Small Craft Advisory 108, NWS Gaylord, MI

671 
WHUS73 KAPX 130311
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2011

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-131115-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0070.111113T0400Z-111114T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-131115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.111113T0400Z-111114T0400Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-131115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.111113T1000Z-111114T0400Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-349-131115-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0013.111113T1600Z-111114T0400Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1011 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2011

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

073 
WHUS73 KAPX 130856
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
356 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-131700-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-111114T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
356 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-349-131700-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.111113T1000Z-111114T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0013.111113T1600Z-111114T0400Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
356 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-131700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.111113T1000Z-111114T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
356 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-131700-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T0400Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
356 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

410 
WHUS73 KAPX 131632
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1132 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

LMZ323-341-342-140045-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-111114T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1132 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-140045-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-111114T0400Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1132 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-140045-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T0400Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1132 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-140045-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1132 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

776 
WHUS73 KAPX 132113
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
413 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

LSZ321-322-132215-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T0400Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
413 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LMZ344>346-140400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-111114T0400Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
413 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-140515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
413 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-140515-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
413 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

751 
WHUS73 KAPX 140316
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1016 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

LMZ344>346-141115-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-111114T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T2200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1016 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-141115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1016 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-141115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1016 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

448 
WHUS73 KAPX 140909
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
409 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

LHZ347-348-141015-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T1200Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
409 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ345-346-349-141600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T1600Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
409 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-141700-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
409 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

503 
WHUS73 KAPX 141611
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1111 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

LMZ323-141715-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1111 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ345-346-349-141715-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T1600Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1111 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

LMZ341-342-344>346-142200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111114T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1111 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

797 
WHUS73 KAPX 142103
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
403 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

LMZ323-150515-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111116T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
403 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-150515-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111115T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
403 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-344>346-150515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111116T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
403 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

649 
WHUS73 KAPX 150338
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1038 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

LMZ342-344>346-151000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111116T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0071.111116T0300Z-111116T1500Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1038 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM
EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-151000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111116T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1038 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-151000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111115T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
1038 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

196 
WHUS73 KAPX 150852
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
352 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

LMZ342-344>346-151700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111116T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0071.111115T2200Z-111116T1500Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
352 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-151700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111115T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.111115T2200Z-111116T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
352 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR EARLY THIS MORNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-151700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-111116T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.111115T2200Z-111116T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
352 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347>349-LSZ321-322-151700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.111115T2200Z-111116T1500Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
352 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
342 PM EST SAT NOV 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 342 PM/

INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND WINDS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT...
AS A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TREKS TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES. AS THE
COLD FRONT DRAGS THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN SUNDAY AFTERNOON...IT
WILL GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS. SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL
RETURN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LOCKER

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 342 PM/...TONIGHT

18Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE GREAT LAKES BETWEEN A RATHER BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SPANNING THE PLAINS STATES...AND HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S..  FAIRLY EXTENSIVE AREA OF HIGH CLOUDS
ACROSS THE PLAINS/MIDWEST ASSOCIATED WITH TWO SHORT WAVE TROUGHS PER
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.  ONE WAS SLIDING EAST ALONG THE KANSAS/NEBRASKA
BORDER...WITH A STRONGER WAVE (ACTUALLY A SMALL PIECE OF THE MONSTER
STORM THAT CROSSED THE BERING SEA DURING MIDWEEK) CROSSING THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES.  STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL WARM ADVECTION PATTERN
ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES REGION...BUT UPSTREAM AIR
MASS IS QUITE DRY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BELOW A QUARTER
INCH ACROSS THE MID/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  PESKY AC DECK THAT
COVERED THE EASTERN U.P. EARLIER TODAY HAS PUSHED INTO ONTARIO...
OTHERWISE FLAT SHORT WAVE RIDGING BRINGING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO
NORTHERN MICHIGAN AT MID AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S
ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN AND 50S OVER THE LOWER PENINSULA.

