Alert archive / Massachusetts / River Flood Warnings in 2011
River Flood Warning 129, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this river flood warning at Sep 7, 2011, 8:12 AM EDT for Berkshire County, Massachusetts. It took effect at Sep 7, 2011, 4:33 PM EDT. It was in force for 59 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 7, 2011, 8:12 AM EDT (12:12 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 7, 2011, 4:33 PM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 10, 2011, 3:04 AM EDT
- In force
- 59 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Berkshire County, MA
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Housatonic River at Great Barrington (GTBM3). The gauge peaked at 10.17 ft at Sep 8, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT.
- Action stage
- 7 ft
- Minor stage
- 9 ft
- Moderate stage
- 10 ft
- Major stage
- 12 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01197500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
090
WGUS41 KALY 071212
FLWALY
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
812 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011
MAC003-080012-
/O.NEW.KALY.FL.W.0129.110908T0000Z-110908T1200Z/
/GTBM3.1.ER.110908T0000Z.110908T0000Z.110908T0600Z.NO/
812 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GT BARRINGTON.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 7 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REACH FLOOD STAGE BY 8 PM
WEDNESDAY AND FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.0 FEET AROUND
8 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
AFTER 2 AM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE FAIR GROUNDS.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU THU THU THU
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 8.1 WED 07 AM 9.0 9.0 8.8 8.6 8.2
$$
CTC005-080012-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110906T2100Z.110908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
812 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.2
FEET BY 8 AM THURSDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER REACHES SPRING STREET.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU THU THU THU
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GAYLORDSVILL 8.0 9.4 WED 08 AM 9.9 10.1 10.2 10.2 10.1
$$9 follow-up statements
286
WGUS81 KALY 072036
FLSALY
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
436 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011
MAC003-080836-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0129.110907T2033Z-110909T1600Z/
/GTBM3.1.ER.110907T1827Z.110908T0000Z.110909T1000Z.NO/
436 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.2 FEET BY
8 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE AFTER 6 AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE FAIR GROUNDS.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU THU THU THU
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 9.1 WED 3 PM 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.2 9.2
$$
CTC005-080835-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110906T2250Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
436 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY
8 PM THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL
SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU THU THU THU
HOUSATONIC RIVER
FALLS VILLAG 7.0 9.3 WED 4 PM 9.5 9.9 10.5 10.8 10.8
$$
CTC005-080835-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110906T2100Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
436 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY
8 PM THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER REACHES SPRING STREET.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU THU THU THU
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GAYLORDSVILL 8.0 9.9 WED 4 PM 10.1 10.2 10.4 10.7 10.9
$$
CTC001-009-080835-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STVC3.1.ER.110906T2126Z.110909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
436 PM EDT WED SEP 7 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.2 FEET
BY 2 AM FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO REACH THE MAPLES AREA OF
SHELTON.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU THU THU THU
HOUSATONIC RIVER
STEVENSON DA 11.0 12.6 WED 4 PM 12.9 12.9 12.9 12.9 13.2
$$477
WGUS81 KALY 080724
FLSALY
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
324 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
MAC003-081924-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110910T0600Z/
/GTBM3.1.ER.110907T1827Z.110908T1200Z.110910T0000Z.NO/
324 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GREAT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 2 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.7 FEET BY 8 AM
THURSDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 8
PM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...WATER FLOODS RIVER STREET AND REACHES
SEARLES MIDDLE SCHOOL.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU THU THU FRI FRI
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 9.6 THU 02 AM 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.5
$$
CTC005-081924-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110906T2250Z.110909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
324 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.1 FEET BY 2 AM
FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL
SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU THU THU FRI FRI
HOUSATONIC RIVER
FALLS VILLAG 7.0 10.5 THU 03 AM 10.7 11.4 11.9 12.1 12.1
$$
CTC005-081924-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110906T2100Z.110909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
324 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY 8 PM
THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER REACHES SPRING STREET.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU THU THU FRI FRI
