINDHAM CT. IN MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN 
 ESSEX MA...EASTERN FRANKLIN MA...EASTERN HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN 
 HAMPSHIRE MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...
 NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA...NORTHERN 
 WORCESTER MA...SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...
 SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA...SUFFOLK MA...
 WESTERN ESSEX MA...WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...WESTERN HAMPDEN MA...
 WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH 
 MA. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN 
 HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH. IN 
 RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...
 NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON 
 RI AND WESTERN KENT RI.

* UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY

* RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
  HAMPSHIRE...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...AND NORTHERN
  CONNECTICUT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE
  EXPECTED ACROSS RHODE ISLAND AND PARTS OF EASTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.

* THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT ACROSS
  THE WESTERN HALF OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...SHIFTING TO THE
  EASTERN HALF OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT.

MANY RIVERS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
REACH FLOOD STAGE AS WELL. SOME RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE ALREADY
BEEN ISSUED. PLEASE SEE THOSE STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS. OTHER 
RIVERS OF CONCERN...AND THE APPROXIMATE TIME WHEN THESE RIVERS 
COULD BEGIN FLOODING...ARE...

PISCATAQUOG RIVER AT GOFFSTOWN...MONDAY MORNING 
SOUHEGAN RIVER AT MERRIMACK...MONDAY AFTERNOON 
NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG...MONDAY AFTERNOON
SQUANNACOOK RIVER AT WEST GROTON...MONDAY AFTERNOON 
NASHUA RIVER AT EAST PEPPERELL...MONDAY AFTERNOON 
FARMINGTON RIVER AT TARIFFVILLE...MONDAY NIGHT 
SHETUCKET RIVER AT WILLIMANTIC...MONDAY NIGHT 
CONCORD RIVER AT LOWELL...MONDAY NIGHT
CHARLES RIVER AT DOVER...MONDAY NIGHT 
NEPONSET RIVER AT NORWOOD...MONDAY AFTERNOON 
MERRIMACK RIVER AT LAWRENCE...MONDAY NIGHT 
CONNECTICUT RIVER AT HARTFORD...TUESDAY MORNING
CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLETOWN...TUESDAY AFTERNOON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

BELK
398 
WGUS61 KBOX 071012 AAA
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
512 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>021-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-071200-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...AYER...JAFFREY...
KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
512 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN 
 NEW HAMPSHIRE AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
 AREAS...IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND 
 WINDHAM CT. IN MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN 
 ESSEX MA...EASTERN FRANKLIN MA...EASTERN HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN 
 HAMPSHIRE MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...
 NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA...NORTHERN 
 WORCESTER MA...SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...
 SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA...SUFFOLK MA...
 WESTERN ESSEX MA...WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...WESTERN HAMPDEN MA...
 WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH 
 MA. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN 
 HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH. IN 
 RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...
 NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON 
 RI AND WESTERN KENT RI.

* UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING

* RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 4 INCHES
  HAVE OCCURRED OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY WITH
  GENERALLY AN INCH OR TWO ACROSS RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS INTO THE MERRIMACK RIVER VALLEY.

* DESPITE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL EXITING THE REGION EARLY THIS
  MORNING...THE COMBINATION OF RAPID SNOW MELT AND HEAVY RAIN
  OVERNIGHT SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS MAY CONTINUE TO OVERFLOW
  THEIR BANKS THROUGH 7 AM. THUS THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES.

MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS WESTERN NEW ENGLAND HAVE OVERFLOWED
THEIR BANKS YIELDING MINOR FLOODING. SOME RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS
HAVE ALREADY BEEN ISSUED. PLEASE SEE THOSE STATEMENTS FOR MORE
DETAILS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
043 
WGUS61 KBOX 071215
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
715 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>021-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-071315-
/O.EXP.KBOX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110307T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...AYER...JAFFREY...
KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
715 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

...FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND RHODE ISLAND HAS
EXPIRED. ONE AND A HALF TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...THE PORTIONS OF THE MERRIMACK VALLEY...
WORCESTER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...FRANKLIN...HAMPSHIRE...
AND HAMPDEN COUNTIES IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND HARTFORD AND TOLLAND
COUNTIES IN CONNECTICUT. LESSER AMOUNTS FROM ONE QUARTER INCH TO
ONE INCH FELL ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

