Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 60, NWS Albany, NY

April 28, 2011Herkimer County, Oneida County, New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this river flood warning at Apr 28, 2011, 8:03 AM EDT for Herkimer County, Oneida County, New York. It was in force for 71 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2011, 8:03 AM EDT (12:03 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2011, 6:34 AM EDT
In force
71 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Herkimer County, NY, Oneida County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Mohawk River at Utica (UCAN6).

Action stage
401 ft
Minor stage
403 ft
Moderate stage
405 ft
Major stage
407 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01342602, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

211 
WGUS41 KALY 281203
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
803 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NYC043-065-290003-
/O.NEW.KALY.FL.W.0060.110428T1203Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.1.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
803 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7 AM THURSDAY THE RIVER ELEVATION WAS...403.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD ELEVATION IS 403.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 404.9 
  FEET BY  2 AM FRIDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 404.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO THE WHARF AT THE UTICA
  CANAL TERMINAL. RIVER STREET IN ORISKANY IS ALSO FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME    THU   THU   FRI   FRI

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  403.8 THU 07 AM  404.5  404.8  404.9  404.5

$$
9 follow-up statements
013 
WGUS41 KALY 281802
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
202 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NYC043-065-290602-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
202 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...404.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 405.5 
  FEET BY 8 PM THURSDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 406.0 FEET...WATER GETS ONTO LELAND AND WURTZ AVENUES 
  AND REACHES CANALCORP BUILDING. PART OF CANAL CORP PARKING LOT 
  FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   FRI   FRI   FRI   FRI

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  404.9 THU 12 PM  405.5  405.4  404.5  404.8  
404.3

$$
168 
WGUS81 KALY 290157
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
957 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NYC043-065-291357-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110428T1930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
957 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 405.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IN FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 406.0 FEET...WATER GETS ONTO LELAND AND WURTZ AVENUES 
  AND REACHES CANALCORP BUILDING. PART OF CANAL CORP PARKING LOT 
  FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   FRI   FRI   FRI   SAT

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  405.1 THU 03 PM 404.3 404.1 403.9 403.7 403.6
                       

$$
856 
WGUS81 KALY 291128
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
728 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

NYC043-065-292328-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
728 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 406.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 406.7 FEET BY 2 
  PM FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 406 FEET...WATER GETS ONTO LELAND AND WURTZ AVENUES 
  AND REACHES CANAL CORP BUILDING. PART OF CANAL CORP PARKING LOT 
  FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   FRI   FRI   SAT   SAT

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  406.3 FRI 07 AM  406.4  406.7  405.2  404.7  
404.2

$$
341 
WGUS81 KALY 292003
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

NYC041-300803-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/INDN6.1.ER.110427T1552Z.110430T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE INDIAN RIVER AT INDIAN LAKE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 1 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 1653 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1652 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 1654 FEET BY 8 PM
  FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  INDIAN LAKE   1652.5 1653.2 THU 01 AM  1654.3  1654.2  1654.0  
1653.9  1653.7

$$

NYC041-300803-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/INRN6.3.ER.110427T2030Z.110429T1630Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE INDIAN RIVER MISSING BELOW INDIAN LAKE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL BEGIN FALLING THIS EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO 
  FALL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  BELOW INDIAN  5.5    7.8 FRI 03 PM   7.3   7.1   6.9   6.7   6.2

$$

NYC113-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-110430T1525Z/
/NCKN6.3.ER.110427T0510Z.110429T0300Z.110430T0925Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. 
* AT  2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 5 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   12.3 FRI 02 PM  11.3  10.4   9.7   9.3   8.5

$$

NYC091-113-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110430T2337Z/
/HDYN6.3.ER.110427T1234Z.110429T1100Z.110430T1737Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT HADLEY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 1 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FLOOR OF THE GAGEHOUSE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  HADLEY        14.0   20.8 FRI 03 PM  20.0  17.8  15.5  13.9  11.8

$$

NYC091-115-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FTEN6.3.ER.110427T1437Z.110429T1545Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT FORT EDWARD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL BEGIN FALLING TO A STAGE OF 29.1
  FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  FORT EDWARD   26.0   31.3 FRI 03 PM  30.9  30.1  29.1  28.1  27.1

$$

NYC083-091-115-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SYLN6.3.ER.110425T0916Z.110430T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT SCHUYLERVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 97.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 97.6 FEET BY 2 AM
  SATURDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 96.0 FEET...THE RIVER FLOODS NUMEROUS HOMES AND ROADS 
  AND CAN REACH THE VILLAGE WATER PLANT.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  SCHUYLERVILL  90.0   97.1 FRI 02 PM  97.5  97.6  97.2  96.6      

