Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011

Storm Warning 16, NWS Juneau, AK

February 14, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Feb 14, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

094 
FZAK51 PAJK 150027
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-151500-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW PRESSURE AREA JUST S OF THE CHARLOTTES WILL MOVE N TO
DIXON ENTRANCE TONIGHT...THEN REMAIN THERE WHILE WEAKENING TUE.
AN ARCTIC FRONT OVER CENTRAL SE AK WILL DRIFT SLIGHTLY S THROUGH
TUE. 

$$

PKZ011-151500-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-151500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-151500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-151500-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-151500-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-151500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-151500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-151500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-151500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-151500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.TUE...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45
KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
INTERIOR PASSES IN THE MORNING. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-151500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
300 
FZAK51 PAJK 150151 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-152000-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW PRESSURE AREA JUST S OF THE CHARLOTTES WILL MOVE N TO
DIXON ENTRANCE TONIGHT...THEN REMAIN THERE WHILE WEAKENING TUE.
AN ARCTIC FRONT OVER CENTRAL SE AK WILL DRIFT SLIGHTLY S THROUGH
TUE. 

$$

PKZ011-152000-
GLACIER BAY-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-152000-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 80 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-152000-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-152000-
ICY STRAIT-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-152000-
CROSS SOUND-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-152000-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-152000-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-152000-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-152000-
FREDERICK SOUND-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ035-152000-
SUMNER STRAIT-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.TUE...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45
KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
INTERIOR PASSES IN THE MORNING. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-152000-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
450 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$
453 
FZAK51 PAJK 151243
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-160100-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW PRESSURE OVER DIXON ENTRANCE WILL REMAIN THERE AND
WEAKENING THROUGH TUE. AN ARCTIC FRONT OVER CENTRAL SE AK WILL
SLOWLY DRIFT S TUE NIGHT INTO WED. 

$$

PKZ011-160100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-160100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 80
KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-160100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-160100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-160100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE EVENING...WINDS
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-160100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-160100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-160100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-160100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-160100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-160100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT NORTH OF ERNEST SOUND. NW WIND 20 KT
BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF ERNEST SOUND. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT NORTH OF ERNEST SOUND. SE WIND 15 KT
SOUTH OF ERNEST SOUND. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$
087 
FZAK51 PAJK 151831 CCA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
930 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-160100-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW PRESSURE OVER DIXON ENTRANCE WILL REMAIN THERE AND
WEAKENING THROUGH TUE. AN ARCTIC FRONT OVER CENTRAL SE AK WILL
SLOWLY DRIFT S TUE NIGHT INTO WED. 

$$

PKZ011-160100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-160100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 80
KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-160100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
930 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

CORRECTED

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-160100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-160100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE EVENING...WINDS
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-160100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-160100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-160100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-160100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-160100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-160100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT NORTH OF ERNEST SOUND. NW WIND 20 KT
BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF ERNEST SOUND. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT NORTH OF ERNEST SOUND. SE WIND 15 KT
SOUTH OF ERNEST SOUND. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Feb 14, 3:35 PM AKST, 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 3:35 PM AKST, 25 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
335 PM AKST MON FEB 14 2011

.SHORT TERM...ARCTIC FRONT IS NOW ALONG FREDERICK SOUND AND WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT S TO NEAR SUMNER STRAIT AREA BY LATE TONIGHT. LOW
PRES JUST S OF THE CHARLOTTES WILL MOVE N TO DIXON ENTRANCE BY
LATE TONIGHT...THEN REMAIN NEAR DIXON ENTRANCE TUE WHILE
WEAKENING SLOWLY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER NW CANADA THRU
TUE. USED 12Z ECMWF FOR THE MOST PART FOR THE TONIGHT AND TUE
PERIODS BUT DID GET IN SOME LOCAL WRF FOR WIND DETAILS SUCH AS
OUTFLOWS.

