Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 552, NWS Juneau, AK

December 31, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 31, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 28 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 1, 2012, 8:00 AM AKST
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

322 
FZAK51 PAJK 311232
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-010100-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE N INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF SAT
NIGHT AND SUN...THEN REACH THE NORTHERN GULF SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-010100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
LATE. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-010100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW LATE.
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-010100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-010100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW LATE.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-010100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. W
SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW
SWELL IN THE EVENING. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-010100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-010100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-010100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW AND RAIN LATE.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-010100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-010100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW LATE.
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-010100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. SNOW...MIXING WITH RAIN LATE FAR SOUTH.
.SUN...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$
2 follow-up statements
681 
FZAK51 PAJK 312131 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-011545-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE N INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF SAT
NIGHT AND SUN...THEN REACH THE NORTHERN GULF SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-011545-
GLACIER BAY-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
LATE. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-011545-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW LATE.
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-011545-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-011545-
ICY STRAIT-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW LATE.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-011545-
CROSS SOUND-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. W
SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW
SWELL IN THE EVENING. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-011545-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-011545-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-011545-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW AND RAIN LATE.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-011545-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-011545-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW LATE.
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-011545-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1231 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. SNOW...MIXING WITH RAIN LATE FAR SOUTH.
.SUN...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$
061 
FZAK51 PAJK 312252 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-011700-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE N INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF SAT
NIGHT AND SUN...THEN REACH THE NORTHERN GULF SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-011700-
GLACIER BAY-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
LATE. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-011700-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW LATE.
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-011700-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-011700-
ICY STRAIT-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW LATE.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-011700-
CROSS SOUND-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. W
SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW
SWELL IN THE EVENING. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-011700-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-011700-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-011700-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW AND RAIN LATE.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-011700-
FREDERICK SOUND-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-011700-
SUMNER STRAIT-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW LATE.
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-011700-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
152 PM AKST SAT DEC 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. SNOW...MIXING WITH RAIN LATE FAR SOUTH.
.SUN...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 30, 3:39 PM AKST, 12 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 30, 3:39 PM AKST, 12 hours 21 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
339 PM AKST FRI DEC 30 2011

.SHORT TERM...THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE GULF DRIFTING OVER SE AK. THESE SHOWERS ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A UPPER TROF ADVECTING VERY COLD AIR ALONG WITH
STRONG SHORTWAVE ENERGY. THE COLD AIR MOVING OVER THE RELATIVE
WARM GULF IS PRODUCE VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND VERY STRONG
SNOW SHOWERS. THESE SHOWERS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
1-4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
1-3 OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF. THE NORTHERN GULF HAS THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR THE MOST SNOW WITH THE STRONGEST ONSHORE FLOW. SO
WITH THAT SAID CONTINUED TO THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR ZONE
17 THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

THE MAIN UPPER TROF WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH A UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE GULF THEN OVER THE PANHANDLE
THROUGH SAT. ALONG WITH THE RIDGE THE WINDS WILL BACK AROUND TO
THE SE SO THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY BECOME SCATTERED ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA BY SAT AFTERNOON. SNOW AMOUNTS THROUGH SAT WILL
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER THE
NORTHERN HALF AND COASTAL AREAS.

AS FOR WINDS...THE STRONG WEST WINDS OVER THE GULF WILL SLOWLY
DECREASE THROUGH TONIGHT AND BECOME SE OVER THE EASTERN GULF WITH
SMALL CRAFT WINDS DEVELOPING OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST AREAS. THE
INNER CHANNELS WILL SEE A WEAK RIDGE BUILD OVER THE PANHANDLE
THROUGH THIS EVENING AND INCREASE THE SE WINDS TO GENERALLY AROUND
20 KT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER LYNN CANAL WITH SMALL
CRAFT WINDS ALONG WITH SMALL CRAFT WINDS NEAR CROSS SOUND. THERE
WILL BE HIGHER GUSTS NEAR STRONG SNOW SHOWERS AND NEAR THE COASTAL
AREAS. LAND AREAS WILL SEE WINDS MOSTLY LESS THAN 15 MPH BUT MAY
SEE HIGHER GUSTS ALSO NEAR SNOW SHOWERS. THE FAR NORTHERN ZONES
WILL SEE STRONG SOUTH WINDS DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING/LATE
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
THROUGH SAT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS. THE FAR SOUTHERN
AREAS WILL SEE THE SE WINDS INCREASE LATE SAT AFTERNOON AS THE
NEXT STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO LIFTS OUT OF THE NORTH
PACIFIC.

.LONG TERM...THERE ARE TWO IMPORTANT WIND EVENTS IN THE LONG RANGE.
THE FIRST IS FOR THE SRN PANHANDLE FOR SUNDAY (NEW YEARS DAY) AND
SUNDAY EVENING. PLEASE NOTE THE HIGH WIND WATCHES FOR ZONES 27 AND
28. THE SECOND WIND EVENT SHOULD OCCUR MON NIGHT AND TUE AND INCLUDE
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SRN PNHDL AS WELL AS MOST OF THE THE OUTER
COAST.

CONFIDENCE FOR THE LONG RANGE FORECAST IS A LITTLE LOWER THAN
AVERAGE. THE GOES LOOP THROUGH 23Z SHOWS A COMPLEX LOW SYSTEM ABOUT
600 NM S OF THE AK PEN. THE FAMILIAR CONCEPTUAL MODELS FOR A MATURING
OCCLUSION DURING A CYCLONE EVOLUTION DOES NOT WORK WELL FOR THIS
SYSTEM. AS MANY AS FOUR CYCLONES HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG A LINE ABOUT
800 NM LONG, AND THIS LINE PARALLELS THE AK PEN ABOUT 600 NM TO
THE S. THE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS BEEN STYMIED BY THIS SYSTEM AND THEY
HAVE BEEN GENERALLY MAKING LARGE RUN-TO-RUN ADJUSTMENTS. NOW WE
HAVE AN IDEA WHY: THESE DIFFERENT MODELS AND MODEL RUNS HAVE BEEN
PICKING DIFFERENT SUBSET COMBINATIONS OF THESE LOWS.

THE 30.12 EC CAME IN WITH A SOLUTION THAT APPEARS TO DEPICT A NEW
TRIPLE POINT DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE LINE DEPICTED ABOVE. THE LOCATION
ON THE 00Z GOES AT 40N/146W AND THIS LOCATION SEEMS CONSISTENT WITH
A NEW TRIPLE POINT FEATURE AND WILL UNDERGO CYCLOGENESIS SLOWER THAN
THE PRIOR LOWS.

BEYOND 00Z TUE THE CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST WAS TRIVIAL. THERE
SEEMED LITTLE VALUE WOULD BE ADDED GIVEN THE LARGE SCALE OF THE
REGION OF LOW CONFIDENCE AS DESCRIBED IN THE PARAGRAPH IMMEDIATELY
ABOVE. FOR THE SAKE OF CONVENTION, WE WILL LABEL THE COMPLEX LOW
DISCUSSED ABOVE AS SYSTEM ONE. SYSTEM TWO IS TO PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL
STRONG WIND EVENT, AND BASED ON THE EC WILL HAVE A LARGER COVERAGE
OF HIGH WINDS IN SE AK. THE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECASTS ASSOCIATED
WITH SYSTEM TWO IS ALSO AVERAGE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
     AKZ027-028.
         WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-022-041>043-051-052.

&&

ABJ/JBT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 30, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Dec 30, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Dec 30, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Dec 30, 4:55 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK39 hr
Dec 31, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK27 hr
Dec 31, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK28 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.