$$

NYC083-091-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCVN6.1.ER.110427T1100Z.110430T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT MECHANICVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 53.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 53 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 55.6 FEET BY  8 PM
  FRIDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 56.6 FEET...APPROXIMATE LEVEL OF SEP 1938 FLOOD ABOVE
  THE DAM.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  MECHANICVILL  53.0   53.9 THU 12 PM  55.6  55.4  55.3  54.9      

$$

NYC001-083-091-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-110501T0224Z/
/TRYN6.1.ER.110428T1752Z.110429T1915Z.110430T2024Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT TROY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 4 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER REACHES STREETS IN WATERFORD VILLAGE 
  AND MATSONS SHIPYARD ON VAN SCHIAK ISLAND. SOME BASEMENTS FLOOD.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  TROY          21.5   22.9 FRI 03 PM  22.9  22.6  22.2  21.7  20.8

$$

NYC035-041-091-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SACN6.3.ER.110428T2001Z.110501T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT SACANDAGA RSVR.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 774.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 773.0 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 774.6 FEET BY 8 
  PM SATURDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 773.0 FEET...BOAT DOCKS AND PROPERITES ADJACENT TO THE 
  LAKE ARE FLOODED. WATER GETS CLOSE TO HOMES AND CAMPS ALONG THE 
  LAKE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

RESERVOIRS
  SACANDAGA RS  773.0  774.1 FRI 02 PM  774.3  774.4  774.5  774.5  
774.6

$$

NYC113-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRN6.3.ER.110413T1030Z.110430T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCHROON RIVER AT RIVERBANK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY 8 PM
  FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...ROUTE 418 IS UNDER WATER IN SEVERAL
SECTIONS
  AND PARTLY WASHED OUT. HEAVY DAMAGE AT THE FORMER BOARD AND PAPER 
  MILL

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

SCHROON RIVER
  RIVERBANK     7.0   10.8 FRI 02 PM  10.9  10.8  10.7  10.5  10.0

$$

NYC065-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DDMN6.1.ER.110427T0145Z.110428T1845Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT DELTA DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 552.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 551.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 551.9 FEET BY
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 552.0 FEET...TWO FEET OF WATER ARE SPILLING OVER AND 
  THERE IS MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLANDS BELOW LAKE DELTA. 

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

MOHAWK RIVER
  DELTA DAM     551.5  552.1 FRI 07 AM  552.0  552.0  551.9  551.8  
551.7

$$

NYC043-065-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 405.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 404.2 FEET BY
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 406.0 FEET...WATER GETS ONTO LELAND AND WURTZ AVENUES 
  AND REACHES CANALCORP BUILDING. PART OF CANAL CORP PARKING LOT 
  FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  405.8 FRI 01 PM  405.2  404.7  404.2  404.0  
403.5

$$

NYC043-057-065-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-110430T2136Z/
/LTLN6.3.ER.110428T1048Z.110429T1500Z.110430T1536Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT LITTLE FALLS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 11 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE BASEMENT OF THE FORMER 
  SALADA PLANT...THE MONTGOMERY PUBLIC WORKS GARAGE...AND THE FONDA 
  MOTOR SPEEDWAY.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

MOHAWK RIVER
  LITTLE FALLS  15.0   17.9 FRI 02 PM  17.5  16.6  15.6  14.6  12.8

$$

NYC043-065-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-110430T1638Z/
/HIKN6.3.ER.110426T1130Z.110429T0015Z.110430T1038Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT HINCKLEY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 1229 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1227 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 6 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 1228 FEET...THREE FEET OF WATER ARE SPILLING OVER AND 
  THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING BETWEEN HINCKLEY AND HERKIMER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

WEST CANADA CR
  HINCKLEY      1227.0 1228.9 FRI 03 PM  1227.9  1227.3  1226.9  
1226.6  1226.2

$$

NYC043-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110501T0000Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0900Z.110430T1800Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 2 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    7.9 FRI 02 PM   7.7   7.1   6.6   6.0   5.3

$$

NYC091-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0067.110501T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/HDLN6.1.ER.110501T1200Z.110501T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT STEWARTS BRIDGE.
* FROM  8 AM SUNDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR 10.0 FEET BY 8 AM 
  SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...RIVER IS ABOUT A FOOT BELOW BANKFULL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

