Gale Warning 478, NWS Juneau, AK

500 
FZAK51 PAJK 030711 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031600-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE AK PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
AND WEAKEN THROUGH FRI NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER SE AK ON SAT AS ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST GULF. 

$$

PKZ011-031600-
GLACIER BAY-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-031600-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-031600-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-031600-
ICY STRAIT-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...HIGHEST OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS. SEAS
5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-031600-
CROSS SOUND-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
W SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-031600-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-031600-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-031600-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES.  
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-031600-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ035-031600-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-031600-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1011 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

908 
FZAK51 PAJK 031237
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-040100-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE E INTO CANADA...A
WEAK WARM FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF ON SAT WILL MOVE ONSHORE
OVER SE AK BY SAT NIGHT...THEN DISSIPATE THROUGH EARLY SUN
MORNING. ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF
AND SE AK ON LATE SUN MORNING. 

$$

PKZ011-040100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-040100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-040100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-040100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-040100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-040100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-040100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT SHIFTING TO THE N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-040100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-040100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-040100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-040100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 3 2011 

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
328 PM AKST FRI DEC 2 2011

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND
WEATHER FRONT OVER THE AK PANHANDLE TRACKING EAST. THIS FRONT HAS
BROUGHT PERIODS OF RAIN TO THE ENTIRE PANHANDLE WITH A RAIN SNOW
MIX NEAR PETERSBURG, YAKUTAT AND AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN FAIRLY LIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF YAKUTAT
WHICH HAS RECEIVED SOME MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AS IT IS IN THE
DIRECT PATH OF JET AXIS AND MOISTURE FEED. RAIN WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH OVER THE REGION AS THE FRONT EXITS TO THE EAST
OVERNIGHT. NEXT SHORT WAVE MOVES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN AK GULF
THROUGH SAT MORNING REACHING THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE SAT
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE AK GULF PUSHING IN
546 1000-500MB THICKNESS OVER THE REGION THROUGH SAT WITH RISING
SNOW LEVELS. AS THE WARM AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES PRECIPITATION
WILL BE MOSTLY RAIN WITH SOME MIX OF SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS
AND NORTHERN REGIONS.

 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL AK GULF BEGINS TO
MOVE EAST AND TILT TO THE EAST. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND FRONT
HAVE BEEN LIMITED TO THE SURFACE. CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW AND
MOISTURE FEED AT 850 MB WILL KEEP CHANCE OF PRECIP AND MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES. NORTH-SOUTH PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
AS SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE BEGIN TO WEAKEN. GALE FORCE
WINDS OVER N LYNN CANAL AND STRONG WINDS OVER SKAGWAY WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE NIGHT. FOR SATURDAY WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE LESS THAN 20 KTS.

 MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AGAIN TODAY WITH OVERALL SYNOPTIC
PATTERN AND THERE WAS LITTLE DIFFERENCE IN INITIALIZATION. LIKED
THE NAM/EC WITH THE DETAIL IN THE SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS THE
GULF. 12Z MODELS RUNS SHOWED ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES FROM THE
CURRENT FORECAST AND OVERALL CHANGES WERE MINOR. DID EXTEND THE
HIGHER WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN REGIONS THROUGH THE EVENING.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS
PACKAGE. AT THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG RANGE PERIOD THE AMPLIFIED
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC AND EXTENDING NORTH INTO THE INTERIOR
OF STATE WILL DRIFT TO THE EAST AND INCREASE THE ONSHORE FLOW. THIS
RIDGE WILL KEEP WARM AIR OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS
AT THE SURFACE. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NE OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC
AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY SUN MORNING AND SLIDE EAST OVER THE
REST OF THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN NIGHT. THERE IS A LONG FETCH OF
MOISTURE AND VERY WARM AIR AS A TROF BEHIND THE RIDGE WILL DIG INTO
THE NORTH PACIFIC AND THE SOURCE REGION WILL BE FROM THE SUB-
TROPICS. ALL OF THIS WARM AIR AND MID-LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL ALLOW
THE FRONT TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN RAIN OVER THE NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY
AND THEN SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA
SUN NIGHT INTO MON. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES
WITH FREEZING LEVELS NEAR 5000 FEET. THIS MAY CAUSE SOME LOCALLY
FLOODING DUE TO POOR DRAINAGE. THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE STRONG GALE
FORCE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WITH MAX SMALL CRAFT OVER THE
REST OF THE EASTERN GULF. OVER THE INNER CHANNELS GALES WILL
DEVELOP THROUGH SUN OVER LYNN CANAL AND SMALL CRAFTS FROM THE
SOUTH OVER THE REST OF THE INNER CHANNELS. NEAR LAND AREAS THERE WILL
BE SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS BUT WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE FAR
NORTHERN ZONES WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

THE TROF BEHIND THE UPPER RIDGE WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE GULF
AND PUSH A COLD FRONT OVER THE FORECAST AREA LATE MON AFTERNOON
INTO MON NIGHT. THE CAA WILL CHANGE THE RAIN TO SNOW SHOWERS FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH MON NIGHT BUT AT THE SAME TIME THERE WILL
BE SOME DRYING DEVELOPING BEHIND THE FRONT SO ATTM THERE IS NOT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF MON
NIGHT WILL AMPLIFY AS A LOW MOVES INTO THE BERING. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE OFFSHORE FLOW AND THE SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT TO BE
MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIDGE WILL PUSH TO THE
EAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INCREASE ONSHORE FLOW AND ADVECT
CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WAS A SLIGHT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST. THERE IS LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THIS PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AS THE TIMING OF THE RIDGE MOVING EAST OF THE AREA IS
STILL A BIT UNCERTAIN.

USED A BLEND OF THE EC/GFS THROUGH TUE MORNING THEN WENT WITH HPC
FOR THE EXTEND PORTIONS.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ013-021-031>033-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041>043-051.

&&

PRB/ABJ