Small Craft Advisory 122, NWS Gaylord, MI

609 
WHUS73 KAPX 151540
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1040 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

LMZ323-342-344>346-152345-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0078.111215T1800Z-111216T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1040 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-152345-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0078.111215T2200Z-111216T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1040 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-152345-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0078.111215T2200Z-111216T1000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1040 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-152345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.111215T1800Z-111216T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1040 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LSZ322-152345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.111215T1800Z-111216T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1040 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-152345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.111215T1800Z-111216T1000Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1040 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

965 
WHUS73 KAPX 152147
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
447 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

LMZ323-342-344>346-160600-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
447 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-160600-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0078.111215T2200Z-111216T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
447 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-160600-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0078.111215T2200Z-111216T1000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
447 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-160600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
447 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LSZ322-160600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
447 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-160600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
447 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

597 
WHUS73 KAPX 160400
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1100 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

LMZ323-342-344>346-161000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1100 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-161000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1100 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-161000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1100 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-161000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1100 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LSZ322-161000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1100 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-161000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1100 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

645 
WHUS73 KAPX 160952
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
452 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

LMZ323-342-344>346-161600-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1600Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
452 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-161600-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1600Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
452 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-161800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T2200Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
452 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-161600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1600Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
452 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LSZ322-161600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1600Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
452 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-161800-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T2200Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
452 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

205 
WHUS73 KAPX 161610
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1110 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

LHZ345-346-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-161715-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T1600Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1110 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

LHZ347>349-162200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T2200Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1110 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

553 
WHUS73 KAPX 162026
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
326 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

LHZ349-162130-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111216T2200Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
326 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ347-348-170430-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111217T0500Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
326 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

154 
WHUS73 KAPX 170328
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1028 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

LHZ347-348-171000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111217T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1028 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

566 
WHUS73 KAPX 170954
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
454 AM EST SAT DEC 17 2011

LHZ347-348-171100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-111217T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
454 AM EST SAT DEC 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
427 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 427 AM/

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS MORNING...RETURNING TEMPERATURES
BACK TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SOME PATCHY
LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL LINGER TODAY...EVENTUALLY CHANGING OVER
TO SNOW. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN U P....AND
NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...AND LAST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER...ANY ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT. MILDER TEMPERATURES WILL
THEN RETURN SUNDAY.

HALBLAUB

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 427 AM/...TODAY

MIDNIGHT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS 1001MB LOW NEAR GREEN BAY...WITH A
WARM FRONT EXTENDING EAST INTO NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...AND A
TRAILING COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
NORTHWEST MISSOURI/SOUTHEAST KANSAS.  BROAD AREA OF 4-5MB/3H
PRESSURE FALLS COINCIDENT WITH AND TO THE EAST/NORTH OF THE LOW
SUGGEST A CONTINUED TRACK TOWARD THE STRAITS REGION AS WELL AS
CONTINUED DEEPENING IN THE NEAR TERM.  WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
THREE DISTINCT SHORT WAVE TROUGHS COMING TOGETHER OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITHIN MEAN SPLIT FLOW PATTERN.  TWO
OF THESE VORTICITY CENTERS ARE IN THE NORTHERN BRANCH (SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA AND SOUTHERN MANITOBA)...WITH AN ACTIVE NORTHERN BRANCH
JET EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND.  00Z APX SOUNDING DRIED OUT A BIT ABOVE 730MB...WITH MOIST
LAYER ENTIRELY ABOVE FREEZING...THUS THE LULL IN PRECIPITATION
DURING THE EVENING HOURS.  BUT OVERALL PRECIPITABLE WATER IS
IMPRESSIVE AT APX/GRB/DTX WITH VALUES FROM 275-325 PERCENT OF
NORMAL.  MORE RAIN IS SPREADING ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN AHEAD OF MINNESOTA SHORT WAVE
TROUGH...WITH MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS BACK ACROSS WISCONSIN.

