Wind Advisory 36, NWS Juneau, AK

409 
WWAK77 PAJK 150249
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
649 PM AKDT MON MAR 14 2011

AKZ027-028-150800-
/X.NEW.PAJK.WI.Y.0037.110315T0249Z-110315T0800Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA
649 PM AKDT MON MAR 14 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT. 


* WIND: SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKDT MONDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-151100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0036.110315T1200Z-110315T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
649 PM AKDT MON MAR 14 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM AKDT
TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM AKDT TUESDAY.

* WIND: NORTHEAST GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

861 
WWAK77 PAJK 150735
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1135 PM AKDT MON MAR 14 2011

AKZ027-028-150845-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-110315T0800Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA
1135 PM AKDT MON MAR 14 2011

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ018-151300-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0036.110315T1200Z-110315T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
1135 PM AKDT MON MAR 14 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM AKDT
TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM AKDT TUESDAY.

* WIND: NORTHEAST GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

195 
WWAK77 PAJK 151241
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
441 AM AKDT TUE MAR 15 2011

AKZ018-152100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-110315T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
441 AM AKDT TUE MAR 15 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHEAST GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

739 
WWAK77 PAJK 151708
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
908 AM AKDT TUE MAR 15 2011

AKZ018-151815-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-110315T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
908 AM AKDT TUE MAR 15 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
443 AM AKDT MON MAR 14 2011

.SHORT TERM...EARLY MORNING SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN GULF WITH AN ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT
MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AND A TROUGH EXTENDING
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOW CENTER HEADING TOWARDS BRITISH COLUMBIA
COAST. RELATIVELY WARM AIR MASS IS PROGRESSING WITH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND RAIN SPREADING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AREAS AND COASTAL
SECTIONS WITH SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL INLAND LOCATIONS. A DEVELOPING
LOW IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC MOVES NORTH TOWARDS THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF WITH ITS FRONT WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW CENTER.

MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF
WEAKENING AND DRIFTING NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS NORTHWEST CANADA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SLOWLY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REFRESHED THE INHERITED GRIDS WITH
THE GFS AND ECMWF FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. WITH PERSISTING HIGH TO
THE NORTH AND LOW PASSING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF...NORTHERLY
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE MAINTAINED TIGHT ENOUGH TO PRODUCE
ADVISORY LEVEL WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOST ZONES WITH GALE
FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS.

WITH WARMER AIR MASS MOVING INTO THE FORECAST DOMAIN FROM THE
SOUTH...SNOW LEVEL WILL GRADUALLY RISE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE PANHANDLE AND COASTAL SECTIONS...INCLUDING YAKUTAT THROUGH
TONIGHT. LOWERED OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES A BIT ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST DOMAIN AS THE WARM AIR NOT REACHING THAT FAR
NORTH. AS THE NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF...HIGHER
WIND GUST CAN BE EXPECTED OVER KLAWOCK AND HYDABURG AREAS LATE
TONIGHT. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL ALSO BE CONCERNED FOR INTERIOR
PASSES...DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS LATER TONIGHT. KEPT THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR SKAGWAY AND HAINES AND ADDED JUNEAU ZONE LATE TONIGHT
TIME FRAME.

&&

.LONG TERM...BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WITH 2
TROUGHS EXTENDING OFF IT WITH SMALL WAVES ROTATING ABOUT IS
KEEPING A SLIGHTLY CONFUSED SURFACE PICTURE INTO MID WEEK. BY
WEDNESDAY A STRONG LOW (LOWER 940S MB FORECAST) IS DEVELOPING
SOUTHEAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WHICH WILL BE MOVING
NORTHEAST TO THE WESTERN BERING SEA BY THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS
WILL PROMPT AN UPSTREAM RIDGE TO BUILD AND WILL PROPAGATE TO THE
EAST TO THE GULF OF ALASKA BY FRIDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BAND
WILL BE WEAKENING AND FALLING APART PARTIALLY DUE TO THE DISTANCE
FROM THE PARENT LOW AND TRYING TO GET RID OF THE RIDGE...A LOW
NEAT TRIPLE POINT OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST
UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE TO AND INTO THE LOW/TROUGH OVER THE
CALIFORNIA REGION.

MEANWHILE MID TO LATER PERIOD MODELS SHOWING A DEVELOPING WAVE IN
ALONG THE JET STREAM ACROSS THE PACIFIC TO BE SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND BY SUNDAY MORNING. ITS WEATHER FRONT RIGHT NOW IS EXPECTED
TO START SPREADING PRECIPITATION TO THE PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECIPITATION LINGERS OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA INTO EARLY THURSDAY
WITH BETTER CHANCES HAPPENING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE I
BELIEVE AS THE FARTHER NORTH PORTIONS WILL BE DEALING WITH MORE
SOUTHEAST FLOW ALONG WHICH IS MORE DIFFICULT TO PUSH PRECIPITATION
TO THOSE PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

GFS WITH SOME ECMWF INFLUENCE FOR DAYS 6 TO 8 ALONG WITH A BIT OF
HPC GUIDANCE. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM AKDT TUESDAY FOR AKZ025.
         WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM AKDT TUESDAY FOR AKZ018-019.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-022.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-031>036-041>043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ052.

&&

AHN/BEZENEK