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GAYLORDSVILL 8.0 10.3 THU 03 AM 10.7 11.3 11.8 11.7 11.7
$$
CTC001-009-081923-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STVC3.1.ER.110906T2126Z.110909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
324 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.9 FEET BY 2 AM
FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO REACH THE MAPLES AREA OF
SHELTON.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU THU THU FRI FRI
HOUSATONIC RIVER
STEVENSON DA 11.0 13.0 THU 03 AM 12.9 12.9 13.7 13.9 13.9
$$197
WGUS41 KALY 081504
FLWALY
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1104 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
MAC003-090304-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110910T2200Z/
/GTBM3.2.ER.110907T1827Z.110909T0000Z.110910T1600Z.NR/
1104 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GT BARRINGTON
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.3
FEET BY 8 PM THURSDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE AFTER 12 PM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...WATER FLOODS RIVER STREET AND REACHES
SEARLES MIDDLE SCHOOL.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU THU FRI FRI FRI
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 9.9 THU 10 AM 10.1 10.3 10.3 10.2 10.1
$$637
WGUS81 KALY 081912
FLSALY
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
312 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
MAC003-090712-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110910T1930Z/
/GTBM3.2.ER.110907T1827Z.110909T0000Z.110910T1330Z.NR/
312 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.1 FEET BY
8 PM THURSDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
AFTER 9 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS RIVER STREET AND REACHES
SEARLES MIDDLE SCHOOL.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI FRI FRI FRI
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 10.0 THU 2 PM 10.1 10.1 10.1 9.8 9.4
$$
CTC005-090712-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110906T2250Z.110909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
312 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY
2 AM FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI FRI FRI FRI
HOUSATONIC RIVER
FALLS VILLAG 7.0 12.0 THU 2 PM 12.7 13.0 13.0 13.0 12.6
$$
CTC005-090712-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110906T2100Z.110908T1925Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
312 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY
3 PM THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FEDCO PARKING LOT AND
THE LOWER NEW MILFORD FOUNDRY.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI FRI FRI FRI
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GAYLORDSVILL 8.0 12.9 THU 2 PM 13.0 12.8 12.5 12.2 11.9
$$
CTC001-009-090712-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110906T2126Z.110908T2040Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
312 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.7 FEET
BY 4 PM THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...THERE IS WIDESPREAD INUNDATION OF LOW
LYING PROPERTIES FROM STEVENSON SOUTH TO BRIDGEPORT.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI FRI FRI FRI
HOUSATONIC RIVER
STEVENSON DA 11.0 20.5 THU 2 PM 20.4 19.8 18.9 18.2 16.3
$$137
WGUS81 KALY 090057
FLSALY
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
857 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
MAC003-091257-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110910T2100Z/
/GTBM3.2.ER.110907T1827Z.110909T0600Z.110910T1500Z.NR/
857 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GREAT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY 2 AM
FRIDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 11 AM
SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS RIVER STREET AND REACHES
SEARLES MIDDLE SCHOOL.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI FRI FRI SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 10.1 THU 8 PM 10.2 10.2 9.9 9.7 9.4
$$
CTC005-091257-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110906T2250Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.4 FEET BY
8 AM FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI FRI FRI SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
FALLS VILLAG 7.0 12.8 THU 8 PM 13.3 13.4 13.3 13.1 12.8
$$
CTC005-091257-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110906T2100Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...THEN BEGIN TO FALL.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI FRI FRI SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GAYLORDSVILL 8.0 12.4 THU 8 PM 12.2 12.3 12.2 12.1 12.0
$$
CTC001-009-091257-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110906T2126Z.110908T1845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 PM EDT THU SEP 8 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...HOWEVER MODERATE FLOODING IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY EVENING.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI FRI FRI SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
STEVENSON DA 11.0 18.7 THU 8 PM 17.3 16.0 15.7 15.3 15.1
$$060
WGUS81 KALY 090958
FLSALY
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
558 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
MAC003-092158-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110910T2047Z/
/GTBM3.2.ER.110907T1827Z.110909T0145Z.110910T1447Z.NR/
558 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GREAT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
AFTER 10 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...WATER FLOODS RIVER STREET AND REACHES
SEARLES MIDDLE SCHOOL.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI FRI SAT SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 10.1 FRI 05 AM 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.4 9.2
