Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 839, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 18, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 18, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 19, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
162 FZAK52 PAJK 190016 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-191400- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-191400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ042-191400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-191400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ051-191400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ052-191400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
252 FZAK52 PAJK 190150 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 450 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-191400- 450 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-191400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 450 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ042-191400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 450 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-191400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 450 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ051-191400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 450 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ052-191400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 450 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
620 FZAK52 PAJK 190352 AAB CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 652 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-191400- 652 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-191400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 652 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ042-191400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 652 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-191400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 652 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ051-191400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 652 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ052-191400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 652 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
652 FZAK52 PAJK 190801 AAC CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1101 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-191400- 1101 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-191400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1101 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ042-191400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1101 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-191400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1101 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ051-191400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1101 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT LATE. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ052-191400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1101 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
558 FZAK52 PAJK 191244 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-200100- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A LOW IN THE N PACIFIC WILL TRACK NE INTO THE SE AK GULF THROUGH MONDAY THEN MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE MON NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AK GULF TUE. $$ PKZ041-200100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .WED...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ042-200100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ043-200100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ051-200100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ052-200100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 18, 1:59 PM AKST, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 18, 1:59 PM AKST, 2 hours 1 minute before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
159 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011
.SHORT TERM...MODERATE STRENGTH FRONT MOVING INTO THE PANHANDLE
FOR TONIGHT BRINGING MORE PRECIP AND WIND TO THE PANHANDLE. THE
PRE-FRONTAL WINDS AND PRECIP HAVE ALREADY REACHED THE PANHANDLE
WITH PRECIP OBSERVED AT JUNEAU AND SITKA NORTHWARD AND WINDS WITH
GUSTS TO 40 MPH OBSERVED AT YAKUTAT. TEMPERATURES AT THE MOMENT
ARE TOO WARM FOR ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW ANYWHERE EXCEPT FOR THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS. IN THE
MARINE ZONES, WINDS ARE ALREADY REACHING INTO THE GALE WARNING
CRITERIA IN THE OUTSIDE WATERS OF THE GULF AND SOME INNER CHANNEL
AREAS HAVE 25 KT SMALL CRAFT WINDS BLOWING AS WELL.
FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW, THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE ON ITS WAY
THROUGH THE AREA. PRECIP WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN THROUGH THE
NIGHT WITH SOME OF THE PRECIP BEING HEAVY AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN TOO WARM FOR ANY SNOW THAT FALL TO ACCUMULATE. THE
EXCEPTIONS WILL BE UP ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE HAINES AND
KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS WHERE SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE UP TO 12 INCHES AND
HYDER WHERE LINGERING COLD AIR WILL ALLOW THE PRECIP TO FALL AS
SNOW AS WELL. WINTER STORM WARNINGS REMAIN UP FOR THE HAINES AND
KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. I AM ALSO ISSUING A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HYDER FOR LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AS
I AM EXPECTING OVER 8 INCHES BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON THERE. PRECIP
SHOULD START CHANGING OVER TO SHOWERS STARTING TOMORROW FROM WEST
TO EAST AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
WINDS WILL ALSO BE A PROBLEM. I AM EXPECTING GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
ALONG THE OUTER COAST THIS EVENING. THE WILL EXTEND TO THE
SOUTHERN ZONES LATER THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO THE
EAST. INNER CHANNEL AREAS MAY ALSO SEE A PERIOD OF HIGHER WINDS
THIS EVENING AS WELL. SOME ISOLATED AREAS INLAND MAY SEE STRONG
WIND CRITERIA WIND THIS EVENING AS WELL.
MODELS TODAY WERE HAVING A BIT OF TROUBLE. THE EC AND GFS WERE A
BIT TOO SLOW WITH THE FRONTAL SPEED WHILE THE NAM AND UK WERE
RATHER CLOSE. DECIDED TO STICK WITH THE NAM FOR TONIGHT MIXING IN
SOME EC FOR THE AFTERNOON ON MON TO TRY AND AVERAGE OUT THE
DIFFERENCES THAT ARE STARTING TO SHOW UP THERE. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...NO MAJOR CHANGE EXPECTED IN SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH
THE LONG TERM. A SERIES OF FRONTS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA. THE FIRST WILL BE DEVELOPING WAVE ALONG OLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT DEEPENS AS IT MOVES INTO SOUTHEAST GULF MONDAY
EVENING THAT WEAKENS AS IT PUSHES ACROSS CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ALASKA
MONDAY NIGHT. MODELS CURRENTLY SHOW WIDE RANGE OF SOLUTIONS ON THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS WAVE. EC IS DEEPEST AND FARTHERS NORTH WHILE EC
AND NAM ARE FASTER AND KEEP IT FARTHER SOUTH. CURRENT GRIDS HAVE A
DEEPER AND FARTHER NORTH LOW LIKE EC AND WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS
THINKING. MAIN DIFFERENCE WOULD BE WITH A FARTHER SOUTH TRACK
COULD ALLOW COLD AIR TO WORK BACK INTO CENTRAL AND TURN PRECIP
BACK TO SNOW. WILL HAVE CAA AT 85 FROM THE WEST BUT RECENT TRENDS
HAVE KEPT THIS A MIX OF RAIN SNOW FOR THE PANHANDLE.
WEAK RIDGING IS EXPECTED FOR THE PANHANDLE TUESDAY BUT WITH MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER AND WEAK 500 MB TROUGH MOVING THROUGH WILL KEEP
SKIES MAINLY CLOUDY AND ISOLATED RA/SN SHOWERS.
A STRONGER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SPREAD GALES TO THE EASTERN GULF
WEDNESDAY. A DEVELOPING LOW ALONG THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL LIKELY BRING A BURST
OF STRONG WINDS TO PANHANDLE WITH IT. PRECIP LOOKS TO BE IN
MODERATE RANGE WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH ONSHORE FLOW FAVORING RAIN AS
P TYPE ALTHOUGH WILL LIKELY START AS SNOW OR MIXED THROUGH INNER
CHANNELS. SHOWERS IN WESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THIS FRONT CONTINUES
THU-FRI.
ANOTHER STRONG SYSTEM IS EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA NIGHT OF
THE 24TH OR ON THE 25TH BUT DETAILS DIFFER WIDELY BETWEEN GFS AND
EC. CURRENTLY CONFIDENCE WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LOW.
WITH LOW CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE MODEL SOLUTION, OPTED TO MAKE NO
CHANGES TO GRIDS TODAY AND HOLD COURSE FOR A FRONTAL PASSAGE ABOUT
EVERY 2 DAYS WITH GALES FOR EASTERN GULF AND MIXED PRECIP FOR
INNER CHANNELS.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ027.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ017-022-023.
STRONG WIND UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ028.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM AKST
MONDAY FOR AKZ029.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ018-019.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022-031-033-035-036-041>043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-032-034-053.
&&
EAL/MMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 3:57 PM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 18, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 3 hr | |
| Dec 18, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Dec 18, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 18, 4:56 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 11 hr | |
| Dec 18, 6:52 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 21 hr | |
| Dec 19, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Dec 19, 6:38 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 9 hr | |
| Dec 19, 10:50 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 5 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.