Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2011
Winter Storm Warning 7, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this winter storm warning at Feb 5, 2011, 4:39 AM EST for Bennington County, Windham County, Vermont; 5 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 5, 2011, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 14 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 5, 2011, 4:39 AM EST (09:39 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 5, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 6, 2011, 3:04 AM EST
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
Counties Fulton County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1989 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 154 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 204 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
479 WWUS41 KALY 050939 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 439 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 VTZ013>015-051800- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0006.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0007.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 439 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: SOUTHERN VERMONT * HAZARDS: MODERATE SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH THE HIGHER TOTALS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING BY MID AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. THIS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. * TEMPERATURES: SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS SATURDAY MORNING... INTO THE LOWER 30S DURING THE AFTERNOON...THEN DROPPING BACK INTO THE 20S TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ032-033-042-043-082-083-051800- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0006.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0007.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD... GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS 439 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND LAKE GEORGE REGION. * HAZARDS: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...AS WELL AS SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE. * ACCUMULATIONS: 6 TO 9 INCHES. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH THE CHANCE FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. * TEMPERATURES: WARMING THROUGH THE 20S AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE LOWER 30S DURING THE AFTERNOON...DROPPING BACK INTO THE 20S TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ041-084-051800- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0006.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0007.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN SARATOGA-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARATOGA SPRINGS...HUDSON FALLS... FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH 439 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS: NORTHERN SARATOGA AND SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES. * HAZARDS: MODERATE SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH THE HIGHER TOTALS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. * TEMPERATURES: WARMING THROUGH THE 20S AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE LOWER 30S DURING THE AFTERNOON...DROPPING BACK INTO THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NYZ038>040-047>054-058-063-051800- /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0007.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE- WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA- WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS... MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN... AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON... ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA... MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY... HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN... ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH... PHOENICIA 439 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: CATSKILLS...MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL REGION AND NORTHERN TACONICS. * HAZARDS: MODERATE SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS: 1 TO 4 INCHES...ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. * TEMPERATURES: WARMING THROUGH THE 20S AND EVENTUALLY TO BETWEEN 30 AND 35 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOON...DROPPING BACK INTO THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ059>061-064>066-051800- /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0007.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA- EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ... POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS... MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON 439 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: BERKSHIRES...MID HUDSON VALLEY...AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARDS: LIGHT SNOW...CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BRIEFLY LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS: UP TO 1 INCH OF SNOW WITH UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING BY LATE THIS MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO PARTIALLY SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. * TEMPERATURES: WARMING THROUGH THE 20S AND EVENTUALLY TO BETWEEN 32 AND 37 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOON...DROPPING BACK INTO THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
4 follow-up statements
214 WWUS41 KALY 051756 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1256 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 VTZ013>015-060500- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0007.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 1256 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: SOUTHERN VERMONT * HAZARDS: MODERATE SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS: 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IN THE VALLEYS AND 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET. ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION BEGINNING MID AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. THIS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. * TEMPERATURES: HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOWS IN THE 20S TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ032-033-042-043-082-083-060500- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0007.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD... GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS 1256 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND LAKE GEORGE REGION. * HAZARDS: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...AS WELL AS SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...WITH A QUARTER TO A THIRD OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE MAINLY FROM THE SACANDAGA LAKE REGION NORTHEAST TO LAKE GEORGE. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. THIS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. * TEMPERATURES: HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-047>054-058>061-063>066-084- 060500- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0007.110205T1800Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY- NORTHERN SARATOGA-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK... FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM... BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY... TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS... HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK... WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON... NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING... DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON... HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH 1256 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: SARATOGA REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...EASTERN CATSKILLS...TACONICS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...BERKSHIRES AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARDS: LIGHT SNOW...CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME RAIN POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATER THIS EVENING AND ENDING AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW LATE TONIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS: 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...WITH THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS IN THE EASTERN CATSKILLS AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY. A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO PARTIALLY SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. * TEMPERATURES: HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30 TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
