Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 20, NWS Albany, NY

March 8, 2011Warren County, New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this river flood warning at Mar 8, 2011, 4:52 PM EST for Warren County, New York. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 8, 2011, 4:52 PM EST (21:52 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2011, 3:07 PM EDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY
Flood severity
Moderate

County Warren County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Hudson River at North Creek (NCKN6). The gauge peaked at 12.19 ft at Mar 12, 2011, 2:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderatemajor51003/0803/0903/1003/1103/1203/1303/14
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01315500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

263 
WGUS41 KALY 082152
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
452 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

NYC113-090952-
/O.NEW.KALY.FL.W.0020.110308T2152Z-110310T1732Z/
/NCKN6.2.IJ.110308T2021Z.110309T1200Z.110310T1132Z.NR/
452 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.9 
  FEET BY 7 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER RISE IS DUE TO AN ICE JAM NEAR
  THE GAGE IN NORTH CREEK. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE AFTER 6 AM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   WED   WED   WED   WED

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.4 TUE 04 PM  11.6  11.9  11.9  11.7  10.6

$$
13 follow-up statements
805 
WGUS81 KALY 090143
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
843 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

NYC113-091343-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCKN6.2.IJ.110308T2021Z.110308T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
843 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 8 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* AN ICE JAM HAS FORMED NEAR THE RIVER GAGE WITH THE WATER BACKING UP
  BEHIND IT. THE ICE JAM EXTENDS FROM HALF A MILE NORTH OF THE GAGE TO
  AT LEAST 1.5 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE. 
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM  1 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   WED   WED   WED   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.6 TUE 08 PM  11.5  11.4  11.3  11.2  10.8

$$
531 
WGUS81 KALY 091318
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
818 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011

NYC113-100118-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCKN6.2.IJ.110308T2021Z.110308T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
818 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT  7 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 10.5 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.5 WED 07 AM  11.2  10.8  10.5  10.1      

$$

CTC005-100118-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110307T0650Z.110309T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
818 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT  8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 8.5 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL 
  SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0   11.1 WED 08 AM   9.4   8.9   8.5   8.1   7.6

$$

CTC005-100118-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110307T0211Z.110307T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
818 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT  8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 9.5 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER REACHES THE GENERATOR FLOOR AT BULLS 
  BRIDGE HYDRO PLANT

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0   11.1 WED 08 AM  10.5   9.9   9.5   9.2   9.0

$$

CTC001-009-100118-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110306T2157Z.110307T1415Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
818 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT  8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY  1 PM
  WEDNESDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN THE MAPLES AREA OF SHELTON
  ARE AFFECTED

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   13.8 WED 08 AM  13.8  13.2  12.6  11.8  11.7

$$
860 
WGUS81 KALY 092236
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
536 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

NYC113-101036-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCKN6.2.IJ.110308T2021Z.110308T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
536 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 5 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AN ICE JAM HAS FORMED NEAR THE RIVER GAGE WITH THE WATER BACKING UP
  BEHIND IT. THE ICE JAM EXTENDS FROM HALF A MILE NORTH OF THE GAGE TO
  AT LEAST 1.5 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE. 
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   THU   THU   THU   THU

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.6 WED 05 PM  11.5  11.4  11.4  11.4  11.4

$$
983 
WGUS81 KALY 100348
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1048 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

NYC113-101548-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCKN6.2.IJ.110308T2021Z.110308T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1048 PM EST WED MAR 9 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN STEADY AROUND 11.4 FEET THROUGH
  7 PM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM  1 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.4 WED 10 PM  11.4  11.4  11.4  11.4  11.4

$$
088 
WGUS81 KALY 101433
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
933 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

NYC113-110233-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCKN6.2.IJ.110308T2021Z.110308T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
933 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT  8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE TO SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING DUE TO AN ICE JAM AND
  IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER ITS FLOOD STAGE WITH 
  POSSIBLE SUDDEN CHANGES IN THE WATER LEVEL DUE TO ICE BLOCKING
  THE CHANNEL. 
  PEAK FLOW WILL LIKELY NOT OCCUR UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING OR FRIDAY
  NIGHT DUE TO CONTINUED RAIN AND MELTING SNOW. 
* IMPACT...FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED WITH UP TO A FOOT OF WATER
  ON OLD RIVER ROAD. LOCAL AUTHORITIES ARE EVACUATING THREATENED  
  AREAS.  

