Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Birmingham, AL

March 8, 2011Sumter County, Alabama

NWS Birmingham, AL issued this river flood warning at Mar 8, 2011, 8:20 AM CST for Sumter County, Alabama. It took effect at Mar 9, 2011, 6:29 AM CST. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 8, 2011, 8:20 AM CST (14:20 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 9, 2011, 6:29 AM CST
Expired
Mar 12, 2011, 9:00 AM CST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Birmingham, AL
Flood severity
Minor

County Sumter County, AL

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Sucarnoochee River at Livingston (LVNA1). The gauge peaked at 20.15 ft at Mar 10, 2011, 5:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderate1015202503/0803/0903/1003/1103/1203/13
Action stage
18 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02467500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

542 
WGUS44 KBMX 081420
FLWBMX


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 
820 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... 

  SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON AFFECTING SUMTER COUNTY.

.HEAVY RAINFALL OF TWO TO THREE INCHES IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE 
SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER DRAINAGE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THIS 
FORECAST RAINFALL...IN ADDITION TO LAST WEEKEND'S RAIN...WILL
CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON
AND A FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC119-090220-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0003.110310T0930Z-110312T1054Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110310T0930Z.110311T0000Z.110311T2254Z.NO/
820 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18 FEET...FLOODING OF FARMLANDS AROUND LIVINGSTON 
  OCCURS AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
11 follow-up statements
400 
WGUS84 KBMX 090443
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1042 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT 
LIVINGSTON...

.HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SUCARNOOCHEE
RIVER BASIN. A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC119-091642-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.110309T1620Z-110313T1418Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1620Z.110311T0000Z.110313T0218Z.NO/
1042 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING  AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.4 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOODING OF SOME YARDS IN SOUTHEAST 
  LIVINGSTON OCCURS.

$$
487 
WGUS84 KBMX 091232
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
632 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT 
LIVINGSTON...

.HEAVY RAINFALL OF OVER THREE INCHES HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST  
24 HOURS OVER THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER DRAINAGE...WITH RAIN
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. A FLOOD WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THURSDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC119-100032-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.110309T1229Z-110313T2315Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1207Z.110311T0000Z.110313T1115Z.NO/
632 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 24.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING . THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING OCCURS IN 
  LIVINGSTON...AND EVACUATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY.

$$
138 
WGUS84 KBMX 091542
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
942 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT 
LIVINGSTON...

.HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 5 INCHES HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS OVER THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER BASIN...AND A FLOOD 
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE AT LIVINGSTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THURSDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC119-100342-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110313T1448Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1151Z.110311T0000Z.110313T0248Z.NO/
942 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.2 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING . THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING OCCURS IN 
  LIVINGSTON...AND EVACUATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY.

$$
843 
WGUS84 KBMX 092026
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
226 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT 
LIVINGSTON...

.HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO PRODUCE RISES ON THE SUCARNOOCHEE
RIVER...AND A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT AT LIVINGSTON.O

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THURSDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC119-100826-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110313T0630Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1151Z.110311T0000Z.110312T1830Z.NO/
226 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22 FEET...FLOODING OF SOME YARDS IN SOUTHEAST 
  LIVINGSTON OCCURS.

$$
275 
WGUS84 KBMX 100304
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
904 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT 
LIVINGSTON...

..HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS IS PRODUCING RISES ON THE 
SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER. A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THURSDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC119-101504-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110313T0520Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1151Z.110311T0000Z.110312T1720Z.NO/
904 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOODING OF SOME YARDS IN SOUTHEAST 
  LIVINGSTON OCCURS.

$$
395 
WGUS84 KBMX 100835
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
235 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT 
LIVINGSTON...

.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAS CAUSED RISES ALONG
THE RIVER AND A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 AM THIS MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC119-102035-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110312T1200Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1151Z.110309T1600Z.110312T0000Z.NO/
235 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE A SLOW FALL AND BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARMLANDS AROUND LIVINGSTON 
  OCCURS AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
486 
WGUS84 KBMX 101316
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
716 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT 
LIVINGSTON...