SACANDAGA RIVER
  STEWARTS BRI  10.0    6.3 FRI 02 PM   6.5   6.8   7.0   7.2   7.9

$$

NYC043-049-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWRN6.1.ER.110428T2323Z.110429T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BEAVER RIVER AT STILLWATER RESERVOIR.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 80.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 80.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 


&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

BEAVER RIVER
  STILLWATER R  80.0   80.1 FRI 02 PM  80.1  80.0  80.0  80.0      

$$
475 
WGUS81 KALY 300320
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1120 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

NYC065-301520-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DDMN6.1.ER.110427T0145Z.110428T1845Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1120 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT DELTA DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 552.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 551.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 551.6 FEET BY 2 AM SUN.
* IMPACT...AT 552.0 FEET...TWO FEET OF WATER ARE SPILLING OVER AND 
  THERE IS MINOR FLODING OF LOWLANDS BELOW LAKE DELTA. 

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT   SUN

MOHAWK RIVER
  DELTA DAM     551.5  552.1 FRI 07 AM  552.0  551.9  551.8  551.8  
551.7

$$

NYC043-065-301519-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1120 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 405.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 403.5 FEET BY 2 AM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 406.0 FEET...WATER GETS ONTO LELAND AND WURTZ AVENUES 
  AND REACHES CANALCORP BUILDING. PART OF CANAL CORP PARKING LOT 
  FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT   SUN

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  405.8 FRI 01 PM  404.7  404.2  404.0  403.7  
403.5

$$

NYC043-057-065-301519-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-110430T2136Z/
/LTLN6.3.ER.110428T1048Z.110429T1500Z.110430T1536Z.NR/
1120 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT LITTLE FALLS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 11 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16 FEET...WATER REACHES ROADS IN THE INDUSTRIAL PARK.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT   SUN

MOHAWK RIVER
  LITTLE FALLS  15.0   16.9 FRI 10 PM  16.6  15.6  14.6  13.6  12.8

$$
751 
WGUS81 KALY 301350
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

NYC065-010150-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-110501T1825Z/
/DDMN6.1.ER.110427T0145Z.110428T1845Z.110501T1225Z.UU/
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT DELTA DAM.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 552.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 551.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 8 AM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 552 FEET...TWO FEET OF WATER IS SPILLING OVER AND 
  THERE IS MINOR FLODING OF LOWLANDS BELOW LAKE DELTA. 

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN

MOHAWK RIVER
  DELTA DAM     551.5  552.1 FRI 07 AM  551.8  551.7  551.6  551.5  
551.4

$$

NYC043-065-010150-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 8 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 404.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 403.5 FEET BY
  2 AM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 404 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO THE WHARF AT THE UTICA
  CANAL TERMINAL. RIVER STREET IN ORISKANY IS ALSO FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  404.4 SAT 08 AM  404.0  403.7  403.5


$$

NYC043-065-010000-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-110501T0000Z/
/HIKN6.3.ER.110426T1130Z.110429T0015Z.110430T1800Z.NR/
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT HINCKLEY.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 8 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 1227.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1227 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 2 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 1227 FEET...TWO FEET OF WATER IS SPILLING OVER. THE 
  RIVER DOWNSTREAM BEGINS TO OVERFLOW ITS BANKS.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN

WEST CANADA CR
  HINCKLEY      1227.0 1227.5 SAT 09 AM  1227.0  1226.4  1225.8  
1225.1  1224.3

$$

NYC043-010033-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110501T0033Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0900Z.110430T1833Z.NR/
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 2 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 6 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO LOW LYING 
  RV PARKS.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    6.2 SAT 09 AM   6.0   5.8   5.6   5.4   5.2

$$
057 
WGUS81 KALY 302125
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
525 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

NYC043-065-010925-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
525 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 8 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 404.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 403.4 FEET BY
  8 AM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 404 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO THE WHARF AT THE UTICA
  CANAL TERMINAL. RIVER STREET IN ORISKANY IS ALSO FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN   SUN

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  404.4 SAT 08 AM  403.7  403.5  403.4  403.2


$$
730 
WGUS81 KALY 010339
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1139 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

NYC043-065-011539-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1139 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 6 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 403.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF  FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 404 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO THE WHARF AT THE UTICA
  CANAL TERMINAL. RIVER STREET IN ORISKANY IS ALSO FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   SUN   SUN   SUN   MON

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  403.9 SAT 07 PM  403.5  403.4  403.2  403.0


$$
542 
WGUS81 KALY 011034
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
634 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