798 WWUS41 KALY 060010 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 710 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 VTZ013>015-061100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 710 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: SOUTHERN VERMONT * HAZARDS: RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BY MIDNIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IN THE VALLEYS AND 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET. AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: MIXED PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO SNOW BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN ENDING BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. THIS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ032-033-042-043-082-083-061100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD... GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS 710 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND LAKE GEORGE REGION. * HAZARDS: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...WITH UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE. * TIMING: SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE MIDNIGHT...THEN END BEFORE SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. THIS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-047>054-058>061-063>066-084- 061100- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY- NORTHERN SARATOGA-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK... FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM... BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY... TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS... HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK... WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON... NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING... DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON... HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH 710 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: SARATOGA REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY... GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...EASTERN CATSKILLS...TACONICS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...BERKSHIRES AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARDS: RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THIS EVENING WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS: 1 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...WITH THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS IN THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY TO THE SARATOGA REGION. A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN END BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO PARTIALLY SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
175 WWUS41 KALY 060337 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1037 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 VTZ013>015-061100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 1037 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: SOUTHERN VERMONT * HAZARDS: RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW AROUND MIDNIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS: STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IN THE VALLEYS AND 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET. TOTAL OF UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: MIXED PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO SNOW BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN ENDING BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. THIS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ NYZ032-033-042-043-082-083-061100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD... GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS 1037 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND LAKE GEORGE REGION. * HAZARDS: MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: STORM TOTALS 3 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...WITH UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE. * TIMING: ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED BACK TO ALL SNOW AND WILL REMAIN SNOW THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT...BEFORE ENDING BY SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. THIS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-047>054-058>061-063>066-084- 061100- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY- NORTHERN SARATOGA-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK... FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM... BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY... TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS... HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK... WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON... NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING... DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON... HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH 1037 PM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS: SARATOGA REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY... GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...EASTERN CATSKILLS... TACONICS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...BERKSHIRES AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARDS: RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THIS EVENING WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS: STORM TOTALS 1 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...WITH THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS IN THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY TO THE SARATOGA REGION. A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING: MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN END BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO PARTIALLY SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE ACCRETION ON UNTREATED SURFACES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
817 WWUS41 KALY 060804 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 304 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 NYZ032-033-042-043-082-083-VTZ013>015-060915- /O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD... GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE... NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 304 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE REGION AND SOUTHERN VERMONT HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. UNTREATED SURFACES MAY STILL EXPERIENCE SOME HAZARDS...PLEASE EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-047>054-058>061-063>066-084- 060915- /O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110206T1100Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY- NORTHERN SARATOGA-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK... FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM... BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY... TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS... HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK... WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON... NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING... DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON... HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH 304 AM EST SUN FEB 6 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE MOHAWK VALLEY...CATSKILLS...CAPITAL REGION...MID HUDSON VALLEY...NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT AND THE BERKSHIRES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. UNTREATED SURFACES MAY STILL EXPERIENCE SOME HAZARDS...PLEASE EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 5, 4:09 AM EST, 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 4:09 AM EST, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
409 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
A COMPLEX WINTER STORM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT WITH A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION. THIS STORM WILL
EXIT THE REGION ON SUNDAY WITH A BRISK WESTERLY FLOW IN ITS WAKE.
A FAST MOVING CLIPPER IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED THERMAL PROFILES TO IMPACT
THE REGION DURING THIS NEAR TERM. FIRST...AN EXTENDED THANKS TO
NEIGHBORING OFFICES FOR EXCELLENT COLLABORATION THIS SATURDAY
MORNING.
TO START...WE WILL UPGRADE OUR NORTHERN 1/3RD OF THE CWA INTO
WINTER STORM WARNINGS FOR MAINLY SNOW...WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE
CWA INTO WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES.