.MINOR FLOODING IS CONTINUING ALONG THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT
LIVINGSTON...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING.

&&

ALC119-110116-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110313T0730Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1151Z.110311T1200Z.110312T1930Z.NO/
716 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.4 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22 FEET...FLOODING OF SOME YARDS IN SOUTHEAST 
  LIVINGSTON OCCURS.

$$
270 
WGUS84 KBMX 101529
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
929 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT 
LIVINGSTON...

.RISES WILL CONTINUE ON THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AND A FLOOD
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THURSDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC119-110329-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110313T1200Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1151Z.110311T1200Z.110313T0000Z.NO/
929 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  830 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.6 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22 FEET...FLOODING OF SOME YARDS IN SOUTHEAST 
  LIVINGSTON OCCURS.

$$
538 
WGUS84 KBMX 110137
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
737 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT 
LIVINGSTON...

.RIVER LEVELS EXPECTED TO LEVEL OFF AND BEGIN A SLOW FALL. THE FLOOD 
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY FRIDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC119-111337-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110313T1617Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1151Z.110311T1200Z.110313T0417Z.NO/
737 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOODING OF SOME YARDS IN SOUTHEAST 
  LIVINGSTON OCCURS.

$$
627 
WGUS84 KBMX 111009
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
409 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT BEVILL, 
demopolis, and gainesville locks and dams, and the sucarnoochee at
livingston... 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED later this MORNING...

&&

ALC063-065-091-107-119-112209-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110314T0316Z/
/AVLA1.1.ER.110309T1649Z.110310T1800Z.110313T1516Z.NO/
409 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT BEVILL 
LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 127.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 122.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 128.0 FEET...CATTLE IN THE AREA SHOULD BE MOVED TO 
  HIGHER GROUND. FLOODING OF SOME CABINS AND CAMPS ALONG THE RIVER 
  CAN BE EXPECTED.

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-112209-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110314T0919Z/
/GNSA1.1.ER.110310T0418Z.110311T1200Z.110313T2119Z.NO/
409 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT GAINESVILLE LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 106.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 101.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 106.4 FEET BY 
  THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-112209-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DLDA1.1.ER.110310T0128Z.110313T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
409 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT DEMOPOLIS 
LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 75.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 68.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 76.4 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 77.0 FEET...FLOODING OF NUMEROUS CABINS AND TRAILERS 
  NEAR THE RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED

$$

ALC119-112209-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110312T1240Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1151Z.110311T0000Z.110312T0040Z.NO/
409 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARMLANDS AROUND LIVINGSTON 
  OCCURS AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
131 
WGUS84 KBMX 111459
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE COOSA RIVER AT CHILDERSBURG...
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT BEVILL,GAINESVILLE,
AND DEMOPOLIS LOCKS AND DAMS...
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR AT SAYRE, OLIVER, AND 
SELDEN LOCKS AND DAMS...
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CAHABA AT SUTTLE...
...HIGH RIVER LEVELS ARE OCCURRING ON THE SUCARNOOCHEE, THE TALLAPOOSA, AND THE
ALABAMA RIVERS AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SATURDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF 
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC063-065-091-107-119-120259-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110314T0210Z/
/AVLA1.1.ER.110309T1649Z.110310T1800Z.110313T1410Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT BEVILL LOCK AND 
DAM.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 126.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 122.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-120259-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110314T0815Z/
/GNSA1.1.ER.110310T0418Z.110311T1100Z.110313T2015Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT GAINESVILLE 
LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 106.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 101.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-120259-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DLDA1.1.ER.110310T0128Z.110314T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT DEMOPOLIS 
LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 75.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 68.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 76.9 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 77.0 FEET...FLOODING OF NUMEROUS CABINS AND TRAILERS 
  NEAR THE RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED

$$

ALC073-125-127-120259-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110312T0501Z/
/SAYA1.1.ER.110310T0110Z.110310T2230Z.110311T1701Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LOCUST FORK AT SAYRE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS ALONG THE LOCUST FORK OCCURS.

