Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 50, NWS Albany, NY

April 26, 2011Herkimer County, New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this river flood warning at Apr 26, 2011, 6:17 PM EDT for Herkimer County, New York. It took effect at Apr 26, 2011, 8:34 PM EDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 26, 2011, 6:17 PM EDT (22:17 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 26, 2011, 8:34 PM EDT
Expired
Apr 30, 2011, 2:04 PM EDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY
Flood severity
Minor

County Herkimer County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point West Canada Creek at Kast Bridge (KASN6). The gauge peaked at 8.68 ft at Apr 29, 2011, 5:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderatemajor4681004/2604/2704/2804/2904/3005/01
Action stage
5 ft
Minor stage
6 ft
Moderate stage
7 ft
Major stage
8 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01346000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

182 
WGUS41 KALY 262217
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
617 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

NYC043-271017-
/O.NEW.KALY.FL.W.0050.110427T0034Z-000000T0000Z/
/KASN6.1.ER.110427T0034Z.110428T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
617 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  5 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...5.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY  8 PM
  TUESDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 6.9 FEET BY  8 PM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   WED   WED   WED   WED

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    5.7 TUE 05 PM   6.0   6.4   6.8   6.9   6.8

$$
13 follow-up statements
050 
WGUS81 KALY 271011
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
611 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

NYC043-272211-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KASN6.2.ER.110427T0318Z.110428T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
611 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY LEVEL TODAY. THE RIVER 
  IS THEN FORECAST TO RISE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY TO NEAR 7.4 FEET
  BY 2 PM THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   WED   WED   THU   THU

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    6.6 WED  5 AM   6.6   6.5   6.8   7.2   7.4

$$
708 
WGUS41 KALY 271613
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1213 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

NYC043-280413-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KASN6.2.ER.110427T0318Z.110428T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1213 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY... 

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...6.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.7 
  FEET BY 2 AM THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 7 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    6.8 WED 11 AM   7.6   7.7   7.5   7.3   6.8

$$
959 
WGUS81 KALY 280141
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

NYC041-281341-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/INDN6.1.ER.110427T1552Z.110429T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE INDIAN RIVER AT INDIAN LAKE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 1653 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1652 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 1654 FEET BY 2 PM
  FRIDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HUDSON RIVER
  INDIAN LAKE   1652.5 1652.9 WED 04 PM  1653.2  1653.4  1653.7  
1653.9  1654.2

$$

NYC113-281341-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-110429T1648Z/
/NCKN6.3.ER.110427T0510Z.110427T1530Z.110429T1048Z.NR/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 6 AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.7 WED 08 PM  11.5  11.2  10.9  10.7  10.4

$$

NYC091-113-281341-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110430T0440Z/
/HDYN6.2.ER.110427T1234Z.110428T0115Z.110429T2240Z.NO/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT HADLEY.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 6 PM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WATER REACHES EAST RIVER ROAD IN SEVERAL 
  SPOTS. WATER ALSO FLOODS OLD BEND ROAD IN THE TOWN OF MOREAU.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HUDSON RIVER
  HADLEY        14.0   17.2 WED 09 PM  17.1  16.9  16.5  16.3  16.1

$$

NYC091-115-281341-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FTEN6.2.ER.110427T1437Z.110429T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT FORT EDWARD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.7 FEET BY 2 PM
  FRIDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...WATER ON ROUTE 9N IN CORINTH. FLOODS
  CELLARS IN CORINTH. WATER REACHES FIRST FLOORS ALONG OLD BEND ROAD
  IN MOREAU.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HUDSON RIVER
  FORT EDWARD   26.0   27.5 WED 09 PM  27.6  27.6  27.4  27.3  27.9

$$

NYC083-091-115-281341-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SYLN6.2.ER.110425T0916Z.110428T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT SCHUYLERVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 92.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 93.8 FEET BY 2 AM
  THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 93.0 FEET...THERE ARE ONE TO THREE FEET OF WATER IN
  SOME AREAS CLOSE TO THE RIVER INCLUDING THE SOD FARM...WRIGHTS
  LOOP...AND FERRY LANE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HUDSON RIVER
  SCHUYLERVILL  90.0   92.3 WED 03 PM  93.8  93.5  93.1  92.8  92.6