$$
CTC005-092158-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110906T2250Z.110909T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
558 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.4 FEET BY 8 AM
FRIDAY...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI FRI SAT SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
FALLS VILLAG 7.0 13.3 FRI 05 AM 13.4 13.3 13.1 12.8 12.5
$$
CTC005-092158-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110906T2100Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
558 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 11.8 FEET BY 8 AM
SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER REACHES THE GENERATOR FLOOR AT BULLS
BRIDGE HYDRO PLANT.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI FRI SAT SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GAYLORDSVILL 8.0 12.5 FRI 05 AM 12.5 12.3 12.2 12.0 11.8
$$
CTC001-009-092158-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110906T2126Z.110908T1845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
558 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 5 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 14.9 FEET BY 8 AM
SATURDAY.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI FRI SAT SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
STEVENSON DA 11.0 17.3 FRI 06 AM 17.1 16.6 16.0 15.4 14.9
$$578
WGUS81 KALY 091752
FLSALY
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
152 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
MAC003-100552-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110910T2047Z/
/GTBM3.2.ER.110907T1827Z.110909T0145Z.110910T1447Z.NR/
152 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET...AND IT WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
AFTER 10 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE FAIRGROUNDS.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI SAT SAT SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 9.8 FRI 01 PM 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.2 8.8
$$
CTC005-100552-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110906T2250Z.110909T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
152 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 12.4 FEET BY 8 AM SATURDAY.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI SAT SAT SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
FALLS VILLAG 7.0 13.1 FRI 01 PM 13.0 12.9 12.7 12.4 12.1
$$
CTC005-100552-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110906T2100Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
152 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET AND SLOWLY RECEDING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.3 FEET BY 2 PM
FRIDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER REACHES THE GENERATOR FLOOR AT BULLS
BRIDGE HYDRO PLANT.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI SAT SAT SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GAYLORDSVILL 8.0 12.3 FRI 01 PM 12.3 12.2 12.0 11.8 11.6
$$
CTC001-009-100552-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110906T2126Z.110908T1845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
152 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY FALL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN THE MAPLES AREA OF SHELTON
ARE AFFECTED
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM 2 PM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI FRI SAT SAT SAT
HOUSATONIC RIVER
STEVENSON DA 11.0 16.0 FRI 01 PM 16.0 15.9 15.8 15.5 15.1
$$049
WGUS81 KALY 100127
FLSALY
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
927 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
MAC003-101327-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110910T1600Z/
/GTBM3.2.ER.110907T1827Z.110909T0145Z.110910T1000Z.NR/
927 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
AFTER 6 AM SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE FAIR GROUNDS.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SAT SAT SAT SUN
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 9.4 FRI 8 PM 9.2 8.9 8.5 8.1 7.8
$$
CTC005-101327-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110906T2250Z.110909T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IS FORECAST TO REACH A STAGE
OF 12.3 FEET BY 8 AM SATURDAY AND 10.6 FEET BY 8 AM SUNDAY.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SAT SAT SAT SUN
HOUSATONIC RIVER
FALLS VILLAG 7.0 12.9 FRI 9 PM 12.6 12.3 11.9 11.5 11.0
$$
CTC005-101327-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.2.ER.110906T2100Z.110908T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IS FORECAST TO REACH A STAGE
OF 11.6 FEET BY 8 AM SATURDAY AND 10.5 FEET BY 8 AM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER REACHES THE GENERATOR FLOOR AT BULLS
BRIDGE HYDRO PLANT.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SAT SAT SAT SUN
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GAYLORDSVILL 8.0 11.8 FRI 9 PM 11.8 11.6 11.4 11.1 10.8
$$
CTC001-009-101327-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-110912T0430Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110906T2126Z.110908T1845Z.110911T2230Z.NO/
927 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY FALL TO BELOW
FLOOD STAGE AFTER 6 PM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN THE MAPLES AREA OF SHELTON
ARE AFFECTED.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
2 AM 8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SAT SAT SAT SUN
HOUSATONIC RIVER
STEVENSON DA 11.0 14.7 FRI 9 PM 14.3 13.8 13.3 12.8 12.2
$$262
WGUS81 KALY 100704
FLSALY
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
304 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2011
MAC003-100734-
/O.CAN.KALY.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-110910T1600Z/
/GTBM3.2.ER.110907T1827Z.110909T0145Z.110910T0530Z.NR/
304 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GREAT BARRINGTON.
