Small Craft Advisory 112, NWS Gaylord, MI

999 
WHUS73 KAPX 231609
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1109 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011

LMZ341-342-344>346-240015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.111123T2200Z-111124T1500Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1109 AM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

671 
WHUS73 KAPX 232124
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
424 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

LHZ345-240530-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.111123T2200Z-111124T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
424 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-344>346-240530-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.111123T2200Z-111124T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
424 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

970 
WHUS73 KAPX 240251
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
951 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

LHZ346-347-241000-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111124T1600Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
951 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-241000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111124T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
951 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-344>346-241000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111124T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
951 PM EST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

612 
WHUS73 KAPX 240903
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
403 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

LHZ346-347-241015-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111124T1600Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
403 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LMZ342-344>346-241715-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111124T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0073.111124T0903Z-111125T1200Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
403 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-241715-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
403 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-LMZ341-241715-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
403 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

583 
WHUS73 KAPX 241621
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1121 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

LMZ342-344>346-250030-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-111125T1200Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1121 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346>349-LSZ322-250030-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1121 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-250030-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1121 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

627 
WHUS73 KAPX 242043
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
343 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011

LMZ342-344>346-250445-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-111125T1200Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
343 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-LSZ322-250445-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
343 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

353 
WHUS73 KAPX 250321
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1021 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011

LMZ342-344>346-251000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-111125T1200Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1021 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-LSZ322-251000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1021 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

238 
WHUS73 KAPX 250910
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
410 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

LMZ342-344>346-251700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-111125T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111126T0300Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
410 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-349-LMZ323-341-251700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111126T0300Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
410 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-LSZ322-251700-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
410 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

172 
WHUS73 KAPX 251451
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
951 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

LSZ322-251600-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T2100Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
951 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ348-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-252300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111126T0300Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
951 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-252100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
951 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$
ARNOTT

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

348 
WHUS73 KAPX 252027
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
327 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

LHZ345>347-252130-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111125T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
327 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ348-349-LMZ323-341-342-252130-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111126T0300Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
327 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LMZ344>346-260430-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111126T1000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
327 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

736 
WHUS73 KAPX 260337
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1037 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

LMZ344>346-260445-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-111126T1000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1037 PM EST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1140 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 857 PM/

LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS NEAR LAKE ERIE TONIGHT. RAINFALL FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL REMAIN DOWNSTATE...WITH ONLY CLOUDS SPILLING BACK INTO
NORTHERN MICHIGAN. HIGH PRESSURE AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING DRY
AND VERY MILD CONDITIONS TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN BY THE THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY...LASTING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN WILL COME ON SATURDAY...AS ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
INTO THE GREAT LAKES.

MLR

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 900 PM/...TONIGHT

OVERALL FLAVOR OF THE GOING FCST LOOKS JUST FINE HEADING THROUGH THE
NIGHT...WITH MAIN CONCERN BEING CLOUD TRENDS AND POTENTIAL FOR FOG
LATER. EARLY EVENING ANALYSIS PLACES 1002 MB SURFACE LOW ABOUT NEAR
FINDLAY...OHIO...WITH RATHER IMPRESSIVE DRIVING UPPER WAVE CROSSING
SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AS OF 01Z. REGIONAL RADAR ANALYSIS SHOWS PLENTY OF
RAIN THROUGHOUT SOUTHEAST LOWER AND DOWN THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...
THOUGH MEETING ITS MATCH FARTHER NORTH WITHIN STRONG DOWNWARD BRANCH
OF DEEP LAYER FGEN CIRCULATION INTERSECTING THE SAGINAW BAY REGION.
ALL THE WHILE...VARYING DEGREES OF CLOUD COVER REMAIN ACROSS ALL OF
NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WITH ALL SPOTS COVERED BY RATHER THICK VEIL OF
JET-DRIVEN CIRROSTRATUS...WITH EMBEDDED ELEMENTS OF LOWER STRATUS
STILL STREAMING IN OFF LAKE HURON AT TIMES VIA LOW LEVEL EAST/
NORTHEAST FLOW REGIME (NOTE KGLR DIPPING TO 900 FT AGL RECENTLY).

