Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 121, NWS Gaylord, MI

December 13, 2011

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this small craft advisory at Dec 13, 2011, 10:56 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 14, 2011, 4:30 AM EST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 13, 2011, 10:56 PM EST (03:56 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 14, 2011, 4:30 AM EST
Expired
Dec 15, 2011, 4:56 AM EST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

678 
WHUS73 KAPX 140356
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1056 PM EST TUE DEC 13 2011

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-141200-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.111214T1200Z-111215T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1056 PM EST TUE DEC 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LSZ322-141200-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.111214T1600Z-111215T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1056 PM EST TUE DEC 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
4 follow-up statements
673 
WHUS73 KAPX 140930
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
430 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

LHZ347-348-141730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.111214T0930Z-111215T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T2100Z-111216T0900Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
430 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-141730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.111214T1200Z-111215T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T1800Z-111216T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
430 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-141730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.111214T2100Z-111215T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T1800Z-111216T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
430 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-141730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.111214T2100Z-111215T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T1600Z-111216T0500Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
430 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 AM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-349-141730-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.111214T1600Z-111216T0900Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
430 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
4 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

HALBLAUB

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
379 
WHUS73 KAPX 142103
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
403 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-150515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111215T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T2100Z-111216T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
403 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LHZ346-349-150515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
403 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-150515-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111215T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T2100Z-111216T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
403 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
460 
WHUS73 KAPX 150358
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1058 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

LHZ345-347-348-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-151200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111215T2100Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T2100Z-111216T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1058 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY.
A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LHZ346-349-151200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1058 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
332 
WHUS73 KAPX 150956
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
456 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

LHZ347-348-151800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111215T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T2100Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0078.111215T2200Z-111216T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
456 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-151800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111215T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T2100Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0078.111215T2200Z-111216T1000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
456 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-151800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111215T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T2100Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.111215T1800Z-111216T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
456 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-LSZ322-151800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111215T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T2100Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.111215T1800Z-111216T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
456 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-151800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.111215T1800Z-111216T1000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
456 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-151800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0122.111215T1800Z-111216T1000Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
456 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-342-344>346-151800-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0121.000000T0000Z-111215T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0078.111215T1800Z-111216T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0017.111215T2100Z-111216T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
456 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 13, 10:45 PM EST, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 10:45 PM EST, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1045 PM EST TUE DEC 13 2011

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 335 PM/

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY THURSDAY...THANKS
TO HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ONE THIRD OF THE
COUNTRY. A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS
WISCONSIN AND UPPER MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
RAIN BEGINNING ON WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO LIGHT
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ON THURSDAY AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE
DEPARTING SYSTEM.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 1025 PM/...TONIGHT

JUST LIKE LAST NIGHT WE HAVE A WEAK BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE
FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES HAVE BOTTOMED OUT FOR THE MOST PART
WITH THE MOISTURE HOLDING STEADY IN THE LOWER 30S FOR THE
DEWPOINTS. THERE MAY BE SOME BOUNCING AROUND FOR THE HOURLY
TEMPERATURES, BUT FOR THE MOST PART THEY AREN'T GOING VERY FAR
FROM WHERE THEY ARE NOW. A LOT OF THIS HAS TO DO WITH THE NEST
SYSTEM OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE REGION. THE
SOUTHERLY/SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS BEGINNING TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE
FORECAST AREA AND WILL BEGIN TO HOLD THE TEMPERATURE STEADY OR
CAUSE THEM TO RISE OVERNIGHT. CAN PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE BE RULED
OUT? NOT ENTIRELY, BUT LOOKING AT THE CURRENT TEMPERATURES AND
THE TRENDS, THERE COULD BE ISOLATED PATCHY THAT WOULD FREEZE FOR A
SHORT TIME, BEFORE THE WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION WHICH IS
EXPECTED AFTER 06Z. SO WILL MAKE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS IN THE
WEATHER GRIDS, BUT FOR THE MOST PART, WILL LEAVE THE GOING
FORECAST AS THINGS SEEM TO BE WORKING OUT.