$$

NYC001-083-091-281341-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0058.110428T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRYN6.1.ER.110428T0600Z.110428T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT TROY.
* FROM 2 AM THURSDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 2 AM
  THURSDAY AND FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.7 FEET BY 8 
  AM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 21.5 FEET...WATER FLOODS ONTO THE MOHAWK WHARF IN 
  VILLAGE OF WATERFORD.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HUDSON RIVER
  TROY          21.5   20.9 WED 09 PM  21.5  21.7  21.6  21.6  21.6

$$

NYC043-065-281341-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-110429T0900Z/
/HIKN6.2.ER.110426T1130Z.110427T1700Z.110429T0300Z.NR/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT HINCKLEY.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 1229 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1227 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 11 PM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 1228 FEET...THREE FEET OF WATER ARE SPILLING OVER AND 
  THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING BETWEEN HINCKLEY AND HERKIMER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

WEST CANADA CR
  HINCKLEY      1227.0 1228.6 WED 09 PM  1228.1  1227.6  1227.2  
1227.1  1226.9

$$

NYC043-281341-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110430T0600Z/
/KASN6.2.ER.110427T0318Z.110428T0600Z.110430T0000Z.NO/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.2 FEET BY 2 AM 
  THURSDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 8 
  PM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    6.9 WED 08 PM   7.2   7.2   7.0   6.8   6.6

$$

NYC041-281341-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110429T1434Z/
/HOPN6.1.ER.110427T1212Z.110429T0000Z.110429T0834Z.NO/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT HOPE.
* FROM 12 PM THURSDAY UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 12 PM
  THURSDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.9 FEET BY 8 PM THURSDAY. 
  THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 4 AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS NY ROUTE 30 NEAR THE HOPE TOWN 
  GARAGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

SACANDAGA RIVER
  HOPE          7.0    6.6 WED 08 PM   6.7   6.6   7.2   7.9   7.3

$$

NYC065-281340-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DDMN6.1.ER.110427T0145Z.110428T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT DELTA DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 552.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 551.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 552.3 FEET BY 2 
  AM THURSDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 552.5 FEET...TWO AND A HALF FEET OF WATER ARE SPILLING 
  OVER AND THE RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW ITS BANKS DOWNSTREAM.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

MOHAWK RIVER
  DELTA DAM     551.5  552.0 WED 07 AM  552.3  552.3  552.3  552.2  
552.1

$$

NYC043-057-065-281340-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-110429T1342Z/
/LTLN6.1.ER.110428T0428Z.110428T1800Z.110429T0742Z.NO/
941 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT LITTLE FALLS.
* FROM 12 AM THURSDAY UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 12 AM
  THURSDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.6 FEET BY 2 PM THURSDAY. 
  THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 3 AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER REACHES ROADS IN THE INDUSTRIAL PARK.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

MOHAWK RIVER
  LITTLE FALLS  15.0   14.7 WED 08 PM  15.1  15.5  15.6  15.6  15.2

$$
123 
WGUS41 KALY 281256
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
856 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NYC043-290056-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110430T1300Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110428T1800Z.110430T0700Z.NO/
856 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...7.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.1 
  FEET BY  2 PM THURSDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE AFTER  3 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   FRI   FRI   FRI   FRI

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    7.6 THU 08 AM   8.0   7.8   7.4   7.0   6.1

$$
883 
WGUS81 KALY 281637
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1237 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NYC113-290437-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-110430T0400Z/
/NCKN6.3.ER.110427T0510Z.110428T1800Z.110429T2200Z.NR/
1237 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 13.1 FEET BY 2 PM
  THURSDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 6 
  PM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER APPROACHES THE RAILROAD TRACKS AND 
  WOODWORKING FACTORY.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   FRI   FRI   FRI   FRI

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   13.1 THU 12 PM  13.0  12.5  11.5  10.6   9.2

$$

NYC043-290437-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110430T0600Z/
/KASN6.2.ER.110427T0318Z.110428T1315Z.110430T0000Z.NO/
1237 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER  8 PM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   FRI   FRI   FRI   FRI

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    7.3 THU 12 PM   7.0   6.9   6.7   6.4   5.6

$$
546 
WGUS41 KALY 290158
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
958 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NYC043-291358-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110430T1800Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0600Z.110430T1200Z.NO/
958 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...OBSERVED FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY... 
 
