Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 68, NWS Albany, NY

May 2, 2011Saratoga County, New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this river flood warning at May 2, 2011, 10:59 AM EDT for Saratoga County, New York. It took effect at May 2, 2011, 12:16 PM EDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2011, 10:59 AM EDT (14:59 UTC)
In effect from
May 2, 2011, 12:16 PM EDT
Expired
May 4, 2011, 12:19 PM EDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY
Flood severity
Minor

County Saratoga County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Sacandaga River at Hadley (HDLN6).

Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01325000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

707 
WGUS41 KALY 021459
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1059 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

NYC091-030259-
/O.NEW.KALY.FL.W.0068.110502T1616Z-000000T0000Z/
/HDLN6.1.ER.110502T1616Z.110503T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1059 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT STEWARTS BRIDGE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 12 PM
  MONDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.4 FEET BY 8 PM MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...RIVER IS ABOUT A FOOT BELOW BANKFULL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON   MON   TUE   TUE   TUE

SACANDAGA RIVER
  STEWARTS BRI  10.0    9.6 MON 10 AM  10.3  10.4  10.4  10.4  10.3

$$
6 follow-up statements
292 
WGUS81 KALY 022019
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
419 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

NYC113-030819-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRN6.3.ER.110413T1030Z.110429T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
419 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCHROON RIVER AT RIVERBANK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 8 FEET BY 8 AM     
  TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...THERE IS 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER IN HOMES AND 
  VACATION PROPERTIES NEAR WARRENSBURG.  SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY ARE 
  FLOODED ALONG THE RIGHT BANK OF RIVER MOSTLY UPSTREAM OF GAGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   MON   TUE   TUE   TUE   TUE

SCHROON RIVER
  RIVERBANK     7.0    8.6 MON 03 PM   8.5   8.2   8.0   7.8   7.5

$$

NYC091-030819-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HDLN6.1.ER.110502T1439Z.110502T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
419 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT STEWARTS BRIDGE.
* FROM 5 PM MONDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 5 PM
  MONDAY AND FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.4 FEET BY 2 AM 
  TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...RIVER IS ABOUT A FOOT BELOW BANKFULL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   MON   TUE   TUE   TUE   TUE

SACANDAGA RIVER
  STEWARTS BRI  10.0    9.8 MON 03 PM  10.3  10.4  10.4  10.4  10.4

$$
228 
WGUS81 KALY 030148
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
948 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

NYC091-031348-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HDLN6.1.ER.110502T1439Z.110502T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
948 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT STEWARTS BRIDGE.
* FROM 12 AM TUESDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 12 AM
  TUESDAY AND FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.3 FEET BY 8 AM
  TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...RIVER IS ABOUT A FOOT BELOW BANKFULL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   TUE   TUE   TUE   WED

SACANDAGA RIVER
  STEWARTS BRI  10.0    9.5 MON 09 PM  10.2  10.3  10.2  10.2  10.2

$$
666 
WGUS81 KALY 031210
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
810 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

NYC091-040010-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HDLN6.1.ER.110502T1439Z.110502T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
810 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT STEWARTS BRIDGE.
* FROM 7 PM TUESDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
  BY 7 PM TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...RIVER IS ABOUT A FOOT BELOW BANKFULL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   WED   WED   WED   WED

SACANDAGA RIVER
  STEWARTS BRI  10.0    9.5 TUE 07 AM  10.1  10.1  10.1  10.1  10.1

$$
641 
WGUS81 KALY 032215
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
615 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

NYC091-115-041015-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FTEN6.3.ER.110427T1437Z.110429T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT FORT EDWARD.
* FROM 12 PM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.8 FEET BY 2 PM
  THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 28 FEET...WATER ON ROUTE 9N IN CORINTH. FLOODS 
  CELLARS IN CORINTH. WATER REACHES FIRST FLOORS ALONG OLD BEND ROAD 
  IN MOREAU.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   WED   WED   WED   WED