JSL

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 335 PM/...WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND

WEDNESDAY...THE BRIEF PERIOD OF DRIZZLE WILL LIFT NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE MORNING WHILE MORE SUBSTANTIAL STEADIER RAINS WILL
DEVELOP IN ITS WAKE...AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS INTO THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES. THIS CAUSED BY WHILE STOUT H8 LLJ DIRECTING +3C TO +5C H8
TD'S UP OVER TIGHTENING LOW LEVEL BAROCLINICITY/WARM FRONT.
COMBINED WITH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF H4-H2 UPPER JET...THE
ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN SATURATES...AND MORE PERSISTENT MODERATE RAINS
WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY. DOWNSLOPING AREAS WILL LIKELY
RECEIVE LESS QPF...AS WELL AS EASTERN UPPER DUE TO LATER ARRIVAL
OF FORCING...BUT EVEN DESPITE INITIALLY DRY MID LEVELS...PWATS
APPROACHING 1.00" OUGHT TO BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT AROUND A FEW
TENTHS OF AN INCH SOUTH...TO NEAR A TENTH NORTH.

SMD

LATER PERIODS...

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS BEGINNING LATE
THURSDAY AND LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BRING SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS TO THE AREA.  THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
SOME SLICK ROAD CONDITIONS...BUT EXPECT ANY ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH
THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD WILL REMAIN BELOW 6" TOTAL AT ANY
ONE LOCATION.

TELECONNECTIONS...DON/T WAVER TOO FAR FROM WHERE THEY HAVE BEEN THUS
FAR THIS FALL.  THE ARCTIC OSCILLATION CONTINUES TO REMAIN IN THE
POSITIVE...WITH CURRENT DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTING
THAT IT MAY MAKE A RUN AT NEUTRAL THIS WEEKEND...BUT THEN LIFT BACK
INTO THE POSITIVE CATEGORY.  RECALL THAT OVER THE PAST TWO
MONTHS...FORECASTS OF THE AO TO SWITCH NEGATIVE HAVE CONSISTENTLY
FAILED TO VERIFY...WITH NO REASON TO DEVIATE FROM THIS THINKING
RIGHT NOW.  THE PNA REMAINS SLIGHTLY POSITIVE WITH A POSITIVE /AND
UNWAVERING/ NAO.

WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF LARGE SCALE CHANGES...EXPECT THE SPLIT
FLOW PATTERN OVER THE CONUS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD
/AND LIKELY THROUGH MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF DECEMBER/...WITH
FREQUENT CUT OFF LOWS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN US...AND CHANGEABLE
IMPACTS OF THE NORTHERN STREAM ON OUR WEATHER.

THE PERIOD STARTS RAINY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS ISENTROPIC ASCENT GIVES
WAY TO AN ARRIVING COLD FRONT DURING THE OVERNIGHT.  MODEL PWATS
SUGGEST MOISTURE COULD REACH NEAR RECORD TERRITORY AROUND 1 INCH
OVERNIGHT. WITH GOOD DYNAMIC SUPPORT...HPC/GUIDANCE CONSENSUS QPF
AMOUNTS OVERNIGHT OF ONE HALF TO TWO THIRDS OF AN INCH LOOK VERY
REASONABLE AND SEE NO REASON TO STRAY FROM THESE. IT WILL BE A MILD
NIGHT INDEED AS OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES CLIMB AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
ARRIVAL WITH SOME COOLING OVER EASTERN UPPER TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
HOURLY RAW/MOS TEMPS SUGGEST TEMPERATURES WARMING FROM AROUND 40
WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THE MID AND PERHAPS UPPER 40S TOWARDS
DAYBREAK.

THE FRONT WILL NOT HAVE CLEARED THE CWA BY DAYBREAK...SO WILL UP
POPS OVER SOUTHEASTERN AREAS FOR THE MORNING HOURS.  OTHERWISE...
BIGGEST QUESTIONS FOR THURSDAY WILL BE LINGERING PRECIPITATION
CHANCES AND WHEN THE COLUMN WILL COOL SUFFICIENTLY FOR A CHANGEOVER
TO SNOW.  MODEL VERTICAL PROFILES SUGGEST THAT IT WILL TAKE MOST OF
THE DAY FOR THIS TO OCCUR...WITH ANY LAKE RESPONSE REALLY NOT
GETTING GOING UNTIL VERY LATE IN THE DAY AS DELTA T/S DON/T CROSS
THE 13C THRESHOLD UNTIL ABOUT 21 UTC.  WILL CONTINUE LIKELY POPS IN
THE AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SNOWBELTS /WESTERN CHIP...AND
THE BIG 5 IN NORTHERN LOWER/ BUT KEEP PRECIPITATION AS A MIX UNTIL
EVENING.  RIGHT NOW WOULD EXPECT ANY TRAVEL IMPACTS TO HOLD OFF
UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT.