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.2 
  FEET BY 2 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE AFTER 8 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   FRI   FRI   FRI   SAT

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    8.1 THU 09 PM   8.2   7.9   7.5   7.1   6.5

$$
933 
WGUS81 KALY 290247
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1047 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

NYC043-291447-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110430T1800Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0600Z.110430T1200Z.NO/
1047 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.4 FEET BY 2 AM 
  FRIDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 8 AM
  SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   FRI   FRI   FRI   SAT

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    8.2 THU 10 PM   8.4   7.9   7.5   7.1   6.5

$$
276 
WGUS81 KALY 290536
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
136 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

NYC043-291736-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110430T1800Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0445Z.110430T1200Z.NR/
136 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 1 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.5 FEET BY 2 AM 
  FRIDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 8 AM
  SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER ON THEM.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   FRI   FRI   SAT   SAT

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    8.5 FRI 01 AM   8.1   7.5   7.1   6.5   6.0

$$
943 
WGUS81 KALY 290913
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
513 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

NYC043-065-292113-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HIKN6.3.ER.110426T1130Z.110429T0015Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
513 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT HINCKLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 1230 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1227 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS NOT EXPECTED TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 1228 FEET 
  UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   FRI   FRI   SAT   SAT

WEST CANADA CR
  HINCKLEY      1227.0 1230.3 FRI 5 AM 1230.2 1229.6 1228.8 1228.0  1227.6

$$

NYC043-292113-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110501T0224Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0715Z.110430T2024Z.NR/
513 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. 
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST FALL EVENTUALLY BELOW ITS FLOOD STAGE 
  OF 6 FEET AFTER 4 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   FRI   FRI   SAT   SAT

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    8.6 FRI  4 AM   8.5   8.2   8.0   7.6   7.0

$$
341 
WGUS81 KALY 292003
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

NYC041-300803-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/INDN6.1.ER.110427T1552Z.110430T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE INDIAN RIVER AT INDIAN LAKE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 1 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 1653 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1652 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 1654 FEET BY 8 PM
  FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  INDIAN LAKE   1652.5 1653.2 THU 01 AM  1654.3  1654.2  1654.0  
1653.9  1653.7

$$

NYC041-300803-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/INRN6.3.ER.110427T2030Z.110429T1630Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE INDIAN RIVER MISSING BELOW INDIAN LAKE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL BEGIN FALLING THIS EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO 
  FALL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  BELOW INDIAN  5.5    7.8 FRI 03 PM   7.3   7.1   6.9   6.7   6.2

$$

NYC113-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-110430T1525Z/
/NCKN6.3.ER.110427T0510Z.110429T0300Z.110430T0925Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. 
* AT  2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 5 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   12.3 FRI 02 PM  11.3  10.4   9.7   9.3   8.5

$$

NYC091-113-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110430T2337Z/
/HDYN6.3.ER.110427T1234Z.110429T1100Z.110430T1737Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT HADLEY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 1 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FLOOR OF THE GAGEHOUSE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  HADLEY        14.0   20.8 FRI 03 PM  20.0  17.8  15.5  13.9  11.8

$$

NYC091-115-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FTEN6.3.ER.110427T1437Z.110429T1545Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT FORT EDWARD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL BEGIN FALLING TO A STAGE OF 29.1
  FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  FORT EDWARD   26.0   31.3 FRI 03 PM  30.9  30.1  29.1  28.1  27.1

$$

NYC083-091-115-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SYLN6.3.ER.110425T0916Z.110430T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT SCHUYLERVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 97.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 90.0 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 97.6 FEET BY 2 AM
  SATURDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 96.0 FEET...THE RIVER FLOODS NUMEROUS HOMES AND ROADS 
  AND CAN REACH THE VILLAGE WATER PLANT.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  SCHUYLERVILL  90.0   97.1 FRI 02 PM  97.5  97.6  97.2  96.6      

$$

NYC083-091-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCVN6.1.ER.110427T1100Z.110430T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT MECHANICVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 53.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 53 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 55.6 FEET BY  8 PM
  FRIDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 56.6 FEET...APPROXIMATE LEVEL OF SEP 1938 FLOOD ABOVE
  THE DAM.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  MECHANICVILL  53.0   53.9 THU 12 PM  55.6  55.4  55.3  54.9      

