Frost Advisory 4, NWS Amarillo, TX

877 
WWUS74 KAMA 190325
NPWAMA

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1025 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011

OKZ002-191500-
/O.CON.KAMA.FZ.W.0004.111019T0500Z-111019T1500Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FZ.A.0004.111020T0500Z-111020T1500Z/
TEXAS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GUYMON
1025 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY. A
FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. 

* EVENT: THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON CAN BE EXPECTED LATE 
  TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS TEXAS COUNTY. LOW 
  TEMPERATURES WILL BE 31 TO 32 DEGREES IN THESE LOCATIONS 
  TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE AROUND 32 
  DEGREES. 

* TIMING: THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTEST WINDS WILL OCCUR 
  BETWEEN 3 AM AND 10 AM BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. 

* IMPACTS: THOSE WITH OUTDOOR SENSITIVE PLANTS AND AGRICULTURE 
  INTERESTS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THE PLANTS FROM SUB 
  FREEZING TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS 
  WELL AS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY. THESE
CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

OKZ001-TXZ001-002-006-007-011-016-191500-
/O.CON.KAMA.FZ.W.0004.111019T0500Z-111019T1500Z/
CIMARRON-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM-DEAF SMITH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOISE CITY...KEYES...DALHART...
STRATFORD...HARTLEY...CHANNING...DUMAS...VEGA...HEREFORD
1025 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY. 

* EVENT: THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...AS
  WELL AS THE NORTHWESTERN AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. LOW
  TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 28 TO 32 DEGREES IN THESE LOCATIONS.

* TIMING: THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTEST WINDS WILL OCCUR 
  BETWEEN 3 AM AND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS: THOSE WITH OUTDOOR SENSITIVE PLANTS AND AGRICULTURE 
  INTERESTS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THE PLANTS FROM SUB 
  FREEZING TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

OKZ003-TXZ003>005-009-010-014-015-191500-
/O.CON.KAMA.FR.Y.0004.111019T0500Z-111019T1500Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FZ.A.0004.111020T0500Z-111020T1500Z/
BEAVER-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-GRAY-WHEELER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVER...FORGAN...SPEARMAN...GRUVER...
PERRYTON...BOOKER...HIGGINS...FOLLETT...MIAMI...CANADIAN...
PAMPA...SHAMROCK...WHEELER
1025 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY. A
FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. 

* EVENT: TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 33 AND 36 DEGREES...COMBINED WITH CLEAR
  SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO FROST DEVELOPMENT IN THE EASTERN
  OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS THE NORTHEASTERN AND EASTERN TEXAS
  PANHANDLE. THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON IS LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS. LOW
  TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 30 TO 32 DEGREES IN
  THESE SAME LOCATIONS.

* TIMING: THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTEST WINDS WILL OCCUR 
  BETWEEN 3 AM AND 10 AM WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. 

* IMPACTS: THOSE WITH OUTDOOR SENSITIVE PLANTS AND AGRICULTURE 
  INTERESTS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THE PLANTS FROM FROST 
  LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AND FROM SUB FREEZING 
  TEMPERATURES LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF 33 TO
36 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED WITH WIND SPEEDS LESS THAN 10 MPH AND
GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES. THESE CONDITIONS MAY OR MAY NOT CAUSE
FROST TO DEVELOP. HOWEVER...SENSITIVE PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF
LEFT UNCOVERED.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY. THESE
CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

TXZ008-012-013-017>019-191500-
/O.CON.KAMA.FR.Y.0004.111019T0500Z-111019T1500Z/
HUTCHINSON-POTTER-CARSON-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BORGER...AMARILLO...PANHANDLE...
WHITE DEER...CANYON...CLAUDE...CLARENDON
1025 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY. 

* EVENT: TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 33 AND 36 DEGREES...COMBINED WITH CLEAR
  SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO FROST DEVELOPMENT ACROSS MUCH OF
  THE CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE LATE TONIGHT
  INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* TIMING: THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTEST WINDS WILL OCCUR 
  BETWEEN 3 AM AND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS: THOSE WITH OUTDOOR SENSITIVE PLANTS AND AGRICULTURE 
  INTERESTS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THE PLANTS FROM FROST 
  LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF 33 TO
36 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED WITH WIND SPEEDS LESS THAN 10 MPH AND
GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES. THESE CONDITIONS MAY OR MAY NOT CAUSE
FROST TO DEVELOP. HOWEVER...SENSITIVE PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF
LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

COCKRELL

931 
WWUS74 KAMA 191424
NPWAMA

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
924 AM CDT WED OCT 19 2011

OKZ002-192200-
/O.CAN.KAMA.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111019T1500Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FZ.A.0004.111020T0500Z-111020T1500Z/
TEXAS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GUYMON
924 AM CDT WED OCT 19 2011

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZE
WARNING. A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 


* EVENT: THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
  THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS TEXAS COUNTY. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
  BE AROUND 31 TO 32 DEGREES TONIGHT.