THIS MORNINGS H20 VAPOR LOOP REVEALS A COMPACT AND RATHER STRONG
CLOSED UPPER LOW TRACKING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY THIS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WAS BECOMING ELONGATED WITHIN THE CONFLUENT FLOW
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO NEW ENGLAND. POTENT 130KT UPPER
JET WAS QUICKLY TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WHICH
WILL PLACE OUR REGION INTO FAVORABLE DYNAMICS LATER TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. UPSTREAM RADAR MOSAIC SUPPORTS A RAPID INCREASE IN
REFLECTIVITES ACROSS PA /MAINLY MID LEVEL ECHOES AT THE MOMENT
WITH INCREASED ACCAS PER IR SATELLITE IMAGERY/ PER THIS
AFOREMENTIONED JET ALONG WITH TWO OTHER AREAS OF PRECIP. ONE AREA
WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW AND DEVELOPING DEFORMATION ZONE
ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND WITHIN THE DEVELOPING WARM
SECTOR/LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES.
UP TO NOW...NCEP MODEL SUITE HAD SUGGESTED THIS STORM WOULD TRACK
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION WITH JUST A FEW EARLIER ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS TRACKING THIS FAR WEST. WITH THE LATEST 00Z RUNS AND
SUPPORT FROM THE 06Z NAM...SEEMS THIS LOW WILL TRACK FURTHER WEST
AND THE UPPER LOW TO REMAIN RATHER STRONG AS IT TRANSVERSES THE
AREA THIS EVENING. PRECEDING THIS STORM...A HEALTHY AREA OF WARM
ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL ENCOMPASS THE REGION FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH THROUGH THIS MORNING PER THE RADAR MOSAIC UPSTREAM AND
THE LATEST RUC13/HRRR EXPERIMENTAL REFLECTIVITY FORECASTS.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MAINLY SNOW WITH THE ONSET AS WET BULB
EFFECT TAKES SHAPE. HOWEVER...WITH THE WARM ADVECTION
CONTINUING AND BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING...WE WILL A TRANSITION
TOWARD A WINTRY MIXTURE OF SN/IP AND POCKETS OF FZRA THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WOULD BE OUR
DACKS...NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
GREENS WITH MAINLY SNOW.
WITH CONTINUED BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING AND RISING TEMPS
ALOFT...SEEMS A TRANSITION TO PLAIN RAIN COULD OCCUR FOR THE MID
HUDSON VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF LITCHFIELD COUNTY LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. THE RAIN/SNOW LINE MAY LINE UP ACROSS THE MOHAWK
RIVER AND INTO THE UPPER HUDSON RIVER VALLEY PER THICKNESS AND
TOP-DOWN WX TECHNIQUE. SO IN-BETWEEN IS WHERE THE FORECAST IS VERY
COMPLEX WITH A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIP TYPES. AT THIS
TIME...SEEMS THE BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING ICE ACCRETION
WOULD OCCUR WITHIN THE MOHAWK VALLEY...SARATOGA REGION INTO
PORTIONS OF THE GREENS.
QPF ALONG WITH HPC-WWD COLLABORATION...THE DACKS INTO NORTHERN
WASHINGTON COUNTY HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCE FOR WARNING LEVEL
SNOWFALL. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE TRUE IF THE DEFORMATION AXIS
SLIDES ACROSS THIS REGION TONIGHT WITH ENHANCED BANDED PRECIP. THE
COMPLEX THERMAL PROFILES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AS
THIS STORM MOVES ACROSS THE HEART OF THE CWA WITH EVEN THE CHANCE
FOR THE DRY SLOT MOVING ACROSS THE CATSKILLS...NW CT INTO PORTIONS
OF THE BERKS. IN FACT...SPC HAS PLACED THE GENERAL THUNDER-LINE
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 1/2 OF THE CWA. A CLOSER EXAMINATION OF THOSE
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SHOWALTERS...THE THUNDER CHANCE SEEMS
TO BE JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT WHERE LAPSE RATE
IS AROUND 6 C/KM AND SHOWALTERS NEAR 0C . WILL NOT INCLUDE THE
MENTION OF THUNDER AT THIS TIME BUT SOMETHING TO WATCH CLOSELY.
COLD ADVECTION ALONG WITH LOWERING SURFACE PRESSURE COMMENCES
OVERNIGHT WITH ALL WINTRY MIXTURE REVERTING BACK TO SNOW WITH
ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS. COULD SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
MODERATE-HEAVY SNOW WITH INCREASED UPSLOPE CONDITIONS FOR THE
GREENS AND NORTHERN BERKS.