$$

NYC001-083-091-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-110501T0224Z/
/TRYN6.1.ER.110428T1752Z.110429T1915Z.110430T2024Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT TROY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. 
* AT 3 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 4 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER REACHES STREETS IN WATERFORD VILLAGE 
  AND MATSONS SHIPYARD ON VAN SCHIAK ISLAND. SOME BASEMENTS FLOOD.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  TROY          21.5   22.9 FRI 03 PM  22.9  22.6  22.2  21.7  20.8

$$

NYC035-041-091-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SACN6.3.ER.110428T2001Z.110501T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT SACANDAGA RSVR.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 774.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 773.0 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 774.6 FEET BY 8 
  PM SATURDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 773.0 FEET...BOAT DOCKS AND PROPERITES ADJACENT TO THE 
  LAKE ARE FLOODED. WATER GETS CLOSE TO HOMES AND CAMPS ALONG THE 
  LAKE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

RESERVOIRS
  SACANDAGA RS  773.0  774.1 FRI 02 PM  774.3  774.4  774.5  774.5  
774.6

$$

NYC113-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRN6.3.ER.110413T1030Z.110430T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCHROON RIVER AT RIVERBANK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY 8 PM
  FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...ROUTE 418 IS UNDER WATER IN SEVERAL
SECTIONS
  AND PARTLY WASHED OUT. HEAVY DAMAGE AT THE FORMER BOARD AND PAPER 
  MILL

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

SCHROON RIVER
  RIVERBANK     7.0   10.8 FRI 02 PM  10.9  10.8  10.7  10.5  10.0

$$

NYC065-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DDMN6.1.ER.110427T0145Z.110428T1845Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT DELTA DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 552.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 551.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 551.9 FEET BY
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 552.0 FEET...TWO FEET OF WATER ARE SPILLING OVER AND 
  THERE IS MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLANDS BELOW LAKE DELTA. 

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

MOHAWK RIVER
  DELTA DAM     551.5  552.1 FRI 07 AM  552.0  552.0  551.9  551.8  
551.7

$$

NYC043-065-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 12 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 405.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 404.2 FEET BY
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 406.0 FEET...WATER GETS ONTO LELAND AND WURTZ AVENUES 
  AND REACHES CANALCORP BUILDING. PART OF CANAL CORP PARKING LOT 
  FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  405.8 FRI 01 PM  405.2  404.7  404.2  404.0  
403.5

$$

NYC043-057-065-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-110430T2136Z/
/LTLN6.3.ER.110428T1048Z.110429T1500Z.110430T1536Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT LITTLE FALLS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 11 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE BASEMENT OF THE FORMER 
  SALADA PLANT...THE MONTGOMERY PUBLIC WORKS GARAGE...AND THE FONDA 
  MOTOR SPEEDWAY.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

MOHAWK RIVER
  LITTLE FALLS  15.0   17.9 FRI 02 PM  17.5  16.6  15.6  14.6  12.8

$$

NYC043-065-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-110430T1638Z/
/HIKN6.3.ER.110426T1130Z.110429T0015Z.110430T1038Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT HINCKLEY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 1229 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1227 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 6 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 1228 FEET...THREE FEET OF WATER ARE SPILLING OVER AND 
  THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING BETWEEN HINCKLEY AND HERKIMER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

WEST CANADA CR
  HINCKLEY      1227.0 1228.9 FRI 03 PM  1227.9  1227.3  1226.9  
1226.6  1226.2

$$

NYC043-300802-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110501T0000Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0900Z.110430T1800Z.NR/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 2 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    7.9 FRI 02 PM   7.7   7.1   6.6   6.0   5.3

$$

NYC091-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0067.110501T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/HDLN6.1.ER.110501T1200Z.110501T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SACANDAGA RIVER AT STEWARTS BRIDGE.
* FROM  8 AM SUNDAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR 10.0 FEET BY 8 AM 
  SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...RIVER IS ABOUT A FOOT BELOW BANKFULL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

SACANDAGA RIVER
  STEWARTS BRI  10.0    6.3 FRI 02 PM   6.5   6.8   7.0   7.2   7.9

$$

NYC043-049-300802-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWRN6.1.ER.110428T2323Z.110429T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
403 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BEAVER RIVER AT STILLWATER RESERVOIR.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 2 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 80.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 80.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 


