Severe Thunderstorm Warning 156, NWS Albany, NY

325 
WWUS51 KALY 190030
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
830 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

CTC005-NYC027-190045-
/O.CON.KALY.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-110819T0045Z/
LITCHFIELD CT-DUTCHESS NY-
830 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL DUTCHESS AND SOUTHWESTERN LITCHFIELD COUNTIES...

AT 827 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR BULLS BRIDGE...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF SHERMAN...MOVING EAST
AT 15 MPH.

SKYWARN REPORTERS AND LAW ENFORCEMENT HAVE INDICATED THAT THUS 
FAR...ONLY PEA SIZE HAIL HAS BEEN NOTED WITH OTHERWISE VERY HEAVY 
RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...THE 
POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS TO 60 MPH AND ESPECIALLY HAIL UP TO 
QUARTER SIZE STILL EXISTS. 

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  KENT...KENT GREEN...SOUTH KENT AND KENT FURNACE BY 835 PM EDT...
  FLANDERS...ERICKSON CORNER...UPPER MERRYALL AND SKIFF MOUNTAIN BY
  840 PM EDT...
  NORTH KENT BY 845 PM EDT...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS OF TREES DOWN TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV OR
ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.ALBANY.GOV.

LAT...LON 4163 7350 4165 7349 4166 7351 4156 7352
      4156 7353 4158 7381 4176 7385 4189 7342
      4155 7342 4155 7346
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 261DEG 14KT 4170 7350

$$

HWJIV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
730 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN TOMORROW.  AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 730 PM...STILL FOLLOWING SOME PULSE TYPE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY
ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN THREE COUNTIES. HAVE BEEN ISSUING MAINLY SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENTS AS THEY APPEAR "STRONG" BUT NOT SEVERE.

HOWEVER...ANOTHER BATCH OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FIRED OFF THE LAKE
BREEZE AND ARE MOVING INTO HERKIMER COUNTY. SHEAR REMAINS WEAK BUT
SBCAPE RATHER ROBUST IN SPOTS (UP TO 3000 J/KG OFF OUR LAPS
ANALYSIS). MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES NOT TOO SHABBY AROUND 6.5 C/KM.
HOWEVER...TRIGGERS ARE WEAKENING (FRONT OFF TO THE WEST/PREFRONTAL
TROUGH WEAKENING).

EXPECT THE STORMS TO SLOWLY DIMINISH FURTHER PAST SUNSET.
HOWEVER...WILL KEEP LOW POPS/SLIGHT GOING INTO THE EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY DROP THROUGH THE 70S...REACHING BELOW 70 BY
10 PM WELL NORTH AND WEST OF ALBANY.

********PREVIOUS NEAR TERM FORECAST***********

AS OF 400 PM EDT...SOME LOOSELY ORGANIZED OR PULSE THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF A SFC TROUGH PASSING ACROSS THE CAPITAL
REGION...ERN CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...AND INTO WRN NEW
ENGLAND. SOME THE 50 DBZ REFLECTIVITY CORES ARE GETTING TO AROUND
30-32 KFT AGL. ACCORDING TO THE LOCAL CSTAR LARGE HAIL STUDY REF
VALUES GETTING TO ABOUT 30 KFT AGL MAY YIELD SOME QUARTER SIZE
HAIL. NO SEVERE REPORTS AS OF YET...AND THESE THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO PULSE UP AND DOWN WITH WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 15-25
KTS...BUT AN ABUNDANCE OF INSTABILITY /SPC PAGE HAS MLCAPES OF
1000-2000 J/KG/. SOME MARGINAL HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE...AS WELL AS
SOME BURSTS OF HEAVY RAIN /1-2 INCHES IN AN HOUR/ DUE TO THE SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE THUNDERSTORMS 10-20 KTS. PWATS ARE CURRENTLY IN
1-1.33 INCH RANGE WHICH IS ONLY SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

WE WILL MONITOR FOR ANY POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING ON LOW LYING AREAS.
THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE FROM THE CAPITAL REGION SOUTH AND EAST PRIOR TO
MIDNIGHT...WITH ISOLD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NORTH AND WEST.
THE CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF THE DIURNAL
HEATING AND WANING INSTABILITY.