PER LATEST SHORT TERM GUIDANCE AND RADAR TRENDS...HAVE REMOVED SMALL
CHANCE POP WORDING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES AS CEILINGS DOWN THAT
WAY REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 8KFT IN OVERALL SUBSIDENT REGIME. AS UPPER
WAVE PULLS OFF TO THE EAST LATER TONIGHT...STILL EXPECT TO SEE SKIES
CLEAR OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS. HOWEVER...WITH LOW LEVEL DEWPOINT
DEPRESSIONS ALREADY QUITE SMALL...AND EXPECTED LOWERING OF LOW LEVEL
FLOW REGIME VIA WEAKENING GRADIENT AFTER 08Z...FOG/STRATUS
REDEVELOPMENT DOES BECOME A CONCERN. THIS IDEA IS ONLY HELPED ALONG
BY RESIDUAL LOWER STRATUS PLUME LAYING OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN
WISCONSIN INTO THE WESTERN U.P...WITH LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SUGGESTING AN EXPANSION ALREADY ONGOING OUT THAT WAY WHERE DEWPOINT
SPREADS REMAIN SIMILARLY LOWER. THIS CERTAINLY MAY PLAY INTO
TOMORROW'S FORECAST AS WELL...BUT WILL ALLOW MID SHIFT TO EVALUATE
WHAT HAPPENS OVERNIGHT BEFORE MAKING ANY SWEEPING CHANGES. GOING
OVERNIGHT LOWS LOOK OK...BUT MAY NUDGE READINGS UP A FEW DEGREES AS
THICKER HIGH CLOUDS AND DECENT GRADIENT LOOK TO HANG AROUND THROUGH
AT LEAST 07-08Z.

LAWRENCE

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 353 PM/...WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND

SHORT RANGE (WEDNESDAY)...LOW/MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY.  ONLY FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS
FOG/CLOUD COVER POTENTIAL...WHICH IS THE ONLY THING THAT COULD MUCK
UP WHAT WOULD OTHERWISE BE A NICE LATE NOVEMBER AFTERNOON.  BACKING
LOW LEVEL WINDS TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL EVENTUALLY COME
AROUND TO A MORE WESTERLY COMPONENT...WHICH COULD PULL NUISANCE
CLOUD COVER UPSTREAM BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA.  BIGGEST CONCERN
AREA IS ACROSS EASTERN UPPER...BUT WILL TRY AND BE CAUTIOUSLY
OPTIMISTIC FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  AS LONG AS CLOUD COVER BEHAVES
ITSELF...SHOULD SEE HIGHS WARM INTO THE 40S.

OUTLOOK RANGE (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...HIGH IMPACT
WEATHER POTENTIAL: POTENTIAL GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE LAKE
MICHIGAN NEARSHORE WATERS LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT UNDER
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS.

TELECONNECTIONS: CURRENT TELECONNECTIONS SHOW A POSITIVE NAO AND AO
WITH A NEUTRAL PNA...ALL OF WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD.  IN THE LONGER TERM /10 DAY/ GEFS FORECAST
GRAPHICS /WITH SUPPORT FROM THE ECENS/ SUGGEST THAT ALL OF THESE
SIGNALS WILL SHIFT SOMEWHAT AWAY FROM THE VALUES OF LATE...WITH A
WEAKLY POSITIVE PNA DEVELOPING WHILE THE NAO AND AO LOOK TO SHIFT
MORE NEUTRAL. WHAT THIS INDICATES IS THAT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL
FOR THE PATTERN TO SHIFT TO A SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER SCENARIO BY THE
MIDDLE/END OF NEXT WEEK.  BEFORE THAT HOWEVER...WE/LL LIKELY DEAL
WITH NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF THIS WEEK WITH
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUING THROUGH THE END OF THIS FORECAST
PERIOD.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: CONFIDENCE IS GOOD THROUGH SATURDAY PER GOOD
DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AGREEMENT THROUGH THIS PERIOD.
BEYOND THIS...THERE IS A RAPID DEGRADATION IN CONFIDENCE AS IS
TYPICAL WITH POTENTIAL CUTOFF LOW DEVELOPMENT.  WHILE UNSETTLED
WEATHER /WITH CONTINUED PRECIPITATION CHANCES/ LOOKS FAIRLY
LIKELY...TEMPERATURES AND THEREFORE PRECIPITATION TYPE REMAIN QUITE
UNCERTAIN.

A QUIET WEATHER PERIOD OPENS THE LONG TERM FORECAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY UNDER DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WHICH WILL BRING QUITE
WARM AIR INTO THE REGION FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY.  PRIMARY
FORECAST CONCERNS IN THIS PERIOD ARE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AND
SLIGHT PRECIP CONCERNS THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY AS A NORTHERN
STREAM SHORTWAVE MOSTLY MISSES THE REGION TO THE NORTH.  BOUNDARY
LAYER WINDS FROM THE GFS/NAM SUGGEST THAT MECHANICAL MIXING WILL
HELP EAT INTO THE STRONG INVERSION ALOFT ON THURSDAY...SO WOULD NOT
BE SURPRISED IF MIXING HEIGHTS REACHING HIGHER THAN THE 920MB
PORTRAYED BY THE GUIDANCE.  MIXING TO H92 WOULD YIELD HIGHS IN THE
LOWER-MID 50S. WILL BUMP UP GOING HIGHS A COUPLE OF DEGREES IN LINE
WITH THIS...WITH ANOTHER 1-3F UPTICK STILL POSSIBLE GIVEN
EXPECTATIONS OF SLIGHTLY DEEPER MIXING.