* SHOULD THE JAM SUDDENLY BREAK IT COULD CAUSE A SUDDEN RISE IN
  THE WATER LEVEL BETWEEN NORTH CREEK...RIPARIUS...THE GLEN...
  AND HADLEY. MOVING ICE COULD ALSO CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.  

&& 
 

$$
671 
WGUS81 KALY 110209
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
909 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

NYC113-111409-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCKN6.2.IJ.110308T2021Z.110308T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
909 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT  8 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   FRI   FRI   FRI

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.2 THU 08 PM  11.1  11.1  11.1  11.1      

$$
803 
WGUS81 KALY 111003
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
503 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

NYC113-112203-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110312T0830Z/
/NCKN6.2.IJ.110308T2021Z.110308T2300Z.110312T0230Z.NR/
503 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 4 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MODERATE TO SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING DUE TO AN ICE JAM AND
  IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER ITS FLOOD STAGE WITH 
  POSSIBLE SUDDEN CHANGES IN THE WATER LEVEL DUE TO ICE BLOCKING
  THE CHANNEL. PEAK FLOW WILL LIKELY NOT OCCUR UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING OR FRIDAY
  NIGHT DUE TO CONTINUED RAIN AND MELTING SNOW. 
* IMPACT...FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED WITH UP TO A FOOT OF WATER
  ON OLD RIVER ROAD. LOCAL AUTHORITIES ARE EVACUATING THREATENED  
  AREAS.  
* SHOULD THE JAM SUDDENLY BREAK IT COULD CAUSE A SUDDEN RISE IN
  THE WATER LEVEL BETWEEN NORTH CREEK...RIPARIUS...THE GLEN...
  AND HADLEY. MOVING ICE COULD ALSO CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.  

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 AM  1 PM  7 PM  1 AM  7 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   FRI   FRI   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.3 FRI 04 AM  11.3  11.3  11.3   6.0   6.2

$$
899 
WGUS81 KALY 112157
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
457 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

NYC113-120957-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110312T1925Z/
/NCKN6.2.IJ.110308T2021Z.110312T0600Z.110312T1325Z.NR/
457 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  4 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY  1 AM
  SATURDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER  8 
  AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   FRI   SAT   SAT   SAT   SAT

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.7 FRI 04 PM  11.7  11.8  11.4   5.5   5.6

$$
823 
WGUS41 KALY 120642
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
142 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

NYC113-121842-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110313T0736Z/
/NCKN6.3.IJ.110308T2021Z.110312T1200Z.110313T0136Z.NR/
142 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO RECORD SEVERITY... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 1 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS...12 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.2 
  FEET BY 7 AM SATURDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE AFTER 8 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 AM  1 PM  7 PM  1 AM  7 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SAT   SAT   SAT   SUN   SUN

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   12.0 SAT 01 AM  12.2  12.2  11.8   5.1   5.2

$$
103 
WGUS81 KALY 121904
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
204 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

NYC113-130704-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCKN6.3.IJ.110308T2021Z.110313T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
204 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 1 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.2 FEET BY 7 PM
  SATURDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SAT   SUN   SUN   SUN   SUN

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   12.2 SAT 01 PM  12.2  12.1  11.9  11.7  11.5

$$
444 
WGUS81 KALY 130353
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1053 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

NYC113-131553-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCKN6.3.IJ.110308T2021Z.110312T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1053 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM  1 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   SUN   SUN   SUN   MON

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   12.0 SAT 10 PM  12.0  12.0  11.8  11.6  11.5

$$
040 
WGUS81 KALY 131457
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1057 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

NYC113-140257-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCKN6.3.IJ.110308T2021Z.110312T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1057 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 11.5 FEET DURING MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...SOME AREAS ARE UNDER ONE TO TWO FEET OF 
  WATER.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   MON   MON   MON   MON

