Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 710, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 10, 2011, 10:52 PM AKST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 10, 2011, 10:52 PM AKST (07:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 11, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
157 FZAK51 PAJK 110752 AAC CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-120200- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS SE OVER THE PANHANDLE AND INTO B.C. THROUGH FRI MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT OVER SE AK WILL EXIT THE AREA THROUGH THU NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF SAT. $$ PKZ011-120200- GLACIER BAY- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-120200- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ013-120200- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ021-120200- ICY STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-120200- CROSS SOUND- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-120200- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-120200- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-120200- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 16 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-120200- FREDERICK SOUND- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-120200- SUMNER STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-120200- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1052 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
681 FZAK51 PAJK 111243 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-120100- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE E THROUGH LATE FRI AFTERNOON AS A STORM FORCE LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF LATE FRI EVENING THEN ONSHORE OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ011-120100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ012-120100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW LATE. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-120100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW LATE. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-120100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW LATE. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ022-120100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. SNOW AND RAIN LATE. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-120100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-120100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN LATE. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-120100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT... EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 18 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 17 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-120100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-120100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT... EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-120100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
601 FZAK51 PAJK 111616 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-120100- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE E THROUGH LATE FRI AFTERNOON AS A STORM FORCE LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF LATE FRI EVENING THEN ONSHORE OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ011-120100- GLACIER BAY- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ012-120100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW LATE. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-120100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW LATE. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-120100- ICY STRAIT- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW LATE. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ022-120100- CROSS SOUND- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. SNOW AND RAIN LATE. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-120100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-120100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN LATE. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-120100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT... EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 18 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 17 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-120100- FREDERICK SOUND- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-120100- SUMNER STRAIT- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT... EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-120100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 715 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 10, 4:23 PM AKST, 6 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 4:23 PM AKST, 6 hours 29 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
423 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011
.SHORT TERM...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL
CONTINUE ITS SOUTHEASTERLY TRACK MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL AK
PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA BY FRIDAY MORNING.
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT CURRENTLY PRODUCING MIXED PRECIPITATION
AND SOME GUSTY WINDS WILL EXIT THE REGION OVERNIGHT. YAKUTAT
PRECIP REMAINED SNOW THROUGH THE DAY WITH WARM AIR KEPT JUST TO
THE SOUTH. EXPECTING THE WARM SECTOR OF THE LOW STILL TO PUSH A
BIT FURTHER NORTH THIS EVENING SO MAY STILL SEE SOME RAIN MIXING
IN. MOST OTHER AREAS TRANSITIONED TO MOSTLY RAIN AS WINDS SHIFTED
FROM THE NORTH TO SOUTH THIS MORNING...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
PETERSBURG WHICH RETAINED ENOUGH COLD AIR TO STAY SNOW. OVERALL
SNOW ACCUMULATION WAS LESS THAN 1 INCH. AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST
PRECIP WILL DIMINISH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO NORTH. RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH SNOW
TEMPS DROP THROUGH THE EVENING AND WINDS SHIFT NORTH, BUT SINCE
THE FRONT IS MOVING ON NO REAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. AS ROADS
WILL BE WET THIS EVENING AND TEMPS DROPPING BELOW FREEZING WITH
CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT ROADS MAY BE ICY FOR FRIDAY MORNING.
FRIDAY ITSELF WILL SEE CLEARING SKIES THROUGH THE DAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE YUKON AND A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AK
GULF. WHILE A COLD AIR MASS, WITH 850 TEMPS AROUND -6C, PUSHES
SOUTH TEMPS MAY BE STILL IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S FROM INCREASED
SOLAR HEATING. SO ALL IN ALL A NICE DAY FOR SE AK.
MODELS WERE IN FAIR AGREEMENT TODAY WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE
LOW AND FRONT. THE 12Z NAM WAS MORE OF AN OUTLIER PLACING THE LOW
FURTHER SOUTH BUT THE 18Z FELL MORE IN LINE. TRENDED TOWARD THE
ECMWF BUT OVERALL MADE FEW CHANGES TO THE WIND FIELDS. MAIN
ISSUES FOR THE FORECAST WERE TIMING THE WIND SHIFTS THIS EVENING,
WITH SOME LOCATIONS STARTING A BIT EARLIER THAN EXPECT, SUCH AS
SKAGWAY, AND OTHER, SUCH AS N LYNN CANAL BEING DELAYED. AS PRECIP
WILL BE DIMINISHING THROUGH THE EVENING THE RAIN TO SNOW
TRANSITION IS NOT AS MUCH OF A CONCERN DUE TO LIMITED
ACCUMULATION. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...FIRST MAJOR FEATURE IN THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST
WILL BE A STRONG FRONT THAT APPROACHES THE OUTER COAST FRIDAY
NIGHT. GALE FORCE SOUTHEASTERLIES IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT,
FOLLOWED BY SUSTAINED SOUTHWESTERLY GALES AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE.
OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD BE LOW ENOUGH TO SUPPORT 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
SNOW OVERNIGHT FRIDAY AND THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY FROM PETERSBURG
NORTH OVER THE INTERIOR PUBLIC ZONES. WARM AIR ASSOCIATED WITHE
THE THERMAL RIDGE WILL RESULT IN RAIN MOST OTHER PLACES AND ALONG
THE OUTER COAST IN PARTICULAR. WESTERLY WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY
SUNDAY MORNING AND THEN COLD LOW LEVEL AIR ADVECTING ZONALLY
ACROSS THE GULF FROM THE BERING SEA WILL SPREAD OVER THE PANHANDLE
AND BEGIN TO SEND DAILY HIGHS AND LOWS SOUTH. AS THE UPPER LOW
DROPS SOUTHEAST ALONG THE EASTERN GULF BEGINNING MONDAY, VERY COLD
LOW LEVEL AIR WILL DESCEND SOUTH FROM THE HIGH ARCTIC. ARCTIC
FRONT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL PENETRATE AS FAR SOUTH AS ANGOON AND
PETERSBURG BY LATE NEXT WEEK AND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND. NOT A
LOT OF POP IN THE FORECAST DURING THIS TIME SINCE LOW LEVEL FLOW
WILL BE EASTERLY FROM THE VERY COLD AND DRY CANADIAN INTERIOR AND
MAY GET WINDY IN LOCATIONS SUSCEPTIBLE TO STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS
FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST.
USED NAM AND GFS EARLY ON, THEN A GFS/HPC BLEND. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS ONLY AVERAGE DUE TO A SUBTLE CHANGE IN SNOW LEVELS
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WHICH HAVE RESULTED IN A SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE IN THE SNOW FORECAST FOR THAT TIME FRAME.
.CLIMATE...THE LA NINA TREND FOR WINTER OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA
APPEARS TO BE BEGINNING TO EXERT ITSELF IN THE FORM OF COLDER THAN
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER 1-WEEK, 2-WEEK, AND
WINTER SEASON TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS ALL REMAIN TILTED IN FAVOUR OF COLDER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. JUST HOW MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL REMAINS
TO BE SEEN. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC
OCEAN ARE CLEARLY BELOW NORMAL, HOWEVER THERE HAS BEEN VERY LITTLE
CHANGE OVER THE PAST 3 WEEKS. THE CURRENT NINO 3.4 VALUE IS -0.9
DEGREES C AND THE CURRENT ONI IS -0.4 DEGREES C. UPPER LEVEL JET
HAS BEEN FAIRLY ZONAL OVER THE SAME TIME FRAME, WHICH IS MORE OF
AN EL NINO PATTERN HOWEVER, THE JET IS WEAKER AND FARTHER NORTH
WHICH ARE TWO LA NINA CHARACTERISTICS. CURRENT MJO ACTIVITY IS
CENTERED OVER THE MARITIME CONTINENT AND IS FAIRLY BROAD IN ITS
AREAL COVERAGE, HOWEVER OTHER FEATURES USED TO MONITOR THE
EVOLUTION OF THE MJO SUGGEST THIS CURRENT EVENT IS WEAK AND WILL
REMAIN WEAK AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN PACIFIC. AT THIS TIME,
NO MJO IMPACTS TO SOUTHEAST ALASKA ARE EXPECTED IN THE EXTENDED
RANGE FORECAST PERIOD.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041>043-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-033>036-051.
&&
PRB/FRITSCHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 10, 5:19 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 11 hr | |
| Nov 10, 5:19 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 11 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:54 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 31 hr | |
| Nov 11, 7:15 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 9 hr | |
| Nov 11, 7:15 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 9 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.