HAVE FOLLOWED A BLEND OF MOS GUIDANCE AND LAV/LAMP FOR HOURLY
TEMPS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/...
AS THIS STORM DEPARTS...IT CONTINUES TO DEEPEN WITH TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. WING GUSTS TO AROUND 20KTS
ARE EXPECTED. LAKE ONTARIO RESPONSE IS EXPECTED...BUT INLAND
EXTENT REMAINS IN QUESTION AS INCREASING ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
COMMENCES. FOR NOW...LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES
DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO AND FOR FAVORABLE UPSLOPE CONDITIONS OF
THE DACKS INTO THE SOUTHERN GREENS AND NORTHERN BERKS.
BASED ON MIXING LAYER HEIGHTS AOA 900MB...HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY SHOULD ACHIEVE MID 30S FOR THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY...NW CT
AND SOUTHERN BERKS WITH UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ELSEWHERE /CLOSER
TO THE MAV NUMBERS/.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL APPROACH FROM THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES AREA ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY. SKIES WILL CLOUD UP SUNDAY EVENING WITH LOWS
SUNDAY NIGHT FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE ADIRONDACKS TO
THE UPPER TEENS IN THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...WITH A CHANCE
OF SNOW IN THE WESTERN ZONES. THE CHANCE OF SNOW WILL INCREASE
AND SPREAD EASTWARD MONDAY AND AS WARM AIR GETS DRAWN INTO THE
SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST WE WILL BE LOOKING AT THE SNOW MIXING
WITH AND CHANGING TO RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF THE
REGION. IT SHOULD STAY ALL SNOW OVER THE ADIRONDACKS AND THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN VERMONT. AS IT COOLS LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY EVENING THE RAIN AND MIX WILL CHANGE BACK
TO ALL SNOW. THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THE MARITIMES ON TUESDAY. A TIGHT GRADIENT WILL RESULT
IN STRONG WEST NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WHICH WILL BRING ARCTIC AIR
INTO THE REGION TUESDAY AND WITH IT THE LIKELIHOOD OF LAKE EFFECT
SNOW DOWN MUCH OF THE MOHAWK VALLEY WITH CHANCE POPS IN THE
CAPITAL DISTRICT...CATSKILLS...AND NORTHERN BERKSHIRES AND
LIKELY POPS IN THE MOHAWK VALLEY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER TEENS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE LOW 30S IN THE
HUDSON VALLEY SOUTH OF ALBANY. THE LAKE EFFECT WILL DIMINISH
SOME TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DRY WEATHER ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
AND SOME PARTIAL CLEARING WITH LOWS PLUNGING TO TEN BELOW ZERO
IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND INTO THE SINGLE PLUS DIGITS IN THE HUDSON
VALLEY. THE UPPER TROF MOVING ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY
WILL RESULT IN LOTS OF CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS MOSTLY
NORTH AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL REGION. HIGHS WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER TEENS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE MID AND
UPPER 20S IN THE VALLEYS. ON THURSDAY A LOW GETS ORGANIZED
NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AND MOVES UP ALONG THE COAST TO EAST OF
CAPE COD BY THURSDAY EVENING AND INTO THE MARITIMES BY FRIDAY
MORNING. SOME QUESTION REMAINS HOW MUCH THIS LOW WILL AFFECT
THE REGION. IT SHOULD BE COLD ENOUGH FOR THE PRECIP TO BE ALL
SNOW AND MODELS ARE CURRENTLY KEEPING MOST OF THE PRECIP WELL
OFFSHORE. CURRENTLY INDICATE AMOUNTS ARE LESS THAN ADVISORY
CRITERIA...BUT A SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THE LOW COULD MAKE
THINGS VERY DIFFERENT. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 10 BELOW TO 10 ABOVE...WITH HIGHS THURSDAY MOSTLY IN
THE 20S. THE UPPER TROF MOVES ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY
RESULTING IN LOTS OF CLOUDS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION ALONG
WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND FROM
LAKE ONTARIO...AND HIGHS FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE
ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT TO THE MID 20S IN THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. ALL IN ALL...CONTINUED COLD WITH
TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL...AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH
LOTS OF CLOUDS AND PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRESENTLY...ONLY SOME SCT HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION WITH CALM...
