Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 16, NWS Juneau, AK

January 2, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 2, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 2, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 3, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

438 
FZAK51 PAJK 030028
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031400-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER SE AK WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST INTO
CANADA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
ALONG THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST MOUNTAINS.  

$$

PKZ011-031400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-031400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-031400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-031400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF LIGHT
RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-031400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. PERIODS
OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-031400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-031400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-031400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN
AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-031400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-031400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-031400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING AND MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN
AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
853 
FZAK51 PAJK 030515 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
815 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031400-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER SE AK WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST INTO
CANADA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
ALONG THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST MOUNTAINS.  

$$

PKZ011-031400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-031400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-031400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-031400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF LIGHT
RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-031400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. PERIODS
OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-031400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-031400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-031400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN
AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-031400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-031400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-031400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
815 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT
RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN
AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
338 
FZAK51 PAJK 030727 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1030 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031400-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER SE AK WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST INTO
CANADA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
ALONG THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST MOUNTAINS.  

$$

PKZ011-031400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-031400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1030 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN
AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-031400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-031400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF LIGHT
RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-031400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. PERIODS
OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-031400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-031400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-031400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN
AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-031400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND
DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-031400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-031400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
815 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT
RAIN AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN
AND DRIZZLE. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
719 
FZAK51 PAJK 031212
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-040100-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL SPREAD GALE FORCE WINDS INTO THE EASTERN
GULF MONDAY AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER WESTERN
BRITISH COLUMBIA BEGINS TO MOVE EAST. 

$$

PKZ011-040100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-040100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF LIGHT
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-040100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-040100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-040100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-040100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-040100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-040100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 16 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-040100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-040100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-040100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 2, 2:18 PM AKST, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 2:18 PM AKST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
218 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

.SHORT TERM...THE CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAKENING
WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WITH ANOTHER BUT STRONG FRONT
ENTERING THE CENTRAL GULF. MOST STATIONS ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREAS ARE REPORTING LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WITH RELATIVE WINDS
LESS THAN 15 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON ARE NEAR
PAGY WITH SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH. ALONG WITH THE STRONG WINDS
NEAR PAGY THE MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE YUKON AND SE
AK IS PRODUCING SMALL CRAFT WINDS OVER NORTHERN LYNN. WINDS OVER
THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON RANGE FROM 25 KN IN THE NORTHERN GULF TO
ABOUT 15 KT OVER THE FAR SE GULF.

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROF ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING SURFACE
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE THIS
EVENING. A UPPER LOW/TROF NEAR KODIAK WILL DRIFT NNE THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT LIFTS INLAND OVER PAYA. THIS
UPPER FEATURE WILL SEND A FRONT ACROSS THE GULF TO BE OVER THE
EASTERN GULF BY MON AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL PRODUCE GALES FORCE
WINDS OVER THE GULF THROUGH MON WITH WINDIER CONDITIONS ALONG
COASTAL LOCATIONS WITH SMALL CRAFT WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE
AFTERNOON OVER E/W CHANNELS. THE LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE AND FOG WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
REMAIN STABLE WITH A CONSTANT ONSHORE FLOW FROM THE WEST.