WE ALSO PLACED SOME PATCHY FOG IN THE VALLEYS OVERNIGHT...AND
INCREASED THE PATCHY FOG FROM THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY INTO WRN NEW
ENGLAND TOWARDS DAYBREAK WITH THE INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND/OR WET GROUND FROM THE ISOLD-SCT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WE WENT WITH THE MILDER/WARMER MINS FROM THE NAM MOS WITH LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S ACROSS THE REGION...EXCEPT SOME MID AND U50S
OVER THE SRN GREENS...SRN DACKS...AND ERN CATSKILLS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
TOMORROW..THE UPSTREAM H500 TROUGH AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
MOVES TOWARDS CNTRL-ERN NY...AND NEW ENGLAND TOMORROW MORNING. THE
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITH THE RATHER DIFFUSE COLD FRONT CONTINUES
TO BE WEAK. THE 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR ON THE NAM CONTINUES TO BE WEAK
WITH 10-20 KTS...AND SBCAPES OF 1000-2000 J/KG PREDOMINATELY FROM
THE SRN REACHES OF THE LAKE GEORGE REGION...AND THE MOHAWK VALLEY
SOUTH AND EAST. THE GFS HAS LESS INSTABILITY FORECASTED WITH
MAINLY 500-1000 J/KG...BUT SLIGHTLY STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
OF 6-6.5 C/KM. THE PWATS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 1-1.5 INCH
RANGE...SO WE ARE NOT LOOKING AT ANY WIDESPREAD SEVERE POTENTIAL
AT THIS TIME...BUT PERHAPS AN ISOLATED OR TWO STRONG TO SEVERE
PULSE THUNDERSTORM. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL ALSO BE
COMMON DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE CELLS. MAX TEMPS WILL BE
SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH HIGHS 80 TO 85F IN THE VALLEYS...AND MID 70S
TO NEAR 80F OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

FRI NIGHT... THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DISSIPATE...AND THE
FRONT PRETTY MUCH FALLS APART OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THERE IS NO
PUSH OF LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION. THE AIR MASS DOESN/T CHANGE
MUCH. THE SFC WINDS MAY BRIEFLY SHIFT TO W/SW. A BRIEF PERIOD OF
SUBSIDENCE WILL DIMINISH THE PCPN. WE TENDED TO END THE PCPN
AROUND MIDNIGHT. ONCE AGAIN...WE WENT WITH LOWS CLOSER THE NAM MOS
GUIDANCE...WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S FROM THE CAPITAL DISTRICT
SOUTH AND EAST...AND 50S NORTH AND WEST.

SATURDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD WITH MODEST
AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY OVER THE REGION. THE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE 6-6.5 C/KM RANGE. THE DIFFERENTIAL
HEATING BETWEEN THE VALLEYS/MTNS WILL ALLOW CONVECTION TO DEVELOP IN
THE AFTERNOON. WE INITIALLY HAVE THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FORMING OVER THE HILLS/MTNS AND DRIFTING INTO THE VALLEYS FOR THE
AFTERNOON. THIS DAY DOESN/T LOOK LIKE A WASHOUT...BUT AND ISOLD-
SCT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. H850 TEMPS IN THE
14-16C...WHICH ARE VERY SEASONABLE THIS TIME OF YEAR...SHOULD
YIELD HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S IN THE VALLEYS...AND U70S TO
L80S OVER THE MTNS.

SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...A STRONGER COLD FRONT AND A BROADER
H500 TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM SOUTH OF JAMES BAY...THE GREAT
LAKES REGION...AND THE MIDWEST FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND.
SATURDAY NIGHT LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET WITH SOME WEAK MID LEVEL
RIDGING...BUT THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING
SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH BETTER UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICAL LIFT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE FRONT. THE TIMING VARIES A BIT BETWEEN THE
NAM/GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN GUIDANCE WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE NAM
EVEN FORMS AN MCS OVER THE UPPER MID ATLANTIC REGION. WE WILL
STICK WITH THE TRENDS OF A CHC OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR
THE AFTERNOON PERIOD OVER THE ENTIRE REGION. TEMPS CONTINUE TO
LOOK SEASONABLE FOR MID TO LATE AUG.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MOS GUIDANCE.  A COLD FRONT WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AT THE START OF NEXT WEEK...BUT HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY DRY
THINGS OUT.  BY TUESDAY...DRY WEATHER WILL TAKE HOLD THROUGH MID-
WEEK.  HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 70S AND 80S THROUGH
THE PERIOD...WITH THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS INTO ONLY THE UPPER 60S ON
MONDAY.  LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S...WITH COOLER
NIGHTS MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS.  NORMAL HIGHS AT ALBANY ARE AROUND
80 DEGREES...NORMAL LOWS AROUND 60.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ISOLATED CONVECTION...STILL MAINLY A PROBLEM FOR KPOU
ONLY...PROBABLY ONLY FOR ABOUT TWO HOURS. CONTINUE WITH CB BUT ADDED
VCTS FOR THE NEXT TWO HOURS. ELSEWHERE...CONVECTION LOOKS LOW ENOUGH
TO NOT EVEN MENTION CB BUT CANNOT ENTIRELY RULE OUT SOMETHING FOR
THE EVENING.

FOG THREAT FOR OVERNIGHT...MAINLY FOR KGFL. HOWEVER...UNLESS A
THUNDERSTORM OR SIGNIFICANT SHOWER HITS THAT TERMINAL...FEEL THE
THREAT FOR IFR FOG HAS ACTUALLY DWINDLED A LITTLE SINCE SOME
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IS TRYING TO WORK IN. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO REMOVE IFR CONDITIONS...SO WENT WITH A 2SM PREVAILING
VISIBILITY FOR NOW ALONG WITH A BROKEN 005.

AT KALB/KPOU...FOR NOW...CONTINUE WITH MVFR THREAT ONLY AS THE RISK
OF IFR FOG AND OR CIGS IS LESS THAN 50 PERCENT. STILL A CHANCE
THOUGH...SO CHECK BACK LATER IF FLYING TOWARD SUNRISE.

OUTLOOK...
FRI...VFR. CHC SUB-VFR WITH SCT -SHRA/-TSRA.
SAT...VFR. SLIGHT CHC -SHRA/-TSRA.
SUN AND MON...VFR. CHC SUB-VFR WITH PM TSRA.
TUE...VFR. NO SIG WX EXPECTED.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN TOMORROW.  AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE WEEKEND.

THE RH VALUES WILL RECOVER TO 85 TO 100 PERCENT FRIDAY
MORNING...THEN LOWER TO 45 TO 60 PERCENT DURING THIS AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER EXCELLENT RECOVERY TO 90 TO 100 PERCENT IS EXPECTED BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

THE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH AT LESS THAN 10 MPH
OVERNIGHT...AND BE FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH
TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO WIDESPREAD HYDRO PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT
SOME LOCATIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY COULD RECEIVE A
QUICK COUPLE OF INCHES OF RAINFALL ESPECIALLY FROM THE MOHAWK
VALLEY...AND THE CAPITAL REGION SOUTH AND EAST DUE TO SLOW MOVING
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS IS
POSSIBLE.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OPEN THE WEEKEND.
ANOTHER...STRONGER COLD FRONT IMPACTS THE FORECAST AREA LATE IN
THE WEEKEND WITH MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. A DRIER AIR MASS WILL RETURN EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WASULA
NEAR TERM...HWJIV/WASULA
SHORT TERM...BGM
LONG TERM...ELH
AVIATION...OKEEFE
FIRE WEATHER...WASULA
HYDROLOGY...WASULA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
439 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ047>054-058>061-063>066-VTZ013>015-191100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
439 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...THE CAPITAL
REGION...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON
VALLEY...TACONICS OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. A
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER OF
WIND GUSTS 58 MPH OR GREATER. ANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF RAINFALL...WITH SOME POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO
THE EAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. AT THIS
TIME...THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY NON SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NYZ032-033-038>043-082>084-191100-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
439 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACK
REGION...WEST CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...AND THE LAKE GEORGE REGION.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
501 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