* AT 2 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE FAIR GROUNDS.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST
8 AM 2 PM 8 PM 2 AM 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SAT SAT SUN SUN
HOUSATONIC RIVER
GT BARRINGTO 9.0 8.9 SAT 02 AM 8.6 8.3 8.0 7.7 7.4
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 7, 7:40 AM EDT, 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 7, 7:40 AM EDT, 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
740 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RIPPLE ALONG A STALLED OUT FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION...ATTEMPTING TO RETURN IT
NORTH BY THURSDAY AS WARM FRONT. OCCASIONAL RAIN WILL FALL
TODAY...ESPECIALLY FROM THE CAPITAL DISTRICT NORTHWESTWARD. THERE
MIGHT BE POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES. THE RAIN WILL TAPER TO
SHOWERS SOUTH AND EAST OF ALBANY TODAY...THEN EVERYWHERE LATER
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO RETURN BY THE END OF
THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 630 AM...STILL FOLLOWING A BAND OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
HEAVY RAIN. THIS BAND WAS LIFTING NORTHWARD SLOWLY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
UNDERNEATH THIS BAND RANGED FROM A .0 TO .25 INCHES PER HOUR. RADAR
INDICATED MUCH LESSER AMOUNTS FALLING SOUTH OF THIS LINE (MAINLY MID
HUDSON VALLEY AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY) BUT STILL MEASURABLE AMOUNTS.
LOOK FOR THE BAND TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD AS THE DAY
WEARS ON. VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE EXISTING PACKAGE OTHER THAN
TOUCH UP THE HOURLY GRID PROFILES.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY THROUGH 10 AM...55 TO AROUND
60. RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS (0.05
INCHES OR LESS PER HOUR) SOUTH OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...TO AROUND A
TENTH OR MORE AN INCH PER HOUR CAPITAL DISTRICT AND POINTS NORTH.
*********PREVIOUS NEAR TERM FORECAST**********
AS OF 430 AM...FOLLOWING A STEADY BAND OF RAIN FROM SOUTHERN
VERMONT...ACROSS THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...WHICH THEN BECOMES LIGHTER
TO THE SOUTHWEST...EXCEPT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CATSKILLS WHERE IT
BECOMES HEAVIER ONCE MORE WITH RAINFALL RATES AROUND A THIRD OF AN
INCH PER HOUR. MOST OF THIS RAIN WAS MOVING SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.
THIS LATEST ROUND OF RAIN WAS INDUCED BY THE NOSE OF A LOW LEVEL
JET...INDUCING IMPRESSIVE ISENTROPIC LIFT...LIFTING AIR WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S FOUND ON THE OTHER SIDE OF A WARM FRONT...THAT
WAS LINED UP ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST.
THERE WAS ALSO ANOTHER BAND OF EMBEDDED HEAVIER RAIN MOVING UP FROM
NEW JERSEY MOVING MORE NORTHERLY ASSOCIATED WHERE THE MID LEVEL DRY
AIR INTRUSION WAS TAKING PLACE.
THIS BAND OF RAIN WILL LIKELY STAY IN THIS POSITION FOR A FEW
HOURS...BEFORE ATTEMPTING TO LIFT NORTHWARD LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
THE HEAVIEST RAIN AXIS LOOKS TO BE JUST NORTH AND WEST OF ALBANY
THROUGH TODAY.
THE DRY SLOT...ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY LOOKS TO MOVE NORTHWARD
AND WEDGE INTO OUR SOUTHERN AREAS THIS AFTERNOON HELPING TO DIMINISH
RAINFALL TO NUMEROUS SOMEWHAT LIGHTER SHOWERS.
THROUGH 700 AM...LOOK FOR RAIN TO CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF OUR REGION
WITH MANY PLACES PICKING UP AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH OF RAIN OR
SO...EXCEPT LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS LITCHFIELD COUNTY AND WELL NORTH
OF CAPITAL DISTRICT.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN STATIONARY WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 60.
THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...BY BY
TONIGHT...THE STEADIEST AND HEAVIEST RAIN WILL LIKELY BE NORTH AND
WEST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...WHERE FRONTOGENESIS WILL BE FOUND
ALONG WITH A SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT ENHANCING TERRAIN EFFECTS.
