Heat Advisory 2, NWS La Crosse, WI

574 
WWUS73 KARX 300247
NPWARX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
947 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

...HOT AND HUMID AIR TO MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
AND NORTHEAST IOWA ON THURSDAY...

.A HOT AND HUMID AIRMASS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA ON
THURSDAY...IN THE WAKE OF A WARM FRONT CROSSING THE AREA TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE LOW 90S COMBINED WITH INCREASING
HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR THE HEAT AND
HUMIDITY TO PERSIST INTO FRIDAY AS WELL...BEFORE A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

IAZ008-009-018-019-MNZ086-087-094-095-301100-
/O.CON.KARX.HT.Y.0002.110630T1800Z-110701T0500Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLES CITY...ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
947 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
CDT THURSDAY NIGHT...

* LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW 90S THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON...THEN ONLY SLOWLY DROP THURSDAY EVENING. COMBINED 
  WITH THE HUMIDITY...HEAT INDICES WILL HOVER AROUND 100 FOR 
  MUCH OF THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

SITE

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE

039 
WWUS73 KARX 300852
NPWARX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
352 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY...

.A HOT AND HUMID AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY. THE
AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 90S. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN
HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOOK FOR THE
HOT AND HUMID AIR TO SPREAD EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE
MID 90S TO AROUND 100 ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH HEAT
INDICES OF 100 TO 110 DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
EVENING...BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH

IAZ010-011-029-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-
053>055-061-301700-
/O.NEW.KARX.HT.Y.0003.110701T1700Z-110702T0100Z/
WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-
TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-
ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...WAUKON...OELWEIN...WINONA...
MEDFORD...NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...
SPARTA/TOMAH...MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...
RICHLAND CENTER...PLATTEVILLE
352 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A HEAT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY. 

* TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND
  100 FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH HIGH
  HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 110 FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ008-009-018-019-MNZ086-087-094-095-301700-
/O.EXT.KARX.HT.Y.0002.110630T1800Z-110702T0100Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLES CITY...ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
352 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
CDT FRIDAY...

* LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW 90S THIS
  AFTERNOON...THEN ONLY SLOWLY DROP THIS EVENING. COMBINED WITH
  THE HUMIDITY...HEAT INDICES WILL HOVER AROUND 100 FOR MUCH OF
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE

459 
WWUS73 KARX 301508
NPWARX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1008 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS MOVING IN...

.LATE THIS MORNING...A MUGGY AIR MASS WAS QUICKLY SHIFTING INTO
THE AREA FROM THE WEST. THE WARMEST AND MOST MOISTURE-RICH AIR
WILL BE FOUND OVER SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA
TODAY...WHERE WITH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 90S. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN
HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

LOOK FOR THE HOT AND HUMID AIR TO SPREAD EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB
INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND 100 ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ON FRIDAY.
WITH VERY MUGGY AIR IN PLACE...HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 110 ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. A COLD FRONT
WILL BRING SOME RELIEF FROM THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT FOR SATURDAY.

IAZ008-009-018-019-MNZ086-087-094-095-302315-
/O.CON.KARX.HT.Y.0002.110630T1800Z-110702T0100Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLES CITY...ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
1008 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM CDT FRIDAY...

* TEMPERATURES NEAR 90 AND MUGGY AIR WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS HEAT
  INDICES NEAR 100 THROUGH EVENING.

* SOME RELIEF WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT WHEN THE HEAT INDICES DROP
  INTO THE MIDDLE 70S. 

* OPPRESSIVE AND DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH HEAT
  INDICES NEAR 105. 

* THE HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ010-011-029-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-
053>055-061-302315-
/O.CON.KARX.HT.Y.0003.110701T1700Z-110702T0100Z/
WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-
TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-
ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...WAUKON...OELWEIN...WINONA...
MEDFORD...NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...
SPARTA/TOMAH...MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...
RICHLAND CENTER...PLATTEVILLE
1008 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY...

* TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND
  100 FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH VERY
  MUGGY AIR...WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 110
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

BAUMGARDT

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE

472 
WWUS73 KARX 302008
NPWARX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
308 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100F TO 105F THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

.A MUGGY AIR MASS SURGED INTO THE AREA TODAY...ALONG WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW 90S. THIS WAS CREATING HEAT INDEX
VALUES...OR THE TEMPERATURE YOUR BODY FEELS...IN THE 100 TO 105
RANGE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST IOWA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST UNTIL SUNSET. A
SLOW DECREASE IN THE HEAT INDEX WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT...BUT IT WILL
STILL BE WARM AND MUGGY OVERNIGHT...WITH LOWS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER
70S.

LOOK FOR THE DANGEROUSLY HOT AND HUMID AIR TO SPREAD EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB
INTO THE 95 TO 100 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ON FRIDAY.
WITH VERY MUGGY AIR IN PLACE...HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 110 ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON...INTO THE EARLY EVENING. A COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WILL END THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT FOR
THE WEEKEND.

IAZ008-009-018-019-MNZ086-087-094-095-010415-
/O.CON.KARX.HT.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110702T0100Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLES CITY...ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
308 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY...

* TEMPERATURES NEAR 90 AND MUGGY AIR WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS HEAT 
  INDICES NEAR 100 THROUGH EVENING. 

* SOME RELIEF WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT WHEN THE HEAT INDICES DROP 
  INTO THE MIDDLE 70S. 

* OPPRESSIVE AND DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH HEAT 
  INDICES NEAR 105. 

* THE HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ010-011-029-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-
053>055-061-010415-
/O.CON.KARX.HT.Y.0003.110701T1700Z-110702T0100Z/
WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-
TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-
ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...WAUKON...OELWEIN...WINONA...
MEDFORD...NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...
SPARTA/TOMAH...MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...
RICHLAND CENTER...PLATTEVILLE
308 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY...

* TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND 
  100 FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH VERY 
  MUGGY AIR...WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 
  110 FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. 

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

BAUMGARDT

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE

813 
WWUS73 KARX 010145
NPWARX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
845 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...MUGGY NIGHT TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY OPPRESSIVE HEAT FOR FRIDAY...

.THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY...HIGH
HUMIDITY...A BREEZY SOUTH WIND AND CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS WILL
MAINTAIN WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. LOWS ARE ONLY
EXPECTED IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S. 

LOOK FOR A DANGEROUSLY HOT AND HUMID DAY ON FRIDAY ACROSS ALL OF
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY REGION. PLAN ON TEMPERATURES
TO CLIMB INTO THE 95 TO 100 DEGREE RANGE. WITH VERY MUGGY AIR IN
PLACE...HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 115 ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING. A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT WILL END THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT FOR THE WEEKEND.

IAZ008-009-018-019-MNZ086-087-094-095-010945-
/O.CON.KARX.HT.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110702T0100Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLES CITY...ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
845 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY...

* AFTER HEAT INDICES IN THE 100 TO 105 RANGE THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON...LOOK FOR HEAT INDICES TO SLOWLY DROP DOWN INTO THE
  MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S OVERNIGHT.

* OPPRESSIVE AND DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH HEAT 
  INDICES NEAR 105. 

* THE HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ010-011-029-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-
053>055-061-010945-
/O.CON.KARX.HT.Y.0003.110701T1700Z-110702T0100Z/
WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-
TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-
ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...WAUKON...OELWEIN...WINONA...
MEDFORD...NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...
SPARTA/TOMAH...MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...
RICHLAND CENTER...PLATTEVILLE
845 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY...

* TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND
  100 FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH VERY
  MUGGY AIR...WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 115
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

AJ

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE

732 
WWUS73 KARX 010855
NPWARX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
355 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...OPPRESSIVE HEAT TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S TODAY. THERE
MAY BE EVEN A FEW LOCATIONS THAT CLIMB ABOVE THE CENTURY MARK. IN
ADDITION TO THE HOT TEMPERATURES...IT WILL ALSO REMAIN VERY HUMID.
THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES IN THE
105 TO 110 DEGREE RANGE NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR...AND
110 TO 115 DEGREES ELSEWHERE. HEAT INDICES HAVE NOT BEEN THIS HIGH
IN THE AREA SINCE AUGUST 6 2000.