HUDSON RIVER
  FORT EDWARD   26.0   26.0 TUE 06 PM  26.2  26.0  25.6  26.2  27.5

$$

NYC083-091-115-041015-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SYLN6.3.ER.110425T0916Z.110430T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
615 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT SCHUYLERVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 92.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 93.3 FEET BY 2 AM
  THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 93 FEET...THERE ARE ONE TO THREE FEET OF WATER IN SOME
  AREAS CLOSE TO THE RIVER INCLUDING THE SOD FARM...WRIGHTS LOOP...
  AND FERRY LANE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   WED   WED   WED   WED

HUDSON RIVER
  SCHUYLERVILL  90.0  E92.2 TUE 02 PM  92.0  91.9  92.1  92.6  93.3

$$

NYC083-091-041015-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCVN6.1.ER.110427T1100Z.110430T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
615 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT MECHANICVILLE.
* FROM 2 AM THURSDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 53 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 53 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 53.1 FEET BY 8 AM
  THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 53 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE MECHANICVILLE WHARF.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   WED   WED   WED   WED

HUDSON RIVER
  MECHANICVILL  53.0   53.0 TUE 02 PM  52.9  52.8  52.7  52.7  53.0

$$

NYC035-041-091-041015-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SACN6.3.ER.110428T2001Z.110501T1015Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
615 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT SACANDAGA RSVR.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 773.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 773 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 773.5 FEET BY 8 
  PM TUESDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 773 FEET...BOAT DOCKS AND PROPERTIES ADJACENT TO THE 
  LAKE ARE FLOODED. WATER GETS CLOSE TO HOMES AND CAMPS ALONG THE 
  LAKE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   WED   WED   WED   WED

RESERVOIRS
  SACANDAGA RS  773.0  773.5 TUE 05 PM  773.5  773.4  773.4  773.4  
773.5

$$

NYC091-041015-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HDLN6.1.ER.110502T1439Z.110502T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
615 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT STEWARTS BRIDGE.
* FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 1 AM
  WEDNESDAY AND FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.1 FEET BY 8 
  PM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...RIVER IS ABOUT A FOOT BELOW BANKFULL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   WED   WED   WED   WED

SACANDAGA RIVER
  STEWARTS BRI  10.0    9.1 TUE 05 PM   9.1  10.1  10.1  10.1  10.1

$$
253 
WGUS81 KALY 040825
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
425 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

NYC113-042025-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRN6.3.ER.110413T1030Z.110429T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
425 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCHROON RIVER AT RIVERBANK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.5 FEET BY 2 AM 
  FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...THERE IS 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER IN HOMES AND 
  VACATION PROPERTIES NEAR WARRENSBURG.  SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY ARE 
  FLOODED ALONG THE RIGHT BANK OF RIVER MOSTLY UPSTREAM OF GAGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

SCHROON RIVER
  RIVERBANK     7.0    7.6 WED 03 AM   7.8   8.0   8.1   8.3   8.5

$$

NYC041-042025-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/INDN6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110506T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
425 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE INDIAN RIVER AT INDIAN LAKE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 1653 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1652 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 1654 FEET BY  2 AM
  FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  INDIAN LAKE   1652.5 1652.9 TUE 07 AM  1653.2  1653.3  1653.4  
1653.5  1653.6

$$

NYC091-115-042025-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FTEN6.3.ER.110427T1437Z.110429T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
425 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT FORT EDWARD.
* FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27
  FEET BY 8 AM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 27 FEET...WATER FLOODS RIVER ROAD IN NORTHUMBERLAND 
  AND REACHES CAMPS IN LAKE LUZERNE. IT MAY ALSO RESULT IN FLOODING 
  IN STILLWATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  FORT EDWARD   26.0   26.0 WED 04 AM  26.5  26.9  27.0  27.0  27.0

$$

NYC083-091-115-042024-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SYLN6.3.ER.110425T0916Z.110430T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
425 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT SCHUYLERVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AROUND 92 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 93.3 FEET BY 2 AM
  THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 93 FEET...THERE ARE ONE TO THREE FEET OF WATER IN SOME
  AREAS CLOSE TO THE RIVER INCLUDING THE SOD FARM...WRIGHTS LOOP...
  AND FERRY LANE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  SCHUYLERVILL  90.0  E92.2 TUE 02 PM  93.1  93.3  93.2  93.0      