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0   11.9 SUN 10 AM  11.7  11.6  11.5  11.4  11.3

$$

NYC043-065-140257-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110315T0600Z/
/UCAN6.2.ER.110311T2000Z.110312T1800Z.110315T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA.
* FROM 7 PM MONDAY UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 404.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 403.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER  8 PM MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 404.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS ONTO THE WHARF AT THE UTICA
  CANAL TERMINAL. RIVER STREET IN ORISKANY IS ALSO FLOODED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   MON   MON   MON   MON

MOHAWK RIVER
  UTICA         403.0  404.4 SUN 06 AM  403.6 403.4 402.8 402.3 402.0

$$

CTC005-140257-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110307T0650Z.110309T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 8.0 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE WATER REACHES RIVERSIDE ROAD AT KENT 
  SCHOOL AND FLOODS THE PICNIC AREA ALONG ROUTE 7 NEAR HOUSATONIC 
  MEADOWS. 

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   MON   MON   MON   MON

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0    8.3 SUN 10 AM   8.1   8.0   8.0   7.9   7.6

$$

CTC005-140257-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110307T0211Z.110307T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 9.3 FEET DURING MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER REACHES SPRING STREET.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   MON   MON   MON   MON

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0    9.9 SUN 10 AM   9.6   9.4   9.3   9.1   8.8

$$

CTC001-009-140257-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110315T0300Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110306T2157Z.110307T1415Z.110314T2100Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING. 
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER  5 PM MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER SHOULD RECEDE OUT OF THE MAPLES AREA 
  OF SHELTON.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   MON   MON   MON   MON

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   12.2 SUN 10 AM  12.0  11.7  11.4  11.2  10.7

$$
629 
WGUS81 KALY 131907
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
307 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

NYC113-131937-
/O.CAN.KALY.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110313T1907Z/
/NCKN6.3.IJ.110308T2021Z.110312T1945Z.110313T1736Z.NR/
307 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE HUDSON RIVER AT NORTH CREEK.
* AT  2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* ICE JAM HAS ENDED AT THIS TIME WITH THE HIGH 
  FLOW OF WATER NOW MIGRATING SOUTH ALONG THE
  HUDSON RIVER.
* PLEASE REFER TO THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING AND STATEMENTS
  NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER IN WARREN 
  COUNTY.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       7 PM  1 AM  7 AM  1 PM  7 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   MON   MON   MON   MON

HUDSON RIVER
  NORTH CREEK   10.0    5.9 SUN 02 PM   5.1   5.1   5.1   5.0   4.9

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 8, 4:50 PM EST, 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 4:50 PM EST, 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
450 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL GIVE US ONE MORE COLD DRY NIGHT
TONIGHT. THIS HIGH WILL THEN SLIP OFFSHORE...ALLOWING A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES TO APPROACH FROM
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE UP THE
FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY PRODUCING SOME MORE SNOW
WITH ITS ONSET...AND PERHAPS A HEAVY RAINSTORM BEFORE IT DEPARTS
LATER ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 400 PM...TRANQUIL CONDITIONS CONTINUE. VERY FEW IF ANY CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT ONLY AROUND THE FREEZING MARK IN THE
CAPITAL DISTRICT...A LITTLE HIGHER BELIEVE IT OR NOT ACROSS MUCH OF
THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND TO THE SOUTH (MID TO UPPER 30S).
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN FALLING AS THE SUN DIPS DOWN...PERHAPS
RATHER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. BY 700 PM...LOOK FOR READINGS TO HAVE
DIPPED WELL BACK INTO THE 20S EXCEPT AROUND 30 DOWN AROUND
POUGHKEEPSIE.

********PREVIOUS NEAR TERM DISCUSSION*******************

PREVIOUS NEAR TERM DISCUSSION...

AS OF 945 AM...ONLY MINOR CHANGES FOR THE REST OF THE DAY WITH
ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY GRIDS BASED ON CURRENT OBS/TRENDS. MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES TO PREVAIL WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.

AS OF 615 AM EST...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FCST. SCT-BKN CIRRUS IS
AROUND ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK VORT MAX IN THE THE FLAT MID LEVEL
FLOW ALOFT. WE HAVE THE CLOUDS DISSIPATING BY THE LATE MORNING.
HOURLY TEMPS WERE ADJUST BASED ON THE LAST FEW HRS OF OBSERVATIONS.

