Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2011
Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Amarillo, TX
NWS Amarillo, TX issued this red flag warning at Mar 20, 2011, 3:28 PM CDT for 15 counties in Texas; Beaver County, Cimarron County, Texas County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Mar 21, 2011, 11:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 20, 2011, 3:28 PM CDT (20:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 21, 2011, 11:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 21, 2011, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Amarillo, TX
Counties Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX
The radar
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 463 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -111 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1014 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 192 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 217 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
089 WWUS84 KAMA 202028 RFWAMA URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 328 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011 OKZ001-002-TXZ001>003-006>008-011>013-016>018-211200- /O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0008.110321T1600Z-110322T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0007.110321T1600Z-110322T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ CIMARRON-TEXAS-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON- OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG- 328 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS. IN TEXAS... DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON... OLDHAM...POTTER...CARSON...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL...ARMSTRONG. * WIND: SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATE MONDAY MORNING...AND THEN FURTHER INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 15 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...AND BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING...AND AGAIN EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ OKZ003-TXZ004-005-009-010-014-015-019-020-211200- /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ BEAVER-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-GRAY-WHEELER-DONLEY- COLLINGSWORTH- 328 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...BEAVER. IN TEXAS...OCHILTREE... LIPSCOMB...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...GRAY...WHEELER...DONLEY... COLLINGSWORTH. * WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ JACKSON FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
5 follow-up statements
273 WWUS84 KAMA 210927 RFWAMA URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 427 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 OKZ003-TXZ004-009-014-212100- /O.EXA.KAMA.FW.W.0007.110321T1600Z-110322T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ BEAVER-OCHILTREE-ROBERTS-GRAY- 427 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...BEAVER. IN TEXAS...OCHILTREE... ROBERTS...GRAY. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ OKZ001-002-TXZ001>003-006>008-011>013-016>018-212100- /O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0007.110321T1600Z-110322T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ CIMARRON-TEXAS-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON- OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG- 427 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS. IN TEXAS... DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON... OLDHAM...POTTER...CARSON...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL...ARMSTRONG. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS MORNING CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 15 PERCENT TODAY...AND BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE THIS MORNING CONTINUING INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...AND BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ TXZ005-010-015-019-020-212100- /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ LIPSCOMB-HEMPHILL-WHEELER-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH- 427 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...LIPSCOMB...HEMPHILL...WHEELER... DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE MAY CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ JOHNSON FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
457 WWUS84 KAMA 211125 AAA RFWAMA URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 625 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 OKZ001>003-TXZ001>004-006>009-011>014-016>018-212100- /O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0007.110321T1600Z-110322T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-HARTLEY- MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-GRAY-DEAF SMITH- RANDALL-ARMSTRONG- 625 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING IN THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...HARTLEY... MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...OLDHAM...POTTER...CARSON... GRAY...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL...ARMSTRONG. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ TXZ005-010-015-019-020-212100- /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ LIPSCOMB-HEMPHILL-WHEELER-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH- 625 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. * AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...LIPSCOMB...HEMPHILL...WHEELER... DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE MAY CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ JOHNSON FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
622 WWUS84 KAMA 211641 AAB RFWAMA URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 1141 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED BETWEEN 2 AND 9 PM TODAY NORTHWEST OF AN ADRIAN TO DUMAS TO GUYMON LINE... OKZ003-TXZ003-004-008-009-012>014-016>018-220445- /O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ BEAVER-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-POTTER-CARSON-GRAY- DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG- 1141 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE AND EAST OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...BEAVER. IN TEXAS...HANSFORD... OCHILTREE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...POTTER...CARSON...GRAY... DEAF SMITH...RANDALL...ARMSTRONG. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 2 AND 9 PM TODAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 15 PERCENT TODAY AND BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 1 AND 4 PM TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 9 PM. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ OKZ001-002-TXZ001-002-006-007-011-220445- /O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ CIMARRON-TEXAS-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM- 1141 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE CENTRAL AND WEST OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING THE CENTRAL AND WEST OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS. IN TEXAS... DALLAM...SHERMAN...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 1 AND 9 PM TODAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 8 PERCENT TODAY AND BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BY 3 PM TODAY AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH 9 PM. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ TXZ005-010-015-019-020-220445- /O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ LIPSCOMB-HEMPHILL-WHEELER-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH- 1141 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. * AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...LIPSCOMB...HEMPHILL...WHEELER... DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ MBS FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
406 WWUS84 KAMA 212037 RFWAMA URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 337 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 9 PM TODAY NORTHWEST OF AN ADRIAN TO DUMAS TO GUYMON LINE AND ACROSS ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES BETWEEN NOON AND 9 PM TUESDAY... OKZ001-002-TXZ001-002-006-007-011-220845- /O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/ CIMARRON-TEXAS-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM- 337 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE CENTRAL AND WEST OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS. IN TEXAS... DALLAM...SHERMAN...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 9 PM TODAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON AND 9 PM TUESDAY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 8 PERCENT TODAY AND BETWEEN 6 AND 11 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. * TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 9 PM TODAY. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. && $$ OKZ003-TXZ003-004-008-009-012>014-016>018-220845- /O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/ BEAVER-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-POTTER-CARSON-GRAY- DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG- 337 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...BEAVER. IN TEXAS...HANSFORD... OCHILTREE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...POTTER...CARSON...GRAY... DEAF SMITH...RANDALL...ARMSTRONG. * WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 9 PM TODAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 15 PERCENT TODAY AND BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. * TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 9 PM. EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES. && $$ TXZ005-010-015-019-020-220845- /O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0009.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ LIPSCOMB-HEMPHILL-WHEELER-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH- 337 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR ALL OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...LIPSCOMB...HEMPHILL...WHEELER... DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. * WIND: WEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. * TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES. && $$ MBS FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
579 WWUS84 KAMA 220201 RFWAMA URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 901 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES BETWEEN NOON AND 9 PM TUESDAY... OKZ003-TXZ003-004-008-009-012>014-016>018-221200- /O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ BEAVER-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-POTTER-CARSON-GRAY- DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG- 901 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...BEAVER. IN TEXAS...HANSFORD... OCHILTREE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...POTTER...CARSON...GRAY... DEAF SMITH...RANDALL...ARMSTRONG. * WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. * TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE... ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES. && $$ OKZ001-002-TXZ001-002-006-007-011-221200- /O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110322T0200Z/ /O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ CIMARRON-TEXAS-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM- 901 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE CENTRAL AND WEST OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS. IN TEXAS... DALLAM...SHERMAN...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM. * WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN NOON AND 9 PM TUESDAY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. * TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE... ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES. && $$ TXZ005-010-015-019-020-221200- /O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0008.110322T1700Z-110323T0200Z/ LIPSCOMB-HEMPHILL-WHEELER-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH- 901 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...LIPSCOMB...HEMPHILL...WHEELER... DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. * WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. * TIMING: EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PLACE... ACCIDENTAL SPARKS OR OPEN FLAMES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO WILDFIRES. && $$ KB FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 20, 1:02 PM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 20, 1:02 PM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
102 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011
.AVIATION...
VFR FORECAST EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERN
THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE DRYLINE HAS MIXED EASTWARD LATE THIS MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON...WINDS AT THE TERMINALS HAVE VEERED AROUND TO
THE SSW. EXPECT THIS GENERAL DIRECTION TO CONTINUE WITH WIND SPEEDS
INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON /GUSTS UP TO 25 KT/ BEFORE DIMINISHING
AROUND 01Z. THE DRYLINE WILL RETREAT THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BACKING
AROUND TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. AS LOW-LEVEL JET CRANKS UP
OVERNIGHT...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTHWARD...AND THERE IS
SOME CONCERN THAT LOW CLOUDS COULD IMPACT KAMA. HOWEVER...THINK WINDS
WILL HAVE ENOUGH OF A SSW COMPONENT TO KEEP THE DEEPEST LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF KAMA. DRYLINE WILL BEGIN TO MIX
EASTWARD AFTER 15Z MONDAY WITH WINDS AGAIN VEERING AROUND TO THE SSW
AND INCREASING IN SPEED.