BEST CHANCE FOR SOME ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL COME
THURSDAY NIGHT AS SECONDARY SHORTWAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION
UNDER CYCLONIC FLOW AND DELTA T/S REACHING THE UPPER TEENS.
SYNOPTIC MOISTURE PEELS OUT RAPIDLY...HOWEVER...SO THE WINDOW FOR
GOOD SNOWS IS SMALL.  RIGHT NOW...EXPECT THAT LATE THURSDAY EVENING
WE/LL SEE ABOUT A 6-8 HOUR PERIOD OF POTENTIALLY DECENT
ACCUMULATIONS WITH A MIXED LAYER FLOW AROUND 330 DEGREES...WITH THE
FLOW VEERING MORE AFTER MIDNIGHT.  A 1-3 /4?/ INCH SNOWFALL LOOKS
POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME...MOST LIKELY IMPACTING ANTRIM AND NORTHERN
KALKASKA COUNTIES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS SURROUNDING THIS.  DESPITE
THE MUCH COOLER AIRMASS...WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES A LITTLE ABOVE
GUIDANCE WITH CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE NIGHT SUGGESTING THAT TEMPS
WILL HAVE TROUBLE DROPPING MUCH MORE THAN INTO THE MIDDLE 20S /LOWER
20S OVER EASTERN UPPER/.

WITH HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENING IT/S INFLUENCE OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY...EXPECT ANY RESIDUAL LAKE EFFECT TO BE WEAK FOR THE DAY
FRIDAY...BUT LIKELY STILL ONGOING GIVEN DELTA T/S IN THE UPPER TEENS
UNDER WEST NORTHWEST FLOW.  T92S WILL RANGE FROM THE MINUS TEENS
OVER EASTERN UPPER TO AROUND -8 NEAR M-55 SUGGESTING A HIGH
TEMPERATURE RANGE FROM THE MID 20S NORTH TO AROUND FREEZING OVER THE
SOUTH.  IT WILL CERTAINLY FEEL CHILLY GIVEN THE RECENT STRETCH OF
WARM WEATHER...AND THE AFOREMENTIONED WINDS WHICH WILL REACH
10-15MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVES WILL DOMINATE FORECAST CONCERNS THROUGH
JUST ABOUT THE END OF THE PERIOD BEFORE THE NEXT SOUTHWESTERN CONUS
CUTOFF LIFTS NORTH AND EAST AND BRINGS /POTENTIALLY/ THE NEXT
MOISTURE-LADEN SYSTEM.

WILL CONTINUE LIKELY POPS FOR WEST NORTHWEST FLOW AREAS FRIDAY NIGHT
AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS BRINGS A RENEWED SHOT OF MOISTURE WITH
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO SUPPORT A LAKE RESPONSE.  NOT A TERRIFIC
SETUP WITH WEAK WIND FIELDS AND DEPRESSED INVERSION HEIGHTS...BUT
THE LIGHT SNOWS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE.

NEXT NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM ARRIVES LATE SATURDAY BUT A CONSENSUS
/AND WELL AGREED UPON/ LOW TRACK NORTH OF ANJ SUPPORTS VERY LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF SYNOPTIC PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.  FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...COULD SEE SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT OVER EASTERN
UPPER AS DYNAMIC SUPPORT IMPROVES AND DELTA T/S CONTINUE IN THE MID
TEENS...DESPITE THE WARMING TEMPERATURES ALOFT.  SATURDAY
NIGHT...WILL PAINT HIGHEST CHANCES OVER NORTHERN AREAS...BUT STILL
KEEP ALL AREAS BASICALLY IN LOW CHANCE POPS.

WILL LIKELY GET ANOTHER RESPITE SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PERHAPS
SOME LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE TIP OF THE MITT
NORTHWARD BEFORE WARM ADVECTION SHOULD SHUT THINGS OFF.  TEMPS LOOK
TO WARM NICELY BY AFTERNOON SUNDAY WITH T92 AROUND -4C EASILY
SUGGESTING MID TO PERHAPS UPPER 30S.