FOR TODAY...AS MENTIONED ABOVE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL CROSS THE
STRAITS REGION THIS MORNING...AND PULL A COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN
MICHIGAN AS IT PASSES.  BULK OF MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION MOVING
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BE MOSTLY EAST OF
THE REGION BY FORECAST ISSUANCE TIME.  SHORT WAVE ACROSS MINNESOTA
WILL BE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN DURING THE LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...AND WOULD EXPECT AT LEAST SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS FEATURE DURING THE MORNING ALONG WITH
SOME OCCASIONAL DRIZZLE WITH SPOTTY MID LEVEL MOISTURE ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN.  PRECIPITATION COVERAGE WILL INCREASE
AGAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON...A COMBINATION OF ARRIVING MANITOBA
SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND AN INCREASE LAKE COMPONENT AS 850MB
TEMPERATURE CRASH INTO THE -6C TO -10C RANGE BY EARLY EVENING.
BETTER QPF POTENTIAL IN THE 18Z-00Z TIME FRAME SHOULD BE ACROSS THE
UPPER PENINSULA.  MID/UPPER LEVEL QG FORCING PRETTY IMPRESSIVE WITH
THIS SHORT WAVE TROUGH...BUT MOST OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE IS/WILL BE
AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS FEATURE.  STRONG LOW LEVEL
FORCING WILL SWEEP ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR AND THE UPPER PENINSULA THIS
AFTERNOON... INCLUDING STRONG CONVERGENCE/LOCALIZED FRONTOGENETIC
EFFECTS ALONG SECONDARY TROUGH/COLD FRONT THAT DROPS INTO LAKE
SUPERIOR BY THIS EVENING.  NOT SURE IF THERE LAKE ENHANCEMENT WILL
PLAY A SIGNIFICANT FACTOR OFF LAKE SUPERIOR EARLY ON GIVEN LOW LEVEL
THERMAL RIDGE FORECAST TO EXTEND WEST-EAST ACROSS THE LAKE...BUT
BETTER SYNOPTIC POTENTIAL HERE.  COLDER 850MB TEMPERATURES OVER
NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN (THOUGH MORE LIKE CLOSER TO EVENING) MAY
ALLOW MORE OF A LAKE INFLUENCE TO PRECIPITATION INTO NORTHWEST
LOWER.  STRONG CONVERGENCE SIGNAL NORTH OF THE M-72 CORRIDOR WILL
HELP FOCUS PRECIPITATION DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT.  AS
FOR PRECIP TYPE...SHOULD BE MAINLY LIQUID THROUGH MIDDAY AND
PROBABLY INTO A GOOD BIT OF THE AFTERNOON.  MOST OF THE BELOW
FREEZING NEAR SURFACE AIR STILL BACK ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND
THE DAKOTAS...SO WILL PROBABLY START TO TRANSITION PRECIPITATION
OVER TO ALL SNOW BEYOND 21Z EXCEPT ALONG THE NORTHEAST LOWER
SHORELINE FROM PRESQUE ISLE COUNTY SOUTH.  LATE ARRIVAL OF COLDER
AIR AND SECOND ROUND OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD LIMIT DAYTIME SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS TO AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND HIGHER
TERRAIN NORTH OF M-72.

EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 40S AND SOME 50 DEGREE
READINGS ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL DROP
DOWN INTO THE 30S LATER TODAY IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING COLD
FRONT...WITH INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH STRONGER GUSTS ALONG THE NORTHWEST LOWER
SHORELINE.

JPB

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 427 AM/...TONIGHT AND BEYOND

SHORT RANGE (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...FIRST ORDER OF
BUSINESS FOR TONIGHT WILL BE QUICK MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT
WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE EVENING.  SYNOPTIC
FORCING WILL BE SHORT LIVED...WITH STRONG DOWNWARD QG "SOUL
CRUSHING" SUBSIDENCE OVERSPREADING NORTHERN MICHIGAN TOWARD
MIDNIGHT.  CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A QUICK COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW
POSSIBLE NORTH OF M-72 DURING THE EVENING.  LAKE ENHANCEMENT DOESN'T
LOOK PARTICULARLY IMPRESSIVE THOUGH WON'T HURT THE CAUSE.  LOTS OF
POTENTIAL OFF LAKE SUPERIOR GIVEN STRONG LOW LEVEL FORCING...BUT THE
PROBLEM IS FORECAST LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGING INHIBITING LAKE
INDUCED CAPE.  WILL TRANSITION TO MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW LAKE
EFFECT EVENT OVERNIGHT...BUT SUBSIDENCE/DRYING AND NOT PARTICULARLY
COLD 850MB TEMPERATURES (-10C TO -12C BY FRIDAY MORNING) PROBABLY
WON'T LEAVE MUCH MORE THAN LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES.  DESPITE
THE FACT THAT NOT A LOT OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED...WHATEVER DOES FALL
WILL GET BLOWN AROUND WITH WEST/NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH
(AND POSSIBLY PUSHING LOW END WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR THE
NORTHWEST LOWER SHORELINE COUNTIES)...AND WET ROADS WILL ICE UP THIS
EVENING AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING.  SO SOME POTENTIAL FOR
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND THE TIP OF THE
MITT.