$$

NYC083-091-042024-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCVN6.1.ER.110427T1100Z.110430T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
425 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT MECHANICVILLE.
* FROM 2 AM THURSDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 53 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 53 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR 53.1 FEET BY 8 AM
  THURSDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 53 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE MECHANICVILLE WHARF.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  MECHANICVILL  53.0   53.0 TUE 02 PM  52.8  53.0  53.1  53.0      

$$

NYC091-042024-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-110505T0012Z/
/HDLN6.1.ER.110502T1439Z.110502T1515Z.110504T1812Z.NR/
425 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT STEWARTS BRIDGE.
* FROM  1 PM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 1 PM
  WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 2
  PM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...RIVER IS ABOUT A FOOT BELOW BANKFULL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

SACANDAGA RIVER
  STEWARTS BRI  10.0    9.0 WED 03 AM   9.0   9.0   9.0   9.0   9.0

$$

NYC035-041-091-042024-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SACN6.3.ER.110428T2001Z.110501T1015Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
425 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT SACANDAGA RSVR.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 773.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 773 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* IMPACT...AT 773 FEET...BOAT DOCKS AND PROPERTIES ADJACENT TO THE 
  LAKE ARE FLOODED. WATER GETS CLOSE TO HOMES AND CAMPS ALONG THE 
  LAKE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

RESERVOIRS
  SACANDAGA RS  773.0  773.5 WED 03 AM  773.2  773.2  773.3  773.3  
773.4

$$
235 
WGUS81 KALY 041619
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1219 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

NYC091-041649-
/O.CAN.KALY.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-110505T0012Z/
/HDLN6.1.ER.110502T1439Z.110502T1515Z.110502T1557Z.NR/
1219 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT STEWARTS BRIDGE.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...RIVER IS ABOUT A FOOT BELOW BANKFULL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

SACANDAGA RIVER
  STEWARTS BRI  10.0    9.0 WED 11 AM   9.1   9.0   9.0   8.8   8.8

$$

NYC041-050419-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/INDN6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110506T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1219 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE INDIAN RIVER AT INDIAN LAKE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT  7 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 1653 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1652 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 1653 FEET BY  8 AM
  FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  INDIAN LAKE   1652.5 1652.9 TUE 07 AM  1652.9  1652.9  1653.0  1653.0  1653.0

$$

NYC091-115-050419-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FTEN6.3.ER.110427T1437Z.110429T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1219 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT FORT EDWARD.
* FROM 12 PM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 12 PM
  WEDNESDAY AND FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.2 FEET BY  8 
  AM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS RIVER ROAD IN NORTHUMBERLAND 
  AND REACHES CAMPS IN LAKE LUZERNE. IT MAY ALSO RESULT IN FLOODING 
  IN STILLWATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  FORT EDWARD   26.0   25.9 WED 12 PM  26.5  26.9  27.2  27.2  27.0

$$

NYC083-091-115-050419-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SYLN6.3.ER.110425T0916Z.110430T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1219 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT SCHUYLERVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 92.2 (ESTIMATED) FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 93.3 FEET BY  2 AM
  THURSDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 93.0 FEET...THERE ARE ONE TO THREE FEET OF WATER IN SOME
  AREAS CLOSE TO THE RIVER INCLUDING THE SOD FARM...WRIGHTS LOOP...
  AND FERRY LANE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  SCHUYLERVILL  90.0  E92.2 TUE 02 PM  93.1  93.3  93.2  93.0  93.0   

$$

NYC083-091-050419-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCVN6.1.ER.110427T1100Z.110430T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1219 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT MECHANICVILLE.
* FROM  2 AM THURSDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  2 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 53.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 53.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 53.1 FEET BY  8 AM
  THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 53.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE MECHANICVILLE WHARF