$$

ALC063-065-091-119-125-120259-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110312T1912Z/
/TODA1.1.ER.110309T1859Z.110310T1445Z.110312T0712Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT OLIVER LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 132.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 129.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW .
* IMPACT...AT 132.0 FEET...FLOODING OF RURAL ROADS SOUTHWEST OF 
  TUSCALOOSA OCCURS.

$$

ALC063-065-091-120259-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110316T1418Z/
/WLDA1.1.ER.110309T2316Z.110313T1100Z.110316T0218Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 97.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 100.0 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 102.0 FEET...RESIDENTIAL FLOODING BEGINS IN THE AREA.  
  NUMEROUS CABINS AND TRAILERS IN HALE AND GREENE COUNTY BECOME 
  FLOODED.

$$

ALC047-105-120259-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0014.110311T1855Z-110313T0715Z/
/SUTA1.1.ER.110311T1855Z.110312T0600Z.110312T1915Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CAHABA RIVER NEAR SUTTLE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 33.7 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW . THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON .
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF PASTURELANDS OCCURS IN THE 
  SUTTLE AREA.  LIVESTOCK NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND IF THE 
  RIVER RISES TO 33 FEET OR HIGHER.

$$

ALC047-105-120259-
/O.ROU.KBMX.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MNJA1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR CAHABA RIVER AT MARION JUNCTION.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 36.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 32.7 FEET TOMORROW MORNING .

$$

ALC021-037-051-115-117-121-120259-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110314T0903Z/
/CCSA1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110312T0600Z.110313T2103Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE COOSA RIVER NEAR LOGAN MARTIN DAM.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 469.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 467.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

$$

ALC021-037-051-117-121-111529-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110311T1707Z/
/CHLA1.1.ER.110309T1957Z.110310T2000Z.110311T0817Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE COOSA RIVER AT CHILDERSBURG.
* AT  7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 401.7 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  2:17 AM FRIDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 402.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 400.6 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING .
* IMPACT...AT 402.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS BEGINS.  AT 
  404 FEET FLOODING OF SOME LOW LYING ROADS IN THE AREA BEGINS...AND 
  THE YARDS OF SOME HOMES NEAR THE RIVER BECOME FLOODED.

$$

ALC001-047-051-085-101-120258-
/O.ROU.KBMX.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MGMA1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR ALABAMA RIVER AT MONTGOMERY.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 34.9 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE OVERFLOW OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA 
  BEGINS.

$$

ALC047-120258-
/O.ROU.KBMX.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR ALABAMA RIVER AT SELMA.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 41.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 45.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 42.2 FEET TOMORROW MORNING .

$$

ALC119-120258-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110312T1500Z/
/LVNA1.1.ER.110309T1151Z.110311T0000Z.110312T0300Z.NO/
859 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOODING OF FARMLANDS AROUND LIVINGSTON 
  OCCURS AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 8, 6:02 AM CST, 2 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 6:02 AM CST, 2 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
602 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

.UPDATE...12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

LOW CLOUDINESS MARCHING BACK INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA EARLY THIS
MORNING AS PLANNED FROM THE GULF ALONG WITH EXTENSIVE MID AND
UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. THE
MAIN RIDGE HAS SHIFTED ENOUGH EASTWARD FOR THE FLOW TO SHIFT FROM
NORTHERLY YESTERDAY MORNING TO EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY THIS MORNING.
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL SHIFT TO MORE SOUTHEAST/SOUTHERLY TODAY AS THE
HIGH WEAKENS FURTHER.

WATER VAPOR SATELLITE SHOWING OUR NEXT UPPER TROUGH ADVANCING
DIGGING ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST...WITH STILL
ZONAL FLOW ACROSS ALABAMA. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE PLAIN STATES TODAY AND THEN LIFTS
NORTHEAST THIS EVENING INTO THE MIDWEST BY WEDNESDAY. THIS SETS
UP CENTRAL ALABAMA IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF OUR
NEXT SURFACE FRONT. MODELS CONSISTENT WITH THE SURFACE FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME THROUGH DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. MODELS
CONTINUE TO NUDGE UPWARD THE BEGINNING ARRIVAL OF PRECIPITATION.
STILL THINK THAT MAIN RAINFALL SHOW WILL BE ON WEDNESDAY FROM
AROUND 08Z-23Z WEDNESDAY.

SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS ALTHOUGH MARGINAL SHOW A SMALL WINDOW
OF POTENTIAL ACTIVITY MAINLY IN THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE 10Z-
18Z TIME FRAME ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 65. THIS IS THE AREA OF BEST LIFT AND INSTABILITY IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A POSSIBLE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. LI'S FROM 12Z-18Z
BEST IN THIS AREA -3/-6...ALONG WITH CAPE FROM 1000-1700 J/KG.
THIS DATA MOVES EWD WITH ACTIVITY IN THE AFTERNOON BUT DECREASES
SIGNIFICANTLY. REST OF AREA MAINLY SHOWS LI/S 0/-2 ON WEDNESDAY.
TOTAL TOTALS/SHOWALTER INDEX VALUES ARE WEAK TONIGHT AND DROP OFF
SHARPLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEST SWEAT/K INDICES OF ABOVE 300/AND
THE LOW 30S RESPECTIVELY TONIGHT BUT DECREASE SHARPLY IN THE AM AS
WELL. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE EXTREMELY HIGH THROUGH THE
EVENT...ESPECIALLY SOUTHWEST COUNTIES. THINKING THAT MAIN THREAT
WILL BE HEAVY RAIN...BUT A SMALL WINDOW FOR SEVERE WEATHER FOR
HIGH WINDS/HAIL/AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TORNADO. NICELY CURVED
HODOGRAPH IN THE SOUTHWEST LOSES UMPH BY AFTERNOON. AGAIN SOUTH
HALF OF CWA IS LOOKING AT THE BEST INSTABILITY FOR US. THIS SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO LOOK MORE LIKE OUR LAST EVENT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO
HAVE MORE OF A FLASH FLOOD THREAT OVERALL WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
LOOKING LIKE THE MAIN PLAYER. TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY POSSIBLY
A TAD WARMER ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEW POINTS WHICH FAVOR
POSSIBLY SOME SEVERE...IF THOSE TEMPERATURES GET TO BE REALIZED
WITH ALL OF THE RAIN POSSIBLE. WITH LOTS OF CLOUD COVER AND RAIN
EARLY ON...MAY NOT HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO REACH FULL SEVERE
POTENTIAL.

AFTER THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH ONCE AGAIN LOOKING AT COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND THEN SHIFTS OVER THE DEEP SOUTH BY FRIDAY. MAY BE
SUNDAY BEFORE THE HIGH WEAKENS ENOUGH FOR ANY SOUTHERLY FLOW TO
RETURN. LOOK FOR MODERATING TEMPERATURES FRIDAY ON INTO THE
WEEKEND...BUT NO RAIN AFTER LATE WEDNESDAY FOR THE MOST PART
EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME WRAP AROUND EARLY THURSDAY IN
THE NORTHEAST AS EVERYTHING PULLS OUT. WILL LEAVE OUT ANY
PRECIPITATION MENTION FOR MONDAY AS OF NOW WITH BIG DIFFERENCES IN
MODEL OUTCOMES BY LATE SUNDAY. THINK GFS IS TOO FAST BRINGING OUR
NEXT SYSTEM INTO THE AREA AND WILL WAIT FOR SOME RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY BEFORE I BITE.

08/MNK

&&

.AVIATION...12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

LOW CLOUD DECK CONTINUES TO ADVECT NWD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MRNG
WITH CIGS NEAR 4000 FT. CIGS SHOULD REMAIN JUST ABOVE MVFR THRU THE
AFTN...BUT WILL DROP TO MVFR DURING THE EVNG HRS AS THE NEXT SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL ENTER THE WEST LATE THIS AFTN/EARLY EVNG AND
SPREAD EWD OVERNIGHT. THE INTENSITY OF THE RAIN WILL INCREASE THRU
THE OVERNIGHT HRS AS WELL. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND AT LEAST MENTIONED
SHRA BEGINNING AFTER 05Z AT TCL AND THEN SPREADING EWD. VIS WILL
LIKELY DROP TO MVFR AS THE HEAVIEST RAIN PASSES THRU. TIMING OF THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL LIKELY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED IN FUTURE
ISSUANCES AS THE MODELS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT. THE HEAVY RAIN
WILL CONTINUE INTO WED.