MEANWHILE...THE DRY SLOT LOOKS TO CUT BACK ON THE STEADY HEAVIER
RAINFALL FROM THE GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT SOUTH AND EAST. THERE
WILL STILL BE PLENTY OF CLOUDS...AND LIGHTER NUMEROUS SHOWERS OR
DRIZZLE. FOR NOW...WILL JUST CALL IT NUMEROUS SHOWERS. THERE WILL BE
SOME ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IN THESE AREAS...BUT GENERALLY A AROUND
QUARTER INCH OF LESS...WHILE CLOSER TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH WILL FALL
NORTH AND WEST. TEMPERATURES WILL CHANGE LITTLE FROM TODAY/S
HIGH...HOLDING AROUND 60 FROM ALBANY SOUTHWARD...50S NORTH.
ON THURSDAY...THE FRONTOGENESIS LOOKS TO WEAK. KATIA WILL BE ABOUT
500 MILES TO OUR SOUTHEAST. IT APPEARS MORE UNLIKELY THAT A PRE WILL
FORM...SINCE THE RIGHT ENTRANCE OF THE UPPER JET LOOKS TOO FAR EAST
AND NORTH TO INTERACT WITH THE SYSTEM. THE STORM WILL
HOWEVER...LIKELY TO INDUCE SUBSIDENCE AS IT BEGINS TO CURVE TO THE
NORTHEAST BY LATE IN THE DAY INTO FRIDAY.
SHOWERS ON THURSDAY WILL BE LIGHT AND SCATTERED. THE BIG QUESTION IS
WHETHER OR NOT WE WILL BREAK INTO ANY SUNSHINE. WITH H850 TEMPS
RANGING FROM 13-15C ANY GOOD BREAKS WILL BOOST TEMPS WELL INTO THE
70S AND THAT IS APPARENTLY WHAT THE 00Z MAV NOS WAS SUGGESTING. MOST
GUIDANCE THOUGH INDICATES CLOUDS WILL HANG TOUCH AND THEREFORE WILL
NOT GO AS HIGH AS THE MAV NOS FOR HIGH TEMPS...BUT GO WITH A MET/MAV
BLEND. THIS WILL STILL YIELD TEMPS AROUND 70 FOR A HIGH.
THURSDAY NIGHT STILL LOOK CLOUDY AS IT MIGHT BE HARD TO CLEAR THE
RESIDUAL STRATUS OUT UNTIL FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY...WITH THE AID OF
SUNSHINE...MIXING AND THE SUBSIDENCE...SOME SUNSHINE SHOULD ENSUE.
THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 70S...POSSIBLY
TOUCHING 80 IN THE HUDSON VALLEY.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SAT...SOME MODEL DISPARITY EXISTS FOR SAT...WITH SOME MODELS
SUGGESTING A PIECE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN
APPALACHIANS BREAKING OFF...AND MOVING E ACROSS PA/SOUTHERN NYS.
SHOULD THIS OCCUR...SOME CLOUDS...AND PERHAPS ISOLATED/SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS WOULD BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AT LEAST SOUTHERN AREAS.
SO...HAVE INDICATED SLIGHT CHC POPS FOR CENTRAL AREAS...AND CHC POPS
FOR SOUTHERN AREAS...WHILE KEEPING MUCH OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND
SOUTHERN VT DRY. EXPECT MAX TEMPS TO REACH THE MID/UPPER 70S IN
VALLEY LOCALES...WITH UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. SHOULD MORE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS OCCUR...COOLER MAXES
WOULD BE POSSIBLE...ESP ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS.
SAT NT-MON NT...HAVE KEPT THIS PERIOD DRY...DISCOUNTING THE GEM
SOLUTION INDICATING ADDITIONAL TROPICAL MOISTURE REACHING OUR REGION
FROM THE SOUTHWEST. EXPECT NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES...WITH MAXES
IN THE MID/UPPER 70S IN VALLEYS...AND LOWER 70S ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...WITH OVERNIGHT MINS RANGING FROM THE MID/UPPER 40S
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITHIN WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND...AND LOWER/MID 50S IN VALLEY REGIONS.