NYC043-065-011104-
/O.CAN.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
634 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 402.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER LEVEL HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE 
  TO RECEDE TODAY.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   SUN   SUN   MON   MON

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  402.2 SUN 06 AM  


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 28, 4:57 AM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 28, 4:57 AM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
457 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION THIS MORNING AND MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WERE OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SOME WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS COLD FRONT...A MORE
SEASONABLE AIRMASS WILL BE USHERED INTO THE REGION AS WE HEAD INTO
THE WEEKEND...WITH FAIR CONDITIONS RETURNING BY SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ATTM...CONCENTRATING ON SEVERE WX WATCHES AND WARNINGS FROM BAND
OF CONVECTION WHICH WAS MOVING INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. CELLS WITH ROTATION CONTINUE MOVING
IN A LINE EXTENDING FROM JUST WEST OF BGM TO EAST OF RME AND
THEN NORTH INTO HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COS. COORDINATED WITH BGM
AND SPC ON SVR TSTM WATCH #249. CURRENTLY THE WEATHER IS FAIRLY
QUIET FARTHER EAST. STRONG SW OF 35 TO 65 KTS INDICATED BY VWPS
ON AREA RADARS.  MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE PWAT OF 1.7 INCHES
WITH MUCAPES IN THE 500 TO 1500 J/KG ACROSS THE REGION TIL
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

WE HAVE POPS CATEGORICAL WEST AND LIKELY OVER THE REST OF THE
FCST AREA EARLY THIS AM...THEN LIKELY TIL SHORTLY AFTER NOON
WITH POPS DECREASING TO CHC FROM WEST TO EAST...THEN TO SLIGHT
CHANCE OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF OUR FCST AREA BY LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO
A WESTERLY DIRECTION BY LATE AFTERNOON AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH.
HIGH TEMPS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE
ADIRONDACKS AND HIGHER ELEVS OF SOUTHERN VERMONT...CATSKILLS
...BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS TO THE MID 70S IN THE
CAPITAL DISTRICT...LAKE GEORGE REGION...AND THE MOHAWK VALLEY.
WE HAVE ALSO EXTENDED AND EXPANDED THE FLOOD WATCH OVER THE
AREA DUE TO THE WET CONDITION OF THE GROUND...PERSISTENT
RAINFALL...AND HIGH RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THIS EVENING...SOME SHOWERS MAY LINGER EARLY ACROSS EASTERN AREAS.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT A LULL IN THE PRECIP...BEFORE SOME ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS REDEVELOP FROM NW TO SE TOWARD FRIDAY MORNING
AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. AS THIS TROUGH SWEEPS EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...SCATTERED SHOWERS SHOULD AFFECT MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
RUMBLES OF THUNDER AS WELL AS A MID LEVEL COLD POOL MOVES  ACROSS.
OTHERWISE...GENERALLY FOLLOWED CLOSE TO MET MOS DURING THIS PERIOD
FOR TEMPS.

SOME LINGERING SHOWERS OF RAIN/SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS FRIDAY NIGHT. THEN...EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES FOR SAT...WITH TEMPS GENERALLY REACHING THE MID OR UPPER 60S
IN VALLEYS...AND 50S ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HPC GUIDANCE.  THE PERIOD BEGINS WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM
GREENLAND THROUGH LABRADOR AND NEW ENGLAND TO THE CAROLINAS COAST
GIVING WAY TO A WARM FRONT WHICH WILL BRING A DECENT CHANCE OF RAIN
TO OUR AREA FOR THE START OF THE WEEK.  THE FRONT WILL BE ASSOCIATED
WITH WEAK LOW PRESSURE WHICH WILL TRACK SLOWLY THROUGH SOUTHEAST
ONTARIO AND SOUTHERN QUEBEC MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A LACK OF MID-LEVEL MOMENTUM WILL HELP SLOW THE FRONT...KEEP
CLOUDINESS PLENTIFUL AND CAP INSTABILITY FOR THE EARLY-WEEK
PERIOD...WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT.  WITH A WEAK COASTAL LOW NEAR NEW JERSEY WEDNESDAY NOT
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE ON...AND THE
MID-WEEK PERIOD WILL BECOME BASICALLY DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
SLOWLY IN FROM THE WEST.

DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL START OFF SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT THEN PROGRESS TO SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BY
WEDNESDAY.  DUE TO THE WARM FRONT AND CLOUDINESS...OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH
MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD ENDING AT 06Z FRIDAY.