MANY SMALL STREAMS AND RIVER TRIBUTARIES CONTINUE TO RISE...BUT
THE STEADIEST AND HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS EXITED THE AREA. THUS THE
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 6, 4:56 AM EST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 6, 4:56 AM EST, 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
456 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL DISSIPATE THIS
MORNING WHILE A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
USA TAKES OVER AND MOVES UP THE EAST COAST. THIS SECOND LOW WILL
CROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATER TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE MARITIMES
BY MONDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS OVER THE REGION FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE PLAINS WILL
THEN BRING RAIN TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN NEW YORK ALONG A COLD FRONT PROVIDES
CONVERGENCE AND A BAROCLINIC ZONE TO SUPPORT PRECIPITATION OVER
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. IT IS SUPPORTED BY A 50 KNOT SOUTHWEST
LOW LEVEL JET FEEDING UP THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS WILL KEEP THE
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION TO OUR NORTH AND WEST DURING THIS MORNING
WITH THE CT VALLEY AND BERKSHIRE SLOPES CLOSE ENOUGH TO CATCH
OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF RAIN. WE STARTED THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH
LIKELY POPS IN THIS LATTER AREA...GRADING TO SLIGHT CHANCE OR NIL
POPS IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

LOW PRESSURE OVER GEORGIA PROVIDED FIREWORKS OVER THE GULF COAST
SATURDAY. ALL MODELS AGREE ON BRINGING THE LOW UP THE COASTAL
PLAIN TODAY...WITH MOST BRINGING IT TO DELMARVA/CHESAPEAKE BAY
AREA BY 00Z. THE GFS IS A FAST OUTLIER WITH THE SURFACE LOW ALMOST
TO NEW YORK CITY. THIS LOW IS ACCOMPANIED BY A SECOND STRONG LOW
LEVEL JET...THIS ONE ALIGNED ALONG THE EAST COAST. PART OF THE JET
IS ALREADY OVERHEAD OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH 40-50 KNOT WINDS
AT 2000-3000 FEET ALTITUDE. THE LOW WILL BRING NORTH A STRONGER
SEGMENT WITH POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL WINDS OF 50-70 KNOTS.

WE FAVORED THE CONSENSUS TRACK...LEAVING OUT THE OUTLYING GFS.
HOWEVER...EITHER WAY...THE FORECAST TREND FOR TODAY WILL BE THE
SAME WITH JUST A SMALL DIFFERENCE ON TIMING.  THE STRONG JET
SEGMENT WILL FORCE INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER NEW ENGLAND
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SO THE FORECAST TREND FOR TODAY WILL
BE INCREASING CHANCE OF RAIN ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

TEMPERATURES STARTING THE DAY AT 45 TO 55! BUT CLOUDS AND RAIN
SHOULD KEEP TEMPS FROM CLIMBING TOO HIGH TODAY. WE WENT WITH A
GENERAL RANGE IN THE 50S. CAN/T RULE OUT 60 IN SPOTS...ESPECIALLY
SOUTHEAST MASS...BUT THIS SHOULD BE THE UPPER LIMIT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
TONIGHT...
ALL MODELS AGREE THAT LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP THROUGH THE REGION.
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN THE EXACT TRACK. THE GFS MOVES IT OVER
THE CAPE AND ISLANDS...WHILE THE CONSENSUS CARRIES THE LOW THROUGH
CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS. WE USED THE 21Z SREF AS A
BASELINE FOR WINDS/WIND DIRECTIONS TONIGHT BUT DREW ON A BLEND OF
THE MET AND MAV MOS IN THERMAL FIELDS. POPS WERE MOSTLY HAND DRAWN
BASED ON FORECAST WINDS AND EXPECTED LIFT...WITH MAINLY
CATEGORICAL POPS LEADING THE LOW...THEN TAPERING TO CHANCE IN THE
CT VALLEY BY 12Z.

BASED ON THERMAL FIELDS...THIS IS MAINLY A RAIN EVENT FOR OUR
AREA. HOWEVER THE FAR NORTHWEST AREAS ARE ON THE EDGE AND IF THE
TRACK IS A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTHEAST...CLOSER TO THE GFS...THEN
CHESHIRE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES AND WESTERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTY COULD
SEE MORE IN THE WAY OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW...ESPECIALLY
AFTER 06Z AS WINDS TURN NORTH. FOR NOW IT LOOKS LIKE THIS COOLING
WILL TAKE PLACE AS THE PRECIPITATION IS TAPERING OFF.

WINDS WILL BE A CONCERN TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN RHODE ISLAND AND
EASTERN MASS. THE 50-70 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WILL MOVE ACROSS
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE EARLY TO MID NIGHT...AND ANY
STRONGER DOWNPOURS COULD DRAW DOWN STRONG SOUTH WIND GUSTS IN THE
45 TO 55 MPH RANGE. CONFIDENCE IS SUFFICIENTLY LOW THAT WE WILL
HOLD ON ANY WIND ADVISORY DECISION.

THE STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL BE BRINGING SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR
A SOAKING RAIN. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE AROUND 1
INCH...POSSIBLY A LITTLE HIGHER. WE USED A BLEND OF SREF AND HPC
GUIDENCE...WHICH BRINGS US INTO THE MIDDLE OF MODEL CONSENSUS WITH
1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS AND 1 TO 1.5
INCHES IN THE EAST. THE LEAST RAINFALL WILL BE ON THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH FOR URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN THE CT VALLEY AREAS.