SOME LINGERING LAKE EFFECT LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES WILL BE THE MAIN
ISSUE FOR FRIDAY...BUT OTHERWISE NOT SHAPING UP TO BE A BAD DAY.
NEXT SHORT WAVE IN THE NORTHERN BRANCH WAVE TRAIN APPROACHES FROM
THE NORTHWEST LATER IN THE DAY...WHICH WILL THICKEN UP THE CLOUD
COVER DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW
OVERNIGHT.  SLIGHTLY COLDER LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASE
IN MOISTURE WILL ALSO GIVE A NUDGE TO LAKE INDUCED CONVECTION...
THOUGH WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND THUS SUBJECT TO MORE MESOSCALE
INFLUENCES CLOSER TO THE SHORELINE.  LAKE EFFECT WILL LINGER INTO
THE DAY SATURDAY.

JPB

OUTLOOK RANGE (SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...NO SUBSTANTIAL CHANGE IN THE
PATTERN FORESEEN THRU THU 12/22. STORMINESS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
BERING SEA AND THIS WILL MAINTAIN MODEST RIDGE OVER WRN N AMERICA.
PERSISTENT CYCLONIC WAVE-BREAKING WILL RESULT IN A SEMI-PERMANENT
CLOSED LOW REMAINING OVER THE DESERT SW. IN THE MEANTIME...CONFLUENT
FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE ERN USA BETWEEN SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER THE
CARIBBEAN AND THE HUDSON BAY LOW. THE LACK OF HIGH AMPLITUDE FLOW
OVER AK/CANADA SUGGESTS THAT OUR AIR MASSES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
PREDOMINANTLY PACIFIC IN ORIGIN. BELIEVE THIS TRANSLATES TO WARMER
THAN NORMAL TEMPS. THRU THE 14TH ALL LONG-TERM CLIMATE SITES ARE
RUNNING 3-5F ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE MONTH.

CAVEAT: THERE IS SOME LOW PROBABILITY OPPORTUNITIES FOR "POSSIBLE"
INTERACTION BETWEEN THE SRN AND NRN STREAMS...AS CLOSED LOWS EJECT
OUT OF THE SW. THIS APPEARS A LOW PROBABILITY ATTM AS A SEEMINGLY
MORE ACTIVE CANADIAN NRN STREAM PROBABLY SHUNTS THE NEXT SRN STREAM
LOW S OF THE GTLKS. EVEN IF WE CAN GET A SRN STREAM LOW FAR ENUF
N...IT REMAINS DOUBTFUL IF THE NRN STREAM CAN DELIVER COLD ENUF AIR
FOR AN ALL SNOW EVENT.

MODELS: THE 00Z/ECMWF AND 18Z/00Z GFS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
THRU 00Z/22...CLOSELY CLUSTERED WITH THE MAJORITY OF 00Z/GEFS
MEMBERS AND CLOSE TO TUE'S HPC GUIDANCE. THE 12Z/00Z GEM SEEMS WAY
TO FAST TO LIFT SRN STREAM LOW NWD. THE 00Z GEM ENSEMBLES ARE
CLUSTERED IN 2 CAMPS AT 00Z/MON...OVER TX WITH MOST OTHER GUIDANCE
AND THEN OVER THE GTLKS...WHICH WOULD BE ANOTHER PROBABLY RAIN
EVENT.

OUR OVERALL EXPECTATION IS FOR NRN MI WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR OF
AN ALBERTA CLIPPER MOVING N OF THE GTLKS SUN NGT FOLLOWED BY A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE MODELED FOR MON MRNG. HIGH PRES QUICKLY DRIFTS THRU
TUE AND WE'RE INTO THE WARM SECTOR OF ANOTHER DEEP LOW OVER HUDSON
BAY. ITS COOL FRONT PROBABLY MOVES THRU WED AND CONFIDENCE IS
MODESTLY ABOVE AVERAGE IN THIS SCENARIO. UNCERTAINTY INCREASES THU
BUT IT APPEARS A SECONDARY COLD FRONT MAY MOVE THRU THU...HINTED ON
EXTRAPOLATION OF DAY 7 HPC FCST.

AS FOR THE SRN STREAM LOW...EXPECT IT TRACKS ACROSS TX INTO AR MON-
TUE. HOW SOON IT BEGINS LIFTING N IS UP FOR GRABS. BY 12Z/WED THE
DETERMINISTIC TRACK GUIDANCE IS NW OF THE GEFS MEAN /OH VALLEY VS.
NEAR ATL/. IF THIS SYSTEM REMAINS S OF THE FCST AREA...NEXT WEEK IS
LOOKING AWFULLY DRY WITH NO SUBSTANTIAL PCPN EVENTS ENVISIONED AS
NRN MI WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF BOTH STORM TRACKS.