NEBRASKA/KANSAS SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO SWING NORTHEAST
TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO THE ROCKIES UPPER WAVE GETTING KICKED OUT
INTO THE PLAINS.  THIS FEATURE WILL SPREAD MID/HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS
THE STATE AS IT CROSSES LOWER MICHIGAN LATER TONIGHT.  MEANWHILE...
TIGHT LOW LEVEL GRADIENT WILL INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOIST INFLOW INTO
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.  WILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR THIS TO OCCUR...DEW
POINTS IN THE 40S/50S WORKING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI AT MID AFTERNOON.  BUT INDICATIONS
ARE THAT LOWER CLOUDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT/TOWARD
DAYBREAK SUNDAY.  DOESN'T APPEAR THAT MID LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH SHORT WAVE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL HOOK UP...SO NOT
EXPECTING MEASURABLE PRECIP OVERNIGHT THOUGH SOME DRIZZLE WILL
BECOME A CONCERN SUNDAY MORNING.  SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT...PERSISTENT
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN
CHECK OVERNIGHT...LOOKING AT LOWS A GOOD 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE.

JPB

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 342 PM/...SUNDAY AND BEYOND

SHORT RANGE (SUNDAY)...INITIAL SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO BE
NORTHEAST OF THE STATE SUNDAY MORNING...WHILE STRONG WAVE MOVING
THROUGH THE PLAINS WILL HEAD INTO THE UPPER LAKES SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
LOW CLOUDS LOOK TO BE PREVALENT WITHIN RELATIVELY SHALLOW LOW LEVEL
MOIST LAYER STREAMING NORTHWARD...UPSLOPE FLOW AND WEAK WARM
ADVECTION WILL HELP SQUEEZE OUT SOME DRIZZLE AS WELL.  THREAT FOR
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL RAMP UP DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH
PASSAGE OF SHORT WAVE NUMBER 2...AS IT MOISTENS THE COLUMN AND
BRINGS A QUICK SHOT OF RAIN SHOWERS.  CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE FORECAST
AREA BUT WILL DEPEND ON EXACT TRACK OF VORTICITY CENTER AND WON'T
GET OVERLY CUTE WITH THE POP DISTRIBUTION.  LOOKING AT GUSTY SOUTH
WINDS DURING THE DAY...HOW GUSTY WILL DEPEND ON DEPTH OF CBL BUT
WON'T NEED TO MIX TO DEEPLY TO DRAG DOWN STRONGER MOMENTUM.  CURRENT
FORECAST WILL HAVE GUSTS OF 30+ MPH.  PASSAGE OF WEAK COLD FRONT/
SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL BRING A DECENT
ISALLOBARIC GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS...SO COULD SEE SOME ENHANCED GUSTINESS AS WIND SHIFT FROM
SOUTHERLY TO MORE WESTERLY.

JPB

OUTLOOK RANGE (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...TAKING A LOOK AT
THE BIG PICTURE...SOMEWHAT "NOISY" 4-WAVE 500MB HEIGHT FIELD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO MUCH
MORE CLASSIC 4-WAVE CONFIGURATION AS WE HEAD THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
MOST PROMINENT FEATURES OF INTEREST ACROSS NOAM WILL BE SLOW
RETROGRESSION OF CURRENT CENTRAL PLAINS CENTERED LONG-WAVE TROUGH
TO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...ALL THE WHILE SOME SEMBLANCE OF
SOUTHEAST CONUS RIDGING IS MAINTAINED. THIS SET-UP IS A CLASSIC
CONFIGURATION FOR RATHER CHANGEABLE WEATHER ACROSS THE NORTH
WOODS...WITH PERIODIC BOUTS OF WAA DRIVEN PRECIP (RAIN) AS ENERGY
EJECTS OUT OF THE WEST... FOLLOWED BY TRANSIENT COLD AIR OUTBREAKS
AND ASSOCIATED LAKE INDUCED PRECIP POTENTIAL (WINTRY MIX). IN A
NUTSHELL...A RATHER TYPICAL MID NOVEMBER PATTERN FOR NORTHERN
MICHIGAN. ABOVE OFFERS PLENTY OF INSIGHT TO FORECAST CONCERNS
THROUGH THE EXTENDED...THAT BEING PERIODIC PRECIP CHANCES (AND
TYPE) AS WELL AS FLUCTUATING TEMPERATURE TRENDS.