A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT WILL BRING AN END TO
THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

IAZ008-009-018-019-MNZ086-087-094-095-011700-
/O.CON.KARX.HT.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110702T0100Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLES CITY...ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
355 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* OPPRESSIVE AND DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH HEAT
  INDICES OF 110 TO 115.

* THE HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ010-011-029-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-
053>055-061-011700-
/O.CON.KARX.HT.Y.0003.110701T1700Z-110702T0100Z/
WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-
TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-
ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...WAUKON...OELWEIN...WINONA...
MEDFORD...NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...
SPARTA/TOMAH...MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...
RICHLAND CENTER...PLATTEVILLE
355 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

* OPPRESSIVE AND DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH HEAT
  INDICES OF 105 TO 110 DEGREES NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 94
  CORRIDOR...AND 110 TO 115 DEGREES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
  AREA.

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF 
  HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

BOYNE

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE

690 
WWUS73 KARX 011337
NPWARX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
837 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...EXTREME HEAT TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TOWARD THE 100 DEGREE MARK TODAY AFTER A
WARM NIGHT WITH LOWS ONLY DROPPING TO AROUND 80. IN ADDITION TO
THESE HOT TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN VERY HIGH AND WILL
RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES IN THE 105 TO 110 DEGREE
RANGE NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR...AND 110 TO 115 DEGREES
ELSEWHERE. HEAT INDICES HAVE NOT BEEN THIS HIGH IN THE AREA IN
OVER 10 YEARS. DUE TO THE HIGH TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HEAT INDICES
YESTERDAY...LAST NIGHT AND TODAY...THE HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
UPGRADED TO AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FOR MUCH OF THE REGION.

A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT WILL BRING AN END TO
THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

IAZ008-009-018-019-MNZ086-087-094-095-012145-
/O.UPG.KARX.HT.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110702T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KARX.EH.W.0001.110701T1337Z-110702T0200Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLES CITY...ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
837 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED AN EXCESSIVE
HEAT WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING.
THE HEAT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* OPPRESSIVE AND DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH HEAT
  INDICES OF 105 TO 115 DEGREES.

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS FROM YESTERDAY THROUGH TODAY WILL
  LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ010-011-029-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ032>034-041>044-053>055-061-
012145-
/O.UPG.KARX.HT.Y.0003.110701T1700Z-110702T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KARX.EH.W.0001.110701T1337Z-110702T0200Z/
WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-
BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...WAUKON...OELWEIN...WINONA...
BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH...MAUSTON...
VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER...PLATTEVILLE
837 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED AN EXCESSIVE
HEAT WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING.
THE HEAT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* OPPRESSIVE AND DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH HEAT
  INDICES OF 105 TO 115 DEGREES.

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS FROM YESTERDAY THROUGH TODAY WILL
  LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED RISK OF HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

WIZ017-029-012145-
/O.EXT.KARX.HT.Y.0003.110701T1337Z-110702T0200Z/
TAYLOR-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDFORD...NEILLSVILLE
837 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...HEAT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* OPPRESSIVE AND DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH HEAT
  INDICES OF 105 TO 110 DEGREES.

* THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS TODAY WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED
  RISK OF HEAT RELATED STRESS AND ILLNESS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...DIAL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

HALBACH

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
319 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS THIS PACKAGE...SHRA/TSRA CHANCES LATER
TONIGHT/THU MORNING AND AGAIN FRI THRU SAT NIGHT...TEMPERATURES/
HEAT INDICES THU/FRI.

