Alert archive / North Dakota / Flash Flood Watches in 2011
Flash Flood Watch 9, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this flash flood watch at Aug 4, 2011, 2:49 PM MDT for 32 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Aug 5, 2011, 6:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 18 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 4, 2011, 2:49 PM MDT (20:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 5, 2011, 6:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Aug 6, 2011, 11:59 AM MDT
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
- Flood severity
- None
All 32 counties
Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 405 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -228 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1353 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 30 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -77 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
053 WGUS63 KBIS 042049 FFABIS URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 349 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WEST AND CENTRAL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... .FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS AGAIN POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. RECENT RAINS OVER THE AREA HAVE LEFT THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WITH RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVER THE SAME...THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE HEIGHTENED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-050500- /O.NEW.KBIS.FF.A.0009.110806T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER- STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...BEACH...MEDORA... DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 349 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2011 /249 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... BOTTINEAU...MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE...MCKENZIE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BURLEIGH... EMMONS...GRANT...KIDDER...MCLEAN...MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER... SHERIDAN...SIOUX AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA... DICKEY...FOSTER...LA MOURE...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND STUTSMAN. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS...BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN... GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. * RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR FALLING ON TOP OF MOIST SOILS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
9 follow-up statements
430 WGUS63 KBIS 042054 CCA FFABIS URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 354 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WEST AND CENTRAL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... .FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS AGAIN POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. RECENT RAINS OVER THE AREA HAVE LEFT THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WITH RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVER THE SAME AREA...THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE HEIGHTENED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-050515- /O.NEW.KBIS.FF.A.0009.110806T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER- STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...BEACH...MEDORA... DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 354 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2011 /254 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... BOTTINEAU...MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE...MCKENZIE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BURLEIGH... EMMONS...GRANT...KIDDER...MCLEAN...MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER... SHERIDAN...SIOUX AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA... DICKEY...FOSTER...LA MOURE...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND STUTSMAN. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS...BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN... GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. * RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR FALLING ON TOP OF MOIST SOILS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ TWH
353 WGUS63 KBIS 050429 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1129 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WEST AND CENTRAL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... .FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS AGAIN POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. RECENT RAINS OVER THE AREA HAVE LEFT THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WITH RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVER THE SAME AREA...THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE HEIGHTENED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-051230- /O.CON.KBIS.FF.A.0009.110806T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER- STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...BEACH...MEDORA... DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 1129 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2011 /1029 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU... MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE...MCKENZIE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BURLEIGH...EMMONS... GRANT...KIDDER...MCLEAN...MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER... SHERIDAN...SIOUX AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA... DICKEY...FOSTER...LA MOURE...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND STUTSMAN. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS...BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN... GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. * RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR FALLING ON TOP OF MOIST SOILS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JV
890 WGUS63 KBIS 051050 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 550 AM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WEST AND CENTRAL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... .FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS AGAIN POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. RECENT RAINS OVER THE AREA HAVE LEFT THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WITH RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVER THE SAME AREA...THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE HEIGHTENED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-051900- /O.CON.KBIS.FF.A.0009.110806T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER- STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...BEACH...MEDORA... DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 550 AM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011 /450 AM MDT FRI AUG 5 2011/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU... MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE...MCKENZIE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BURLEIGH...EMMONS... GRANT...KIDDER...MCLEAN...MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER... SHERIDAN...SIOUX AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA... DICKEY...FOSTER...LA MOURE...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND STUTSMAN. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS...BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN... GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. * RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR FALLING ON TOP OF MOIST SOILS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JV