PREVIOUS NEAR TERM...
AS OF 330 AM EST...INTENSE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHEAST OF LABRADOR....WHILE A BROAD DOME OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER CNTRL QUEBEC CONTINUES TO BUILD SOUTHWARD ALONG THE
EAST COAST. THE H500 FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE QUASI-ZONAL OVER THE
ERN HALF OF THE LOWER 48...WHILE ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES TO EJECT OUT OVER THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE SRN PLAINS.
THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE THE NEXT BIG WEATHER MAKER FOR THE
NORTHEAST BY WED NIGHT.

MEANWHILE...MAINLY CLEAR AND COLD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY
WITH THE ANTICYCLONE IN CONTROL.  DESPITE H850 TEMPS OF -4C TO -7C
OVER THE REGION...MAX TEMPS WILL ONLY REACH THE U20S TO M30S FROM
THE CAPITAL REGION NORTH AND WEST...WITH MID 30S TO L40S SOUTH AND
EAST. A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION /DEPICTED NICELY ON THE NAM BUFKIT
PROFILES/ BTWN 1-3 KFT AGL WILL PREVENT TEMPS FROM GETTING WARMER.
WE WENT CLOSER TO THE NAM MOS MAX TEMPS VALUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT...SFC ANTICYCLONE STRENGTHENS OVER ERN QUEBEC TO ALMOST 1050
HPA...AND WILL YIELD A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY...AND LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS...A STILL RELATIVELY FRESH SNOW PACK FROM THE CAPITAL DISTRICT
NORTHWARD...WILL YIELD DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING.

IT LOOKS AS IF ALL MOS GUIDANCE WAS TOO WARM (ESPECIALLY THE MET
NOS) WITH THE OVERNIGHT LOWERS...SO WENT 2-9 DEGREES LOWER...CLOSER
IN LINE WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE ADVERTISED OVERNIGHT LOWS.

THE MID LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN RISING IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING
CYCLONE NEAR IOWA...AND A DIGGING H500 TROUGH. LOW LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION WILL ALSO BE ONGOING. SOME CIRRUS IN ADVANCE OF A THERMAL
TROUGH MAY GRAZE AREAS SOUTH AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL REGION THIS
EVENING...BUT THEN LOOK DISSIPATE AS THEY ENCOUNTER VERY DRY AIR.

LOOK FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CAPITAL REGION...AND MOHAWK VALLEY...10-15 LOCALLY...15-20 WELL TO
THE SOUTH.

WEDNESDAY...LOW AND MID LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES TO BE OVER THE
NORTHEAST TO START THE DAY...AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE WILL MOVE INTO
THE W-CNTRL GREAT LAKES REGION. A SHORT-WAVE IN THE SW FLOW ALOFT
COUPLED WITH A THERMAL TROUGH/WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO PA
AND WRN NY LATE IN THE DAY. THE 12Z GFS CONTINUED FASTER THAN THE
NAM/CANADIAN GUIDANCE AND THE ECMWF IN TERMS OF THE THERMAL
ADVECTION PCPN. HOWEVER...EVEN THIS MODEL HAS SLOWED THE ARRIVAL OF
THE QPF. THEREFORE...WE LOWERED POPS TO SLIGHT MOST AREAS WEST OF
THE HUDSON RIVER...WITH LOW CHANCES CONFINED TO THE DACKS. NO POPS
WERE ASSIGNED FROM THE HUDSON VALLEY ON EASTWARD.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WE STILL THINK THE THERMAL PROFILE SUGGEST MORE OF
RAIN/SNOW SITUATION (AS OPPOSED TO MIX PRECIPITATION). A SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL ATTEMPT TO SHIP WARMER AIR IN. HOWEVER...ONCE THE
PRECIPITATION HAPPENS...EVAPORATIVE COOLING WILL LIKELY ALLOW TEMPS
TO FALL BACK TO OR BELOW FREEZING EVERYWHERE AND EVERYONE WILL
RECEIVE SOME SNOW. THE QUESTION IS HOW MUCH QPF WILL FALL WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH THE FIRST SURGE OF WARM AIR ADVECTION. DOWNSLOPING MIGHT
MINIMIZE SNOWFALL IN THE HUDSON VALLEY FROM THE CAPITAL
DISTRICT...WHILE HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY NORTH OF THE MOHAWK
RIVER NORTHWEST TO THE ADIRONDACK PARK. THIS IS WHERE 3 TO 8 INCHES
OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE...WHILE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS 1-3 INCHES WILL BE
MORE COMMON FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAYBE VERY WELL BE  NECESSARY TO THE NORTH
AND WEST OF ALBANY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THURSDAY...SNOW TRANSITIONS TO RAIN ACROSS THE REGION. THE CRITICAL
THICKNESS PROFILES SHOW A SNOW TO RAIN TRANSITION WITH THE SNOW
HANGING ON THE LONGEST OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
THE CAPITAL DISTRICT AND MOHAWK VALLEY. THE LONGWAVE TROUGH HAS
SHORT-WAVE ENERGY DIGGING EQUATORWARD TOWARDS THE LOWER MID
ATLANTIC COAST WHERE A SECONDARY LOW FORMS...AS THE PRIMARY
WEAKENS OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. A DEEP FETCH OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...SHIPPED BY 50-60KTS SSE WIND AT THE H850 LEVEL...WILL
MOVE INTO THE FCST AREA FROM THE SOUTHERN STATES...THUS CREATING A
PIPELINE FROM THE GULF OF THE MEXICO NORTHWARD TO OUR REGION.

THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLES HAVE THE H850 +V-WIND /SOUTHERLIES/ ANOMALIES 2
TO 4 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
RISE TO 1-2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL WHICH APPROACHES AN
INCH ALL THE INTO NW CT! PERIODS OF RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON...THE MODERATE TO HVY RAINFALL COULD LAST INTO FRIDAY...AS
THE H500 TROUGH TURNS NEGATIVELY TILTED AND CAPTURES THE SECONDARY
LOW.

ANOTHER FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR MUCH OF OUR AREA. SINCE THE
POTENTIAL EVENT IS STILL MORE THAN 36 HOURS OUT...WE WILL CONTINUE
TO ADDRESS THE POTENTIAL HAZARD IN OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
PRODUCT (HWO).

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT PRECIP TO THE AREA
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY SHOULD BE EAST OF THE REGION BY FRIDAY EVENING.
IN ITS WAKE JUST A FEW UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT.

TEMPS EXPECTED TO WARM UP TO SLIGHT ABOVE NORMAL ON SATURDAY AHEAD
OF A CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE
CLIPPER AND ASSOCIATED PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS WILL TRACK
THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY...WITH MAINLY
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH POSSIBLY A FEW
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS IN THE VALLEYS. TEMPS LOOK TO BE CLOSE TO NORMAL
ON SUNDAY.

SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN VARIOUS SOURCES OF GUIDANCE FOR HOW
QUICKLY THE CLIPPER WILL DEPART...BUT IN GENERAL BY SUNDAY NIGHT A
COLDER NORTHERLY FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING
SOUTHWARD FROM SOUTHEAST CANADA. SO A RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPS
APPEARS LIKELY FOR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY BUT WITH GENERALLY
DRY AND SUNNY CONDITIONS. TRANQUIL WEATHER EXPECTED TUESDAY WITH
TEMPS MODERATING BACK TO NORMAL. SOME GUIDANCE INDICATING A
STRENGTHENING SYSTEM TRACKING TO OUR SOUTH WHICH WILL BEAR SOME
WATCHING...BUT AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO MISS OUR REGION ENTIRELY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT THE KGFL/KALB/KPOU TAF SITES
THROUGH THE PERIOD ENDING 18Z WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN
CONTROL AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT...BEFORE GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO
THE EAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SOME HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL
BE AROUND AND WILL THEN THICKEN WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS NORTHERLY
AROUND 5-7 KT THROUGH TODAY...BECOMING EASTERLY OR NORTHEASTERLY
LESS THAN 5 KT TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

OUTLOOK...
WED...VFR. NO SIG WX.
WED NIGHT...VFR...BECOMING MVFR-IFR WITH -SN DEVELOPING.
THU...MVFR-IFR IN SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN.
FRI...MVFR-IFR IN RAIN.
SAT...VFR. CHC OF -SHRA/-SHSN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR MANY POINTS IN THE HOUSATONIC
BASIN...STILL RIVER...AND THE WAPPINGERS CREEK.