* TIMING: THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
  BETWEEN 3 AM AND 10 AM THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS: THOSE WITH OUTDOOR SENSITIVE PLANTS AND AGRICULTURE 
  INTERESTS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THE PLANTS FROM SUB 
  FREEZING TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS 
  WELL AS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

OKZ001-TXZ001-002-006-007-011-016-191530-
/O.CAN.KAMA.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111019T1500Z/
CIMARRON-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HARTLEY-MOORE-OLDHAM-DEAF SMITH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOISE CITY...KEYES...DALHART...
STRATFORD...HARTLEY...CHANNING...DUMAS...VEGA...HEREFORD
924 AM CDT WED OCT 19 2011

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZE
WARNING. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE INCREASED INTO THE 40S THIS MORNING THEREFORE THE
FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. .

$$

OKZ003-TXZ003>005-009-010-014-015-192200-
/O.CAN.KAMA.FR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-111019T1500Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FZ.A.0004.111020T0500Z-111020T1500Z/
BEAVER-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-GRAY-WHEELER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVER...FORGAN...SPEARMAN...GRUVER...
PERRYTON...BOOKER...HIGGINS...FOLLETT...MIAMI...CANADIAN...
PAMPA...SHAMROCK...WHEELER
924 AM CDT WED OCT 19 2011

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS CANCELLED THE FROST
ADVISORY. A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 

* EVENT: THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON IS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO
  THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
  WILL RANGE FROM 30 TO 32 DEGREES.

* TIMING: THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
  BETWEEN 3 AM AND 10 AM THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS: THOSE WITH OUTDOOR SENSITIVE PLANTS AND AGRICULTURE 
  INTERESTS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THE PLANTS FROM FROST 
  LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AND FROM SUB FREEZING 
  TEMPERATURES LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

TXZ008-012-013-017>019-191530-
/O.CAN.KAMA.FR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-111019T1500Z/
HUTCHINSON-POTTER-CARSON-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BORGER...AMARILLO...PANHANDLE...
WHITE DEER...CANYON...CLAUDE...CLARENDON
924 AM CDT WED OCT 19 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS CANCELLED THE FROST
ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE INCREASED INTO THE 40S THIS MORNING THEREFORE THE
FROST ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1222 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011

.AVIATION...
VFR FORECAST CONTINUES THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST
TO NEAR 30 KNOTS DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT SUBSIDE AROUND 00Z.
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1008 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011/

UPDATE...
CANCELLED THE FROST ADVISORY THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES EARLIER THIS MORNING. ALSO...INCREASED WINDS
THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SINCE SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE 36 DEGREES AND ANY FROST
HAS MELTED...CANCELLED THE FROST ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING.

INCREASED WINDS OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THINKING SURFACE WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

A FREEZE WATCH CONTINUES ACROSS THE WEST OKLAHOMA AND FAR WEST TEXAS
PANHANDLES LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. FROST ADVISORIES WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR THE REST OF THE PANHANDLES EXCEPT THE FAR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE. WILL EVALUATE LATEST DATA AND MAKE
FROST/FREEZE PRODUCT DECISIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

MBS

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 646 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011/

AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS ARE PUSHING S AND E OF THE TAF SITES AS OF THIS WRITING
AND SHOULD NOT POSE AN AVIATION HAZARD. WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
WEATHER ELEMENT TODAY. EXPECT SPEEDS TO RAMP UP BY MID MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN DIMINISH BY SUNSET THIS
EVENING. WIND SPEEDS TODAY SHOULD NOT BE AS STRONG AS THOSE OBSERVED
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS NEXT 24 HOURS.

ANDRADE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011/

DISCUSSION...
IN ADDITION TO THE WINDS TAKING LONGER TO DECOUPLE THAN PREVIOUSLY
EXPECTED...LOW CLOUDS ALSO DEVELOPED AND ADVECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN PANHANDLES. ALSO...DRY AIR ADVECTION IS NOT AS STRONG AS
PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...AS DEW POINT TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE REGION...EVEN IN THE ADVISORY AREA...REMAIN IN THE MID AND
UPPER 30S...AND EVEN LOWER 40S. STILL...WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO
DECOUPLE IN THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...AND LOW CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO
DISSIPATE...SO WILL KEEP THE FROST ADVISORY GOING AND REEVALUATE NEAR
SUNRISE.

ANOTHER WINDY DAY IS ON TAP FOR THE REGION TODAY. HOWEVER...THE CORE
OF THE LOW LEVEL AND EVEN MID LEVEL JETS SHOULD BE EAST OF THE
PANHANDLES. THUS...EXPECT LOWER WIND SPEEDS TODAY AS COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY. THE GFS MOS IS ONCE AGAIN HINTING AT WINDS NEAR ADVISORY
CRITERIA TODAY...BUT CONSIDERING THAT WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS ONLY
OCCURRED BRIEFLY BEHIND THE POTENT FRONT...AND ONLY IN THE FAR
SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLE YESTERDAY...THINK THAT WIND ADVISORY IS
UNLIKELY TODAY.