JACKSON
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1210 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011/
UPDATE...
SURFACE DRYLINE CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL OK PANHANDLE
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE WESTERN/CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO MIX EAST THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EASTERN PANHANDLES.
IMPRESSIVE DRYLINE SHAPING UP...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS OF 5F AT
CAO...-18F AT RTN...AND IN THE UPPER 50S IN THE SOUTHEAST TX
PANHANDLE. WITH THE DRYLINE EXPECTED TO MIX FARTHER EAST THIS
AFTERNOON...HAVE EXPANDED THE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT TO INCLUDE ALL
BUT THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE AT CRITICAL
LEVELS...BUT WINDS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW. MEANWHILE...HAVE
ADDED IN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN TX
PANHANDLE AND FAR SOUTHEAST OK PANHANDLE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
DRYLINE. WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL PROVIDE A FAIRLY STRONG
CAP...BUT AS SURFACE TEMPS WARM INTO THE LOWER 80S...STEEPENING LAPSE
RATES WILL LARGELY ERODE THE CAP RIGHT ALONG THE DRYLINE. CONSIDERING
THIS AND A SHARPER DRYLINE STRUCTURE/BETTER CONVERGENCE THAN
ANTICIPATED 24 HOURS AGO...BELIEVE ISOLATED CONVECTION COULD INITIATE
ALONG THE DRYLINE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. SOME
MODELS ARE HINTING AT THIS POSSIBILITY AS WELL...INCLUDING THE 20/00Z
4KM WRF AND 20/12Z GFS. ANY ISOLATED CONVECTION THAT DOES DEVELOP
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE STRONG TO SEVERE AS 0-1KM MLCAPES
AROUND 1500 J/KG AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 40 KTS ARE EXPECTED JUST
EAST OF THE DRYLINE. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN
THREATS.
KB
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 620 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011/
AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT KDHT AND
KAMA THROUGH 14Z...WHEN DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS SHOULD INCREASE. WIND
SHOULD SHIFT TO SOUTHWESTERLY...AND POSSIBLY EVEN WESTERLY DEPENDING
ON HOW FAR WEST THE DRYLINE MIXES. ONLY HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED AFTER 18Z.
JOHNSON
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011/
DISCUSSION...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHEASTERN CO WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS WESTERN KS AND THEN ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN OK INTO SOUTHEASTERN OK. DRYLINE EXTENDS SOUTH OF THE
SURFACE LOW INTO NORTHEASTERN NM AND THEN TO BETWEEN KCNM. THE DRYLINE
SHOULD MIX EASTWARD TO NEAR THE TX AND NM STATE LINE OR INTO THE
EXTREME WESTERN PANHANDLES BY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE RETREATING BACK
TO THE WEST BY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH CANNOT COMPLETELY
RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY FOR CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE
DRYLINE...IT APPEARS THAT THE PANHANDLES MAY BE TOO CAPPED FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. ALSO...LITTLE IF ANY UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR
CONVECTION TODAY. WILL OPT TO LEAVE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW BUT LATER
SHIFTS WILL NEED TO WATCH CLOSELY IF CONVECTION BEGINS TO DEVELOP.
DRYLINE ON MONDAY EXPECTED TO MIX FARTHER EAST...POSSIBLY TO THE
CAPROCK BY LATE IN THE DAY. SHORTWAVE ENERGY EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE
WESTERN PANHANDLES BY 00Z TUESDAY AND BETTER INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE
DRY LINE OFF THE CAPROCK WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE DEEPER.