582 WGUS63 KBIS 051518 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1018 AM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WEST AND CENTRAL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... .FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS AGAIN POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. RECENT RAINS OVER THE AREA HAVE LEFT THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WITH RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVER THE SAME AREA... THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE HEIGHTENED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-052330- /O.CON.KBIS.FF.A.0009.110806T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER- STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...BEACH...MEDORA... DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 1018 AM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011 /918 AM MDT FRI AUG 5 2011/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU... MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE...MCKENZIE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BURLEIGH...EMMONS... GRANT...KIDDER...MCLEAN...MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER... SHERIDAN...SIOUX AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA... DICKEY...FOSTER...LA MOURE...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND STUTSMAN. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS...BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN... GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. * RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR FALLING ON TOP OF MOIST SOILS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KINNEY
056 WGUS63 KBIS 052015 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 315 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WEST AND CENTRAL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... .FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS AGAIN POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. RECENT RAINS OVER THE AREA HAVE LEFT THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WITH RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVER THE SAME AREA... THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE HEIGHTENED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-060415- /O.CON.KBIS.FF.A.0009.110806T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER- STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...BEACH...MEDORA... DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 315 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011 /215 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2011/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU... MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE...MCKENZIE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BURLEIGH...EMMONS... GRANT...KIDDER...MCLEAN...MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER... SHERIDAN...SIOUX AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA... DICKEY...FOSTER...LA MOURE...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND STUTSMAN. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS...BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN... GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. * RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR FALLING ON TOP OF MOIST SOILS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KINNEY
311 WGUS63 KBIS 060041 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 741 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WEST AND CENTRAL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... .FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO SATURDAY. RECENT RAINS OVER THE AREA HAVE LEFT THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WITH RAINFALL RATES AS HIGH AS TWO TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVER THE SAME AREAS...THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE HEIGHTENED OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY. ISOLATED LOCATIONS IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA ALREADY RECEIVED 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD FRIDAY EVENING...AND A FEW LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY RECEIVE SIMILAR AMOUNTS OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY...PERHAPS EVEN SLIGHTLY HIGHER. NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-060845- /O.CON.KBIS.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER- STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...BEACH...MEDORA... DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 741 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011 /641 PM MDT FRI AUG 5 2011/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU... MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE...MCKENZIE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BURLEIGH...EMMONS... GRANT...KIDDER...MCLEAN...MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER... SHERIDAN...SIOUX AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA... DICKEY...FOSTER...LA MOURE...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND STUTSMAN. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS...BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN... GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. * RAINFALL RATES AS HIGH AS TWO TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR FALLING ON TOP OF MOIST SOILS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KINNEY
149 WGUS63 KBIS 061050 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 550 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WEST AND CENTRAL CONTINUES TODAY... .FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. RECENT RAINS OVER THE AREA HAVE LEFT THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WITH RAINFALL RATES AS HIGH AS TWO TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVER THE SAME AREAS...THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE HEIGHTENED TODAY. ISOLATED LOCATIONS IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA HAD ALREADY RECEIVED 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD FRIDAY EVENING...AND A FEW LOCATIONS AROUND AND JUST NORTH OF THE JAMESTOWN AREA RECEIVED AROUND 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN A FEW HOURS FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO THIS MORNING. NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-061900- /O.CON.KBIS.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER- STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...BEACH...MEDORA... DICKINSON...MANDAN...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...MARMARTH... MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON... NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 550 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011 /450 AM MDT SAT AUG 6 2011/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BOTTINEAU... MCHENRY...PIERCE...RENVILLE...ROLETTE AND WARD. IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...BURKE...DIVIDE...MCKENZIE...MOUNTRAIL AND WILLIAMS. IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...BURLEIGH...EMMONS... GRANT...KIDDER...MCLEAN...MERCER...MORTON...OLIVER... SHERIDAN...SIOUX AND WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA... DICKEY...FOSTER...LA MOURE...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND STUTSMAN. IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...ADAMS...BILLINGS...BOWMAN...DUNN... GOLDEN VALLEY...HETTINGER...SLOPE AND STARK. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TODAY. * RAINFALL RATES AS HIGH AS TWO TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR FALLING ON TOP OF MOIST SOILS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JV