&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

BEAVER RIVER
  STILLWATER R  80.0   80.1 FRI 02 PM  80.1  80.0  80.0  80.0      

$$
412 
WGUS81 KALY 300256
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1056 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

NYC043-301456-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110501T0000Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0900Z.110430T1800Z.NR/
1056 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. 
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER  2 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7 FEET...SEVERAL RV PARKS ARE INUNDATED WITH ONE TO 
  TWO FEET OF WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT   SUN

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    6.9 FRI 10 PM   6.8    6.4   6.0   5.6   5.3

$$
751 
WGUS81 KALY 301350
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

NYC065-010150-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-110501T1825Z/
/DDMN6.1.ER.110427T0145Z.110428T1845Z.110501T1225Z.UU/
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT DELTA DAM.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 552.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 551.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 8 AM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 552 FEET...TWO FEET OF WATER IS SPILLING OVER AND 
  THERE IS MINOR FLODING OF LOWLANDS BELOW LAKE DELTA. 

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN

MOHAWK RIVER
  DELTA DAM     551.5  552.1 FRI 07 AM  551.8  551.7  551.6  551.5  
551.4

$$

NYC043-065-010150-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110427T2013Z.110429T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 8 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 404.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 403.5 FEET BY
  2 AM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 404 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO THE WHARF AT THE UTICA
  CANAL TERMINAL. RIVER STREET IN ORISKANY IS ALSO FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  404.4 SAT 08 AM  404.0  403.7  403.5


$$

NYC043-065-010000-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-110501T0000Z/
/HIKN6.3.ER.110426T1130Z.110429T0015Z.110430T1800Z.NR/
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT HINCKLEY.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 8 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 1227.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 1227 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 2 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 1227 FEET...TWO FEET OF WATER IS SPILLING OVER. THE 
  RIVER DOWNSTREAM BEGINS TO OVERFLOW ITS BANKS.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN

WEST CANADA CR
  HINCKLEY      1227.0 1227.5 SAT 09 AM  1227.0  1226.4  1225.8  
1225.1  1224.3

$$

NYC043-010033-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110501T0033Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0900Z.110430T1833Z.NR/
950 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 2 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 6 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO LOW LYING 
  RV PARKS.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   SAT   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    6.2 SAT 09 AM   6.0   5.8   5.6   5.4   5.2

$$
076 
WGUS81 KALY 301804
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
204 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

NYC043-301834-
/O.CAN.KALY.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110501T0033Z/
/KASN6.3.ER.110427T0318Z.110429T0900Z.110430T1545Z.NR/
204 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WEST CANADA CREEK AT KAST BRIDGE.
* AT 1 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 6 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW INTO LOW LYING 
  RV PARKS.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN   SUN

WEST CANADA CR
  KAST BRIDGE   6.0    5.9 SAT 01 PM   5.6   5.3   5.1   4.9   4.4

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 26, 4:13 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 26, 4:13 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
413 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE MOVE NORTHWARD BEYOND THE
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT THIS EVENING...USHERING IN A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BUT NOT UNTIL THURSDAY. OUR
WEATHER WILL BE UNSETTLED WITH THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE BEST CHANCES EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 9 PM. WARM FRONT STILL
ACROSS NORTHERN NY AND SOUTHERN VT PROVIDING LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR
ENHANCED CONVERGENCE SUPPORTING STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION. SOME
ROTATION SEEN IN STORMS DUE TO LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALONG AND JUST
NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. OTHER LINEAR CONVECTIVE FEATURES SEEN IN
NY/PA AND DOWN THE APPALACHIANS LIKELY SUPPORTED BY STRENGTHENING
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BOUNDARY LAYER JET ENERGY AND MOISTURE
ADVECTION. A VIL OF AROUND 64 RESULTED IN PING PONG TO GOLF BALL
HAIL...SO VILS IN THE 50S SEEM TO SUPPORT QUARTER HAIL.