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  MECHANICVILL  53.0   53.0 TUE 02 PM  52.8  53.0  53.1  53.0  53.0    

$$

NYC113-050419-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRN6.3.ER.110413T1030Z.110429T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1219 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCHROON RIVER AT RIVERBANK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.2 FEET BY  8 AM 
  FRIDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...THERE IS 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER IN HOMES AND 
  VACATION PROPERTIES NEAR WARRENSBURG.  SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY ARE 
  FLOODED ALONG THE RIGHT BANK OF RIVER MOSTLY UPSTREAM OF GAGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

SCHROON RIVER
  RIVERBANK     7.0    7.5 WED 11 AM   7.6   7.6   7.8   7.9   8.1

$$

NYC065-050418-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-110505T0900Z/
/DDMN6.1.ER.110504T1100Z.110504T1800Z.110505T0300Z.UU/
1219 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT DELTA DAM.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 7 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 551.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 551.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 551.8 FEET BY 2 
  PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER
  11 PM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 552.0 FEET...TWO FEET OF WATER ARE SPILLING OVER AND 
  THERE IS MINOR FLODING OF LOWLANDS BELOW LAKE DELTA. 

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

MOHAWK RIVER
  DELTA DAM     551.5  551.5 WED 07 AM  551.6  551.4  551.4  551.4  551.3

$$

NYC035-041-091-050418-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-110506T0000Z/
/SACN6.3.ER.110428T2001Z.110501T1015Z.110505T1800Z.NR/
1219 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT SACANDAGA RSVR.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING. 
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 773.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 773.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER  2 PM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 773.0 FEET...BOAT DOCKS AND PROPERITES ADJACENT TO THE 
  LAKE ARE FLOODED. WATER GETS CLOSE TO HOMES AND CAMPS ALONG THE 
  LAKE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

RESERVOIRS
  SACANDAGA RS  773.0  773.3 WED 11 AM  773.2  773.1  773.1  773.0  772.9

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 2, 10:28 AM EDT, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 2, 10:28 AM EDT, 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1028 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND
OHIO VALLEY REGION WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY INTO
TONIGHT...BRINGING THE NEXT THREAT OF SHOWERS. THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY STALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN A PROLONGED RAIN EVENT THROUGH AT LEAST MID
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1030 AM EDT...DRY AIR IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS ALLOWED MUCH
OF THE APPROACHING SHOWERS FROM CENTRAL NY TO DRY UP AS THEY
APPROACH THE AREA. HAVE LOWERED POPS FOR MANY AREAS /ESP FROM
ALBANY SOUTH AND EASTWARD/ FOR THE LATE MORNING...BUT WILL
CONTINUE TO ALLOW FOR CHC POPS FOR WESTERN AREAS THROUGH THE AFTN.
HAVE TAKEN DOWN TEMPS A TAD IN SPOTS DUE TO THE SOLID CLOUD COVER
IN PLACE...BUT MAX TEMPS SHOULD STILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 60S
IN MOST VALLEY AREAS...WITH UPPER 50S IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE CONTINUING TO BE BREEZY ACROSS PARTS OF THE
HUDSON VALLEY...WITH A FEW GUSTS APPROACHING 20 KTS AT TIMES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES WITH TIME AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND
GRADUALLY BUILDS EAST. TONIGHT SOLID CHANCES FOR RAIN IN MOST
AREAS...BUT SHOULD BE OVERALL LIGHT...WITH LIKELY IN THE WESTERN
MOHAWK VALLEY AND ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES IN THE MID HUDSON
VALLEY...BERKSHIRES AND NW CT. LOWS IN THE 50S...SOME 40S IN
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN THE SURFACE LOW TRACK SEEN IN GUIDANCE
TOMORROW THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT...EITHER NORTHERLY OR SOUTHEAST. CLOUD COVER...INCREASING
CHANCES OF RAIN THROUGH THE DAY...AND LIGHT WINDS SUGGESTS COOLER
HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...DELAYS IN ONSET OF
RAIN...AND HIGHER CLOUD CEILING COULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
MORE...ESPECIALLY WITH BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES WARMING SO
MUCH. FOR NOW GOING WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S TUESDAY WITH INCREASING
CHANCES OF RAIN...SOME HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S IN SOUTHERN AREAS.

LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SOME ISOLATED THUNDER IS
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN AREAS AS AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY TRACKS
THROUGH. TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING COULD HAVE THE
HEAVIEST RAIN...ESPECIALLY IN THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE AND SARATOGA REGIONS. FLOOD WATCH MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE
50S...SOME 40S SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY TREND TO CUTTING OFF IN EASTERN NEW ENGLAND
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF
DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN SOURCES OF GUIDANCE AS TO THE TIMING OF THE
EXIT OF THE SYSTEM. SO...LEANING TOWARD THE SLOWER MOVEMENT...WITH
RAIN CONTINUING WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND GRADUALLY TRENDING TOWARD
SCATTERED SHOWERS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. BOUNDARY LAYER
THERMAL GRADIENT BUILDS EAST...AS SOME COLD ADVECTION BEGINS
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. SO HIGHS WEDNESDAY IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER 40S...30S IN HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...WITH SOME POTENTIAL PARTIAL CLEARING IN SOME AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ON THURSDAY WE WILL STILL BE DEALING WITH A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER
THE AREA BUT IT WILL LIKELY BE IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING. THERE ARE
SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES IN TERMS OF WHEN THE LOW WILL FINALLY PULL
OUT...BUT AT LEAST THE DEEP MOISTURE PLUME WILL BE WELL TO OUR EAST
SO ONLY SCATTERED INSTABILITY SHOWERS EXPECTED. HOWEVER IT WILL BE
COOL WITH THE CORE OF COLDEST AIR ALOFT OVERHEAD. ALSO...ANY
SUNSHINE THAT OCCURS WILL LIKELY BE SELF-DESTRUCTIVE WITH CLOUDS AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING. THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO EXIT THE
AREA BY THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE LOW ACTUALLY TRACKING NORTH AND
WEST. WITH A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING 850MB TEMPS ONLY AROUND
-1C TO -2C...TEMPS WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE 30S IN MANY AREAS.

ON FRIDAY...SHORT WAVE ENERGY APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND
OHIO VALLEY REGION IS FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH OUR REGION.
DIFFERENCES IN GUIDANCE WITH THE POSITION AND TIMING OF THIS
FEATURE...BUT AT LEAST GENERAL CONSENSUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS ON
FRIDAY WITH TEMPS REMAINING BELOW NORMAL. WHILE IT MAY NOT BE
COMPLETELY DRY IN WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...NO ORGANIZED FEATURES SEEN AT THIS POINT SO WILL ONLY
MENTION SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.

THE NEXT MORE SUBSTANTIAL CHANCE FOR A WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL BE
IN THE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MOTHERS DAY TIME FRAME AS A CYCLONE
TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES WILL APPROACH.
AGAIN...POSITION AND TIMING DIFFERENCES IN GUIDANCE WITH THE GFS
MOST AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING RAIN IN FASTER WHICH WOULD YIELD A COLD
AND RAINY MOTHERS DAY. HOWEVER...THE ECMWF IS SLOWER AND FARTHER
SOUTH WITH THE LOW TRACK WHICH WOULD GIVE A BETTER CHANCE OF A DRIER
AND SLIGHTLY WARMER MOTHERS DAY. WILL SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE FOR NOW
AND MENTION CHANCE POPS FOR THIS TIME FRAME. TEMPS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY MAY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
INCREASING CLOUDS THIS MORNING WITH GRADUALLY LOWERING CIGS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AS A WEAKENING COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
REGION. MID LEVEL STRATUS CLOUDS THIS MORNING...WILL LOWER TO MVFR
RANGE AT KGFL/KALB TOWARDS EVENING. THERE IS A CHANCE OF A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS AT KGFL/KALB THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS THE
WEAKENING FRONT APPROACHES. VSBY RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL
LATE TONIGHT DUE TO INITIAL LIGHT INTENSITY AND SPOTTY COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS...LOWERING TO MVFR AROUND 06Z. KPOU SHOULD REMAIN DRY
THROUGH TODAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING...AS ANY SHOWER
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH AND WEST OF THE TERMINAL UNTIL EVENING.
WILL THEN MENTION MVFR CIGS STARTING AROUND 06Z.