MOST RIVERS...STREAMS...AND CREEKS HAVE CRESTED AND CONTINUE TO
RECEDE THIS AFTERNOON.

AN ICE JAM HAS BEEN REPORTED IN THE TWO OF DOLGEVILLE WITH SOME
MINOR FLOODING. A FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA.

ANOTHER MORE SIGNIFICANT ICE JAM HAS JUST BEEN REPORTED AT NORTH
CREEK AT THE GLEN. A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED.

ICE JAMS WERE ALSO NEAR HOPE ON THE SACANDAGA RIVER AND ON THE
MOHAWK IN SCHENECTADY.

COLD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...ANOTHER
SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO BRING HEAVY PRECIPITATION BACK
INTO THE REGION BY THURSDAY. THE INITIAL SURGE OF MOISTURE WILL BE
SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WARMER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE REGION ON
THURSDAY FOR PERIODS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES INTO FRIDAY. A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER IN TIME FOR PORTIONS OF THE ALBANY HYDRO
SERVICE AREA. THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL.

THE MAXIMUM PRECIPITATION SPOT CANNOT BE DETERMINED YET...BUT IT IS
QUITE POSSIBLE THAT FLOODING WILL EITHER CONTINUE...OR EVEN BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD AS WE HEAD INTO FRIDAY.

ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS...MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY
ALL AS SNOW...BUT EVEN HERE...IT LOOKS TO TURN RAIN ON FRIDAY.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE SEASONAL SNOWFALL FOR ALBANY NY NOW STANDS AT 83.6 INCHES WHICH
IS 32 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL. THIS TIME LAST YEAR WE STOOD AT 45.2
INCHES

WE ARE MOVING OUR WAY UP THE TOP 20 SEASONAL SNOWFALLS FOR ALBANY NY.
WE ARE NOW IN 15TH PLACE.

1) 112.5 1970-71
2) 110.0 1887-88
3) 105.4 2002-03
4)  99.6 1890-91
5)  97.1 1981-82
6)  94.7 1915-16
7)  94.2 1992-93
8)  94.2 1886-87
9)  92.4 1977-78
10) 90.0 1947-48
11) 89.3 1971-72
12) 88.1 1993-94
13) 87.7 1969-70
14) 86.5 1995-96
15) 83.6 2010-11 THRU MARCH 7TH
16) 80.9 1966-67
17) 80.6 1986-87
18) 80.2 1955-56
19) 77.1 2000-01
20) 77.0 1963-64

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HWJIV
NEAR TERM...HWJIV/JPV
SHORT TERM...HWJIV/WASULA
LONG TERM...JPV
AVIATION...JPV
HYDROLOGY...HWJIV/WASULA
CLIMATE...IAA/HWJIV
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 4:50 PM EST, 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
450 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

NYZ032-033-038>040-042-047-048-051-058-063-082-091200-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN WARREN-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
WESTERN ALBANY-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-
450 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE
VALLEY....HELDERBERGS AND THE EASTERN CATSKILLS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A MODERATE SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF A WARM
FRONT. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES FOR THIS THREAT...THEN A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE NECESSARY.

A STORM MOVING SLOWLY FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO OUR REGION ON
THURSDAY COULD PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. THIS
RAIN COULD RESULT IN RIVERS RISING ONCE AGAIN...AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ041-043-049-050-052>054-059>061-064>066-083-
084-VTZ013>015-091200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
447 AM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN VERMONT...THE
GREATER CAPITAL REGION....TACONICS...SOUTHERN REACHES OF THE LAKE
GEORGE REGION...AND THE MID HUDSON VALLEY OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STORM MOVING SLOWLY FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO OUR REGION ON
THURSDAY COULD PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. THIS
RAIN COULD RESULT IN RIVERS RISING ONCE AGAIN...AND THE RENEWED
POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 2:58 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryALYFulton, Herkimer4 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.