Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 421, NWS Juneau, AK

July 18, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 18, 2011, 7:15 PM AKDT. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2011, 7:15 PM AKDT (03:15 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

321 
FZAK51 PAJK 190315 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-192115-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK LOW AND WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE
ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT.  A SECOND WEAK LOW
WILL FORM OVER THE  NORTHERN GULF TUESDAY NIGHT AND MOVE
SOUTHEAST TOWARDS HAIDA GWAII...FORMERLY CALLED THE CHARLOTTES
WED.   

$$

PKZ011-192115-
GLACIER BAY-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS
OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-192115-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING LATE. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-192115-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-192115-
ICY STRAIT-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-192115-
CROSS SOUND-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-192115-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-192115-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-192115-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-192115-
FREDERICK SOUND-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-192115-
SUMNER STRAIT-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-192115-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
715 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

UPDATED


...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$
1 follow-up statement
209 
FZAK51 PAJK 191148
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-200100-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SE GULF TUESDAY NIGHT AND MOVE
ACROSS HAIDA GWAII...FORMERLY CALLED THE CHARLOTTES WED. 

$$

PKZ011-200100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-200100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-200100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING LIGHT LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO
2 FT LATE. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-200100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-200100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-200100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE
MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-200100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE
MORNING. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-200100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-200100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-200100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-200100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 18, 3:41 PM AKDT, 3 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 3:41 PM AKDT, 3 hours 34 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
341 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

.SHORT TERM...A POORLY ORGANIZED OCCLUDED FRONT IN THE EASTERN
GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
THIS OCFNT HAS A TRIPLE POINT LOW OF ABOUT 1008 MB THAT IS
ROUGHLY 100 NM W OF PASI AT THIS TIME IS CLOSED TO LESS THAN
2 MB. THIS LOW WILL DISSIPATE ONSHORE NEAR PAAP ABOUT 12Z
TONIGHT.

 THE BIORKA RADAR DOES SHOW CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL, AND THESE CELLS ARE BEING TRIGGERED BY AND UP-GLIDE OF
THE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE OCFNT. THE RESULT IN THE
LOWEST LEVELS IS A STABLE ENVIRONMENT THAT IS EXPERIENCING  RAPID
VARIATIONS IN RAINFALL RATES.

 MODEL CONSENSUS FOR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS GOOD AMONG THE
GFS/NAM/ECMWF. THE MODELS DO INDICATE A WEAK LOW CIRCULATION ON
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE NAM WAS USED FOR THE WINDS AND SURFACE
PRESSURE FIELDS, WITH A MIX OF SEVERAL MODELS USED FOR OTHER
FIELDS.

 THE CHANGES TO THE SHORT-RANGE FORECAST PACKAGE ARE SMALL. THE
CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...THE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK BUT THEN THERE SOME ISSUES WITH THE TIMING OF A UPPER LOW
DEPARTING THE GULF AND A UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN
GULF AND OVER THE PANHANDLE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
A BLEND OF THE NAM/EC WERE DONE THROUGH LATE WEEK THEN A
TRANSITION TO A HPC BLEND AS THEY TOOK INTO ACCOUNT THE 00Z EC
AND EC ENSEMBLE MEAN ALONG WITH THE OLD GFS AS THE NEW ONE HAD
LARGE CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS RUN. OVERALL THOUGH NOT MUCH
CHANGE IN THE OVERALL FORECAST FOR THE WEEK AS THE PANHANDLE WILL
SEE A DRYING TREND STARTING WED AND GOING THROUGH THURSDAY. AFTER
THAT THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF RAIN DUE TO MODEL UNCERTAINTY BUT
IT LOOKS TO BE ON THE DRIER SIDE ATTM.

AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD A UPPER LEVEL WILL BE
DRIFTING TO THE SE OVER THE EASTERN GULF. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD SHOWERS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THIS FEATURE WILL DRIFT
TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH WED AFTERNOON AND AS IT DOES THE SHOWERS
WILL DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. BY WED NIGHT MOST AREAS WILL BE
DRY AND THE NORTHERN AREAS WILL BEGIN TO SEE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD
COVER AND BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY. THE DRY AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
WILL NOT AS THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING AS ANOTHER UPPER TROF MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF. THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE WILL HOLD ON TO THE
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES A BIT LONGER DUE TO STRONGER NW FLOW ALOFT.

THE UPPER TROF OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL PHASE WITH SOME ENERGY
MOVING OUT OF THE BERING AND FORM A UPPER LOW OVER GULF. THIS WILL
BRING IN A CHANCE OF RAIN BUT DEPENDING ON THE TRACK AND POSITION
OF THE LOW THE PANHANDLE MAY GET OFFSHORE FLOW. SO THIS IN-LIES THE
DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS AND BELOW AVERAGE FORECASTER CONFIDENCE.
LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-041-042-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ043-052.

&&

JBT/ABJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.