AS OF 130 AM...THE REGION WAS BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION.
ONE AREA PASSED THROUGH DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS AND WAS
JUST EAST OF KGFL. THIS AREA COVERED THE NORTHEASTERN ADIRONDACKS
AND THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. IT WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 50 KNOTS AND THUS WILL NO LONGER AFFECT THE REGION.

A SECOND AREA OF CONVECTION EXTENDED FROM KRME SOUTHWEST INTO
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN PA. THIS AREA WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION
AROUND DAYBREAK. BEFORE IT REACHES THE AREA WE MAY EXPECT FLIGHT
CONDITIONS TO DETERIORATE SOME AS THE VERY MOIST AIR MASS COOLS
WITH LOW CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT FOG. AT THIS POINT WE ARE NOT
LOOKING FOR MORE THAN A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR AT THE TAF SITES
IF THAT. HOWEVER IFR CIGS MAY BE ENCOUNTERED ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN EAST AND WEST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS ALONG WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST AND MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. AT THIS POINT WE HAVE USED
THE CB CLOUD TYPE TO INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTION.
MOST OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE OVER WITH
BY 00Z...WITH POST FRONTAL STRATUS AT KALB AND KGFL AND SOME
HIGHER CLOUDS AT KPOU FOR THE EVENING.

SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AT 5 TO 15 KTS DURING THE PREDAWN
HOURS...THEN PICK UP TO 10 TO 20 KTS WITH GUSTS OVER 25 KTS AFTER
DAYBREAK. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST LATER ON IN THE DAY.

WINDS ALOFT...INDICATED BY DOPPLER RADAR...SOUTHWEST 50 TO 60 KTS.

OUTLOOK...
TONIGHT...VFR/MVFR...A FEW -SHRAS POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING. WINDY.
FRI...VFR/MVFR...CHC -SHRA MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDY.
SAT...VFR...NO SIG WX.
SUN...VFR...SLIGHT CHC -SHRA.
SUN NIGHT-MON...VFR/MVFR...CHC -SHRA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION THIS MORNING AND MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WERE OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SOME WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS COLD FRONT...A MORE
SEASONABLE AIRMASS WILL BE USHERED INTO THE REGION AS WE HEAD INTO
THE WEEKEND...WITH FAIR CONDITIONS RETURNING BY SATURDAY.

WET FLAG CONDITIONS WILL PRETTY MUCH BE THE RULE THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING.

THE RH WILL RECOVER TO 90-100 PERCENT TONIGHT...THEN FALL TO 45-55
PERCENT BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE RH SHOULD RECOVER TO 75-95
PERCENT THU NT.

SOUTH WINDS WILL BE  20-30 MPH TODAY...THEN GRADUALLY VEER AROUND
TO THE WEST AND DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF OUR FORECAST AREA IN
NEW YORK STATE EXCEPT FOR THE MID HUDSON REGION AND TACONICS.
THE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF VERMONT.
EXPECT REPEATED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF
WHICH MAY HAVE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.  RUNOFF POTENTIAL IS VERY
HIGH DUE TO THE PERSISTENT RAINFALL OVER THE LAST TWO WEEKS
AND RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS ARE HIGH. MANY RIVERS IN THE
ADIRONDACKS ARE AT MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS FROM THE
LAST TWO ROUNDS OF RAINFALL ALONG WITH MELTING OUT MUCH OF
THE REMAINING WINTER SNOWPACK.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ032-033-
     038>043-047>054-058-063-082>084.
MA...NONE.
VT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR VTZ013>015.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RCK
NEAR TERM...IAA/RCK/KL
SHORT TERM...RCK/KL
LONG TERM...ELH
AVIATION...RCK
FIRE WEATHER...RCK
HYDROLOGY...IAA/RCK
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 28, 5:09 AM EDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
509 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NYZ032-033-038>040-047>049-051-052-058-063-082-290915-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-
NORTHERN FULTON-
509 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 249 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ADIRONDACKS...THE MOHAWK VALLEY...THE SCHOHARIE VALLEY...AND
THE CATSKILLS OF EASTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ060-061-065-066-290915-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
509 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND THE MID HUDSON REGION
OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY AHEAD OF
AND ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 58 MPH. THE
STORMS MAY ALSO CONTAIN TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NYZ059-064-290915-
EASTERN GREENE-EASTERN ULSTER-
509 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 249 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID HUDSON REGION OF
EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NYZ041>043-050-053-054-083-084-VTZ013>015-290915-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
509 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EASTERN ADIRONDACKS...THE
LAKE GEORGE REGION...THE GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY AHEAD OF
AND ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 58 MPH. THE
STORMS MAY ALSO CONTAIN TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 28, 6:30 AM EDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
630 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 AM     TORNADO          FRANKFORT               43.04N 75.07W
04/28/2011                   HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POSSIBLE TORNADO. MULTIPLE HOUSES DAMAGE ON ALBANY
            STREET.

