Flash Flood Warning 70, NWS Binghamton, NY

532 
WGUS71 KBGM 281620
FFSBGM

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1220 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

PAC103-281815-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.W.0070.000000T0000Z-110828T1815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PIKE PA-
1220 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN PIKE COUNTY...

AT 1215 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE HEAVY RAINFALL WAS DIMINISHING ACROSS PIKE COUNTY. RUNOFF 
FROM THE RAIN EARLIER TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING OF MANY 
ROADS IN THE WARNING AREA. THE FLOODING SHOULD RECEDE BY MID 
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO DINGMANS   
FERRY...MILFORD...MATAMORAS AND MILLRIFT.

WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY...PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL
AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 7508 4114 7513 4117 7516 4125 7514
      4145 7486 4143 7484 4144 7481 4142 7479
      4143 7474 4140 7473 4136 7469 4132 7479
      4129 7482 4114 7491 4108 7503

$$
DJN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
757 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
TODAY, HURRICANE IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST
THEN TRACK ACROSS WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG
WINDS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND MUCH OF
CENTRAL NEW YORK. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY
AND THEN WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE CATSKILLS AND
POCONOS WHERE A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE AT 745AM...
HURRICANE IRENE SLOWLY MOVG NORTH OFF THE NJ COAST. HEAVY RAIN
BAND IS NOW SETUP ACROSS NORWICH-BINGHAMTON-RICKETS GLEN AREA.
UPPED THE QPF AMOUNTS FOR THIS AREA. ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN BAND IS
OVER EASTERN DELAWARE...SULLIVAN...AND PIKE COUNTY. HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL IRENE PUSHES UP
INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. CHANGED THE RADAR OVER TO TROPICAL ZR AS RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WERE BEGINNING TO BE GREATLY UNDERESTIMATED ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN ZONES. WINDS HAVE INCREASED THIS MORNING WITH PEAK WINDS
AT 35 KTS AT KBGM. HIGH WIND WARNING WAS EXPANDED WEST ACROSS THE
POCONOS WITH REPORTS OF TREES DOWN.

RAIN WILL END THIS EVENING IN THE NE. WINDS WILL ALSO SUBSIDE
LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING AS THE CENTER OF THE STORM MOVES INTO
SE CANADA. MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR QUICKLY COMES IN FROM THE NW
BRINGING CLEARING SKIES AND LOW TEMPS IN THE U40S TO M50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
UPDATE AT 4 AM...
LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOSTLY IN CONTROL FOR THIS ENTIRE
PERIOD. TUESDAY A STRONG SHORT WAVE DIGS INTO THE UPPER LEVEL
TROF. A SHOWER MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTH MAINLY IN THE
AFTN. TUESDAY NIGHT UL HEIGHTS BUILD AS SFC HIGH TAKES BACK
COMPLETE CONTROL.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UPDATED AS OF 245 PM SAT... ONCE AGAIN...A MUCH QUIETER PD IS IN
STORE...AS THE WESTERLIES RETREAT NWD...AND HGTS GENERALLY BUILD
OVER THE ERN STATES.

AS FOR THE DAILY SENSIBLE WX...THE ABV OUTLINED SCENARIO TRANSLATES
TO A MOSTLY RAIN-FREE STRETCH OF WX...AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABV
NORMAL TEMPS FOR LATE AUG/EARLY SEP (HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 70S TO MID
80S). TWDS THE END OF THE PD...AN APPROACHING COLD FRNT/UPPER-LVL
WAVE COULD BRING SOME SHWRS OR TSTMS LATE FRI OR SAT.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HEAVY RAIN BANDS FROM IRENE PRODUCING MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS WITH IFR
ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN SITES. WINDS ARE GENERALLY OUT OF THE NE AT
20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35KT. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT MORE NW BY
AFTERNOON. CIGS AND VSBYS SHOULD TREND TOWARD MVFR THIS AFTERNOON
AND VFR TONIGHT. WITH ALL THE MOISTURE...FOG WOULD SEEM POSSIBLE
BUT MODELS BRING IN DRIER CONDITIONS AND WIND CONTINUE FROM THE NW
AT 10 TO 15 KT SO NONE FORECAST AT THIS TIME BUT WILL NEED TO
RECONSIDER THIS WITH THE NEXT MODEL RUN.

OUTLOOK...

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR. CHC FOR MORNING VALLEY FOG
WITH IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
UPDATED 4 AM SUNDAY...
RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS NOW ISSUED FOR WALTON ON THE WEST BRANCH
DELAWARE AND COOKS FALLS ON THE BEAVER KILL. TO FLOOD STAGE AROUND
NOON. REST OF DELAWARE POINTS WILL NOT MAKE FLOOD STAGE UNTIL
AFTER 3 PM...SO HAVE HELD OFF ON ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS.

FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES EARLY THIS MORNING AND TODAY. IN THE
DELAWARE HEADWATERS ALL THE STREAMS...AND THE RIVERS ABOVE THE NYC
RESERVOIRS ARE LIKELY TO FLOOD WITH 4 TO 8 INCHES LIKELY. MAIN
STEM DELAWARE...AND NEVERSINK AND EAST BRANCH BELOW THE RESERVOIRS
NOW FORECASTED TO FLOOD. FLOODING WILL BEGIN LATE AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. FLOODING IN THE DELAWARE BASINS EXPECTED TO GO TO
MODERATE FLOOD STAGES SEVERAL POINTS. SUSQUEHANNA RIVER WILL GET
CLOSE BUT NOT FORECASTED TO FLOOD STILL. THIS TOO IF IT HAPPENS
WILL BE LATE TODAY. LESS RAINFALL THERE. RIVERS ARE STARTING OUT
LOW SO THIS WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO APPROACH FLOOD STAGE.

FLASH FLOODING MAY BEGIN BY 8 AM ON THE STREAMS IN THE FAR SOUTH.
BY THAT TIME 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL HAVE FALLEN. FURTHER TO THE NORTH
AND WEST IN THE WATCH AREA NOT AS MUCH CERTAINTY WITH 2 TO 5
INCHES OF RAIN TOTAL. AMOUNTS STILL UNDER AN INCH. THERE WILL A
SHARP GRADIENT ON THE HEAVY RAIN FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.
FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM SCRANTON TO BINGHAMTON TO ROME AND
POINTS EAST. MOST OF THE FLASH FLOODING WILL PEAK LATE THIS
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.CLIMATE...
UPDATED 5 AM SUNDAY... ANOTHER WET MONTH WITH ONE BIG STORM TO GO.
ANOTHER TOP 5 FINISH FOR BINGHAMTON ALREADY. WITH THE HURRICANE
BINGHAMTON SHOULD SET HAVE ANOTHER RECORD WET MONTH. SYRACUSE WITH
ANOTHER INCH WILL BE IN THE TOP 5. THIS IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE.
SCRANTON NEEDS 2 AND A HALF INCHES TO BE NEAR THE TOP 5. THIS
AGAIN IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. 2 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN
SCRANTON.

		AUGUST SO FAR		RECORD
BINGHAMTON 	6.19 INCHES 		7.48 INCHES

SYRACUSE 	5.55 INCHES		8.41 INCHES

SCRANTON 	4.80 INCHES 		11.76 INCHES

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR PAZ038>040-043-044-047-
     048-072.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR PAZ038-039-043.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR PAZ040-048-
     072.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR PAZ044-047.
NY...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NYZ009-018-024-025-036-
     037-044>046-055>057-062.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NYZ009-015>018-
     022>025-036-037-044-045-055-056.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NYZ046-057-
     062.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BMW/TAC
NEAR TERM...BMW
SHORT TERM...TAC
LONG TERM...MLJ
AVIATION...BMW
HYDROLOGY...
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
531 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

NYZ046-057-062-PAZ040-048-072-290945-
OTSEGO-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-NORTHERN WAYNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
531 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. PLEASE REPORT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NYZ009-036-037-045-056-PAZ039-043-044-047-290945-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CHENANGO-BROOME-SUSQUEHANNA-
WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-
531 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. PLEASE REPORT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NYZ018-024-025-044-055-PAZ038-290945-
ONONDAGA-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-TIOGA-BRADFORD-
531 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. PLEASE REPORT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NYZ015>017-022-023-290945-
YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-
531 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. PLEASE REPORT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
655 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-281615-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-
CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-
SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...
AUBURN...SYRACUSE...CORNING...HORNELL...WATKINS GLEN...ELMIRA...
ITHACA...ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME...CORTLAND...NORWICH...ONEONTA...
COOPERSTOWN...OWEGO...BINGHAMTON...WALTON...DELHI...MONTICELLO...
TOWANDA...SAYRE...MONTROSE...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...
WILKES-BARRE...HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE
655 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE CONTINUES TO IMPACT CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...

AT 645 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS NEAR ATLANTIC
CITY NEW JERSEY. IRENE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD UP THE JERSEY COAST THIS
MORNING AND INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON.

RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA AND MOST OF CENTRAL NEW YORK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS. THE RAINS WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF BY LATE MORNING
IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...AND IN CENTRAL NEW YORK AND THE
WESTERN CATSKILLS FROM EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. THE HEAVY RAINS
COULD CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS...ROAD
WASHOUTS...AND URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. MINOR TO MODERATE
RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE UPPER DELAWARE RIVER BASIN.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA AND CENTRAL NEW YORK. EXPECT WIND GUSTS TO PEAK
ACROSS MOST OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND CENTRAL NEW YORK BETWEEN
40 AND 50 MPH FROM 10 AM TO 3 PM. IN THE POCONOS AND CATSKILLS
WIND GUSTS WILL PEAK BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH FROM 10 AM AND 3 PM.
THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. EXPECT SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS
MOST OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. IN THE
POCONOS AND CATSKILLS...EXPECT MORE WIDESPREAD TREES AND POWER
LINES DOWN WITH WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES EXPECTED.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. YOU COULD ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BGM

DJN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
723 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BACK MOUNTAIN           41.34N  76.00W
08/28/2011                   LUZERNE            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES BLOWN DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES.

&&

DJN