MONDAY...WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THROUGH THE GULF OF
MAINE...EXPECT ANY LEFTOVER RAIN TO TAPER OFF MONDAY MORNING.
THERE IS CONCERN THAT TEMPERATURES COULD COOL OFF FAST ENOUGH IN
CHESHIRE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES TO CAUSE A CHANGE TO LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN OR SNOW...BUT THIS WOULD TAKE PLACE AS THE PRECIPITATION IS
TAPERING OFF.

TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE COOLING THROUGH THE DAY. THE LEGACY OF
THE MILD AIR IN PLACE THROUGH THE NIGHT WILL BE SUCH A MILD START
TO THE DAY THAT THE COOLING ALOFT WILL GIVE DAYTIME TEMPS LITTLE
ROOM TO RISE. TEMPERATURES OF 35-45 WILL CLIMB A COUPLE OF
DEGREES.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MONDAY NIGHT...LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP OFFSHORE
WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGING ACROSS THE AREA. COLDER AND
DRIER AIR WILL INFILTRATE THE REGION. USED A BLEND OF MET/MAV MOS
TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE TO DERIVE OVERNIGHT LOWS WHICH WILL GENERALLY
BE IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND AN H5 RIDGE AXIS
WILL CREST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEASONABLY COLD AND DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE GREAT LAKES REGION. WARM MOIST AIR OVERRIDING LEFTOVER COLD AND
DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE WILL ALLOW FOR SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TO
START THE EVENT. STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL TRANSPORT MILDER AIR
ACROSS THE CWA ALLOWING FOR A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN. THE 00Z GFS
OFFERS AN ALTERNATE SOLUTION WITH CUTOFF LOW PRESSURE FORMING SOUTH
OF THE AREA. THIS WOULD BRING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF COASTAL WIND
AND RAIN. HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH THE MORE PROGRESSIVE 00Z ECMWF AND
UKMET SOLUTIONS AT THIS POINT WITH A POSITIVE NAO TELECONNECTION
FORECAST...BUT MAY NEED TO CONTINUE CHANCE POPS BEYOND FRIDAY IF
THE LESS PROGRESSIVE COASTAL WAVE SCENARIO DEVELOPS.

SATURDAY...SEASONABLY COOL AND DRY AIR MAY RETURN IN TIME BEHIND
DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT...BUT THIS SCENARIO COULD
CHANGE DEPENDING ON TIMING ISSUES.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
  LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
  MEDIUM...30 PERCENT TO 60 PERCENT
  HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT

TODAY...VFR EAST AND MVFR CONDITIONS NORTHWEST TO START THE DAY.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LOWER THROUGH THE DAY AS INCREASING MOISTURE
IS FED INTO THE REGION...SPREADING RAIN FROM WEST TO EAST AND
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT
CONDITIONS TO REACH MVFR IN THE EAST AND IFR IN THE WEST BY LATE
AFTERNOON IN LOW CEILINGS AND RAIN. STRONG SOUTH WINDS AT 2000
FEET WITH SPEEDS OF 40-50 KNOTS...THIS WILL GENERATE LOW LEVEL
WIND SHEAR THROUGH THE DAY. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

TONIGHT...CONDITIONS LOWER TO IFR/LIFR IN RAIN AND FOG. LOW LEVEL
WIND SHEAR CONTINUES WITH WINDS OF 50-70 KNOTS MOVING OVER RI AND
SOUTHEAST MASS AT ALTITUDE OF 2000 FEET. HIGH CONFIDENCE. SURFACE
WINDS SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST LATE.

MONDAY...LINGERING IFR IN EASTERN MASS IN THE MORNING..OTHERWISE
CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING.
NORTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 KNOTS.

KBOS TERMINAL...VFR THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS LOWERING
TO MVFR LATE AFTERNOON AND IFR IN THE EVENING. LOW LEVEL WIND
SHEAR THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT WITH 45-50 KNOT WINDS.  HIGH CONFIDENCE.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
MONDAY NIGHT...VFR PREVAILING BUT LINGERING MVFR/IFR CEILINGS
ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...VFR EAST...VFR DIMINISHING TO MVFR
WESTERN TERMINALS BY THURSDAY MORNING WITH SOME LIGHT MIXED
PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING BY THAT TIME.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY...SOUTH WINDS THROUGH THE DAY WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR 25
KNOTS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. SOUTH WINDS OF 40 TO
50 KNOTS ARE 2000-3000 FEET OVERHEAD BUT SHOULD REMAIN ALOFT DUE
TO A TEMPERATURE INVERSION.