TUE...A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NW MAY TRIGGER SHOWERS...ESP
ACROSS NW AREAS...WHERE CHC POPS ARE INDICATED...WITH SLIGHT CHC
ELSEWHERE. EXPECT NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPS TO CONTINUE...WITH MAXES
75-80 WITHIN VALLEYS...AND 70-75 ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SOUTH OF LONG
ISLAND WILL MOVE NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT...SPREADING RAIN AND
DRIZZLE ACROSS THE REGION.
TRICKY CALL ON TAFS...AS ABUNDANT MOISTURE STREAMS NORTH...YET SOME
LOW LEVEL DRYING HAS BEEN OCCURRING WITH DOWNSLOPING E FLOW OFF
TACONICS/GREEN MOUNTAINS TOWARD TAF SITES. HAVE INDICATED MAINLY
MVFR CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH PERIODS OF IFR MAINLY THIS MORNING WITH
ASSOCIATED STEADIER RAIN. AS THE STEADY RAIN BECOMES MORE
SHOWERY...AND SOME DRIZZLE DEVELOPS...THE CHC FOR IFR CONDITIONS
WILL INCREASE LATE TODAY AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.
AS FOR RAINFALL...EXPECT A BAND OF STEADY...MODERATE RAINFALL TO
GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH MID MORNING...TAPERING TO SHOWERS
AND DRIZZLE IN ITS WAKE. THERE STILL COULD BE A FEW HEAVIER SHOWERS
AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS AT THE TAF SITES WILL BE LIGHT GENERALLY FROM THE
NORTH/NORTHEAST AT 5-10 KNOTS THROUGH 12Z/THU.
HAVE ALSO INDICATED LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR THIS MORNING...GIVEN STRONG
E WINDS AROUND 2000 FT AGL AT 30-35 KT...WHILE SFC WINDS REMAIN FROM
THE NORTH AT 5-10 KT. THE WIND SHEAR POTENTIAL MAY LINGER BEYOND 15Z.
OUTLOOK...
THU...MVFR/IFR WITH DECREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS.
THU NIGHT...MVFR-VFR. SLIGHT CHANCE RAIN SHOWERS.
FRI-SUN...MAINLY VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
WET FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS RAIN
OR NUMEROUS SHOWERS FALL ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
ARE LIKELY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...WITH A DRYING TREND OCCURRING ON
FRIDAY.
LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH EAST TO
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 5-10 MPH FOR TODAY....AND NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 5-10 MPH FOR TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
FLOOD WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
REFER TO PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS FOR RAINFALL TOTALS...AND
LOOK TO THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ PAGE OF
OUR WEBSITE FOR LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS.
RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS GENERALLY AMOUNTED FROM ONE
TO LOCALLY 4 INCHES BASIN AVERAGED. THIS HAS KEPT RIVERS AND STREAMS
QUITE HIGH...AS WELL AS GROUND CONDITIONS SATURATED. WITH AN
ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY /WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA
AND HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS/...RENEWED FLOODING IS INCREASINGLY
POSSIBLE. CURRENT RIVER FORECASTS SHOW SEVERAL RIVER POINTS REACHING
MINOR TO PERHAPS CLOSE TO MODERATE FLOODING...AND OTHERS GETTING
QUITE CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE AS WELL. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
AT THIS POINT...MAINLY MINOR FLOODING IS FORECASTED...AND CREST
HEIGHTS WILL LIKELY NOT BE AS HIGH AS THE FLOODING THAT OCCURRED
WITH IRENE. STILL...RENEWED RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY.
FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING
OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON
OUR WEBSITE.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR CTZ001-013.
NY...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NYZ032-033-038>043-
047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
MA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MAZ001-025.
VT...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR VTZ013>015.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HWJIV
NEAR TERM...HWJIV
SHORT TERM...HWJIV
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...KL
FIRE WEATHER...HWJIV
HYDROLOGY...IAA/FRUGISHazardous weather outlook, Sep 7, 4:56 AM EDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 456 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-081100- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE- WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER- WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- 456 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PLEASE REPORT ANY FLOODING OR RAINFALL TWO INCHES OR HIGHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA INTERNET...NYSPIN OR TELEPHONE.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2:31 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ALY | Berkshire | 6 hr |
| Sep 7, 10:50 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | ALY | Berkshire | 8 hr |
| Sep 7, 11:20 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | ALY | Berkshire | 7 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Massachusetts, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.