Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 184, NWS Bismarck, ND

July 24, 2011Foster County, Wells County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 24, 2011, 3:40 PM CDT for Foster County, Wells County, North Dakota. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 24, 2011, 3:40 PM CDT (20:40 UTC)
Expired: Jul 24, 2011, 4:45 PM CDT
In force: 65 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Foster County, ND, Wells County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 24, 2:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 51 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -148 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1184 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

433 
WUUS53 KBIS 242040
SVRBIS
NDC031-103-242145-
/O.NEW.KBIS.SV.W.0184.110724T2040Z-110724T2145Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
340 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN FOSTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...
  SOUTHEASTERN WELLS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 336 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  HEATON...OR 53 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DEVILS LAKE...AND MOVING EAST AT
  25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SYKESTON...CATHAY...CARRINGTON...BARLOW...MELVILLE AND BORDULAC.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY
BUILDING...AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4732 9880 4732 9974 4756 9970 4762 9925
      4760 9925 4759 9883
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 264DEG 20KT 4748 9950
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

WETZEL

2 follow-up statements

679 
WWUS53 KBIS 242104 RRA
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
404 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

NDC031-103-242145-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0184.000000T0000Z-110724T2145Z/
FOSTER ND-WELLS ND-
404 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
WELLS AND WESTERN FOSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 400 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
SYKESTON...OR 48 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DEVILS LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CARRINGTON AND BARLOW AROUND 410 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 4732 9936 4733 9946 4757 9945 4760 9922
      4759 9883 4733 9880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 264DEG 20KT 4749 9930
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

866 
WWUS53 KBIS 242141
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
441 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

NDC031-103-242151-
/O.EXP.KBIS.SV.W.0184.000000T0000Z-110724T2145Z/
FOSTER ND-WELLS ND-
441 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WELLS AND WESTERN
FOSTER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM CDT/345 PM MDT/...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4732 9936 4733 9946 4757 9945 4760 9922
      4759 9883 4733 9880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 264DEG 20KT 4751 9900

$$

WETZEL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 24, 2:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 24, 2:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
223 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
USED BLEND OF MODELS AGAIN TO TIME CONVECTION. TODAYS CONVECTION DEVELOPING
ALONG WEAK SURFACE TROUGH FROM NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA WILL BE LARGELY DIURNALLY MODULATED. MARGINALLY SEVERE AT
THIS TIME.

AS TROUGH CLEARS THE FORECAST AREA MORE STABLE AND DRIER AIR WILL
MAKE IT WAY INTO THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF NEXT SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. BUMPED POPS AND INCREASED QPFS FOR TUESDAY AS SYSTEM
LOOKS INCREASINGLY STRONG AS WE NEAR THE LONG TERM GRIDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE.

.LONG TERM...
THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL REMAIN IN AN ACTIVE WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN
THROUGH THE ENTIRE LONG TERM PERIOD WITH THE UPPER JET NEAR OR
DIRECTLY ALOFT. THIS RESULTS IN CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE WORK WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY...THEN SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE FOR NEXT
WEEKEND.

COULD SEE A HEAVY RAIN EVENT ON TUESDAY WITH PWATS NEARING TWO
INCHES AND A STRONG SHORT WAVE MID LEVEL TROUGH ADVECTING EAST
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD HEADLINES.

&&

.AVIATION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST ALONG THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER...COUPLED WITH INCREASING DAYTIME INSTABILITY
ALONG A SFC BOUNDARY...WILL LEAD TO INCREASING CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING MAINLY FOR
KDIK...KBIS...AND KJMS. VFR CIGS AND VIS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL
TERMINALS...WITH OCCASIONAL DECREASED FLIGHT CATEGORIES FOR THOSE
AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE ANY HEAVIER SHRA OR TSRA. WEST AND CENTRAL ND
SHOULD QUICKLY CLEAR OUT EARLY TO MID EVENING...WITH PERHAPS A
LINGERING THREAT OVERNIGHT FOR SHOWERS OR WEAK TSRA ACROSS EASTERN
ND.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HW
LONG TERM....NH
AVIATION...NH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 24, 4:30 AM CDT, 11 hours 10 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
430 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-250930-
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-BURLEIGH-
KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
430 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR BOTTINEAU THROUGH EMMONS COUNTIES AND POINTS EAST THROUGH 11
AM CDT THIS MORNING.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND INTO THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
NORTH DAKOTA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-250930-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCKENZIE-DUNN-
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-
HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
430 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011 /330 AM MDT SUN JUL 24 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND INTO THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
NORTH DAKOTA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

AYD

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 24, 2:50 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
250 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0244 PM     HAIL             3 S MCHENRY             47.53N 98.59W
07/24/2011  M0.88 INCH       FOSTER             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAIN WITH LARGEST HAIL STONE BEING THE SIZE OF A
            NICKEL...

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jul 24, 2:58 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
258 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0256 PM     HAIL             NEW ENGLAND             46.54N 102.87W
07/24/2011  M1.00 INCH       HETTINGER          ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jul 24, 3:01 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
301 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0256 PM     TSTM WND GST     NEW ENGLAND             46.54N 102.87W
07/24/2011  M60 MPH          HETTINGER          ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jul 24, 3:06 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
306 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     HAIL             5 WSW NEW ENGLAND       46.51N 102.97W
07/24/2011  M1.75 INCH       SLOPE              ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MAJORITY OF HAIL WAS NICKELS...BUT HAIL WAS UP TO THE
            SIZE OF A GOLF BALLS. HAIL LASTED ABOUT 5 MINUTES.

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jul 24, 3:24 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
324 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     HAIL             8 NNE GLEN ULLIN        46.92N 101.76W
07/24/2011  M1.00 INCH       MORTON             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jul 24, 3:32 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
332 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0329 PM     HAIL             6 ENE GLEN ULLIN        46.85N 101.71W
07/24/2011  M2.00 INCH       MORTON             ND   PUBLIC

            RELAYED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT...GOLFBALL TO HEN EGG SIZED
            HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC NEAR MILE MARKER 115 ON
            INTERSTATE 94.

&&

LHUBER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 24, 2:16 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	BIS	Bottineau, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Foster, Kidder and 9 more	9 hr
Jul 24, 2:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Hettinger, Slope	65 min
Jul 24, 2:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Morton	57 min
Jul 24, 2:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder	54 min
Jul 24, 3:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Hettinger, Slope	54 min
Jul 24, 3:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Adams, Hettinger	62 min
Jul 24, 3:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Morton, Oliver	53 min
Jul 24, 3:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder, Stutsman	45 min
Jul 24, 3:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Morton	60 min
Jul 24, 4:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Kidder, Stutsman	60 min
Jul 24, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Kidder	27 min
Jul 24, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	LaMoure, Stutsman	62 min
Jul 24, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Morton	45 min
Jul 24, 4:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder, Stutsman	59 min
Jul 24, 4:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Kidder, Sheridan	53 min
Jul 24, 5:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder, Wells	46 min
Jul 24, 6:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Foster, Wells	67 min
Jul 24, 6:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh	52 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2011 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.