Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011
Gale Warning 489, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 6, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 6, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 7, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
479 FZAK52 PAJK 070030 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-071400- 400 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE PANHANDLE TUE NIGHT AND INTO WED. A WEATHER FRONT WILL DRIFT INTO THE NORTH GULF WED AFTERNOON. A MODERATE STRENGTH COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONTO THE EASTERN GULF COAST WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-071400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. W SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT SHIFTING TO SW. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-071400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT SHIFTING TO SW. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-071400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-071400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ052-071400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT SHIFTING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT AND SUN ..SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 BUILDING TO 18 FT SUN. $$
3 follow-up statements
253 FZAK52 PAJK 070546 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 846 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-080000- 846 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE PANHANDLE TUE NIGHT AND INTO WED. A WEATHER FRONT WILL DRIFT INTO THE NORTH GULF WED AFTERNOON. A MODERATE STRENGTH COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONTO THE EASTERN GULF COAST WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-080000- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 846 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT SHIFTING TO SW. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-080000- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 846 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT SHIFTING TO SW. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-080000- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 846 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-080000- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 846 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ052-080000- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 846 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT SHIFTING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT AND SUN ..SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 BUILDING TO 18 FT SUN. $$
496 FZAK52 PAJK 071240 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-080100- 400 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE PANHANDLE TUE NIGHT AND INTO WED. A WEATHER FRONT WILL DRIFT INTO THE NORTH GULF WED AFTERNOON. A MODERATE STRENGTH COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONTO THE EASTERN GULF COAST WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-080100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN LATE. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-080100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-080100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE EVENING. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-080100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE EVENING. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ052-080100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE EVENING. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$
205 FZAK52 PAJK 072039 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1139 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-080100- 1139 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL MOVE E OF THE AREA TODAY. A WEATHER FRONT WILL DRIFT NE INTO THE EASTERN GULF THIS EVENING...THEN STALL JUST OFFSHORE THE COAST BY THU MORNING. $$ PKZ041-080100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1139 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN LATE. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-080100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1139 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-080100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1139 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE EVENING. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ051-080100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1139 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE EVENING. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ052-080100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1139 AM AKST WED DEC 7 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE EVENING. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 6, 2:00 PM AKST, 2 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 6, 2:00 PM AKST, 2 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
2 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011
.SHORT TERM...THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY. THERE IS SOME MID TO
LOW LEVEL CU OVER THE COASTAL AREAS NEAR PASI AND ALONG POW. MOST
OF THESE CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE BUT THERE IS A WEATHER
SYSTEM THAT IS TRACKING ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC THAT WILL
INCREASE CLOUDS OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS TO NIGHT WHILE THE NORTH
AREAS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR. WINDS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT ACROSS
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH VERY WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT THROUGH
WED MORNING. TEMPS WILL FALL AS THE SUN GOES DOWN AND THE LACK OF
CLOUDS SO LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS OVER THE NORTHERN
HALF TO LOW 30S OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS.
THE UPPER AND MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF TONIGHT WILL SLOWLY
DRIFT TO THE EAST THROUGH WED AFTERNOON AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF. AS THE ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES THROUGH THE DAY
HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS
OF THE PANHANDLE WHILE THE SOUTHERN THIRD WILL BECOME PARTLY
CLOUDY. THE FRONT WILL INCREASE THE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
TO MIN GALES WITH 20KT FROM THE SE INCREASING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF BY THE AFTERNOON. THE INNER CHANNELS WILL SEE THE LIGHT NORTH
WINDS VEER AROUND TO THE SE BY THE AFTERNOON AND INCREASE TO 15
KT. THE E/W CHANNELS WILL SEE THE WINDS INCREASE TO BE 20 KT BY
THE AFTERNOON.
FOR THE MOST PART THE FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE
THROUGH THE NEXT 24HRS. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE OVER THE
NORTH GULF COASTAL AREAS AS WITH THE INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW AND
MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM THE SOUTHWEST THERE WILL SOME MINOR OVER
RUNNING. SO WITH THAT SAID INCREASE THE POPS TO HIGH CHANCE BY WED
AFTERNOON FOR THE PAYA AREA AND THE P-TYPE WILL SNOW. AMOUNTS WILL
BE GENERALLY NEAR 1 INCH BY THE END OF THE WED AFTERNOON TIME
FRAME. -ABJ
.LONG TERM...ON THE LARGE SCALE SE ALASKA REMAINS IN A PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN BUT THE AMPLITUDE OF THE SHORT WAVE RIDGES ARE FORECASTED
BY MODELS TO BE FLATTER THAN THE LAST WEEK. THE MEAN POSITION OF
THE UPPER RIDGE STILL APPEARS TO BE ON AVERAGE AT 140W THRU FRIDAY
BUT SYSTEMS ARE SO TRANSIENT THAT WE WILL HAVE RAPID CHANGES WITH
FEW BREAKS.
TRANSITION TIME PROBLEMS ARE PRECIPITATION TYPE AND WIND STARTING
WED EVENING. THERE ARE MIXED SIGNALS IN THE 06/12Z OPS MODELS BUT
FAIRLY CONFIDENT ABOUT STARTING PRECIP AS SNOW NORTHERN ZONES WED
NIGHT INTO THU MORNING. THERE IS SOME CHANCE THAT THE SNOW WILL
LAST WELL INTO THE DAY BUT NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO GO WITH ALL SNOW
DUE TO THE WIND DIRECTION ALOFT BEING SW AND LOW LEVELS SE. A QUICK
LOOK AT THE 06/12Z NAM QPF SEZ LOTS OF WATER IN THE BUCKET THU INTO
FRI. EVEN MORE CHALLENGING IS TO KEEP RAIN OR SWITCH BACK TO SNOW
THU NITE. WILL INSIST ON AT LEAST MIXED RATHER THAN ALL RAIN. FRI
WILL BE RAIN EVERYWHERE LOOKING AT ANY MODEL THICKNESS OR MOS
TEMPERATURE FORECASTS. FRI NITE HAS WESTERLIES FOR SHOWERS MOST
LIKELY MIXED.
SAT IS THE BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS AS ALL OPS MODELS AGREE THAT THE
LAST UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD UPSTREAM. THIS RIDGE IS AGAIN
PROGRESSIVE AND ALLOWS THE SW FLOW ALOFT ON SUN AS THE UPPER RIDGE
AXIS MOVES EAST OF THE PANHANDLE. CONFIDENCE BELOW AVERAGE ON
PRECIP TYPE AND SNOW ACCUMULATION BUT MODERATE TO HIGH ON THE
PATTERN.
THOU SHALT NOT DENY UPPER LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW. IT BRINGETH MOISTURE
AND OFTEN WARMTH WHEN IT BECOMETH SW. LONGER RANGE MODELS SHOW THAT
THE MEAN POSITION OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE FARTHER EAST WHICH
WOULD FORECAST WARM & WET IF TRUE. CANT BET THE RANCH ON THAT YET
BUT IT BODES ILL. HPC CURRENT 500 MB PROGS AGREE WITH SW FLOW ALOFT
OVER SE ALASKA MON & BEYOND. - JC
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041>043.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 7, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Dec 7, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Dec 7, 4:49 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 55 hr | |
| Dec 7, 4:49 AM AKST | Freezing Rain Advisory | AJK | 31 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.