406 WGUS63 KBIS 061536 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1036 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD THREAT DIMINISHING TODAY... .SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED...AND THE RAIN THAT DOES OCCUR WILL NOT SIGNIFICANTLY WORSEN THE ONGOING FLOODING OR CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING. PARTS OF SOUTHEAST WELLS...FOSTER...AND STUTSMAN COUNTIES RECEIVED 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT OVERLAND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY OVER THESE AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG TOWNSHIP ROADS. NDZ001>005-009>013-017>022-031>036-040>048-050-051-061645- /O.CAN.KBIS.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN- GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-SLOPE- HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH- DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN... BISMARCK...STEELE...MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN... HETTINGER...FORT YATES...LINTON...NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY... OAKES 1036 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011 /936 AM MDT SAT AUG 6 2011/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BUT NO ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OR FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED. $$ NDZ023-025-037-062345- /O.CON.KBIS.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WELLS-FOSTER-STUTSMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...JAMESTOWN 1036 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...WELLS. IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...FOSTER AND STUTSMAN. * UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING * SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WORSEN THE FLOODING SITUATION. HOWEVER...OVERLAND FLOODING IS CONTINUING OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST WELLS...FOSTER...AND STUTSMAN COUNTIES THAT RECEIVED 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN...AND ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND TOWNSHIP ROADS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. DO NOT DRIVE ON WATER COVERED ROADS. WASHED OUT ROADS MAY BE DIFFICULT TO SEE. && $$ KINNEY
120 WGUS63 KBIS 061759 FFABIS FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1259 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD THREAT HAS ENDED ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA... .SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED...AND THE RAIN THAT DOES OCCUR WILL NOT SIGNIFICANTLY WORSEN ANY ONGOING FLOODING OR CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING. NDZ023-025-037-061900- /O.CAN.KBIS.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-110807T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WELLS-FOSTER-STUTSMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARVEY...CARRINGTON...JAMESTOWN 1259 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. NO ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OR FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT. $$ KINNEY
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 4, 2:30 PM MDT, 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 4, 2:30 PM MDT, 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 330 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2011 .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... MAJOR FORECAST CONCERN DURING THE TERM WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES...SOME SEVERE...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT...BUT DIFFER IN A FEW KEY AREAS...SO HAVE TRENDED TOWARDS THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF SOLUTION. CURRENTLY...DOMINANT SUBTROPICAL RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS...WHILE A LARGE LOW IS SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS NORTHERN CANADA. THE RESULT IS NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS...THROUGH WHICH A FEW SHORTWAVES ARE TRAVERSING ACROSS THE REGION. AN AREA OF SHOWERS WITH SOME ISOLATED THUNDER HAS RESULTED FROM JUST SUCH A FEATURE...AND IS MOVING EAST ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE FORECAST AREA. AS DAYTIME HEATING REACHES A PEAK LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THIS AREA COULD INTENSIFY AND RESULT IN THUNDERSTORMS...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CWA. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE IMPULSE IS PROGGED TO CROSS THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING...AND COULD ALSO RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AFTER 00Z TONIGHT. SOME CELLS COULD DEVELOP INTO SEVERE CRITERIA...MOST LIKELY IN MY SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES WHERE SURFACE BOUNDARIES AND HIGHER INSTABILITY ARE EXPECTED. SHEAR PROFILES ARE LACKING A BIT HOWEVER...SO WIDESPREAD ORGANIZATION DOES NOT SEEM LIKELY. WHAT CONVECTION DOES DEVELOP SHOULD EXIT THE CWA BY SUNRISE FRIDAY. SKIES SHOULD REMAIN SOMEWHAT CLEAR EARLY FRIDAY...AS THE CANADIAN LOW SHIFTS EAST AND THE FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS BEGINS TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED HOWEVER...AS A MUCH MORE VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO CROSS THE ROCKIES AND APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA. A DEVELOPING FRONTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH THIS IMPULSE TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING IN THE WEST AROUND 18Z AND SPREADING TO THE REST OF THE STATE BY SUNSET. A WARM FRONT SHOULD BE DRAPED ACROSS THE STATE BY THIS POINT...AND WILL LIKELY BE THE FOCUS OF DEVELOPMENT. THE AREA OF STRONGEST INSTABILITY...AROUND 2000 J/KG...AND THEREFORE HEAVIEST RAIN AND BEST CHANCES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE WEST AT AROUND 21-00Z. THIS AREA WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE STATE JUST AHEAD AND NORTH OF THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW...WHICH IS FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE ND/SD STATE LINE. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE CWA THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO THE EXTENDED PERIOD. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY EXCEED 1 INCH...