THE HRRR SUGGESTS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE INTO THIS
EVENING...AND SHOULD AFFECT PARTS OF THE CATSKILLS...SCHOHARIE
VALLEY...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE
GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...AND CAPITAL DISTRICT...WITH MORE
SCATTERED ACTIVITY IN SOUTHERN VT...WESTERN MA...TACONICS...MID
HUDSON VALLEY AND NW CT. SOME SUGGESTION BY GUIDANCE THAT AS
SURFACE HIGH IN CANADA BUILDS EAST...THE WARM FRONT MAY STRUGGLE
TO PUSH NORTH AND EAST...AND THE CONVECTION COULD NUDGE THE WARM
FRONT BACK SOUTH AGAIN TEMPORARILY INTO THE MOHAWK VALLEY AND
CAPITAL DISTRICT. THIS MIGHT RESULT IN MORE CLOUD COVER AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER LOW TEMPERATURES...AND MORE FOG TONIGHT...BUT FOR
NOW HOLDING POSITION OF WARM FRONT AS IS THIS EVENING...THEN
SLOWLY PUSHING NORTH LATER TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING.

SO...LIKELY SHOWERS AND STORMS IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
AREAS...SCATTERED ACTIVITY SOUTH AND EAST. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT...AND LOWER 60S SOUTH
OF THE WARM FRONT. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON TRENDS TO SEE IF LOW
CLOUDS...FOG AND COOLER TEMPERATURES DO DRAIN SOUTH AGAIN THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

CONVECTIVE RAINFALL IN SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND WESTERN MOHAWK
VALLEY SUPPORTS CONTINUATION OF THE FLOOD WATCH...ESPECIALLY SINCE
SOME POINTS ARE IN FLOOD NOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ANY LINGERING SHOWER ACTIVITY LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING
SHOULD BECOME ISOLATED...AND DAYTIME MIXING SHOULD HELP ERODE ANY
LOW CLOUDS AND/OR FOG IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE WARM FRONT...IF IT
HAS NOT MOVED NORTH AND EAST OUT OF OUR REGION BY MORNING.
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS BACK TO MORE SOUTH TO SOUTH SOUTHWEST.
SO...WITH INCREASING DEEP MOISTURE...SKY SHOULD BE MORE PARTLY
CLOUDY...BUT STILL ENOUGH SUN TO BOOST TEMPERATURES INTO THE 70S
TO AROUND 80 IN MOST AREAS. IF MORE SUN...THEN SIMILAR TO TODAY
WITH TEMPERATURES WAY ABOVE GUIDANCE VALUES...TOO EARLY TO TELL
FOR SURE AT THIS TIME. NO ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...BUT INCREASING LOW LEVEL
JET ENERGY AND GENERAL INSTABILITY COULD SUPPORT SOME CONVECTION
IN HIGHER TERRAIN THAT COULD TRACK ACROSS SOME OF THE REGION.
SO...SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.

BETTER UPPER DYNAMICS AND LOW LEVEL FORCING WILL TRACK INTO OUR
REGION TOMORROW NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A BAND OR ORGANIZED LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME STRONG...SHOULD FORM AND TRACK THROUGH THE
REGION. THERE SHOULD BE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS OUTSIDE OF THE
BAND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO RISE INTO
THE 70S IN MANY AREAS. THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE A BIT IN
QUESTION...BUT WITH THE UPPER DYNAMICS QUITE SLOW TO
EXIT...FAVORING SLOWER FRONTAL PASSAGE. IT ALSO SUGGESTS THAT SOME
LINGERING CLOUDS AND SHOWERS COULD OCCUR INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

SOME SLOW CLEARING AND COOLING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...WITH LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE 40S TO AROUND 50...MAYBE
SOME UPPER 30S SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. HIGHS FRIDAY IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S...SOME 50S IN HIGHER TERRAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINING OVER THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF
A SFC COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SOME CYCLONIC FLOW SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY NIGHT...MAINLY FOR NORTHERN AND WESTERN
AREAS...AND ESPECIALLY FOR TYPICALLY UPSLOPE FAVORED AREAS. P-TYPE
WILL GENERALLY BE -SHRA...BUT SOME -SHSN MAY MIX IN AT TIMES LATER
DURING THE NIGHT FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.