FOR THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTHERN STREAM WAVE MAKES CLOSEST APPROACH...
BUT IS TOO FAR NORTH FOR TOO MUCH CONSEQUENCE. THAT BEING SAID...
INCREASING DEEP MOISTURE AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT...IN THE
PRESENCE OF A WEAKLY COUPLED JET SIGNATURE SUGGEST THAT THERE
COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS NEAR...BUT LIKELY JUST WEST OF THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN DRY FOR THIS PACKAGE...AS BEST CONFIDENCE
IN A STRAY SHOWER/DRIZZLE IS REALLY FOR THE FRIDAY TIME FRAME.
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS AS
LOW LEVEL GRADIENT CONTINUES TO TIGHTEN WITH NO DECOUPLING
EXPECTED...AND A WARM AIR MASS IN PLACE. RAW 2M TEMPS SUGGEST LOWER
40S MAY BE IN STORE...NOT SURPRISINGLY ABOVE GUIDANCE VALUES. WILL
TREND IN THIS DIRECTION WITH FORECAST LOWS JUST ABOVE 40.

FOR FRIDAY...AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY REACHES EASTERN
UPPER...BUT THEN STALLS AS FALLING UPSTREAM HEIGHTS EAST OF THE
ROCKIES START TO BACK THE MID LEVEL FLOW.  COULD SEE A FEW SPRINKLES
AND SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE NORTH OF THE STRAITS IN THE AM WHERE THE
DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST /ALBEIT MEAGER/ LIFT RESIDES...BUT NOTHING
SIGNIFICANT EXPECTED.  OTHERWISE...CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY DICTATE
HOW WARM WE CAN GET AS T92 WILL AGAIN SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
WILL PAINT TEMPERATURES NOT ALL THAT DISSIMILAR TO THURSDAY...
REACHING THE LOWER TO MID 50S OVER NORTHERN LOWER.  OVER EASTERN
UPPER...EXPECT CLOUDINESS TO LIKELY KEEP TEMPS A LITTLE BELOW VALUES
FROM THURSDAY...GENERALLY MID TO UPPER 40S.

THE WEEKEND FORECAST IS GRADUALLY COMING INTO BETTER FOCUS.  THERE
IS INCREASING AGREEMENT ON SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TAKING SHAPE OVER
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY SATURDAY AND LIFTING INTO EASTERN
ONTARIO BY SUNDAY MORNING.  THIS LOW WILL STRENGTHEN THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR SATURDAY WITH A
RIBBON OF NEAR 1 INCH PWATS KNOCKING ON OUR DOOR AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT WHICH PASSES THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.  SO...
CONSENSUS POPS IN THE LIKELY RANGE LOOK GOOD...PARTICULARLY FOR
SATURDAY NIGHT.  COULD SQUEAK OUT ANOTHER PRETTY WARM DAY ON
SATURDAY WITH T925 STILL ABLE TO SUPPORT MID /TO PERHAPS UPPER/ 50S
IF PRECIPITATION/CLOUDS HOLD OFF.  WILL NOT GO THIS WARM...BUT
ANOTHER 50F DAY OVER NORTHERN LOWER SEEMS REASONABLE.  BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY TEMPS WILL BE COOLER...BUT 40S STILL LOOK
REASONABLE AS H85 TEMPS FALL BACK BELOW THE FREEZING MARK.

RECORD HIGHS: AS THE FORECAST STANDS NOW...RECORD HIGHS ARE LIKELY
GOING TO BE DIFFICULT TO REACH.  BEST CHANCES AT THIS JUNCTURE
APPEAR TO BE ON FRIDAY OVER NORTHERN LOWER...WHERE A RUN AT 60 IS
STILL POSSIBLE.  PRECIPITATION ARRIVAL ON SATURDAY WILL ALSO LIKELY
PRECLUDE RECORD WARMTH ON THIS DATE AS WELL. IN ANY CASE...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

THE RECORD HIGHS FOR THIS PERIOD FOLLOW...