AS WE HEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE NEXT SOUTHWESTERN CONUS CUTOFF
WILL EJECT NORTH AND EAST. CLEARLY...THIS WILL BE OUR NEXT CHANCE
FOR SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WITH THE RENEWED INFLUENCE OF THE
MOIST SOUTHERN STREAM.  MODELS ARE ALL OVER THE MAP AT THIS POINT
WITH A COMPLEX INTERACTION OF NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVES WITH THE
EJECTING ENERGY FROM THE SOUTHWEST.  THE 12Z ECMWF CERTAINLY PAINTS
A SNOWY STORY BY TUESDAY...WITH THE 12Z GFS /AND THE OLD 00Z ECMWF/
MAINTAINING A SUPPRESSED STORM TRACK WITH LITTLE NORTHERN STREAM
PHASING.  THE 12Z GEFS SUGGESTS SIGNIFICANT SPREAD...WITH STORM
TRACKS RANGING FROM OVERHEAD TO THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN STATES.
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS UP TO THIS POINT HAS BEEN DRY AND WILL NOT JUMP
ON THE NEW ECMWF WITH TODAY/S PACKAGE.  I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
WITH A NORTHERLY SHIFT FROM THE GFS...HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
PREDOMINATE LA-NINA STORM TRACK THAT HAS BEEN FAVORED SO FAR THIS
LATE FALL.  WE/RE A LONG WAYS OUT...AND GIVEN THE COMPLEX
INTERACTION MENTIONED ABOVE...EXPECT MANY MORE SHIFTS IN THE
GUIDANCE BEFORE THIS PART OF THE FORECAST BECOMES CLEAR. CERTAINLY
SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON THOUGH.

ARNOTT

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 335 PM/

LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE OUT OF A
GENERAL SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST DIRECTION HEADING THROUGH
TONIGHT...ONLY TO BE SHARPENED OUT OF THE SE WEDNESDAY WITH THE
APPROACH OF A WARM FRONT. THESE SE WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
DAY WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS DEVELOPING AND EVENTUALLY
CHOPPY WAVES...LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH SOME
NEARSHORE SEEING CHOPPY WAVES INTO FRIDAY. HEADLINES HAVE BEEN
POSTED. EXPECT DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN DEVELOPING
WEDNESDAY...PICKING UP IN INTENSITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SMD

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 639 PM/...VALID FOR 00Z TAFS

MUCH LIKE LAST NIGHT, THERE IS A RATHER WEAKLY DEFINED FRONT THAT
IS STATIONARY THROUGH THE STRAITS AREA. THIS IS WHERE THE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IS FOCUSED AS THE TIP OF THE MITT (AND PLN) NORTH
HAVE IFR CIGS. SOUTH OF PLN, AT THE OTHER TAF SITES, VFR CIGS WILL
BE IN PLACE AT THIS POINT, BUT WITH THE SYSTEM TO THE SW OF THE
FORECAST AREA MOVES TOWARDS US, THE LOWER CIGS IN CENTRAL PLAINS
WILL BEGIN TO FILL IN UNDER THE MID CLOUDS THAT WE HAVE NOW. RAIN
WILL MOVE IN DURING THE MORNING AND SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN
MICHIGAN DURING THE DAY.

JSL

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM EST THURSDAY
     FOR LHZ345>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM EST THURSDAY
     FOR LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM EST THURSDAY
     FOR LSZ322.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM EST THURSDAY
     FOR LSZ321.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 13, 4:14 PM EST, 6 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
414 PM EST TUE DEC 13 2011

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
141230-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
414 PM EST TUE DEC 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN VERY LATE TONIGHT
FROM THE GRAND TRAVERSE REGION TO STANDISH AND AREAS SOUTH...WHICH
INCLUDES THE M-55 CORRIDOR.

AREAS OF FOG WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT OVER EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.
LOCALLY DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN..AWAY FROM LAKE
MICHIGAN. IF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN DOES OCCUR...IT WILL QUICKLY CHANGE
TO RAIN.

AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY OVER EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.
THERE IS A CHANCE THE FOG COULD BE LOCALLY DENSE.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
NORTHERN MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT IN NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

HALBLAUB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 14, 4:07 AM ESTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAPXBenzie, Crawford, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Manistee, Missaukee and 2 more6 hr
Dec 14, 4:15 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAPXCheboygan, Emmet, Presque Isle6 hr
Dec 14, 4:30 AM ESTGale WatchAPX24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.