18Z DATA ANALYSIS HAD HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER LAKES MI AND
SUPERIOR. LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER MT/EASTERN ND. TIGHTER
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO WAS SPREADING EAST ACROSS MN/IA/
WI. SOUTH WINDS IN THE GRADIENT RETURNING WARMTH/MOISTURE NORTHWARD
WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW 80S OVER THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE REGION. DEW
POINTS WERE CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER 70S FROM SOUTHEAST SD THRU
WESTERN IA/EASTERN NEB. WARMER TEMPS ALOFT WERE EVIDENT ON VIS
IMAGERY...WITH DIURNAL CUMULUS EITHER LIMITED TO ALONG/EAST OF THE
MS RIVER WERE 850MB TEMPS WERE ABOUT 15C OR LESS OR OVER SOUTHEAST
IA/NEARBY AREAS WERE SFC DEW POINTS WERE IN THE LOWER 70S.

NO LARGE ERRORS NOTED WITH 29.12Z MODELS INITIALIZATIONS. SOLUTIONS
REASONABLY SIMILAR WITH THE SYNOPTIC SCALE FEATURES TONIGHT INTO
SAT NIGHT BUT DIFFER WITH THE SMALLER MESO-SCALE FEATURES AND
CONVECTION CHANCES FOR THE AREA THRU MUCH OF THE PERIOD. DPROG/DT OF
500MB HGTS AT 29.12Z SHOWED MODEL RUNS OF 27.12Z AND 28.12Z VERIFIED
QUITE WELL ACROSS NOAM/EASTERN PAC WITH BETTER RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY TO AND TREND OF OTHER MODELS TOWARD ECMWF. MODELS DIFFER
A BIT ON TIMING OF THE CA UPPER LOW AS IT OPENS UP AND MOVES THRU
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...SHARPENING/AMPLIFYING THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
REGION. OVERALL TREND THRU 00Z FRI IS A BIT SLOWER. TIMING
DIFFERENCE CONTINUE THU NIGHT/FRI AS THE LOW/TROUGH REMNANTS LIFT
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO WESTERN ONT...WITH THE SHORTWAVE
RIDGE AXIS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA. BIT BETTER CONSISTENCY FRI
NIGHT/SAT AS A SECONDARY WAVE MOVES EAST ALONG THE US/CAN BORDER.
ECMWF A GOOD COMPROMISE OF THE MODELS ON STRENGTH/TIMING OF THE
LARGER SCALE FEATURES...AT LEAST THRU 00Z SAT. CHECK OF OBS VS.
MODEL DATA AT 18Z SHOWED MODELS QUITE REASONABLE WITH THE SFC
HIGH/LOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CONUS. GFS A BIT HIGH WITH SFC DEW
POINTS IN THE MOISTURE RETURN PLUM FROM ND TO MO...OTHERS A BIT HIGH
AS LIKELY OVER ESTIMATING EVAPO-TRANSPIRATION FROM THE CORN-BELT ROW
CROPS WHICH ARE STILL A WEEK TO 10 DAYS BEHIND USUAL DEVELOPMENT
THIS TIME OF YEAR. PER WV IMAGERY...MODELS APPEAR REASONABLE WITH
THE SHORTWAVE DETAILS OVER NOAM/EASTERN PAC. REASONS TO FAVOR
SEVERAL OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS. WITH VASTLY DIFFERENT OUTCOMES
FOR MUCH OF THE FCST AREA LATE TONIGHT/THU AND NO REAL HIGHER
CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE SOLUTION THAN ANOTHER...TRENDED TOWARD THE
MODEL CONSENSUS AT THIS TIME. SHORT-TERM FCST CONFIDENCE AVERAGE
THIS CYCLE.