CTZ001-013-NYZ065-066-182130-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-WESTERN DUTCHESS NY-
EASTERN DUTCHESS NY-
501 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
  DUTCHESS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 500 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MILLBROOK...OR ABOUT 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RHINEBECK...AND MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
DOVER PLAINS BY 525 PM EDT
AMENIA...6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SHARON AND 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF KENT BY
530 PM EDT

LAT...LON 4194 7333 4166 7334 4171 7382 4189 7384
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 266DEG 13KT 4181 7370

HWJIV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
557 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

CTZ001-013-NYZ066-182230-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-EASTERN DUTCHESS NY-
557 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
  DUTCHESS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 555 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DOVER
PLAINS...OR ABOUT 14 MILES NORTH OF SHERMAN...AND MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
KENT BY 610 PM EDT
CORNWALL BRIDGE POTTERY AND CORNWALL BRIDGE BY 625 PM EDT
NEW PRESTON BY 630 PM EDT

LAT...LON 4160 7330 4172 7368 4189 7360 4181 7320
TIME...MOT...LOC 2157Z 289DEG 12KT 4177 7352

HWJIV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
629 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

CTZ001-182300-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-
629 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...

AT 627 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...UP TO HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WINSTED...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF TORRINGTON...AND MOVING EAST
AT 15 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
NEW HARTFORD BY 650 PM EDT

LAT...LON 4191 7290 4188 7294 4185 7295 4184 7294
      4182 7317 4199 7322 4204 7301 4197 7302
      4198 7291 4197 7288
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 284DEG 13KT 4192 7307

HWJIV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
649 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

NYZ064>066-182315-
EASTERN ULSTER NY-WESTERN DUTCHESS NY-EASTERN DUTCHESS NY-
649 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  ULSTER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  DUTCHESS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 645 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS UP TO
50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MODENA...OR
ABOUT OVER NEW PALTZ...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
6 MILES NORTH OF MARLBORO BY 700 PM EDT
HIGHLAND BY 705 PM EDT
6 MILES SOUTH OF HYDE PARK AND 7 MILES NORTH OF WAPPINGERS FALLS BY
710 PM EDT
POUGHKEEPSIE...FAIRVIEW...RED OAKS MILL AND 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PLEASANT VALLEY BY 715 PM EDT

LAT...LON 4160 7409 4161 7412 4160 7413 4160 7414
      4181 7418 4184 7375 4159 7374
TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 268DEG 12KT 4169 7403

HWJIV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
740 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

CTZ001-NYZ066-190015-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-EASTERN DUTCHESS NY-
740 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
  DUTCHESS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 736 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH
HAIL...WINDS AROUND 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DOVER PLAINS...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTH
OF PAWLING...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
KENT BY 800 PM EDT
CORNWALL BRIDGE BY 815 PM EDT

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THESE STORMS COULD EXCEED HALF AN INCH THROUGH
800 PM...PRODUCING PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR
DRAINAGE.

LAT...LON 4185 7326 4176 7325 4166 7371 4184 7371
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 271DEG 16KT 4175 7359

HWJIV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
743 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

CTZ001-013-NYZ066-190015-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-EASTERN DUTCHESS NY-
743 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
  DUTCHESS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 741 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AROUND HALF INCH
HAIL...WINDS AROUND 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NEW MILFORD...OR ABOUT OVER NEW
MILFORD...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
NEW PRESTON BY 750 PM EDT
WOODBURY CENTER...7 MILES WEST OF OAKVILLE AND 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THOMASTON BY 815 PM EDT

RAINFALL WITH THESE STORMS COULD EXCEED HALF AN INCH OF RAINFALL
THROUGH 815 PM...PRODUCING PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF
POOR DRAINAGE.

LAT...LON 4153 7346 4163 7350 4165 7349 4166 7351
      4154 7352 4154 7353 4172 7353 4175 7300
      4164 7298 4161 7302 4161 7304 4156 7310
      4155 7315 4151 7316
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 271DEG 16KT 4163 7341

HWJIV