Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011
Storm Warning 8, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Jan 22, 2011, 10:45 AM AKST. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 22, 2011, 10:45 AM AKST (19:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 22, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
487 FZAK51 PAJK 221944 AAB CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1045 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-230100- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 980 MB LOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE JUST WEST OF YAKUTAT TODAY. THIS LOW WILL REDEVELOP NORTH OF THE PANHANDLE THIS EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN WEAKEN. $$ PKZ011-230100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-230100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-230100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-230100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-230100- CROSS SOUND- 1045 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 UPDATED TODAY ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-230100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-230100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-230100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1045 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 UPDATED TODAY ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-230100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-230100- SUMNER STRAIT- 1045 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 UPDATED TODAY ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT... EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-230100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 640 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
444 FZAK51 PAJK 222127 AAC CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-230115- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT AND SE AK SUN MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF SUN AFTERNOON AND ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT INTO MON. $$ PKZ011-230115- GLACIER BAY- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-230115- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-230115- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-230115- ICY STRAIT- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 UPDATED TODAY ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .THIS AFTERNOON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-230115- CROSS SOUND- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-230115- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-230115- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 UPDATED TODAY ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .THIS AFTERNOON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-230115- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-230115- FREDERICK SOUND- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-230115- SUMNER STRAIT- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT... EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-230115- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1226 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 UPDATED TODAY ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .THIS AFTERNOON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
013 FZAK51 PAJK 230030 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-231400- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT AND SE AK SUN MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF SUN AFTERNOON AND ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT INTO MON. $$ PKZ011-231400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-231400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-231400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-231400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-231400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-231400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-231400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-231400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-231400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-231400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-231400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 22, 6:02 AM AKST, 4 hours 43 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 22, 6:02 AM AKST, 4 hours 43 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
602 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011
.SHORT TERM...LITTLE CHANGE TO A FORECAST OF WET AND
UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS NEAR SEA LEVEL. CONFIDENCE IS GOOD.
SOME DEFINITIONS OF TERMS ARE GIVEN BELOW TO PROVIDE A BROAD
AUDIENCE ADAPTATION.
980 MB LOW IS MOVING NE AND SHOULD BE ONSHORE AT ICY BAY ABT
17Z. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS INDICATED ON THE 12Z
PAYA RAOB AS A LAYER FM 800 TO 700 MB, AND THE GOES IR AT 14Z
SHOWS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING SW FM CAPE FAIRWEATHER.
SOME TERMS ARE DEFINED HERE THAT ARE USED FARTHER BELOW:
1. ISALLOBARS, OR LINES OF CONSTANT PRESSURE TENDENCY. 2.
ISALLOBARIC FOOTPRINT; PATTERNS OF PRESSURE TENDENCY. 3. THE TERM
"POLAR AIRMASS" HAS A LITERALLY BROAD MEANING. IT IS A TERM USED
FOR AIR MASSES OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN HEMISPHERES AND CAN
COVER MOST OF THE HEMISPHERE THAT HAS WINTER. POLAR AIRMASSES
EXIST AS BOTH MARITIME AND CONTINENTAL VERSIONS. THE TERM "POLAR
FRONT" MEANS A SEMIPERMANENT SEMICONTINUOUS FRONT SEPARATING AIR
MASSES OF TROPICAL AND POLAR ORIGIN. THIS POLAR FRONT BOUNDARY CAN
BE STRONG YET QUITE THIN ESPECIALLY WITH UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM
THE JETSTREAM. THE POLAR FRONT HAS SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN
TEMPERATURE ACROSS IT. NEAR THE SURFACE THIS BOUNDARY CAN HAVE
WINDS WITH QUITE DIFFERENT DIRECTION AND SPEED, AND AS A BOUNDARY
CAN PROVIDE LIFTING OR SUBSIDENCE OF AIR MASSES THAT RESULT IN
CONDENSATION FOR CLOUDMASS AND PRECIPITATION. NOTE THE TERM
"ARCTIC AIRMASS" DENOTES A COLDER AND DRIER VOLUME THAT IS
CHARACTERISTICALLY SHALLOWER AND NOT DIRECTED BY UPPER ATMOSPHERIC
FEATURES SUCH AS THE JET STREAM. WE DO NOT HAVE A WAY TO GET AN
ARCTIC AIRMASS TO OUR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY AT THIS TIME.
THE 982 MB LOW DISCUSSED ABOVE, HAS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT THAT IS
PRODUCING THE ISALLOBARIC FOOTPRINT OF A REDEVELOPMENT LOW FOR
SRN YUKON TERRITORY AS PER THE MODELS. THE GFS WAS CHOSEN PARTLY
FOR THESE FEATURES. THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FOR THE POLAR FRONT
WAVES THAT EXTEND SSW FM OVER CAPE FAIRWEATHER HAVE BEEN EASY TO
RECONCILE WITH THE GFS RUN AS WELL.
