Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Amarillo, TX

Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

027 
WWUS84 KAMA 080844
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
344 AM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-082100-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0025.110508T1700Z-110509T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0024.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
344 AM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED TODAY. TOMORROW...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW 5
  PERCENT BOTH DAYS. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE VERY POOR RECOVERY
  OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TONIGHT...WITH SOME LOCATIONS ONLY
  SEEING MAXIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
  TODAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING...THOUGH LOW
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW THROUGH THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL INCREASE...AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
  CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

JOHNSON

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA

372 
WWUS84 KAMA 081554 AAA
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1054 AM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-090400-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0025.110508T1700Z-110509T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0024.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
1054 AM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL
  DEVELOP AROUND NOON TODAY...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET THIS
  EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING. ON MONDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30
  MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY
  EVENING HOURS.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW 5
  PERCENT BOTH TODAY AND MONDAY. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE VERY
  POOR RECOVERY OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TONIGHT WITH MAXIMUM
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 25 PERCENT.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
  TODAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING...THOUGH LOW
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW THROUGH THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL INCREASE AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
  CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP BY LATE MONDAY MORNING...
  CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

MBS

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA

477 
WWUS84 KAMA 081848 AAB
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
148 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-090700-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110509T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0024.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
148 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF 
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALL
OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING. ON
  MONDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
  ARE LIKELY LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR
  BELOW 5 PERCENT BOTH TODAY AND MONDAY. IN ADDITION...THERE 
  WILL BE VERY POOR RECOVERY OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES 
  TONIGHT WITH MAXIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 
  25 PERCENT. 

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 9
  PM THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING...
  THOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW THROUGH THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL INCREASE AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
  CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP BY LATE MONDAY MORNING...
  CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

MBS

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA

910 
WWUS84 KAMA 082021
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
321 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-090830-
/O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0024.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0026.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAMA.FW.A.0025.110510T1700Z-110511T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110509T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
321 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL 
OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING. ON
  MONDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
  50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
  ON TUESDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 2 TO 5 PERCENT CAN BE
  EXPECTED BOTH TODAY AND MONDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF
  5 TO 10 PERCENT ARE LIKELY ON TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE
  VERY POOR RECOVERY OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TONIGHT WITH MAXIMUM
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 8 AND 20 PERCENT. POOR RECOVERY OF
  HUMIDITY VALUES CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT WITH MAXIMUM
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND 40 PERCENT.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 9
  PM THIS EVENING BEFORE WINDS DIMINISH BELOW 20 MPH. CRITICAL FIRE
  WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP BY LATE MONDAY MORNING...
  CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
  ARE LIKELY AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

MBS

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA

279 
WWUS84 KAMA 090204
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
904 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-091300-
/O.EXP.KAMA.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110509T0200Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0026.110509T1600Z-110510T0300Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.A.0025.110510T1700Z-110511T0200Z/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
904 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING EXPIRED AT 9 PM CDT FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

THE RED FLAG WARNING EXPIRED AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON...TEXAS...BEAVER. IN 
  TEXAS...DALLAM...SHERMAN...HANSFORD...OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB... 
  HARTLEY...MOORE...HUTCHINSON...ROBERTS...HEMPHILL...OLDHAM... 
  POTTER...CARSON...GRAY...WHEELER...DEAF SMITH...RANDALL... 
  ARMSTRONG...DONLEY...COLLINGSWORTH. 

* WIND: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50
  MPH CAN BE EXPECTED LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY MONDAY
  EVENING. ON TUESDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
  EVENING HOURS.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 2 TO 5 PERCENT CAN BE
  EXPECTED ON MONDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 5 TO 10
  PERCENT ARE LIKELY ON TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE VERY
  POOR RECOVERY OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TONIGHT WITH MAXIMUM
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 8 AND 20 PERCENT. POOR RECOVERY OF
  HUMIDITY VALUES CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT WITH MAXIMUM
  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND 40 PERCENT.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE
  MONDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE
  WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
  EVENING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

KNS

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1237 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD
COVER. SFC TROUGH HAS MOVED THROUGH THE PANHANDLES...WITH NORTHWEST
WINDS AT THE TERMINALS. WINDS WILL VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
THEN SOUTH SOUTHWEST AS TROUGH REDEVELOPS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS BY 18Z SUNDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011/

..NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY...

UPDATE...
LOWERED TODAY/S HIGHS SLIGHTLY NORTHEAST OF A BOISE CITY TO WHEELER
LINE. MADE VERY SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPERATURES...DEWPOINTS...
AND WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.

WITH FULL SUN AND LIGHT WINDS...GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 MPH...GOOD
HEATING CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 90S.
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH/BOUNDARY WAS LOCATED NEAR A BOOTLEG TO
WELLINGTON LINE AS OF 1115 AM. THIS TROUGH WILL SLOWLY PUSH
NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON.

LOWERED HIGHS SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON AS
HIGHER DEWPOINTS...IN THE 40S AND LOWER 50S...ALONG WITH NORTHEAST
WINDS...MAY LIMIT MIXING SLIGHTLY AND KEEP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY COOLER
THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.

THINK TODAY/S RECORD HIGHS AT BORGER AND DALHART...95 AND 93
RESPECTIVELY...MAY BE IN JEOPARDY...WHILE AMARILLO/S RECORD OF 97
WILL PROBABLY NOT BE REACHED TODAY. THINK HIGHS WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO
THE CENTURY MARK ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE INCLUDING
CLARENDON AND WELLINGTON.

