Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011

Storm Warning 73, NWS Juneau, AK

November 11, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 11, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 11, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 12, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

674 
FZAK52 PAJK 120011
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-121400-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF FRI EVENING
AND TRACK EAST TOWARD THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT. THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF LATE FRI
EVENING THEN MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT
AFTERNOON.  

$$

PKZ041-121400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-121400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT
BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-121400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 30 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-121400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. W
SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 26 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-121400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$
5 follow-up statements
377 
FZAK52 PAJK 120807 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1107 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-130215-
1107 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF FRI EVENING
AND TRACK EAST TOWARD THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT. THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF LATE FRI
EVENING THEN MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT
AFTERNOON.  

$$

PKZ041-130215-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1107 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-130215-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1107 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT
BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. W SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-130215-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1107 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 30 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-130215-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1107 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 26 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-130215-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1107 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 



$$
084 
FZAK52 PAJK 121237
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-130100-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL TRACK EAST TOWARD
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON.
STRONG WEST WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF
THROUGH SUNDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-130100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 32 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. NW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-130100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT BUILDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SW SWELL. SEAS
BUILDING TO 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-130100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO
30 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-130100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT LATE. SW
SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-130100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO
20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$
375 
FZAK52 PAJK 122025 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1125 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-131430-
1125 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WILL TRACK EAST TOWARD
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON.
STRONG WEST WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF
THROUGH SUNDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-131430-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1125 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 32 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. NW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-131430-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1125 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SW SWELL. SEAS
BUILDING TO 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-131430-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1125 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO
30 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-131430-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1125 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT LATE. SW
SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-131430-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1125 AM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$
713 
FZAK52 PAJK 122221 AAB
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
121 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-131630-
121 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
STRONG WEST WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF
THROUGH SUNDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-131630-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
121 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 32 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. NW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-131630-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
121 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SW SWELL. SEAS
BUILDING TO 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-131630-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
121 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO
30 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-131630-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
121 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT LATE. SW
SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-131630-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
121 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$
688 
FZAK52 PAJK 122334
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-131400-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
STRONG WEST WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF
THROUGH SUNDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-131400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 32 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.SUN...W WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 30 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 33 FT. 
.MON...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-131400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 32 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS MIXED WITH SNOW IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 34 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-131400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT SUBSIDING TO 29 FT LATE. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-131400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 29 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-131400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT LATE. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 11, 2:38 PM AKST, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 2:38 PM AKST, 1 hour 22 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
238 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWING CIRRUS
CLOUD SHIELD TRACKING EAST AND MOVING OVER HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN
THE EASTERN AK GULF. A 955 MB LOW IN THE BERING SEA WITH FRONTAL
BAND EXTENDING IN TO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF. A STORM FORCE LOW
WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ALONG THE TRIPLE POINT DEEPENING RAPIDLY TO
AROUND 965 MB AS IT TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN AK GULF. THE
LOW WILL MOVE TOWARDS YAKUTAT BAY SAT AFTERNOON THEN MOVE OVER
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE INTO THE YUKON. THE WEATHER FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL REACH THE COASTAL PANHANDLE LATE
THIS EVENING AND PUSH OVER THE ENTIRE REGION THROUGH SAT. WINDS
OVER THE AK GULF WILL REACH OR BE JUST BELOW STORM FORCE LATE FRI
NIGHT WITH THE ADVANCING LOW AND PICK UP TO 20 TO 30 MPH OVER THE
COASTAL PANHANDLE WITH 15 TO 25 MPH WINDS OVER THE INTERIOR
PANHANDLE. MAY SEE SOME HIGH GUSTS WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SAT
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

 PRECIPITATION WILL BEING ALONG THE COAST MOVING OVER THE ENTIRE
PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT. NOW THE BIG QUESTION: SNOW AND HOW MUCH OF
IT. MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING GOOD LEVEL OF MOISTURE IN THE
DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE WITH HIGHEST OMEGA VALUES JUST BELOW.
SURFACE TEMPS FROM THE SOUNDINGS HAVE BEEN RUNNING ON THE COLD
SIDE COMPARED TO CURRENT OBSERVATIONS BUT STILL STARTING WITH A
GOOD POOL OF COLD AIR ALOFT WITH 850 TEMPS -6 TO -8C. ON THE
OTHER HAND THICKNESS LEVELS ARE A BIT ON THE FENCE WITH
1000-850MB NAM SOWING 1285 WITH GFS AT 1290 TONIGHT THEN 1300 AND
1310 RESPECTIVELY TOMORROW. HAVE A FEELING SNOW TOTALS MAY BE
JUST BELOW ADVY LEVELS FOR SOME AREAS. BUT AS THERE IS A GOOD
FETCH OF MOISTURE WITH THE SYSTEM AND DEFINITE LIFT AND COLD AIR
PRODUCING SOME MODERATE SNOWFALL OVERNIGHT KEEPING EXISTING ADVY
IN PLACE. EITHER WAY THE RIDGE OF WARM AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
TRANSITION SNOW TO A RAIN SNOW MIX OR ALL RAIN THROUGH THE DAY
SAT AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE.

 MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MORNING. NAM INITIALIZED WELL
COMPARING RH TO WATER VAPOR SATELLITE BUT SEEMED TO TRACK THE LOW
A BIT FURTHER NORTH COMPARED TO OVER MODEL CONSENSUS. LIKED THE
EC STRENGTH AND TRACK BUT DECIDED KEEP WITH MORE OF A BLEND AND
INHERITED GRIDS. ANY CHANGES WERE MINOR, DID NOT DROP SNOW
AMOUNTS MUCH TO KEEP WITH IN ADVY LEVEL CRITERIA, BUT AGAIN MAY
BE JUST SHY WITH THE TRANSITION TO WET SNOW. FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS ABOUT AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...LOW AND FRONT WILL BE THRU THE AREA BY SAT EVENING.
COLD ADVECTION WILL INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT SAT INTO SUN ON STG WLY
FLOW. A RESIDUAL LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL HANG AROUND THE FAR NERN
GULF SAT NIGHT INTO SUN THEN ANOTHER LOW WILL FORM FURTHER W AS A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR MOVES INTO THE NW GULF SUN NIGHT.
EVENTUALLY THIS LOW WILL DROP SE AS ARCTIC AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE
N BEGINNING TUE AND CONTINUING TO MOVE SWD INTO LATE WEEK. STRONG
ARCTIC HIGH WILL BUILD OVER NW CANADA FOR MID-LATE WEEK. BASICALLY
LEFT PRESSURE/WIND FIELDS AS IS FOR SAT NIGHT INTO MON...BUT DID
USE HPC FOR PRESSURE AND WINDS MON NIGHT INTO LATE WEEK WITH
MODIFICATIONS AS SPECIFIED BELOW.

TRICKY ASPECT OF FORECAST IS WHEN PRECIP WILL TRANSITION FROM RAIN
TO SNOW SHOWERS. USING 1000-850 MB THICKNESS AROUND 1285M IN A
CONVECTIVE ENVIRONMENT IN COMBINATION WITH 850 MB TEMPS OF -8C OR
COLDER...LOOKS LIKE TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD OCCUR DURING
SUN OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE AREA...AND AT LEAST A MIX SHOULD
OCCUR OVER THE SRN AREA BY SUN NIGHT. THERE MAY BE ONE OR MORE
TROFS THAT MOVE ACROSS THE GULF SUN INTO TUE...AND THESE WILL KEEP
SHOWERS GOING ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE AND E-CNTRL GULF.

ANOTHER BIG CONCERN IS HOW MUCH OF A SWELL RUN UP ONTO THE CENTRAL
COASTAL AREAS OCCURS ON THE STG WLY WINDS. IT LOOKS LIKE BEST
CHANCE FOR ANY COASTAL FLOODING TO DEVELOP WOULD BE DURING EARLY
AFTERNOON SUN HIGH TIDE AS LARGE WLY SWELLS MOVE IN ON STG WLY
WINDS.DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THE STG WLYS WILL ARRIVE IN TIME FOR
THE MIDDAY SAT HIGH TIDE SO THINK FLOODING POTENTIAL THEN WILL BE
MINIMAL. WILL UPDATE SPS TO EMPHASIZE POTENTIAL FOR SUN...BUT WILL
NOT ISSUE ANY WATCHES.

BY MIDWEEK...AS ARCTIC AIRMASS MOVES IN FLOW WILL TURN STGLY N AND
SHOULD SEE CLEARING ACROSS THE AREA. THE LATE WEEK PERIOD LOOKS
COLD...DRY...AND LOCALLY WINDY. BOOSTED WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE
INNER CHANNEL AREAS WED INTO FRI...WITH STORM FORCE WINDS LIKELY
IN LYNN CANAL AND AT LEAST GALE FORCE WINDS OVER REMAINING AREA EXCEPT
FOR THE FAR SRN AREA.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     AKZ027.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON AKST
     SATURDAY FOR AKZ017>021-025.
         STRONG WIND FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
     AKZ022-023.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ043.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ033-036-041-042-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031-032-034-035.

&&

PRB/RWT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 11, 10:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK18 hr
Nov 12, 3:15 AM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAJK9 hr
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAJK15 hr
Nov 12, 5:04 AM AKSTHigh Wind WatchAJK7 hr
Nov 12, 5:35 AM AKSTStorm WarningAJK10 hr
Nov 12, 12:13 PM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAJK6 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.