OR NEARLY CALM WINDS. VFR SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION UNTIL
AROUND 13Z AT KPOU...18Z AT KALB...AND 20Z AT KGFL AFTER WHICH
CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE. COMPLEX WEATHER SITUATION
DEVELOPING WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A VARIETY OF PRECIP TYPES
ACROSS THE REGION. THE PRECIP WILL START AS SNOW JUST ABOUT EVERY
WHERE...BUT RAPIDLY CHANGE OVER TO SLEET/FREEZING RAIN AT KPOU
WITH THE MIX PROGRESSING NORTHWARD TO KALB AROUND 20Z-22Z. IT
MAY REMAIN ALL SNOW AT KGFL OR MIX WITH SLEET AFTER 22Z. WIDE
SPREAD IFR AFTER 18Z AT KPOU AND AFTER 22Z FARTHER NORTH DUE TO
PRECIP...MIST...AND LOW CIGS. IFR EXPECTED TO PERSIST THRU THE
END OF THE TAF PERIOD AT 06Z. SOME IMPROVEMENT MAY OCCUR AROUND
DAYBREAK SUNDAY.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK
AND GRADUALLY BACK AROUND TO A SOUTHEAST TO EASTERLY DIRECTION
BY EVENING.
OUTLOOK...
TONIGHT...IFR IN LOW CLDS...PRECIP...MIST...SLOWLY IMPROVING TO
MVFR AROUND DAYBREAK.
SUNDAY...VFR...AREAS OF MVFR IN LOW CLOUDS THRU MID AFTERNOON.
SUN NGT..VFR...NO SIG WX.
MON-MON NGT...MVFR-IFR...CHC -SN/-SHSN.
TUE-TUE NGT...VFR...CHC DAYTIME MVFR -SHSN KGFL
WED...VFR...SLGT CHC -SHSN.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
THIRD WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK ISSUED FRIDAY MORNING
/YESTERDAY/. PLEASE SEE /ESFALY/ FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
MOST RIVER GAGES ARE CONTINUING TO SHOW ICE EFFECTS. RIVER ICE WILL
CONTINUE TO THICKEN WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK.
FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR CTZ001-013.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR NYZ038>041-047>054-058>061-063>066-084.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR NYZ032-033-042-043-082-083.
MA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR MAZ001-025.
VT...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR VTZ013>015.
&&
SYNOPSIS...BGM
NEAR TERM...BGM
SHORT TERM...BGM
LONG TERM...RCK
AVIATION...RCK
HYDROLOGY...SND/RCK/BGM
FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANYHazardous weather outlook, Feb 5, 12:10 AM EST, 4 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1210 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 NYZ032-033-041>043-082>084-VTZ013>015-051200- NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- 1210 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN VERMONT...ADIRONDACKS AND LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA VICINITY. .DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. MAZ001-NYZ038>040-047>054-058-063-051200- NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY- SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA- WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- 1210 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN BERKSHIRES OF MASSACHUSETTS...MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL REGION...EASTERN CATSKILLS. .DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A MODERATE WINTER WEATHER EVENT IS POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH NIGHT. SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH THE SOUTHERN MOST PART OF THE REGION POSSIBLY CHANGING TO ALL PLAIN RAIN FOR A TIME LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICING ARE POSSIBLE. WINTER WEATHER STATEMENTS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR MUCH OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ059>061-064>066-051200- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE- EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER- WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- 1210 AM EST SAT FEB 5 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES AND THE MID HUDSON VALLEY. .DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A MODERATE WINTER WEATHER EVENT IS POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NIGHT. SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH PORTIONS OF THE REGION POSSIBLY CHANGING TO ALL PLAIN RAIN FOR A TIME LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICING ARE POSSIBLE. WINTER WEATHER STATEMENTS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 4:39 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | ALY | Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Fulton, Greene, Herkimer and 7 more | 22 hr |
| Feb 5, 5:17 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | ALY | Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Ulster | 4 hr |
| Feb 5, 5:20 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | ALY | Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Ulster | 4 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2011Winter Storm Warnings in Vermont, 2011Every winter storm warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.