.LONG TERM...AREA WILL BE IN AN ACTIVE SW FLOW PATTERN FOR MUCH
OF THE WEEK WITH SYSTEMS MOVING THRU THE AREA APPROXIMATELY EVERY
DAY OR SO THRU THU...WITH BEST CHANCE FOR A LARGER BREAK BETWEEN
SYSTEMS LATE THU INTO FRI. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE
LARGE SCALE FLOW THRU THE WEEK BUT HAVE THEIR USUAL DIFFERENCES ON
THE SMALLER SCALE FEATURES. AFTER COORD WITH WFO PAFC...ENDED UP
USING THE 00Z NAM FROM 12Z SUN TO 12Z MON...A NAM/00Z ECMWF BLEND
12Z MON TO 12Z TUE...THEN AN ECMWF/HPC BLEND FOR 12Z TUE ON OUT.
DID PUT A LITTLE HEAVIER WEIGHT TO THE ECMWF FOR THE FIRST 24 HRS
OF THE BLEND WITH HPC TO GET A LITTLE STRONGER SFC LOW IN THE
FORECAST GRIDS THAN WHAT HPC HAD ON TUE...BUT AFTER THAT THE BLEND
WAS EVEN.
AN OCCLUDED FRONT WILL BE MOVING NE THRU THE AREA SUN INTO SUN
NIGHT. MODELS HAVE SLOWED THIS FRONT A BIT FROM PREVIOUS RUNS.
THERE WILL BE A TRIPLE POINT LOW THAT DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT BUT
THIS LOW SHOULD STAY WELL W OF THE AREA. SHOULD SEE PRECIP FROM
THIS FRONT MOVE ONSHORE LATER SUN AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOULD
HAVE GALE FORCE E-SE WINDS OVER THE GULF AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...BECOMING SW 25-35 KT BY EARLY EVENING. INNER CHANNELS
WILL GENERALLY SEE SCA LEVEL WINDS WITH THIS FRONT. MAY NEED LOW
END WIND ADVYS FOR SOME AREAS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST FOR THIS
SYSTEM.
A WEAKER FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MON. IT WILL BRING SOME
PRECIP TO THE AREA AS WELL BUT WINDS SHOULD BE A BIT LESS THAN
THEY WERE WITH PREVIOUS FRONT...PEAKING AT SCA LEVELS. THE PRECIP
WILL LIKELY BE LESS ORGANIZED THOUGH SO POPS WERE LIMITED TO
LIKELY FOR MOST OF THE AREA WITH THIS SYSTEM. EXCEPTION TO THIS
WAS THE PAYA AREA WHERE A LITTLE STRONGER MID-LEVEL SUPPORT WILL
MOVE THRU...SO WENT WITH CATEGORICAL POPS THERE.
LOOKS LIKE A STRONGER SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN FOR LATER MON NIGHT
INTO TUE. DECENT STRENGTH SFC LOW WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO THE NE
GULF BY DAYBREAK TUE...AND THIS WILL ENHANCE WINDS OVER MOST OF
THE AREA. LOOKS LIKE AT LEAST MIN GALES WILL OCCUR OVER THE
GULF...AND IF THE 00Z ECMWF IS RIGHT...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR
NEAR STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF. PREVIOUS FORECAST
HAD MUCH LESS WIND WITH THIS SYSTEM SO WANTED TO START TREND
UPWARD AND NOT JUMP STRAIGHT TO THE STRONG ECMWF WINDS YET. LATER
SHIFTS CAN REFINE THIS AS EVENT GETS CLOSER. IN EITHER
CASE...THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE RAIN TO THE AREA...AND WITH
STRONGER MID-LEVEL SUPPORT...WENT WITH CAT POPS MOST AREAS MON
NIGHT INTO TUE.
SHOULD SEE YET ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVE INTO THE ERN GULF TUE NIGHT
AND WED. THIS ONE COULD BE ESPECIALLY WET AND WINDY AS IT WILL
HAVE A STRONG SW JET CORE ACCOMPANYING IT...AS WELL AS A LIKELY
LOW LATITUDE MOISTURE CONNECTION. ONCE AGAIN...WENT FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD WITH THE CATEGORICAL POPS OVER THE AREA WITH THIS
SYSTEM.
FOR LATE WEEK AND BEYOND...MODELS AGREE THAT A RIDGE WILL BUILD
OVER THE AREA LATER THU INTO FRI...AND THIS IS WHEN BEST CHANCE
FOR A SIGNIFICANT BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS WILL BE. LOWERED POPS TO
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MUCH OF THE LAND AREA BY FRI...KEEPING HIGHER
POPS OVER THE GULF. THIS MAY ALSO BE WHEN A SLIGHTLY COOLER
AIRMASS MOVES IN. ANY COOL DOWN SHOULD NOT LAST LONG HOWEVER AS
THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF SYSTEMS SHOULD MOVE IN BY FRI NIGHT OR
SAT WITH WARMER AIR.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-036-041>043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031>035.
&&
JBT/RWTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Jan 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 20 hr | |
| Jan 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Jan 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Jan 22, 7:11 AM AKST | Wind Advisory | AJK | 11 hr | |
| Jan 22, 10:45 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 5 hr | |
| Jan 22, 11:57 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 hr | |
| Jan 22, 12:26 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 28 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.