High Wind Warning 15, NWS Juneau, AK

519 
WWAK77 PAJK 260646
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
946 PM AKST SUN DEC 25 2011

...A STRONG SYSTEM TO MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF ON MONDAY...

.A STRONG SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE
EASTERN GULF AND THEN TO THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION BY
TUESDAY MORNING. STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE OUTER COAST WITH THE
FRONT AND A STRONG EAST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PRODUCE STRONG
GUSTY WINDS ON MONDAY.

AKZ022-023-027-028-261400-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0015.111226T1200Z-111227T0100Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...
PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
946 PM AKST SUN DEC 25 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM AKST
MONDAY...

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE.

* TIMING...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. 

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND TREES POSSIBLE. DOWNED 
  TREES MAY CAUSE A LOSS OF POWER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

980 
WWAK77 PAJK 261347
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
447 AM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM TO MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY...

.A STRONG SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE
EASTERN GULF MONDAY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF BY TUESDAY
MORNING. STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE OUTER COAST WITH THE FRONT. A
STRONG EAST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS
THROUGH THE INNER CHANNELS MONDAY.



AKZ022-262200-
/X.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111227T0100Z/
/X.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0016.111226T1500Z-111227T0900Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
447 AM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT. 

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE THROUGH MONDAY
  AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE MONDAY
  EVENING.

* TIMING...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY MONDAY
  MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
  THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE EVENING

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND TREES POSSIBLE. DOWNED 
  TREES MAY CAUSE A LOSS OF POWER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-027-028-262200-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111227T0100Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
447 AM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE.

* TIMING...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. 

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND TREES POSSIBLE. DOWNED 
  TREES MAY CAUSE A LOSS OF POWER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

119 
WWAK77 PAJK 261349
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
448 AM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM TO MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY...

.A STRONG SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE
EASTERN GULF MONDAY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF BY TUESDAY
MORNING. STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE OUTER COAST WITH THE FRONT. A
STRONG EAST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS
THROUGH THE INNER CHANNELS MONDAY.



AKZ022-262215-
/X.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111227T0100Z/
/X.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0016.111226T1500Z-111227T0900Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
448 AM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT. 

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE THROUGH MONDAY
  AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE MONDAY
  EVENING.

* TIMING...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY MONDAY
  MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
  THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE EVENING

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND TREES POSSIBLE. DOWNED 
  TREES MAY CAUSE A LOSS OF POWER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-027-028-262215-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111227T0100Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
448 AM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE.

* TIMING...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. 

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND TREES POSSIBLE. DOWNED 
  TREES MAY CAUSE A LOSS OF POWER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

901 
WWAK77 PAJK 262155
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1255 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM TO MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF
MONDAY...

.A STRONG SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE
EASTERN GULF MONDAY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF BY TUESDAY
MORNING. STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE OUTER COAST WITH THE FRONT. A
STRONG EAST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS
THROUGH THE INNER CHANNELS MONDAY.

AKZ023-027-028-270100-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111227T0100Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
1255 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE.

* TIMING...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE
  DIMINISHING.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND TREES POSSIBLE. DOWNED 
  TREES MAY CAUSE A LOSS OF POWER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-270100-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-111227T0900Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
1255 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST
TONIGHT...

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE THROUGH 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE 
  MONDAY EVENING. 

* TIMING...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY
  AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE EVENING.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND TREES POSSIBLE. DOWNED 
  TREES MAY CAUSE A LOSS OF POWER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

741 
WWAK77 PAJK 270050
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
350 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011


AKZ023-027-028-270200-
/X.EXP.PAJK.HW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111227T0100Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
350 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

WIND GUSTS OVER 65 MPH WERE REPORTED THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY THEN
BEGAN TO DROP THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING.

$$

AKZ022-270900-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-111227T0900Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
350 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST
TONIGHT...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH OR MORE MONDAY
  EVENING.

* TIMING...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE LATE EVENING.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND TREES POSSIBLE. DOWNED 
  TREES MAY CAUSE A LOSS OF POWER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
528 AM AKST SUN DEC 25 2011

.SHORT TERM...980 MB PARENT LOW HAS MOVED ONSHORE NEAR PAYA THIS
MORNING AND IS REDEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHERN YUKON. THE ASSOCIATED
OCCLUSION HAS MOVED THROUGH NORTHERN HALF OF PANHANDLE BUT HAS
STALLED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CORNER AS A SMALL LOW ALONG THE FRONT
DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF THIS MORNING. THIS LOW IS FORECAST
TO TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL BE
EAST OF THE AREA BY THIS EVENING. THERE IS A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THAT WILL PUSH ACROSS NORTHERN PANHANDLE
TODAY AND CLEAR THE SOUTHEAST CORNER THIS EVENING. A RIDGE WILL
BUILD ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA TONIGHT. A 970 MB STORM FORCE LOW
MOVES FROM NORTH PACIFIC INTO CENTRAL GULF BY LATE TONIGHT.