BOTH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC AND RIDGING ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE
AREA FOR SAT INTO SAT NIGHT...ALLOWING FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR
SEASONABLE TEMPS. HOWEVER...THE QUIET WEATHER WILL BE SHORT
LIVED...AS YET ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA FOR LATER
IN THE WEEKEND.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE WITH THE EXACT TIMING OF THIS
SYSTEM. BOTH THE 00 UTC AND 12 UTC RUNS OF THE ECMWF HAVE BEEN
PERSISTENT IN DELAYING THIS SYSTEM...SO SUNDAY COULD WIND UP BEING A
DRY DAY IF THIS SCENARIO IS CORRECT...AS THE BEST ISENTROPIC LIFT
ALONG THE WARM FRONT REMAINS TO THE WEST OF THE AREA.  THE 12 UTC
GGEM ALSO AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO.  HOWEVER...THE 12 UTC GFS
ALLOWS FOR -SHRA TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA AS EARLY AS SUNDAY
MORNING...ESP FOR WESTERN AREAS. FOR NOW...WILL GO WITH LOW CHC POPS
FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS...AND SLIGHT CHC POPS FOR EASTERN
AREAS /WESTERN NEW ENGLAND/ BECAUSE OF THIS UNCERTAINTY. WITH THE
WARMER TEMPS MOVING IN ALOFT...WILL ALLOW FOR MAX TEMPS A BIT WARMER
ON SUNDAY THAN SATURDAY...WITH UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S IN VALLEY
AREAS...ALTHOUGH THIS WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON HOW MUCH SUNSHINE
OCCURS.

WITH THE FRONT NEARBY...WILL CONTINUE THE CHC OF SHOWERS FOR SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE GFS CLEARS THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA BY
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...WHILE THE ECMWF LINGERS THE FRONT THROUGH
TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP TEMPS NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR MONDAY...AND THEN COOL TEMPS OFF BY
SEVERAL DEGREES FOR TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH THIS WILL DEPEND ON JUST HOW
QUICKLY THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...AND HOW MUCH CLOUD COVER REMAINS
OVER THE AREA AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WARM FRONT WAS LIFTING NORTH WITH LOW STRATUS HANGING TIGHT ACROSS
THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY JUST NORTH OF KALB.  EXPECTATION IS TO HAVE
THIS IFR DECK ERODE WITH VFR CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE AFTERNOON.
LINE OF CONVECTION...AND LIKELY SOME POP-UP SHOWERS...WILL BECOME
MORE APPARENT AFTER 20Z.  QUESTION IS HOW MUCH OF THIS CONVECTION
PROGRESSES EAST AND MAINTAINS ITSELF TONIGHT AS IT APPROACHES THE
HUDSON RIVER VALLEY.  FOR NOW...WE WILL GO WITH SHOWERS OF MVFR
CATEGORIES ALONG WITH A TEMPO FOR IFR CONDITIONS AND THE CHANCE FOR
MORE ROBUST CONVECTION THROUGH THIS EVENING.

IN THE WAKE OF PRECIP...AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED WITH A
RETURN OF IFR CIGS FOR ALL TAF SITES OVERNIGHT.  THIS STRATUS DECK
SHOULD SLOWLY LIFT AND DISPERSE THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT MORNING HOURS
ON WEDNESDAY.

OUTLOOK...
WED PM...VFR/MVFR...CHC TSRA/SHRA.
THU...MVFR/IFR...-SHRA/-TSRA. CHC SVR TSTMS.
THU NIGHT-FRI...VFR/MVFR...CHC -SHRAS.
SAT...VFR...NO SIG WX.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE FINISH MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION
THIS EVENING USHERING IN A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BUT NOT UNTIL THURSDAY. OUR WEATHER
WILL BE UNSETTLED WITH THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH THE BEST CHANCES EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.
WITH MOST AREAS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE RAINFALL PERIODICALLY THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND NO WIDESPREAD WINDS OF 25 MPH OR MORE EXPECTED...
MOST FUELS SHOULD REMAIN MOIST ENOUGH TO MINIMIZE FIRE CONCERNS AT
LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR HAMILTON...NORTHERN FULTON...HERKIMER
NORTHERN WARREN AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES FOR RUNOFF FROM
RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT.