0535 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SALISBURY CENTER        43.14N 74.79W
04/28/2011                   HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            THREE PINE TREES DOWN ON STATE ROUTE 170A SOUTH OF ROUTE
            29.

0625 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NEWPORT                 43.19N 75.01W
04/28/2011                   HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CAR RESCUE IN PROGRESS ON STRUMLOCK ROAD NEAR HONEY HILL
            ROAD.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 28, 6:37 AM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
637 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     TORNADO          SPECULATOR              43.58N 74.38W
04/28/2011                   HAMILTON           NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POSSIBLE TORNADO. TREES DOWN NORTHEAST OF VILLAGE OF
            SPECULATOR ALONG ROUTE 30.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 28, 7:06 AM EDT, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
706 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SALISBURY CENTER        43.14N 74.79W
04/28/2011                   HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            THREE PINE TREES SHEAERED AND/OR UPROOTED DOWN ON STATE
            ROUTE 170A SOUTH OF ROUTE 29. THREE SHEDS BLOWN APART AND
            ONE ROLLED. BRICKS MISSING FROM CHIMNEY OF HOUSE.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 28, 7:08 AM EDT, 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
708 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      POLAND                  43.23N 75.06W
04/28/2011                   HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRIBUTARIES OF WEST CANADA CREEK OUT OF BANKS.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 28, 7:18 AM EDT, 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
718 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     TORNADO          FRANKFORT CENTER        43.05N 75.14W
04/28/2011                   HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POSSIBLE TORNADO. TOPS OF TREES SHEARED OFF AND A ROOF
            BLOWN OFF A HOUSE.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 28, 8:02 AM EDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
802 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0753 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MIDDLEVILLE             43.14N 74.97W
04/28/2011                   HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MIDDLEVILLE BRIDGE RT28 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. WEST
            CANADA VALLEY CENTRAL SCHOOL PARKING LOT FLOODED.

&&

KGM/TES

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 10:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYFulton, Montgomery, Schoharie48 min
Apr 27, 10:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYHerkimer34 min
Apr 27, 11:07 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery4 hr
Apr 27, 11:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Fulton, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie66 min
Apr 27, 11:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYHamilton23 min
Apr 27, 11:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Saratoga, Warren35 min
Apr 28, 12:22 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYWashington23 min
Apr 28, 12:45 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYWashington15 min
Apr 28, 3:55 AM EDTTornado WarningALYHamilton, Herkimer50 min
Apr 28, 4:12 AM EDTTornado WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer48 min
Apr 28, 4:58 AM EDTTornado WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer47 min
Apr 28, 5:21 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYHamilton, Herkimer3 hr
Apr 28, 5:32 AM EDTTornado WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer43 min
Apr 28, 5:45 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schoharie and 1 more45 min
Apr 28, 6:27 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Montgomery, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady and 2 more63 min
Apr 28, 6:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYGreene, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie43 min
Apr 28, 7:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Montgomery, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie and 1 more47 min
Apr 28, 7:24 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia, Dutchess, Greene, Ulster51 min
Apr 28, 7:33 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer, Saratoga, Washington57 min
Apr 28, 7:40 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningALYHerkimer4 hr
Apr 28, 8:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYGreene, Ulster45 min
Apr 28, 8:19 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYRensselaer, Saratoga6 days
Apr 28, 8:24 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningALYHamilton, Herkimer4 hr
Apr 28, 8:29 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYColumbia31 min
Apr 28, 10:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Fulton, Greene, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie and 1 more32 min
Apr 28, 10:16 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Saratoga9 days
Apr 28, 10:20 AM EDTWind AdvisoryALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery7 hr
Apr 28, 10:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYGreene, Ulster34 min
Apr 28, 11:47 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYSaratoga, Schenectady, Washington28 min
Apr 28, 12:04 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYHerkimer25 hr
Apr 28, 12:22 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYAlbany, Rensselaer, Saratoga11 hr
Apr 28, 12:31 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryALYHamilton, Herkimer18 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.