RAIN OVER THE SOUTHEAST CORNER WILL TRANSITION TO SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND MIX WITH SNOW TONIGHT. NORTHERN
PANHANDLE WILL HAVE SHOWERS CHANGE TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY
AND DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS ATMO STABILIZES. OVERALL PRECIP AMOUNTS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE MUCH SO SNOW ACCUMMS GENERALLY AN INCH OR
LESS. TEMPERATURES PROBABLY NEAR THE DAILY MAX AND SHOULD BE
STEADY TO SLOWLY FALLING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TEMPS DROP INTO
THE 20S ACROSS NORTHERN HALF TONIGHT AND TO AROUND FREEZING
SOUTHERN HALF.

WITH LOW MOVING INTO YUKON AND RIDGE BUILDING IN GULF WILL STILL
HAVE A MODERATELY STRONG SLY GRADIENT THROUGH LYNN CANAL TODAY.
THIS EASES THIS AFTERNOON AND GOES TO A NLY OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE WEST IN E-W CHANNELS BY LATE MORNING THAT SHOULD STAY
IN SMCR RANGE THROUGH AFTERNOON. ONCE RIDGE MOVES OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA THIS EVENING WILL SEE WINDS DIMINISH. AS NEXT LOW MOVES
INTO GULF LATER TONIGHT WINDS BECOME SE IN COASTAL WATERS AND GAIN
A NE COMPONENT THROUGH INNER CHANNELS. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE AND JUST REACH GALE FORCE IN COASTAL WATERS BY MONDAY
MORNING.

GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. USED A NAM-GFS BLEND
FOR TODDY'S GRIDS.

&&

.LONG TERM...MODEL SOLUTIONS HAD A FAIRLY GOOD HANDLE ON THE MAIN
IDEA OF THE SYSTEM TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST ALASKA ON MONDAY. A LOW
DEEPENING TO THE LOWER 960 MB RANGE AND THEN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD A LITTLE TOWARDS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THEN INLAND. THE
FRONT WILL BE DOING A GLANCING BLOW TO THE PANHANDLE AREA. 50 TO
60 KT ARE LIKELY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BASED ON SOME
SOLUTIONS... HAVE MAINLY GONE 50 TO 55 FOR THE COASTAL WATERS AND
50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND FOR MONDAY. WENT AHEAD PULLED TRIGGER ON
THE WATCH FOR THE OUTER COASTAL REGIONS FOR THE GUSTY SOUTHEAST
WINDS AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. AS THE LOW GOES NORTHWARD A
TIGHT EAST GRADIENT FORMS OVER THE NORTHERN SECTION OF THE
PANHANDLE SO THE EASTERLY OUTFLOW AREAS AND THE ICY STRAIT/CROSS
SOUND REGION SHOULD BE VERY QUITE WINDY.

AS THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONTAL AND LIFTS THROUGH COOLER AIR BEHIND
THE FRONT SO THING PRECIPITATION WILL SHIFT BACK TO A MIX OR SNOW
DEPENDING ON LOCATION...A QUICK SURFACE RIDGE WILL BE MOVED
THROUGH THE PANHANDLE AS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE DEVELOPS WHEN GETS TO
THE WESTERN GULF AND THE COLDER AIR SPILLING INTO THE WESTERN GULF.
MODELS SUGGEST THIS LOW WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL PANHANDLE
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS COULD BE POTENTIAL SNOW EVENT FOR THE NORTH
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE PANHANDLE.

FROM THE MID WEEK THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND MODEL HAVE ONLY A
VERY BASIC AGREEMENT ON THE PATTERN THAT AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF AND CONTINUED CLOUDY AND 'WET' PATTERN.
CONFIDENCE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT IS FAIRLY GOOD...HOWEVER FROM
WEDNESDAY ONWARD CONFIDENCE IS LOW.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     AKZ023-026.
         HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     AKZ027-028.
         HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
     AKZ021-025.
         HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
     AKZ022.
         STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 AM AKST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022-036-041>043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-031>035-051>053.

&&

MM/BEZENEK