Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 784, NWS Juneau, AK

December 1, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 1, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 1, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Dec 1, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

345 
FZAK51 PAJK 011236
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-020100-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT HAS SPREAD GALE FORCE WINDS OVER SE AK.
THIS FRONT WILL WEAKEN WHILE MOVING E TO CANADA THU AFTERNOON. A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING IN THE CENTRAL GULF AND WILL
REACH THE EASTERN GULF THU NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-020100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-020100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-020100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-020100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-020100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-020100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-020100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-020100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-020100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-020100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-020100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011 

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$
2 follow-up statements
240 
FZAK51 PAJK 011553 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-020100-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT HAS SPREAD GALE FORCE WINDS OVER SE AK.
THIS FRONT WILL WEAKEN WHILE MOVING E TO CANADA THU AFTERNOON. A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING IN THE CENTRAL GULF AND WILL
REACH THE EASTERN GULF THU NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-020100-
GLACIER BAY-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-020100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-020100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-020100-
ICY STRAIT-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-020100-
CROSS SOUND-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-020100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-020100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-020100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-020100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-020100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-020100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
653 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$
428 
FZAK51 PAJK 012046 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-020100-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT HAS SPREAD GALE FORCE WINDS OVER SE AK.
THIS FRONT WILL WEAKEN WHILE MOVING E TO CANADA THU AFTERNOON. A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING IN THE CENTRAL GULF AND WILL
REACH THE EASTERN GULF THU NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-020100-
GLACIER BAY-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-020100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-020100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-020100-
ICY STRAIT-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-020100-
CROSS SOUND-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-020100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-020100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-020100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-020100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-020100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-020100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1146 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 30, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 30, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
2 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2011
 .SHORT TERM...A STRONG RIDGE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT IS TILTED
ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
TONIGHT. A STRONG OCCLUDED FRONT ENTERING THE EASTERN GULF WILL
SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA TONIGHT AND EXIT SOUTHEAST
CORNER OF THE PANHANDLE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THURSDAY WITH STRONG WEST WINDS
ACROSS THE GULF.

A OCCLUDED FRONT...UNDER A 150 KT SW JET MAX RIDING NE ALONG BACK
SIDE OF THE UPPER RIDGE...WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA
TONIGHT AND EXITS THE SOUTHEAST CORNER AROUND NOON ON THURSDAY. A
65KT LOW LEVEL BARRIER JET IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF WAVE
ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS INNER
CHANNELS TONIGHT. EXPECT SOME OF THIS TO WORK DOWN TO THE SURFACE
WITH PLENTY OF TURBULENT ENERGY. HAVE PUT OUT A HWA FOR GUSTS TO
60 MPH IN ZONES 17-19, 22, AND 25 FOR TONIGHT AND EXPECT TO
UPGRADE THIS TO A WARNING WITH AFTERNOON PACKAGE. OTHER ZONES WILL
SEE STRONG WINDS AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

THERE IS A LONG FETCH OF MOISTURE AND MODERATE WAA AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
MODERATE RAIN IN PAYA WILL BECOME HEAVY BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH
HEAVIER RAINS SPREADING ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THIS EVENING AND
ACROSS SOUTHERN BY LATE TONIGHT. PAYA AND COASTAL SE ALASKA WILL
BE THE WETTEST SPOTS WHERE 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ENDING
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY FOR INNER
CHANNELS AND SOUTHERN. FREEZING LEVELS WILL BE ON THE RISE AND
EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO 3000 FEET FOR A SHORT WHILE IN THE NORTH AND
TO 5000 FEET IN THE SOUTH.

SINCE MANY AREAS STILL HAVE A DEEP SNOW PACK THE RAIN ON TOP OF
THE SNOW WILL CAUSE PROBLEMS WITH INCREASED SNOW LOADS, PONDING OF
WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS, AND WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF AVALANCHES
AND MUD SLIDES. THINK BEST WAY TO ADDRESS THEIR COMBINED AFFECT
WILL BE IN AN SPS.

GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN MODELS IN THE SHORT TERM. NAM CONTINUES TO
BE TOO COLD WITH ITS TEMPERATURES SO WILL STAY CLOSER TO THE GFS
FOR GRIDS.

LONG TERM...
OVERALL PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE THIS MORNING WITH A MAJOR COLD UPR
LOW OVR KAMCHATKA...DEEP SHORTWAVE UPR TROF ALG 165W...AND A HIGH
AMPLITUDE UPR RIDGE ALG 135W (OVR THE PANHANDLE) WHICH WILL CLEARLY
MOVE E INTO B.C. & YUKON BY THIS EVENING. THIS SETS UP A VERY STRONG
SW FETCH ALOFT OVR ALL OF SEAK FOR WARM AND WET AND WIND. SW JET CORE
OVR PAYA. CHECK OUT WIND WSW 135KT 34K FT AT YAKUTAT 30/12Z RAOB. SEE
SHORT TERM ABOVE FOR THE IMMEDIATE PROBLEMS WITH THIS SETUP.

THE UPR TROF ALG 165W AT 30/12Z HAS WINTRY COLD AIR IN IT DOWN TO -36C
AT 500 HPA AND IS MOVING RAPIDLY WITH JET...WILL BE OVR YUKON
BY 00Z TRANSITION TIME AS A LOWER AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDS ALG 140W
TO GIVE US WESTERLIES ALF. MOST SIGNIFICANT FEATURE IN THE LONG TERM
IS THAT IN SPITE OF SHORT WAVES COMING INTO UPR RIDGE FROM SW...MEAN
POSITION OF UPR RDG WILL OSCILLATE OVR THE GULF OF ALASKA THRU THE
WEEKEND WHICH GIVES US WARM AIR AND PERIODS OF WET CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. NEW SIGNAL IS THAT EARLY NEXT WEEK PATTERN CHANGES TO
STRONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON FOR OUR COLD DRY WINDY
PATTERN SAY BY TUE.

TIMING IS TRICKY SO CONFIDENCE ON THE DETAILS ONLY MODERATE THROUGH
SAT. MODERATE CONFIDENCE ON THE BIG PATTERN CHANGE NEXT WEEK WHICH
WILL BE FUN TO SEE IF IT COMES TRUE. USED 30/12Z AK-GFS-40 FOR MUCH OF
THIS FORECAST AND PREVIOUS SHIFTS GRIDS.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
   FOR AKZ026.
   STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR AKZ027.
   STRONG WIND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR AKZ020-021-024.
   HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM AKST THURSDAY
     FOR AKZ023-025.
    HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 3 AM AKST THURSDAY FOR AKZ018-019-022.
    STRONG WIND UNTIL 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ018-022.
    STRONG WIND UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ023.
    STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
     FOR AKZ028.
    HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031>036-041>043-051>053.
&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 30, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 30, 10:43 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK17 hr
Dec 1, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Dec 1, 10:41 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK4 hr
Dec 1, 11:46 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK4 hr
Dec 1, 12:47 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK3 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.