BELIEVE DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH A FEW
MODELS INCLUDING THE 12Z NAM HINTED AT POSSIBLE ISOLATED
CONVECTION/THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE WEST OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
BETWEEN 4 AND 10 PM. WITH STRONG CAPPING AND LACK OF FORCING...DID
NOT INCLUDE RAIN CHANCES AT THIS TIME.

PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

MBS

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 634 AM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011/

AVIATION...
SFC TROF HAS MOVED THRU KGUY AND KDHT AND WILL SLIDE PAST KAMA AROUND
14Z TO 15Z THIS MORNING...RESULTING IN A WSHFT TO THE NW. EXPECT
THESE WINDS TO EVENTUALLY BECOME SE AND THEN SW DURG THIS TAF CYCLE
AS SFC TROF REDEVELOPS WWD IN RESPONSE TO FALLING PRESSURES LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ON OCCASION. VFR
CONDITIONS NEXT 24 HOURS.

ANDRADE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011/

DISCUSSION...
THE APPROACHING SURFACE LOW WILL QUICKLY SHIFT WINDS BACK TO
SOUTHERLY...THOUGH THE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT...LESS THAN 15KT.
THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A VERY DEEP MIXING LAYER TODAY...LEADING
TO A VERY WARM DAY...POSSIBLY SETTING SOME RECORD HIGHS FOR TODAY.

BUT THE WARMING TREND WON'T BE DONE YET! ON SUNDAY...WITH THE TROUGH
AXIS SETTING UP VERY NEAR THE TX AND NM STATE LINE...STRONG WARM AIR
ADVECTION WILL BE ADDED INTO THE MIX LEADING TO POSSIBLY THE WARMEST
DAY OF THE YEAR SO FAR. IN THE TRADITIONAL WARM SPOTS OF THE
CWA...INCLUDING BGD AND OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE BEAVER AND CANADIAN
RIVER VALLEYS...HIGHS COULD BE INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS. IF BORGER
HITS 100 DEGREES...IT WOULD BE THE EARLIEST TRIPLE DIGIT READING OF
THE THREE CLIMATE SITES WE HAVE RECORDS FOR. MOS GUIDANCE INDICATES
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WESTERN PANHANDLES COULD BE FLIRTING WITH WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT WILL KEEP WINDS BELOW CRITERIA FOR NOW. IF
THE TROUGH SETS UP JUST A LITTLE FURTHER EAST...AND CONTINUES TO
SLIDE EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE RAW GFS INDICATES...THEN
WINDS WILL LIKELY BE MUCH LIGHTER ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLES.

MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON SOLUTIONS BEYOND SUNDAY...MAINLY DUE TO
THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD AND DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE
WESTERN U.S.. AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS A SECOND SURFACE
LOW...WHICH IF THE GFS IS RIGHT...WILL MERGE WITH THE FIRST SURFACE
LOW LEADING TO A SURFACE PATTERN ON MONDAY VERY SIMILAR TO
SUNDAY....WITH MUCH THE SAME RESULT...WARM...DRY...AND WINDY.
HOWEVER...ECMWF SHOWS A SLOWER SOLUTION WITH THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH...THUS SHOWING THE NEW SURFACE LOW SLOWER TO DEVELOP. FOR NOW
CONSIDERING THE UNCERTAINTY....WENT CLOSE TO GUIDANCE AND THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

THE BIGGEST IMPACT IN THE DIFFERENCES OF THE TIMING OF THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH IS THE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY TIME FRAME. THE GFS
SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CLOSING OFF ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN U.S.
WITH ONLY A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
WHEREAS THE ECMWF SHOWS NOT ONLY THE CLOSED LOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN
U.S. BUT ALSO A SECOND UPPER LEVEL LOW CLOSING OFF OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. AS A RESULT...THE ECMWF IS EVEN SLOWER AS COMPARED TO
THE GFS. WITH THE SURFACE PATTERN...THE GFS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT
PUSHING THROUGH THE PANHANDLES TUESDAY NIGHT...WHILE WITH THE
ECMWF...THE FRONT BECOMES A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY...BEFORE FINALLY PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IN THE ECMWF SEEMS ANOMALOUS FOR SO
LATE IN THE SEASON...THUS THE FORECAST FAVORS THE GFS SOLUTION.

JOHNSON

FIRE WEATHER...
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND THOUGH DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUE...RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE ANY
ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. HOWEVER...BY
TOMORROW...AN APPROACHING SURFACE TROUGH WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.
UNFORTUNATELY...THE PATTERN WILL BE SLOW TO CHANGE AS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WILL ALSO BRING ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
A COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING
SOME RELIEF...AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE 20
PERCENT FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

JOHNSON

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...
     COLLINGSWORTH...DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...
     HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...
     MOORE...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...
     SHERMAN...WHEELER.

OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.

&&

10/17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
424 AM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-072100-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
424 AM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF THE
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES ON SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY GRASSES. AS A RESULT...A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
SUNDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES.

ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY
AND TUESDAY ACROSS ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES DUE TO
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY GRASSES.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA
AND TEXAS PANHANDLES TUESDAY NIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AREA FIRE MANAGERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ANDRADE