FORECAST FOCUS REMAINS ON THE LOW TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 2
NIGHTS ESPECIALLY. WINDS SHOULD DECOUPLE QUICKLY WITH SUNSET
TONIGHT...AND WITH WIDESPREAD SUBSIDENCE...AND LOW LEVEL DRY AIR
ADVECTION...DO NOT EXPECT ANY CLOUDS TO DEVELOP TONIGHT. THUS TONIGHT
LOOKS TO BE THE COOLEST NIGHT OF THE SEASON THUS FAR. RELATIVELY HIGH
CONFIDENCE THAT THE FAR WESTERN PANHANDLES WILL SEE THE FIRST FREEZE
OF THE SEASON TONIGHT. LESS CONFIDENT...BUT STILL POSSIBLE...THAT A
HARD FREEZE COULD OCCUR IN CIMARRON COUNTY TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...CONSIDERING THAT MOST OF THIS SAME AREA IS ALREADY UNDER A
FROST ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING...HAVE HELD OFF ON UPGRADING THE
FREEZE WATCH FOR SIMPLICITY/S SAKE. FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE
REGION...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FROST DEVELOPMENT LOOK LIKELY. THE
EXCEPTIONS TO THIS WOULD BE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN TX PANHANDLE AND THE
CENTRAL CANADIAN RIVER VALLEY...INCLUDING BORGER...WHICH TEND TO BE
WARMER THAN THE REST OF THE PANHANDLES ON NIGHTS WITH CONSIDERABLE
RADIATIONAL COOLING...SUCH AS TONIGHT.

BOTH THE MAV AND MET GUIDANCE CAME IN COOLER...AS COMPARED TO
YESTERDAYS RUNS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS IS LIKELY A RESULT OF THE
LOWER DEW POINT TEMPERATURES THAT ARE EXPECTED BY TONIGHT. THUS
FROST...AND EVEN FREEZE...HIGHLIGHTS MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

IN THE EXTENDED...THE MAV/MEX SHOWED A MUCH MORE GRADUAL WARMING
TREND WHICH SEEMS REASONABLE CONSIDERING AIR MASS MODIFICATION WILL
TAKE A WHILE CONSIDERING HOW COLD THIS AIR MASS IS. BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF SHOW THE WEEKEND COLD FRONT ARRIVING ON SATURDAY...OR ABOUT 24
HOURS EARLIER AS COMPARED TO YESTERDAYS RUN. THIS IS PROBLEMATIC
BECAUSE IT NOW LOOKS UNLIKELY THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THIS EARLIER FRONTAL ARRIVAL TO RESULT IN ANY
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. THOUGH IT IS STILL FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD...THE ECMWF IS SHOWING A VERY STRONG COLD FRONT BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE GFS SHOWS A FRONT IN THIS TIME PERIOD AS WELL...BUT NOT AS
STRONG AND GENERALLY DRY. FOR NOW...KEPT THE FORECAST DRY IN THE
EXTENDED DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY.

JOHNSON

FIRE WEATHER...
LATEST MODEL RUNS AND UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT CONDITIONS
WILL BE CLOSE...BUT NOT AT...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN...WITH NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25
MPH EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL TAKE MOST OF THE DAY FOR THE DRY
AIR...AND LOWER DEWPOINTS TO FILTER INTO THE REGION. THUS...WHILE
ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY SEE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR OR AT 20
PERCENT...THESE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AFTER THE WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED. SO WILL NOT
ISSUE A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT AT THIS TIME...BUT WILL WATCH OBS
CLOSELY...ESPECIALLY IN THE CENTRAL PANHANDLES WHICH COULD HAVE THE
LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES....IN CASE THE DRIER AIR IS ADVECTED
QUICKER THAN EXPECTED.

TOMORROW...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
EASTERN PANHANDLES WHERE WINDS WILL BE NEAR OR ABOVE 15 MPH...WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT. FOR THE REST OF
THE PANHANDLES...WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH...PRECLUDING ANY
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

BEYOND TOMORROW...WINDS LOOK TO BE LIGHT ENOUGH FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS TO PRECLUDE ANY ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

JOHNSON

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FREEZE WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...HARTLEY...
     MOORE...OLDHAM...SHERMAN.

OK...FREEZE WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.

&&

10/17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
951 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-182100-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
951 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER ALL OF THE
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE...CAUTION IS ADVISED ON AREA LAKES TODAY.

A MORE WIDESPREAD FROST AND FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE 30S
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY IN THE
WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLES TONIGHT. A FREEZE
WATCH IS IN EFFECT BEGINNING TONIGHT FOR THESE LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE FROST AND FREEZE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. THE
FREEZE WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH 10 AM CDT. FROST IS ALSO POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT OVER MUCH OF THE PANHANDLES.

BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT COULD RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE EASTERN PANHANDLES WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AREA FIRE MANAGERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY.

TB