SUN NGT: A TOUCH OF -SN OVER THE ERN U.P.? OTHERWISE DRY. HIGHEST
PROBABILITIES FOR MEASUREABLE PCPN ARE JUST N OF THE FCST AREA ATTM.
WE'RE CURRENTLY CARRYING LOW TEMPS OF 26-32F. CAN SEE THESE TEMPS
BEING A LITTLE TOO COLD IN WARM SECTOR SW WINDS. WE SHOULD SEE A
FAIRLY MILD NIGHT...JUST LOOSING 3-5F OFF OF SUNDAY'S HIGH TEMPS.

MON: COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOME MINOR LES POSSIBLE IN VEERING NW
FLOW. INCREASED POPS TO HIGH CHC FOR NW LOWER. DELTA T'S ARE
MARGINAL AND GUIDANCE IS NOT IN AGREEMENT ON DEGREE OF INSTABILITY.

TUE: PREFERRED SOLUTION IS FOR THERMAL TROF TO EXIT AS HIGH PRES
SLIDES THRU. LOWERED POPS A LITTLE AND CAN SEE THEM EVENTUALLY
NEEDING REMOVAL ALL TOGETHER. ODDS FAVOR A DRY DAY.

WED: INCREASING CLOUDS FOR SURE. FCST IS CURRENTLY DRY AND WE LIKE
IT FOR NOW AS LOW PRES MAY APPROACH THE OH VALLEY AND A COOL FRONT
THEATENS FROM THE NW.

HALBLAUB

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 427 AM/

SURFACE LOW EXPECTED TO CROSS THE STRAITS VICINITY THIS MORNING
WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS MICHIGAN. THIS WILL SWITCH WINDS
AROUND FROM SOUTH/SOUTHEAST TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION ACROSS
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON AS WELL AS PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP AND COLD
ADVECTION PROMOTES INCREASED MIXING AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
TRANSPORT. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY BY THIS EVENING
FROM MANISTEE TO STURGEON POINT LIGHT...AND ON WHITEFISH BAY. GALE
WARNINGS WILL BE HOISTED FOR THESE ZONES...WITH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SETTLE DOWN FRIDAY
MORNING AS SURFACE RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION FROM THE
WEST...AND REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY BEFORE PICKING UP
FROM THE SOUTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT.

JPB

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 1144 PM/...VALID FOR 06Z TAFS

TAFS HAVE GENERALLY HELD WHERE WE THOUGHT WITH THE IFR CIGS MOST
OF THE TIME, AND THE VSBYS BOUNCING AROUND THIS EVENING. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE CASE FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT AS THE SFC LOW
APPROACHES THE REGION WITH THE MOISTURE STREAMING IN FROM THE
SOUTH, AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. EXPECT THAT THE VSBYS WILL FALL INTO
MVFR, AND IFR CATEGORIES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH THE CIGS
FALLING INTO THE LIFR CATEGORY.

STILL EXPECTING THAT ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH NORTHERN
MICHIGAN THAT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO MIX IN WITH THE RAIN AND THEN
CHANGE OVER BY 00Z. THEN AFTER 00Z, WILL EXPECT THAT THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL MAINLY AFFECT TVC AND PLN. APN AND MBL WILL SEE
SOME OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS, BUT IT WILL BE A LOWER
PROBABILITY EVENT AT THOSE TAF SITES.

JSL

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST FRIDAY
     FOR LHZ345-346-349.
     GALE WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
     LHZ347-348.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST FRIDAY
     FOR LMZ341.
     GALE WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
     LMZ323-342-344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST FRIDAY
     FOR LSZ322.
     GALE WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
     LSZ321.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
400 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
151245-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
400 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN....PARTICULARLY NORTHEAST LOWER. NO SEVERE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

A PERIOD OF DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED IN MANY COMMUNITIES OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE NEARSHORE WATERS AREA OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON....WHITEFISH BAY...AND THE SAINT MARYS RIVER.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP IN FAVORED NORTHWEST FLOW
AREAS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN LATER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT TO MODERATE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
COULD BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW...OR A WINTRY MIX TO PORTIONS OF THE
REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.  THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM REMAINS HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN...SO STAY TUNED TO LATER UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

HALBLAUB/SMD/ARNOTT