IN THE SHORT TERM...FCST PROBLEMATIC ALREADY LATE TONIGHT/THU
MORNING...WILL 850MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT/THETA-E CONVERGENCE ON NOSE
OF 30-45KT LOW LEVEL JET BE ENOUGH TO OVERCOME CAPPING/CIN ABOVE IT
IN THE 825-650MB LAYER. MOST MODELS SAY CAP WILL HOLD...BUT ALSO
DOING POORLY WITH SHRA/TSRA IN SOUTHEAST SD TODAY...UNDER 700MB
TEMPS IN THE +14C TO +16C RANGE. THIS IN A MUCH WEAKER AREA OF 850MB
FORCING/LIFT THAN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN MN/NORTHWEST WI
LATER TONIGHT. RATHER IMPRESSIVE 850MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT/THETA-E
CONVERGENCE SIGNAL TO JUST NORTHWEST OF THE FCST AREA BY 12Z THU...
WITH CORFIDI VECTORS POINTING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST INTO THE FCST AREA
LATE TONIGHT/THU MORNING. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE MOST STRUGGLING
WITH MOISTURE/SATURATION IN THE MOISTURE RETURN LAYER. MODIFIED
SOUNDINGS WITH 100 PERCENT RH IN THE 900-850MB LAYER GIVES UPWARDS
OF 2K J/KG OF CAPE AND CIN VALUES OF LESS THAN 50 J/KG WHEN LIFTING
THE 850MB PARCEL. GIVE THIS AND MODELS GENERALLY A BIT SHY WITH
SATURATION ON THE NOSE OF MOISTURE RETURN...RAISED SHRA/TSRA CHANCES
TOWARD 30-40 PERCENT OVER THE NORTH/NORTHEAST PARTS OF THE FCST AREA
LATE TONIGHT/THU MORNING. FORCING REMAINS FOR CONVECTION TO MAINTAIN
AND TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE EAST HALF OF WI INTO THE AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUED A SMALL SHRA/TSRA CHANCE OVER FAR EAST END OF THE FCST
INTO THU AFTERNOON. RIDGING/CAPPING/WARMING INCREASE OVER THE
CENTRAL/WEST PARTS OF THE FCST AREA THU...WITH SOME MODELS
INDICATING SFC DEW POINTS CLIMBING TO AROUND 80F FOR THU AFTERNOON
AND AGAIN FOR FRI AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. FOR THE REASON
MENTIONED ABOVE...MODELS APPEAR TOO HIGH WITH THE SFC DEW POINTS
THU AFTERNOON THRU FRI AFTERNOON...AND TRENDED MOST DEW POINTS THESE
PERIODS INTO THE 70-75F RANGE. THESE DEW POINTS COMBINED WITH TEMPS
IN THE MID 80S-LOW 90S EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAT INDICES MOSTLY IN
THE 95 TO 105 RANGE FOR PORTIONS OF THE FCST AREA THU AFTERNOON AND
AGAIN FRI. WILL NOT ISSUE ANY HEAT HEADLINES AT THIS TIME...PENDING
OUTCOME OF POTENTIAL CONVECTION LATE TONIGHT/THU MORNING AND TREND
OF SFC DEW POINTS IN THE MOISTURE PLUME TONIGHT/THU MORNING. COLD
FRONT LOOKS TO PUSH ACROSS THE FCST AREA RATHER QUIETLY LATER FRI
AFTERNOON/ EVENING GIVEN STRONG CAPPING IN THE 850-700MB LAYER UNDER
THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE AXIS AND LOWER LEVEL THERMO-DYNAMIC FORCING WEAK
AND FOCUSED WELL OUT AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL FRONT/WIND SHIFT LINE.
LIMITED SHRA/TSRA CHANCE TO SOUTH HALF OF THE FCST AREA FRI NIGHT
WHEN THE CAP WEAKENS AND 850-700MB TROUGH CATCHES UP WITH THE FRONT.
DRIER CAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR SAT. FRONT LAYS UP ACROSS IA
FOR SAT NIGHT WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST 850MB FLOW/MOISTURE RETURN
OVER THE BOUNDARY BY LATER SAT NIGHT. FOCUS OF THIS TRENDING TO
REMAIN WEST OF THE FCST AREA SAT NIGHT AND LOWERED SHRA/TSRA CHANCES
INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE FOR MOST OF THE FCST AREA.