NOVEMBER 24
ANJ: 62 (1931)
TVC: 64 (1931)
APN: 62 (1931)
HTL: 63 (1931)
GLR: 56 (2001)

NOVEMBER 25
ANJ: 53 (1908)
TVC: 60 (1913)
APN: 59 (1984)
HTL: 55 (2006)
GLR: 56 (2001)

NOVEMBER 26
ANJ: 55 (1960)
TVC: 63 (1960)
APN: 62 (1960)
HTL: 58 (1984)
GLR: 61 (1960)

FOR THE SUNDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY PERIOD...WHILE DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS
HAVE BEEN INSISTENT ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CUTOFF LOW OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS...THERE HAS BEEN VERY LITTLE RUN TO RUN
AND MODEL TO MODEL AGREEMENT ON THIS LOW/S PLACEMENT AND DEPTH.
AND...TO FURTHER COMPLICATE MATTERS...BOTH THE NAEFS AND ECENS
HAVE A SIGNIFICANT NUMBER OF MEMBERS SUGGEST NO CUT OFF AT ALL...
WITH A MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE FLOW RESULTING. THIS LATTER SOLUTION
IS STILL TRACTABLE GIVEN THE PATTERN OF LATE AND HOW UNUSUAL SUCH
A DEEP CUTOFF WOULD BE THIS TIME OF YEAR. NEEDLESS TO SAY...LITTLE
DETAIL CAN BE ADDED TO THE FORECAST AT THIS STAGE. FORECAST WILL
TREND BACK TOWARDS CLIMATOLOGY...IN LINE WITH BLENDED CONSENSUS.
HAVE NO REASON TO ARGUE WITH THIS AT THIS STAGE...WITH RAIN AND/OR
SNOW STILL POSSIBLE HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

ARNOTT

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 353 PM/

SHORT RANGE (TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY)...TIGHTENING EASTERLY GRADIENT
AROUND NORTH SIDE OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY BRINGING LOW END SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS TO THE NORTHEAST
LOWER NEARSHORE ZONES THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS EVENING BEFORE WINDS SETTLE DOWN AFTER MIDNIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST...AND WINDS BEGIN TO
GRADUALLY BACK...ENDING UP SOUTHWESTERLY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
COULD SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN LAKE MICHIGAN
NEARSHORE ZONES BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS WELL.

JPB

OUTLOOK (WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND)...SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY NIGHT OVER LAKE MICHIGAN UNDER
BRISK SOUTHWEST FLOW. THIS FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN FURTHER ON
THURSDAY AND A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM MANISTEE TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT...WITH
SMALL CRAFTS LIKELY NEEDED IN MOST OTHER LOCATIONS. SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN PACE THROUGH SATURDAY UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH A LARGE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY FOR THE PERIOD
SUNDAY AND BEYOND. AT THIS RANGE...FORECAST WIND SPEEDS AND
DIRECTION WILL LIKELY NEED LARGE ADJUSTMENTS OVER THE COMING DAYS.

ARNOTT

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 1140 PM/...VALID FOR 06Z TAFS

LOW PRESSURE DEPARTING THE OHIO VALLEY WILL TAKE RESIDUAL MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS WITH IT THROUGH SUNRISE...WITH MAINLY LIGHT WINDS
EXPECTED AS THE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.
WITH SMALL TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREADS IN PLACE...CONTINUE TO
BELIEVE AREAS OF FOG/STRATUS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH SUNRISE...MOST
LIKELY ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER (NORTHEAST LOWER WILL HAVE A MORE
PERSISTENT GRADIENT AND THUS 3-5 KNOTS OF WIND TO CONTEND WITH).

IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR DENSE FOG
AT KMBL WITHIN THE MANISTEE RIVER VALLEY. OVERALL FOG THREAT MAY
BE MITIGATED SOMEWHAT BY MVFR CLOUD DECK SLOWLY ENCROACHING FROM
THE WEST...SO CONFIDENCE STILL NOTHING STELLAR THROUGH MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY. THEREAFTER...SHOULD SEE ANY LOWER CLOUDS MIX OUT
GRADUALLY...LEAVING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND WINDS BELOW 10 KNOTS
FOR THE AFTERNOON AT ALL SITES. THAT SAID...SHOULD STRATUS BECOME
THICK...MAY HAVE A TOUGH TIME GETTING RID OF IT EVERYWHERE GIVEN
THE LATE NOVEMBER WEAK SUN ANGLE.

LAWRENCE

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LHZ347>349.
LM...NONE.
LS...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
938 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
231200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
938 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ARNOTT/LAWRENCE