.LONG TERM...SUPPORT CONTINUES TO GROW FOR A PATTERN SHIFT ACROSS
THE PANHANDLE BACK TO DRIER AND COLDER WEATHER BY THE END OF NEXT
WEEK...BUT UNTIL THAT TIME WILL REMAIN UNDER MID LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY ONSHORE FLOW AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION. THE LONGWAVE TROUGH NOW IN THE BERING ADVECTS
EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FOUR DAYS IN THE PROGRESSIVE MID LEVEL
PATTERN SENDING SEVERAL GALE FORCE FRONTS INTO THE GULF. THEN A
LARGE AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDS NORTHWARD FROM THE WESTERN GULF TO
POLE LATE NEXT WEEK AND THIS WILL ALLOW COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
DRIER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF MODEL
CONTINUED TO BE THE MOST CONSISTENT MODEL WITH THE PLACEMENT OF
THE DEVELOPING RIDGE LATE NEXT WEEK AND ALSO THE ECMWF DIDN'T
OVER AMPLIFY ANY OF THE GALE FORCE FRONTS EARLY THIS WEEK LIKE THE
06/12Z OPERATIONAL GFS DID. FOR THIS REASON PREFERRED THE 12Z
ECMWF FOR DAYS 2 THROUGH 4 THEN A BLEND TOWARD HPC WAS PREFERRED
GIVEN MOST OF ITS SOLUTION CONSISTED OF THE 00Z ECMWF OPERATIONAL
AND ENSEMBLE RUNS. INHERITED SOLUTION DAY 4 ONWARD WAS VERY CLOSE
TO THE HPC SOLUTION SO IN THE EXTENDED CONTINUED THE TREND OF
DECREASING TEMPERATURES AND SKY COVER OVER THE ENTIRE PANHANDLE.

AFTER HAND OFF WITH SHORT TERM WILL SEE A GALE FORCE FRONT MOVE
ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WITH A 850 MB LLJ NEAR 55 KNOTS. THIS WILL
BRING LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE OUTER COAST BUT ATTM
CONTINUE TO EXPECT THE GUSTS TO REMAIN BELOW ADVY LEVEL. WITH THE
STRONG FRONT MOVING INTO YAKUTAT MONDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO SEE
INCREASED VERTICAL MOTION DUE TO UPPER LEVEL JET SUPPORT AND SO
BELIEVE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THIS
HEAVIER RAIN WILL ALSO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL JET SUPPORT INCREASES OVER
THE AREA. WHILE THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ORIENTATION ISN'T AS
FAVORABLE FOR STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE INNER CHANNEL WATERS COULD
SEE SMCR LEVEL WINDS/GUSTS TUESDAY AND INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS SOME
OF THE STRONGER 850 MB LLJ WINDS MIX DOWNWARD TO THE SURFACE.
ANOTHER GALE FORCE FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL AGAIN BRING LOCALLY
WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE OUTER COAST AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
AFTER THIS FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA WILL HAVE CAA AT 850 MB
ADVECTING EASTWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AND THIS WILL ALLOW THE
VERTICAL ENVIRONMENT TO BECOME MORE CONVECTIVE AND COOL 850 MB
TEMPERATURES TO -4 TO -7 C. DUE TO THIS CAA WILL SEE SNOW MIX TO
THE SURFACE NEAR THE STRONGER SHOWERS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN PANHANDLE...WITH THE HIGHEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
REMAINING ALONG THE COLDER NORTHERN ROADWAYS.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE TRANSITION DAYS TO THE COOLER DRIER
PATTERN AS THE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF
AND ALASKAN PENINSULA AND THIS WILL LEAD TO DECREASING PRECIP FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE PANHANDLE UNDER CLEARING SKIES. ANY SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS DURING THESE TWO DAYS WILL BE LIMITED AS THERE IS NO
LARGE SCALE ORGANIZING MECHANISM FOR THE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE IN THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE COMING WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND
PRECIP ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN BELOW NORMAL
PRECIP AND TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEKEND. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR
STEEP HILLSIDES OVER THE COMING DAYS FOR POSSIBLE
MUDSLIDE/AVALANCHE CONDITIONS AS THE GALE FORCE FRONTS WILL BE THE
FIRST STRONG FRONTS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN INCREASINGLY
WET AND DESTABILIZING SNOW PACK.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-021-033-035-036-041-042.

&&

ABJ/PSS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK20 hr
Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK48 hr
Jan 3, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 3, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK36 hr
Jan 3, 11:48 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK16 hr
Jan 3, 11:59 AM AKSTWind AdvisoryAJK17 hr
Jan 3, 12:03 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK4 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.