TONIGHT...SOUTH WINDS ALOFT BECOME STRONGER...WITH A CORE OF 50-70
KNOTS PASSING OVERHEAD OF THE CAPE AND ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. EVEN
WITH THE TEMPERATURE INVERSION...THIS SEEMS ENOUGH TO EXPECT
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35-40 KNOTS IN EASTERN SECTIONS. SO WE HAVE
ISSUED A GALE WARNING FOR THE OUTER WATERS AND FOR NANTUCKET SOUND
AND CAPE COD BAY. THERE IS AT BEST MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON THIS
WARNING. LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST WILL PASS ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE AT NIGHT...AT WHICH TIME WIND SHOULD
SHIFT TO NORTHWEST.

MONDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS AS LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS. WINDS ALOFT WILL
BE 25-30 KNOTS...SO AS COLD AIR MOVES IN ANY GUSTS SHOULD BE IN
THAT RANGE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPECTED.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...SOUTHERLY SWELL DIMINISHES BUT N TO NW
WINDS GUST UP TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH CONTINUED WIND WAVE ACTION. SEAS
6 TO 9 FEET OUTER WATERS.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...SCA CONDITIONS OUTER WATERS
PRIMARILY DUE TO LEFTOVER WIND WAVE ACTION WITH 5 TO 7 FOOT SEAS.
WIND SUBSIDING BUT NE-E WINDS AVERAGING 10-20 KT.

THURSDAY...SCA CONDITIONS ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS DUE TO
ROUGH SEAS. SE WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO
25 KT POSSIBLE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP THE COASTAL PLAIN TODAY AND ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND STRONG LIFT SHOULD BE
ENOUGH TO BRING A PERIOD OF SUBSTANTIAL RAIN TO THE REGION. THE
LONGEST DURATION WILL BE IN THE CT VALLEY AND ADJACENT AREAS WITH
TOTAL RAINFALL OF 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES EXPECTED. FARTHER EAST THE
PERIOD OF RAIN WILL BE SHORTER...BUT STILL ENOUGH TO BRING 1 TO
1.5 INCHES OF RAIN. SNOWMELT WILL BE AN ADDITIONAL FACTOR WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S IN MOST LOCATIONS TODAY. CERTAINLY THERE
WILL BE A CONCERN FOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING DURING
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.

SNOWPACK HAS DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE AREA BUT NOHRSC
WEBSITE INDICATES HIGH SNOW WATER EQUIVALENTS NORTH OF I-90 ACROSS
NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...WITH AMOUNTS
DROPPING OFF MORE QUICKLY TO THE SOUTH. THE COMBINATION OF
CONTINUED SNOWMELT DUE TO MILD AIR AND EXPECTED RAINFALL COULD
CAUSE SOME STREAMS TO RISE NEAR BANKFULL TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES INDICATED A COMBINED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL AND RUNOFF IN 6 HOURS WOULD BE NECESSARY TO PRODUCE
FLOODING. URBAN AND POOR-DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS
WELL.

WILL NOT ISSUE HEADLINES AT THIS MOMENT AS THE AMOUNT OF SNOWMELT
REMAINS UNCERTAIN.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     ANZ231-232-250-254>256.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ233>235-237-
     251.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
     MONDAY FOR ANZ236.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/STRAUSS
NEAR TERM...WTB
SHORT TERM...WTB
LONG TERM...STRAUSS
AVIATION...WTB/STRAUSS
MARINE...WTB/STRAUSS
HYDROLOGY...
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 6, 5:28 AM EST, 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
528 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

MAZ002>004-008-010-026-NHZ011-012-015-071030-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
528 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS ALSO A LOW PROBABILITY OF ICE JAM FLOODING ALONG THE
RIVERS OF NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...DEPENDING UPON
WHERE HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR A PERIOD OF SNOW...SLEET AND/OR
FREEZING RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS MONDAY MORNING AS COLDER AIR WORKS INTO
THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ022>024-RIZ008-071030-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
528 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF WIND GUSTS REACHING 45 TO 50 MPH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-009-011>021-RIZ001>007-071030-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
528 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF WIND GUSTS REACHING 45 TO 50 MPH
TONIGHT ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS OF RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ231-232-250-254>256-071030-
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
528 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ230-233>237-251-071030-
BOSTON HARBOR-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
528 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 5:51 AM ESTGale WarningBOX32 hr
Mar 6, 3:07 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBOXWorcester36 hr
Mar 6, 3:34 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire19 hr
Mar 6, 5:14 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBOXMiddlesex, Worcester7 days
Mar 6, 5:14 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBOXEssex, Middlesex40 hr
Mar 6, 1:27 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region30 hr
Mar 6, 5:14 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region8 days

Nearby

Flood Watches in Massachusetts, 2011Flood Watches in Rhode Island, 2011Flood Watches in New Hampshire, 2011Every flood watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.