Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS Binghamton, NY

982 
WWUS51 KBGM 272322
SVSBGM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
722 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYC007-107-PAC015-280000-
/O.CON.KBGM.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-110528T0000Z/
TIOGA NY-BROOME NY-BRADFORD PA-
722 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BRADFORD...WEST CENTRAL BROOME AND TIOGA COUNTIES...

AT 717 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE A 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR 
TOWANDA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS IS ANOTHER STORM WITHIN 
THE WARNED AREA.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ULSTER BY 730 PM EDT...
  ROME BY 735 PM EDT...
  MILAN BY 740 PM EDT...
  ATHENS BY 745 PM EDT...
  LITCHFIELD BY 750 PM EDT...
  WINDHAM AND LITCHFIELD BY 755 PM EDT...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

LAT...LON 4180 7665 4229 7628 4230 7625 4235 7624
      4221 7594 4170 7644
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 203DEG 21KT 4178 7643

$$

BMW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
355 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS INTO TONIGHT.
S0ME STORMS OVER NORTHEAST PA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK MAY
BECOME SEVERE. WARM HUMID AIR AND WEAK DISTUBANCES MOVING ACROSS
THE AREA WILL KEEP THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUINDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MEMORIAL DAY LOOKS TO BE A HOT ONE WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NOT MUCH HAPPENING WITH SHOWERS UP OVER FINGER LAKES AREA. A
STATIONARY FRON REMAINS IN THE AREA WITH A 20 DEGREE DIFFERENCE IN
TEMPERATURES SYRACUSE AND ROCHESTER. SYRACUSE WINDS HAVE TURNED TO
BE FROM THE NORTH AND TEMPERATURES COOLED A LITTLE THERE THIS
AFTERNOON. AS OF 3 PM THE FRONT LOOKED TO STRETCH FROM ABOUT ROME
TO JUST S OF SYRACUSE TO NORTH OF PENN YAN. BEST INSTABILITY LIES
SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONT ACROSS NORHTEAST PA AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK. AT 4 PM CELLS WERE STARTING TO GROW IN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR TONIGHT THE HI RES MODELS ARE INDICATING A SECOND BATCH OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE ACROSS NE PA INTO CENTRAL NY
BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM AND SO POP AND CLOUDS ARE KEPT IN THE
FORECAST. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS SECOND BATCH
BUT IT WILL HAVE TO WATCHED AS FAR AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACROSS
THE AREA. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDER DIMINISHES TO MORE
ISOLATED OR LOWER CHANCES AFTER 3 AM SAT UP THROUGH ABOUT NOON.
AFTERNOON ON SATURDAY COULD SEE MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THOUGH SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE MODEL FORECASTS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MEMORIAL
DAY... HAVE CHANGED A LITTLE IN THAT AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE SE US AND HEIGHTS RISE ACROSS PA AND NY
BUT THE RIDGE IS NOW FORECAST TO BE FLATTER ACROSS US ALLOWING FOR
SHORT-WAVES TO PASS OVER US. THE WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR
BUT THE SHORT-WAVES MEAN THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE AND SKIES WILL BE A LITTLE CLOUDIER. H85 TEMPS
QUICKLY WARM TO NEAR 17C WHICH IF MIXED DOWN WOULD SUPPORT TEMPS
IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S. MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A POSSIBLE
MCS AS THE NEXT UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL EXIST ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WITH
HEIGHTS AROUND 591 DM INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK ALONG WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY
WARM TEMPERATURES WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AS MAX TEMPS ON TUESDAY
RANGE FROM THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

REST OF EXTENDED SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE RETROGRADE INTO THE
MID WEST WHILE UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS IN THE NORTHEAST FALL DUE TO
SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH EASTERN CANADA. TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, SFC LOW PRES TRACKING THROUGH EASTERN CANADA WILL DRAG
A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO
INDICATE LOW CHC POPS FOR SHRA/TSRA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. MAX TEMPS ON WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH
FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. PERIOD WILL BE
DRY WITH PARTY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND TEMPS NEAR SEASONAL VALUES.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY STRETCHES NEAR THE TERMINALS OF
BOTH KSYR/KRME. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD THEN MOVE NORTH ON SATURDAY.
UPPER LEVEL WAVE IN THE OHIO WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THROUGH
SATURDAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING
THEN AGAIN ON SATURDAY. ATMOSPHERE NOT NEARLY AS UNSTABLE AS
YESTERDAY WITH SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ONLY POSSIBLE AT KBGM/KAVP.

IN GENERAL WIDESPREAD VFR SHOWERS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
WITH POSSIBLE HEAVIER CONVECTION AT KBGM/KAVP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING. INCLUDED BRIEF MVFR TEMPO GROUPS FOR HEAVY
SHOWERS FOR THIS ACTIVITY AND MENTIONED CB IN CLOUD GROUP TO
INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS. THIS EVENING WIDESPREAD MVFR
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WITH ACTIVITY DIMINISHING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
BETWEEN 04Z-09Z. AFTER THIS, CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN MVFR DUE TO MIST
AND CIGS. BY MID MORNING SATURDAY CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR
WITH UNRESTRICTED LIGHT SHOWERS.

OUTLOOK...

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...MVFR IN PRIMARILY AFTN
SHRA/TSRA.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...VFR.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLE MVFR IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BMW
NEAR TERM...BMW
SHORT TERM...BMW
LONG TERM...RRM
AVIATION...RRM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
119 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYZ009-024-025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-
048-072-281730-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-
CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-
NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
119 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 388 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND OR DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION...HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA. STAY
ALERT FOR ANY WARNINGS THAT MAY BE ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NYZ015>018-022-023-281730-
YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-
119 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY
BPRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
535 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TORNADO          2 SW MILAN              41.89N  76.53W
05/26/2011                   BRADFORD           PA   NWS STORM SURVEY

            DAMAGE ASSESSMENT TEAM FOUND AN EF1 TORNADO TRACK WHICH
            WAS 4 MILES LONG AND 75 YARDS WIDE. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM
            WIND SPEED WAS 90 MPH.

&&

JAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
620 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

PAZ039-272245-
SUSQUEHANNA PA-
620 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL SUSQUEHANNA
COUNTY...

* AT 618 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF HOP BOTTOM...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HOP BOTTOM AT 635 PM EDT...
  HARFORD AND ALFORD AT 645 PM EDT...

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.

LAT...LON 4165 7593 4184 7580 4175 7561 4164 7579
      4164 7592

JAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
638 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     HAIL             1 E TRACY CREEK         42.02N  76.06W
05/27/2011  M1.00 INCH       BROOME             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
644 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 PM     HAIL             1 SSE VESTAL            42.07N  76.04W
05/27/2011  M1.00 INCH       BROOME             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

&&

EMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
647 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0644 PM     HAIL             1 E VESTAL              42.08N  76.03W
05/27/2011  M1.00 INCH       BROOME             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
653 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0651 PM     HAIL             JOHNSON CITY            42.12N  75.96W
05/27/2011  M1.50 INCH       BROOME             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEAR FLORAL PARK

&&

EMG