WILL LEAVE LOW END SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR CONVECTION MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING BETWEEN 18Z MONDAY AND 06Z TUESDAY. DRYLINE MAY ONCE
AGAIN RETREAT BACK TO THE WEST BY MONDAY NIGHT BUT NOT TOO FAR WEST
AS THE UPPER TROUGH TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN REGION AND
SOUTHWESTERN STATES. DRYLINE MAY STALL SOMEWHERE NEAR THE TX AND NM
STATE LINE. CONCERNED ABOUT CONVECTION POSSIBLY DEVELOPING MONDAY
NIGHT FROM THE NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHWEST TX PANHANDLE AS HINTED BY THE GFS
AND DEPICTED BY THE NAM BETWEEN 00Z TUESDAY AND 06Z TUESDAY. THE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES. DECIDED TO EXPAND THE LOW
END SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO INCLUDE MORE OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
PANHANDLES MONDAY NIGHT. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL KICK THE DRYLINE
EASTWARD OUT OF THE PANHANDLES TUESDAY AND ALSO DRAG A COLD FRONT
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
MUCH COOLER BUT DRY WEDNESDAY AND THEN WARMING BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.
SURFACE LOW AND COLD FRONT DROP DOWN INTO THE PANHANDLES BY LATE
THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY AND FRONT MAY STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY BEFORE A REINFORCING
SURGE OF MUCH COOLER AIR DRIVES THE FRONT COMPLETELY ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES ON SATURDAY. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS...NAMELY THE GFS...CONTINUE
TO INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY FOR CONVECTION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
MAINLY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS. THE ECMWF DOES INDICATE
PRECIP ONLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN TX PANHANDLE AROUND 00Z
FRIDAY...BUT QUICKLY SHIFTS THE PRECIP EAST INTO OK BY 06Z FRIDAY. WILL
CONTINUE WITH DRY FORECAST FOR NOW. CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT PRECIP
LATE THIS WEEK...BUT CONFIDENCE LOW IN THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SOLUTION.
SCHNEIDER
FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EARLY THIS WEEK WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON EXACTLY WHERE THE DRY LINE SETS UP OVER THE PANHANDLES.
TODAY...THE DRY LINE IS EXPECTED TO MIX ABOUT AS FAR EAST AS THE TX
AND NM STATE LINE OR THE FAR WESTERN PANHANDLES BY LATE TODAY. FEEL
THAT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE FAR
WESTERN PANHANDLES BY THIS AFTERNOON. MONDAY...THE DRYLINE SHOULD MIX
TO NEAR THE CAPROCK AND THE POSSIBILITY FOR ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLES
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. EXPANDED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH A ROW OF COUNTIES
IN THE TX PANHANDLE EASTWARD MONDAY. ON TUESDAY...AN UPPER TROUGH
WILL PUSH THE DRYLINE OUT OF THE PANHANDLES AND ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO
DROP INTO THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF THE PANHANDLES BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF THE PANHANDLES.
FEEL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE BELOW CRITICAL AND ELEVATED
LEVELS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS COOLER AND MORE MOIST
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH LIGHTER WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED.
SCHNEIDER
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...
COLLINGSWORTH...DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...
HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...
MOORE...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...
SHERMAN...WHEELER.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...DALLAM...DEAF
SMITH...HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HUTCHINSON...MOORE...OLDHAM...
POTTER...RANDALL...SHERMAN.
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.
&&
13/08Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 20, 12:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 1220 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011 OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-202100- CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB- HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON- GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH- 1220 PM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH VERY DRY GRASSES AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 3 AND 15 PERCENT TO PRODUCE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT FORM ARE EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED IN NATURE...BUT MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES ON MONDAY. BY MONDAY EVENING...THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND TO INCLUDE MUCH OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY ON THE CAPROCK ON MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLES FOR MONDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF THE PANHANDLES ON TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES FOR TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. AREA FIRE MANAGERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. KB
The office that day
Everything else NWS Amarillo, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 4:10 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | AMA | Armstrong, Carson, Collingsworth, Dallam, Deaf Smith, Donley and 14 more | 35 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2011Red Flag Warnings in Oklahoma, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.