WINDS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY WILL BE SOUTH AROUND 5-10 KT WITH
SOME OCCASIONALLY HIGHER WIND SPEEDS NEAR 15 KT AT KALB THROUGH THIS
MORNING.

OUTLOOK...
TUE-WED...MVFR/IFR...-SHRA/-RA LIKELY.
WED NGT...GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VFR...CHC -SHRA.
THU...VFR...NO SIG WX.
FRI...VFR/MVFR...CHC -SHRA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST TODAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND
OHIO VALLEY REGION WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY INTO
TONIGHT...BRINGING THE NEXT THREAT OF SHOWERS. THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY STALL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN A PROLONGED RAIN EVENT THROUGH AT LEAST MID
WEEK.

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL INTO THE 45-55 PERCENT RANGE
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS...AND 55-70 PERCENT ACROSS
WESTERN AREAS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. THE RH WILL THEN RECOVER TO
90-100 PERCENT FOR TONIGHT...THEN DROP TO 50 TO 75 PERCENT
TUESDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE AFTERNOON AS
CHANCES OF THE RAIN INCREASE.

A WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN
AND SPRINKLES TODAY WITH SOLID CHANCES TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN
AND WESTERN AREAS...WITH SOME RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AREAS.
A MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOULD DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY
TUESDAY...AFFECTING MOST OF EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND.

WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 10-20 MPH TODAY...EXCEPT LOCALLY
HIGHER...AT 15-30 MPH WITHIN THE IMMEDIATE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY.
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5-15 MPH TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SOME RIVERS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA REMAIN IN MAJOR
TO MODERATE FLOOD. ALL RIVERS HAVE CRESTED...WITH MOST OF THEM
SUBSIDING. EVEN THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT SACANDAGA LAKE APPEARS TO
HAVE FINALLY CRESTED.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE TODAY INTO TONIGHT...WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS UNDER ONE THIRD OF AN INCH.

FORECAST MODELS INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE REGION FROM TUESDAY
POSSIBLY THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO MAXIMUM PRECIPITATION LOCATIONS AND
AMOUNTS...BUT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. IF HEAVY RAINFALL DOES OCCUR...ALREADY HIGH RIVER LEVELS
AND/OR EXISTING FLOODING WOULD RESULT IN ADDITIONAL FLOODING
AND/OR INCREASED STAGES ESPECIALLY IN THE UPPER MOHAWK AND
ADIRONDACK BASINS. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE POSSIBILITY IN THE
HWO...ESPECIALLY SINCE ANY SIGNIFICANT RAIN ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS
MAY RESULT IN CONTINUED OR RENEWED FLOODING AT HIGH LEVELS.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING
OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON
OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NAS
NEAR TERM...FRUGIS
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...JPV
AVIATION...JPV
FIRE WEATHER...NAS
HYDROLOGY...NAS/JPV
Hazardous weather outlook, May 2, 4:15 AM EDT, 6 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
415 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-031100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
415 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE DURING THE MID WEEK
PERIOD...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY STALL NEAR THE REGION WITH
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT. RAINFALL
MAY BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO RESULT IN ADDITIONAL FLOODING OR WORSEN
ONGOING FLOODING ACROSS THE UPPER MOHAWK AND ADIRONDACK RIVER
BASINS. IF THE THREAT OF FLOODING BECOMES MORE CERTAIN...A FLOOD
WATCH WOULD BE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 3:48 PM EDTFlood WatchALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery, Saratoga, Warren and 1 more48 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.