MID LEVEL WAVE AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT STILL ON TARGET TO EXIT
QUICKLY SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING AN END TO ANY LINGERING SHOWERS
DURING THE EVENING. THIS IS PROBABLY THE MOST CERTAIN PART OF THE
FORECAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS AFTERWARD...CONFIDENCE GOES DOWN
IMMENSELY WITH REGARDS TO SOUTHERN WAVE INFLUENCE AND POSSIBLE
INTERACTION WITH NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY. SOLUTIONS RUN THE
GAMUT...RANGING FROM STEADY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
SECTIONS OF THE AREA AS EARLY AS MONDAY AFTERNOON (AKA THE 00Z
GFS...CANADIAN GLOBAL...AND SOME OF THEIR ENSEMBLES) TO A STRUNG OUT
WAVE TRAIN OF ENERGY WITH ALL PRECIPITATION RIDING SAFELY TO OUR
SOUTHEAST. VAST MAJORITY OF GUIDANCE RESEMBLES THE LATTER...BUT AS
MENTIONED YESTERDAY...STREAM INTERACTION IS OFTEN A STRUGGLE WITH
GUIDANCE...AND EITHER SOLUTION IS A REASONABLE POSSIBILITY. KINDA
SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE...TAILORING LOW END RAIN CHANCES ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST SECTIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON...KEEPING ALL OTHER PERIODS AND
AREAS DRY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ONCE AGAIN...THIS IS A LOW
CONFIDENCE FORECAST SUBJECT TO MAJOR REVISIONS AS THE TIME NEARS.

LITTLE BETTER CONFIDENCE HEADING INTO THE MID WEEK PERIOD AS
RELATIVELY STRONG NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY CUTS ACROSS THE AREA LATER
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...HELPING TO PROPEL A RATHER HEALTHY COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE NORTH WOODS. MOISTURE AVAILABILITY ALONG THE
FRONT ON THE LEAN SIDE (PWAT VALUES SUB HALF INCH)...WITH ALL
DEEP MOISTURE TIED TO WHAT'S LEFT OF SOUTHERN WAVE RIDING UP THE
NORTHEAST CORRIDOR. STILL...DECENT CONVERGENCE AND "DEGREE" OF CAA
SUPPORTS AT LEAST SOME SHOWER POTENTIAL TUESDAY (ESPECIALLY NORTH
CLOSER TO MID LEVEL SUPPORT). LAKE EFFECT CONCERNS TAKE CENTER STAGE
THEREAFTER...WITH SAID CAA RAPIDLY DROPPING 850MB TEMPERATURES INTO
THE NEGATIVE HIGH SINGLE DIGITS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. FROM A
TEMPERATURE STANDPOINT...APPEARS ALL SYSTEMS GO FOR SOME DECENT WEST
TO NORTHWEST FLOW LAKE INDUCED SNOW SHOWERS (YES...SURFACE
TEMPERATURES DROP ACCORDINGLY) LATER TUESDAY NIGHT...LASTING INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. PERUSAL OF OFF THE DECK MOISTURE PROGS WOULD
AGREE...WITH QUICK UPTICK IN 850MB TO 700MB MOISTURE...ESPECIALLY
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...AND
ESPECIALLY THE CASE FOR NORTHWEST LOWER...SOUNDINGS...AT LEAST AT
THIS EARLY JUNCTURE...SHOW CLASSIC LAKE SNOW INTENSITY INHIBITING
INVERTED-V SIGNATURE (INDICATIVE OF PLENTY OF SURFACE BASED DRY AIR
ADVECTING FROM WISCONSIN). EXPECT FAVORED SNOW BELTS OF NORTHERN
LOWER WILL SEE THEIR FAIR SHARE OF SNOW SHOWERS...BUT INTENSITY
LEVELS AND AMOUNTS "SHOULD" BE KEPT IN CHECK. OF COURSE...JUST A
TOUCH MORE MOISTURE AND ALL BETS ARE OFF. CONDITIONS MUCH BETTER FOR
SOME DECENT LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE SUPERIOR...WITH DEEPER MOISTURE
PROFILES...AUGMENTED BY EXCELLENT FULL FETCH WNW WIND FIELDS. GIVEN
ABOVE...WILL GO AHEAD AND BUMP POPS UP IN ALL LAKE FAVORED AREAS
THROUGH THIS PERIOD (ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...BUT
PRECLUDE MENTIONING ANY TYPE OF ACCUMULATIONS.