ESE WINDS COULD BE A LITTLE GUSTY TODAY AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT DUE
TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST COAST.
SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD REMAIN NEAR 10 KTS THRU THE PERIOD...WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS TONIGHT.

NOTICE...KEET TAF WILL HAVE (AMD LTD TO VIS WIND AND WX) AMENDED TO
THE END OF THE FORECAST THROUGH THE END OF THE 2010/2011 WINTER
SEASON. THE CEILOMETER DATA WILL BE GOING THROUGH NUMEROUS TESTS AND
MONITORED FOR ACCURACY.

19

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

LATEST TRENDS HAVE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF GENERALLY 2 TO 3
INCHES FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...WITH ISOLATED
LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.  SOILS HAVE MOISTENED FOLLOWING
THE PAST WEEKENDS RAINFALL AND CENTRAL ALABAMA STREAMS AND RIVERS
ARE RUNNING AT OR ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY COULD RESULT IN RISES ALONG RIVERS AND
STREAMS AGAIN...AND AT THIS TIME SOME MINOR RIVER FLOODING COULD
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY ON PARTS OF THE TOMBIGBEE AND LOWER WARRIOR
RIVERS.

IN ADDITION TO RIVER FLOODING...FLASH FLOODING WILL MOSTLY LIKELY
BECOME A CONCERN.  WITH GROUND MOISTURE VALUES FAIRLY HIGH AND
HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED...EXCESSIVE RUNOFF COULD RESULT IN SOME
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING ON WEDNESDAY.  THUS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

08/MNK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     63  51  65  42  50 /  20  80 100  40  20
ANNISTON    64  53  66  42  52 /  10  80 100  40  20
BIRMINGHAM  63  55  67  41  52 /  30  90 100  30  10
TUSCALOOSA  63  56  71  42  57 /  40  90 100  20  10
CALERA      64  54  69  41  54 /  30  90 100  30  10
AUBURN      65  52  67  44  56 /  10  60 100  50  10
MONTGOMERY  68  56  72  44  59 /  20  70 100  40  10
TROY        68  55  71  44  59 /  10  60 100  50  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.

&&

08/19
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 6:33 AM CST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
633 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

ALZ011>015-017>050-091233-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
633 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ENTER THE WESTERN COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA. THIS HEAVY RAIN
COULD LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IN AREAS ALONG AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM UNIONTOWN...TO BIRMINGHAM TO ONEONTA BETWEEN MIDNIGHT
AND 6 AM WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BRING SEVERAL THREATS
TO CENTRAL ALABAMA ON WEDNESDAY.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL OF TWO TO THREE INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...COULD
PRODUCE AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING. THERE IS
A HIGH LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE OF THIS FLOODING THREAT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES...ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA ON
WEDNESDAY. THERE ARE STILL SOME UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM...LEADING TO LOWER CONFIDENCE OF THIS
THREAT.

FINALLY...BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON
THURSDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE NEEDED
ON WEDNESDAY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 3:55 AM CSTFlash Flood WatchBMXAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Calhoun and 33 more33 hr
Mar 8, 8:13 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Marengo, Pickens, Sumter5 days
Mar 8, 10:00 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXGreene, Sumter30 min
Mar 8, 12:45 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXLamar45 min
Mar 8, 1:09 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXPickens51 min
Mar 8, 1:49 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningBMXLamar5 hr
Mar 8, 2:02 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXFayette, Marion, Pickens3 hr
Mar 8, 2:35 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXGreene25 min
Mar 8, 3:03 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXGreene27 min
Mar 8, 3:08 PM CSTWind AdvisoryBMXAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Calhoun and 33 more22 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.