FAVORING THE MODEL/ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS...TRENDED TOWARD A BLEND OF
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE LOWS/HIGHS FOR TONIGHT THRU SAT NIGHT WHICH
BLENDS QUITE WELL WITH NEIGHBORING GRIDS.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

29.00Z MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT SUNDAY WITH
BROAD RIDGING ALOFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS/SOUTHERN CAN. RUN-TO-
RUN CONSISTENCY REASONABLE AS WELL. BROAD RIDGING CONTINUES MON
THRU WED WITH 29.12Z MODEL CONSENSUS INDICATING A SLOW RETROGRESSION
INTO WESTERN NOAM. LONG TERM FCST CONFIDENCE GOOD WITH THE BETTER
BETWEEN MODEL CONSISTENCY SUN-WED...BUT AVERAGE WITH THE SUBTLENESS
OF AND TIMING OF THE FEATURES THRU THE FLOW. MODEL CONSENSUS HAS
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION SUN/MON WITH A STATIONARY OR WARM
FRONT TO THE SOUTH ACROSS IA AND BROAD/WEAK LOW PRESSURE IN THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. REASONABLE MODEL CONSENSUS FOR 850-700MB MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INTO/OVER THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND INTO THE FCST AREA.
UNKNOWNS ARE WHERE THE FRONT WILL ACTUALLY END UP AND STRENGTH OF
THE MOISTURE TRANSPORT...BUT FOR NOW SHRA/TSRA CHANCES LOOK
WARRANTED FOR SUN/MON. WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE/SFC FRONT LOOKS TO PUSH
EAST ACROSS THE AREA TUE AS A STRONGER TROUGH/SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS
SOUTHERN CAN. WED TRENDING TO BE A DRY DAY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA WITH
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE TUE SYSTEM...HOWEVER
TIMING ALWAYS AN ISSUE IN RATHER FLAT FLOW IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
A LINGERING SMALL SHRA/TSRA CHANCE ON WED LOOKS OKAY FOR NOW.
FAVORING THE MODEL/ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS...TRENDED TOWARD A BLEND OF
THE NUMERICAL TEMP GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS/LOWS THRU THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY

MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER...
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE LOW-LEVELS WILL SHIFT INTO THE TAF SITES
BETWEEN 06-12Z. THIS MOISTURE WILL BE TRAPPED BELOW A LOW-LEVEL
INVERSION AND PROMOTE THE CREATION OF AN MVFR CLOUD DECK AROUND
SUNRISE IN THE AREA. THUS...HAVE TRENDED LOWER WITH THE TAFS THIS
ISSUANCE FOR THAT OCCURRENCE. THE INVERSION WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY
AND THUS A SLOW IMPROVEMENT TO THE CIG IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS.

THERE IS ALSO A SMALL CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM/SHOWER COMPLEX TO
AFFECT KLSE IN THE 09-15Z PERIOD. THE SYSTEM WILL INITIATE OVER NWRN
WI AND SHIFT E-SE. HAVE NOT INCLUDED THIS IN THE TAF...BUT THE VERY
SMALL POSSIBILITY DOES EXIST THAT KLSE WOULD BE AFFECTED BY CB.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...RRS
AVIATION..........BAUMGARDT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
500 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

WIZ017-029-032>034-301100-
BUFFALO-CLARK-JACKSON-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-
500 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF WESTERN INTO NORTH
CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE ENDING.

FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE WARM AND HUMID...WITH THE HEAT INDEX
REACHING THE 95 TO 100 RANGE. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO DEAL
WITH THE EXCESSIVE HEAT.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
AND THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR STORMS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IT
REMAINS TOO EARLY TO DISCERN IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL REACH SEVERE
LEVELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ041>044-053>055-
061-301100-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-CHICKASAW-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-FAYETTE-FILLMORE-
FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-
OLMSTED-RICHLAND-VERNON-WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
500 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL
WISCONSIN THURSDAY MORNING. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY LOOK TO BE QUITE WARM AND HUMID. THE HEAT INDEX
COULD REACH THE 95 TO 105 RANGE ON THURSDAY...AND THE 100 TO 110
RANGE ON FRIDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO DEAL WITH THE
EXCESSIVE HEAT.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE FOR STORMS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...
WITH MORE STORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. IT REMAINS TOO
EARLY TO DISCERN IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL REACH SEVERE LEVELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH THURSDAY.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

MW