MODERATING TREND BECOMES ESTABLISHED DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AS
EARLIER MENTIONED PATTERN REALIGNMENT OCCURS...ALLOWING HEIGHTS TO
BUILD DOWNSTREAM OF DIGGING WESTERN NOAM TROUGH. BURGEONING WAA AND
WEAK MID LEVEL WAVES MAY KICK OFF A FEW SHOWERS (MIXED WITH THE
WHITE STUFF FRIDAY)...BUT A HARD TO RETREAT DRY AIR MASS SUPPORTS
MOST AREAS REMAINING DRY INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEKEND.

MSB

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 342 PM/

SHORT RANGE (TONIGHT/SUNDAY)...TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL RESULT IN BRISK SOUTHERLY WINDS TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY.  BIGGEST QUESTION WILL BE DEPTH OF MIXING OVER THE
WATER AS STABILITY PROFILE IS SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...BUT AT THE SAME
TIME WON'T NEED TO MIX TOO DEEPLY TO PULL DOWN STRONGER MOMENTUM.
WEAKISH COLD FRONT/TROUGH WILL SWITCH WINDS AROUND TO THE WEST/
SOUTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...ASSOCIATED STRONG ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT
WILL HELP THE CAUSE.  FOR NOW...NO CHANGES TO CURRENT GALE WARNING
FOR LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE ZONE (EXCEPT TO ADD IN GRAND TRAVERSE
BAY).  WILL ALSO PUT UP A GALE WATCH FOR THE LAKE HURON NEARSHORE
WATERS SOUTH OF PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT FOR SUNDAY...AND SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES FOR THE REMAINDER OF LAKE HURON PLUS WHITEFISH BAY AND
THE ST. MARY'S RIVER.

JPB

OUTLOOK (SUNDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND)...SOUTHWEST WINDS TO GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE SUNDAY NIGHT BEHIND DEPARTING COLD FRONT. STILL...EXPECT
GALES TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING OVER NEARSHORE WATERS OF
NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN AND PERHAPS IN FAVORED FUNNELING AREAS NEAR
SAGINAW BAY. SOMEWHAT GUST SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN. NEXT
STRONG COLD FRONT AND PUSH OF MUCH COLDER AIR SET TO ARRIVE LATER
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

MSB

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 1245 PM/...VALID FOR 18Z TAFS

VFR CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO MVFR CEILINGS TOWARD DAYBREAK SUNDAY.
PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR LHZ348-
     349.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
     LHZ345>347.
LM...GALE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
     LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EST SUNDAY
     FOR LSZ321-322.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
415 AM EST SAT NOV 12 2011

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
131200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
415 AM EST SAT NOV 12 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT ON THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON LAKE MICHIGAN INTO SUNDAY
EVENING...AND MAY DEVELOP ON THE OTHER NEARSHORE WATERS AROUND
NORTHERN MICHIGAN.

WIND GUSTS WILL NEAR 45 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN PARTS OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN...ESPECIALLY NEAR SAGINAW BAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

JZ