Gale Warning 196, NWS Juneau, AK

Issued

Mar 9, 2011, 12:10 PM AKST (21:10 UTC)

Expired

Mar 9, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST

In force

4 hr

Issued by

NWS Juneau, AK

632 
FZAK51 PAJK 092110 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-100100-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS ACROSS NORTHWEST CANADA AND WILL
INCREASINGLY FLOW OUT THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. A 984 MB WILL MOVE
NORTH ALONG THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS AND SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-100100-
GLACIER BAY-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-100100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ013-100100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-100100-
ICY STRAIT-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. HIGHEST WINDS IN THE WESTERN HALF.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-100100-
CROSS SOUND-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND BECOMING 45 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
LATE.  
.THU...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-100100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-100100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-100100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-100100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-100100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-100100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1210 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Mar 9, 6:00 AM AKST, 6 hours 10 minutes earlier.

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
6 AM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

.SHORT TERM...THE ARCTIC OUTFLOW INTO THE PANHANDLE AND THE YAKUTAT
ZONE WILL INTENSIFY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE N TO NE OUTFLOW IS BEING
ENHANCED BY THE 982 MB LOW THAT WILL MOVE N ALONG THE QUEEN
CHARLOTTES TODAY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING. A WEAKENING OCCLUDED
FRONT WILL MOVE N ACROSS DIXON ENTRANCE LATE THIS MORNING
AND GO ALOFT. THE SNOWFALL HAS ALREADY OCCURRED A FAR N AS
PAPG BUT THE PRECIP RATES WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT MOVES
N into the increasing dry outflow. THE OUTCOME WILL BE PRECIP
TAPERING OFF TONIGHT BUT A SLOWER REMOVAL OF THE MID AND UPPER
LEVEL CLOUD MASS.

SEE BELOW FOR THE LIST OF WIND ADVISORIES. THE ADVISORY FOR THE
JUNEAU ZONE ALSO INCLUDES MTN WVS FOR DOUGLAS AND DOWNTOWN JUNEAU.

CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE ARE SMALL. CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
ECMWF HAS BEEN USED AS PRIMARY GUIDANCE, ALBEIT OTHER MODELS
HAVE BEEN FACTORED IN AS WELL.

GOES IR LOOP SHOWS THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW 300 NM
S PAKT AT THIS TIME. THE SFC WINDS INVOF CWZO HAVE VEERED FROM NE
TO SE DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS CONSISTENT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE
LOW. PRESSURE FALLS ALONG THE B.C. COAST ARE ALSO CONSISTENT WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE OCFNT WILL MATURE AND GO
ALOFT BEFORE IT CAN CROSS NWD ACROSS DIXON ENTRANCE LATE THIS
MORNING. A STRONG FRONTAL WAVE IS MOVING ONSHORE THE B.C. COAST
EAST OF XWZV AT THIS TIME AS IS ENHANCING THE PRESSURE FALLS.
&&

.LONG TERM...OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN CONTINUES WITH UPR HIGH CENTER NEAR
BERING STRAIT THIS MORNING. COLD UPR LOW OVR FAR N CENTRAL CANADA
EXTENDING TO THE UPR LOW CENTER NEAR 50N 150W. THIS RESULTS IN A WEAK
UPR TROF OVR THE PANHANDLE WITH A SERIES OF SFC LOWS ROTATING AROUND
IN THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC. THIS WEAK UPR TROF OVR THE PANHANDLE
HOLDS UNTIL 12Z SUN AS PER 09/00Z OPS MODELS AND HPC PROGS FROM
YESTERDAY.

FLOW ALF BECOMES SOUTHERLY BUT WEAK AT 12Z SUN FOR INCREASING CLOUDS.
PRECIP WILL BE CONFINED TO SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BUT WILL INCREASE POPS
MON AND TUE FOR NORTHERN SECTIONS. OUTFLOW WINDS STILL A PROBLEM INTO
MON AND MENTIONED FREEZING SPRAY THRU DAY 3 ON MARINE FCSTS AND
PERHAPS BEYOND. WATER TEMPS COLD ENUF. DID NOT CHANGE WIND GRIDS BUT
ADJUSTED POPS AND CLOUDS SLIGHTLY.  JC

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM AKST FRI AKZ025.
         WIND ADVISORY NOON TODAY TO 5 AM AKST FRI FOR AKZ019.
         WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM AKST FRI FOR AKZ017-018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031-032-034-043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ033-035-036-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041-042.
&&

JBT

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.