SOME POINTS IN AND AROUND THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS REMAIN IN FLOOD.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NYZ032-033-038-042-
     043-082.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NAS
NEAR TERM...NAS
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...BJF
AVIATION...BGM
FIRE WEATHER...NAS
HYDROLOGY...NAS
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 26, 4:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
428 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

NYZ032-033-038-082-271100-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-NORTHERN FULTON-
428 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 213 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR HERKIMER...HAMILTON AND
NORTHERN FULTON COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NYZ039-040-047-271100-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-
428 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 213 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN FULTON...MONTGOMERY
AND SCHOHARIE COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NYZ042-043-271100-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
428 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ041-048>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-271100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
428 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN VERMONT AND
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK THAT INCLUDE THE CAPITAL
REGION...HUDSON RIVER VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. A FEW OF STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 26, 3:22 PM EDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
322 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

NYZ032-033-038-261945-
HAMILTON NY-NORTHERN HERKIMER NY-SOUTHERN HERKIMER NY-
322 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  HAMILTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  HERKIMER COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...

AT 318 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
OHIO...OR ABOUT 11 MILES EAST OF HINCKLEY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MOREHOUSEVILLE BY 330 PM EDT
HOFFMEISTER AND MOUNTAIN HOME BY 335 PM EDT
HERKIMER LANDING BY 340 PM EDT
CASWELL LAKE AND 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST CANADA LAKES BY 345 PM EDT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NEW YORK.

LAT...LON 4369 7475 4356 7450 4324 7485 4335 7505
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 216DEG 25KT 4337 7488

BGM
Special weather statement, Apr 26, 3:30 PM EDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
330 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

NYZ032-033-262000-
HAMILTON NY-NORTHERN HERKIMER NY-
330 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  HAMILTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  HERKIMER COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...

AT 327 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LYON
LAKE...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF OLD FORGE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
6 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROBINWOOD BY 355 PM EDT
SABATTIS BY 400 PM EDT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NEW YORK.

LAT...LON 4387 7511 4391 7515 4406 7517 4408 7513
      4406 7507 4409 7457
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 237DEG 34KT 4399 7508

BGM
Special weather statement, Apr 26, 4:07 PM EDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
407 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

NYZ033-042-262030-
HAMILTON NY-NORTHERN WARREN NY-
407 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  HAMILTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  WARREN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 400 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...AND HEAVY
RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES WEST OF MOFFITT BEACH
CAMPGROUND...OR ABOUT 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPECULATOR...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MOFFITT BEACH CAMPGROUND BY 415 PM EDT
SPECULATOR AND LEWEY LAKE CAMPGROUND BY 425 PM EDT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NEW YORK.

LAT...LON 4381 7412 4380 7404 4375 7405 4378 7371
      4374 7368 4342 7455 4357 7468 4384 7415
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 242DEG 24KT 4354 7452

SNYDER
Special weather statement, Apr 26, 5:13 PM EDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
513 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

NYZ033-262145-
HAMILTON NY-
513 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN

  HAMILTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...

AT 509 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF LAKE EATON CAMPGROUND TO EIGHTH LAKE
CAMPGROUND...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NEWCOMB TO 14 MILES EAST OF OLD FORGE...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
BLUE MOUNTAIN LAKE BY 520 PM EDT
LAKE DURANT CAMPGROUND BY 530 PM EDT
INDIAN LAKE BY 545 PM EDT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NEW YORK.

LAT...LON 4411 7427 4397 7425 4393 7432 4392 7432
      4382 7421 4383 7419 4383 7416 4369 7439
      4375 7480 4410 7463 4411 7450
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 266DEG 29KT 4402 7428 4378 7465

FRUGIS/SND

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 25, 11:13 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYRensselaer, Saratoga, Washington14 days
Apr 26, 6:11 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYHerkimer, Oneida5 days
Apr 26, 6:55 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYHamilton19 hr
Apr 26, 3:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYHerkimer23 min
Apr 26, 3:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYHerkimer30 min
Apr 26, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton, Herkimer46 min
Apr 26, 4:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYHamilton23 min
Apr 26, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton, Warren55 min
Apr 26, 4:55 PM EDTTornado WarningALYHerkimer50 min
Apr 26, 5:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYHamilton32 min
Apr 26, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton43 min
Apr 26, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton54 min
Apr 26, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton, Warren62 min
Apr 26, 6:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYHerkimer26 min
Apr 26, 6:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALYHamilton31 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.