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH HAIL AND WIND BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM STRONGER CELLS/LINES. TEMPERATURES DURING THE TERM ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN AT OR NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS...WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS AROUND 60. .LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY... THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL REMAIN IN AN ACTIVE WESTERLY UPPER FLOW PATTERN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS EACH PERIOD. MORE UNCERTAINTY MID NEXT WEEK AS OUR FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS TO MORE NORTHWEST WITH MID/UPPER FORCING MORE QUESTIONABLE. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE NEAR/SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THEN WELL BELOW AVERAGE TUE & WED. SATURDAY BEGINS WITH LIKELY ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS AS A POTENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ADVECT EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. PWATS REMAIN HIGH SO THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES. WITH CLOUD COVER ALREADY EXTENSIVE OVER NORTH DAKOTA...THE THREAT FOR SFC BASED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOW HOWEVER CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW STRONGER ELEVATED STORMS ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. FORCING QUICKLY WANES LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING AS THE STORM SYSTEM PUSHES EAST INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION AND AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS. ON SUNDAY A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW PUSHING EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA WILL DRAG A TROUGH OF SFC LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE DAKOTAS RESULTING IN ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. CAA ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE TROUGHS LOOKS TO THEN BRING CONTINUED CHANCES FOR INSTABILITY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. DRY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ACROSS THE REGION FOR TUESDAY NIGHT. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER JET STREAM SAGS TO OUR SOUTH AND NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. MODELS ARE FLIP FLOPPING ON WHETHER TO BRING ADDITIONAL WEAK DISTURBANCES THROUGH THE REGION IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW. FOR NOW WILL LEAVE TUESDAY NIGHT-THURS NIGHT DRY. && .AVIATION... CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE FORECAST AREA WILL INCREASE MID/LATE AFTERNOON AND AFTER 00 UTC TONIGHT AS CONVECTION IS TRIGGERED ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHED ACROSS THE I94 CORRIDOR FROM JMS TO DIK AND WELL INTO EASTERN MONTANA. EXPECT ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP TO BE MAINLY DIURNAL...QUICKLY WANING NEAR/AFTER SUNSET. MUCH THICKER CLOUD DECKS AND A GREATER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO ENCROACH UPON MY FAR WEST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...BUT THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE RAIN CHANCES REMAIN BEYOND 18 UTC FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD. LOWER CIG CATEGORIES SHOULD BE EXPECTED IF ANY HEAVIER SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP/MOVE OVER FORECAST TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL...AND PERHAPS FRIDAY MORNING WEST. && .HYDROLOGY... WE CAN NOT SEEM TO GET A BREAK WHEN IT COMES TO HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS THIS SUMMER. AND THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT REASON WHY WE WILL BE ISSUING A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. BECAUSE OF OUR NUMEROUS ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL THIS SUMMER...OUR CURRENT FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE QUITE LOW...ESPECIALLY IN A BAND FROM WILL LISTON AND MINOT...SOUTHEAST THROUGH GARRISON AND BISMARCK...TO CARRINGTON...JAMESTOWN AND ASHLEY. ONE HOURS FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS AS LOW AS 0.60 FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN SOURIS BASIN. NEEDLESS TO SAY...ANY THUNDERSTORM WILL BE MORE THAN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING OUR CURRENT FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE. THIS IS SHAPING UP TO POSSIBLY BE AN EXTENDED EVENT WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY EVENING...LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY. THE FORECAST SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL SETUP IS SIMILAR TO A COMPOSITE LOCAL STUDY FOR THE BISMARCK AREA...LOOKING AT HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS DURING THE SUMMER MONTHS OF 1962-1988...DEPICTING A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA...LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION INTO THE REGION AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE AREA DOWNSTREAM OF A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH...JUST PRIOR TO THE EVENT. THE MODELS HAVE SLOWED THIS SYSTEM FROM YESTERDAY...AND HPC QPF PLACEMENT DEPICTS HIGH QPF AMOUNTS TRAVERSING PRETTY MUCH THE ENTIRE CWA...EXCEPT THE FAR NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES. COULD TRY AND LOP OFF A COUNTY HERE OR THERE...OR ADJUST TIMING FROM WEST TO EAST...BUT WITH STILL SOME MODEL UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING AND OUR LOW FFG VALUES...WILL HIGHLIGHT THE ENTIRE CWA BOTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. LATER SHIFTS CAN REFINE IF NEEDED. && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051. && SHORT TERM...BPN/TWH LONG TERM....NH AVIATION...NH
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 4, 3:52 AM MDT, 10 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 452 AM CDT THU AUG 4 2011 NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-051000- DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS- FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER- STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- 452 AM CDT THU AUG 4 2011 /352 AM MDT THU AUG 4 2011/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA WILL SAG INTO CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT FOR TODAY INTO TONIGHT. A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A MORE POTENT LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEASTERN MONTANA FRIDAY AND THEN SCOOT ALONG THE NORTH AND SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...FIRST ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THEN SPREADING INTO CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA FRIDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS AND COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE BISMARCK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 1-800-247-0212. KS
The office that day
Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 3:23 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Bottineau, Renville | 67 min |
| Aug 4, 5:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Golden Valley | 63 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in North Dakota, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.