MAIN FORECAST ISSUE OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE AREA WILL BE WINDS.
STG NLY PRES GRADIENT WILL PERSIST INTO TUE WITH A SLIGHT
WEAKENING POSSIBLE LATE TUE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL KEEP GALE TO
STORM FORCE WINDS GOING THRU THE NRN INNER CHANNELS AND OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES INTO THE NE GULF THRU TUE. THIS WIND WILL ALSO
CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW OVER THE FAR NRN AREA AND WITH VERY COLD
AIR IN PLACE WIND CHILLS WILL BE AT OR COLDER THAN ADVY LEVELS
OVER THE FAR NRN AREA ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATER
TONIGHT AND TUE. LOCALLY...GOOD POSSIBILITY OF A MTN WAVE WITH
25-35 KT CROSS BARRIER FLOW...INVERSION AT MTN TOPS...AND CRIT
LEVEL NEAR 600 MB FROM ABOUT 03Z THIS EVENING UNTIL 00Z WED. THINK
PEAK WINDS WILL BE AROUND 55 MPH WITH THE MTN WAVE BUT THERE IS A
CHANCE OF 60+ MPH GUSTS ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT AND TUE MORNING.

FURTHER S...MAIN ISSUES WILL BE PRECIP POTENTIAL...AND SNOW
AMOUNTS. LOOKS LIKE PRECIP WITH THE LOW MOVING UP FROM THE S WILL
GET INTO THE SRN THIRD OF THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. NRN PART OF THIS PRECIP...IN ZONE 26...SHOULD BE ALL SNOW
AS SHALLOW ARCTIC AIRMASS SHOULD SLIDE INTO THAT AREA JUST AHEAD
OF PRECIP ARRIVAL LATE THIS EVENING. MODELS ARE NOT PUTTING OUT A
LOT OF QPF IN ZONE 26 BUT SUSPECT THEY MAY BE A BIT UNDERDONE AS
SOME OVERRUNNING OF ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO LIFT AND
SHOULD MAXIMIZE WHAT MOISTURE GETS UP THERE. ATTM...AM KEEPING
SNOWFALL IN ZONE 26 BELOW ADVY LEVELS BUT THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR
THAT MUCH...BUT NOT HIGH ENOUGH PROBABILITY TO ISSUE AN ADVY ATTM.
FURTHER S...PRECIP MAY BE MIXED OR RAIN TO START THEN TRANSITION
TO SNOW LATER TONIGHT. AGAIN...KEEPING SNOWFALL BELOW ADVY LEVELS
FOR THE FAR SRN AREA BUT IF PRECIP FALLS AS MORE SNOW THAN
EXPECTED...THEY MAY NEED AN ADVY IN ZONES 27 AND 28. SHOULD BE
FAIRLY SHARP CUTOFF TO PRECIP ON NRN SIDE NEAR FREDERICK SOUND.

&&

.LONG TERM...THE COLD DRY OUTFLOW PATTERN PERSISTS THROUGH MIDWEEK
BUT IS WEAKENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. MARINE HEADLINES
WOULD BE LOWERING TO GALES OR SMALL CRAFTS BY LATE WEDNESDAY.
FREEZING SPRAY WILL DIMINISH AS WELL WITH THE LOWERING WINDS BUT
SHOULD BE SEEING SOME AROUND THE MARINE AREAS OF THE INSIDE WATERS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SNOWFALL LINGERING FOR A BIT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
THE THEN RETREATING THE EAST OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE KEEPING THE STRONG BERING SEA LOW AWAY FROM
NORTHWEST ALASKA GIVES WAY AND ALLOWS A LOW OR TROUGH ALOFT TO
POTENTIALLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE THE
NORTHERN GULF. THIS COULD POTENTIALLY BRING A GOOD SNOW FALL EVENT
TO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE FRIDAY - SATURDAY TIME FRAME. IT SEEMS TO
BE SMALL PROBABILITY AT THE MOMENT BUT IT IS AN OPTION, OTHER WISE
THE OFF SHORE PATTERN WILL PERSIST. THE UPCOMING WEEKEND LOOKS AS
IF IT THERE WILL BE AN NEW INSTALLMENT OF THE COLD DRY OUTFLOW
PATTERN SETTING UP.

MODEL SOLUTION TODAY WAS FAVORING THE ECMWF BASED ON THE HOW THE
EARLY PART OF THE FORECAST WAS LOOKING. USED THE HPC GUIDANCE FOR
THE LATER PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST PACKAGE. CONFIDENCE IS FAIR IN
THE FORECAST.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ025.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ019.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM AKST THURSDAY FOR AKZ018.
         WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ031.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ011-013.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ012.
         STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031>034-043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ035-041-042-052.

&&

RWT/BEZENEK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Feb 14, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Feb 14, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Feb 14, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Feb 14, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAJK24 hr
Feb 14, 4:50 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK23 hr
Feb 15, 11:15 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.