Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 145, NWS Juneau, AK

February 21, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 21, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Feb 22, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

813 
FZAK51 PAJK 220029
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-221500-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE IN THE YUKON IS FLOWING THROUGH THE
PANHANDLE TO THE GULF. THIS OUTFLOW WILL INTENSIFY THROUGH TUE. 

$$

PKZ011-221500-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...NW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-221500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-221500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-221500-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE MOSTLY NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO
25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-221500-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-221500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-221500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-221500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT 
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-221500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-221500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-221500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE... NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
619 
FZAK51 PAJK 220611 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
910 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-221500-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE IN THE YUKON IS FLOWING THROUGH THE
PANHANDLE TO THE GULF. THIS OUTFLOW WILL INTENSIFY THROUGH TUE. 

$$

PKZ011-221500-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...NW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-221500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
910 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-221500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-221500-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE MOSTLY NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO
25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-221500-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-221500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-221500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-221500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT 
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-221500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-221500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-221500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE... NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
119 
FZAK51 PAJK 221251
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-230100-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
OUTFLOW WINDS FROM ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE IN THE YUKON WILL
INTENSIFY THROUGH WED. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN AK GULF
CONTINUES TO BUILD.   

$$

PKZ011-230100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-230100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S OVERNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-230100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-230100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING SW OVERNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-230100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING SW OVERNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-230100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S OVERNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-230100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S OVERNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-230100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-230100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING SW OVERNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-230100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING W OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-230100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
570 
FZAK51 PAJK 221956 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-230100-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
OUTFLOW WINDS FROM ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE IN THE YUKON WILL
INTENSIFY THROUGH WED. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN AK GULF
CONTINUES TO BUILD.   

$$

PKZ011-230100-
GLACIER BAY-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-230100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S OVERNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-230100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-230100-
ICY STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING SW OVERNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-230100-
CROSS SOUND-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING SW OVERNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-230100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S OVERNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-230100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S OVERNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-230100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-230100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING SW OVERNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-230100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY LATE. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING W OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-230100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST TUE FEB 22 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 21, 2:19 PM AKST, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 2:19 PM AKST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
219 PM AKST MON FEB 21 2011

.SHORT TERM...DEEPENING ARCTIC AIRMASS AS WELL AS INCREASING N
WINDS AT AND ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL RESULT IN AN
INTENSIFIED OUTFLOW BEGINNING TONIGHT.

LONG-WAVE RIDGE ALOFT OVER THE BERING IS GAINING AMPLITUDE
AND BY 18Z TUE WILL EXTEND N OVER PACD TO PAOT. TO THE EAST OF
THIS RIDGE IS A SERIES OF VORT MAXIMA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH
ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR THAT BY 18Z TUE WILL EXTEND SW FM
CYXY TO OVER PAYA AND FURTHER SW. THE TROUGH ALOFT IS A SLOWER TO
PROPAGATE THAN THE UPSTREAM LARGE-SCALE RIDGE. THE RESULT IS AN
INCREASE IN N WINDS ALOFT. BY TUE MORNING, MOST OF THE DEPTH OF
THE TROPOSPHERE ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE LOWER BOUNDARY LAYER WILL
HAVE N FLOW. THE MODEL CONSENSUS FOR THIS UPPER LEVEL FLOW SCENARIO
IS GOOD.

ONLY SMALL CHANGES TO FORECAST PACKAGE FOR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR THE VICINITY OF HAINES AND
SKAGWAY WERE LOWERED A FEW DEGREES. SMALL CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE
WINDS AND WIND CHILLS, BUT THESE ARE UPDATES FOR HOW THE MODELS
TEND TO PERFORM BETTER CLOSER TO THE EVENTS.

NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY BEGINNING IN
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL EARLY TUE. WATER TEMPERATURE AT THE SKAGWAY
TIDE STATION IS 3 DEG C, WITH THE AIR TEMPERATURE FALLS AND
INCREASING WINDS PROVIDING THE THE REMAINING INGREDIENTS FOR
THE WARNING.

THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS GOOD ESPECIALLY FOR THE OFFSHORE
CONDITIONS. THE PRIMARY GUIDANCE IS THE NAM, ALONG WITH LOCAL
MODELS THAT USE THE NAM FOR A NESTING.

&&

.LONG TERM...INVERTED TROUGH ALONG SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE FROM
BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST TOWARDS THE KENAI PENINSULA PERSISTING. THE
SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN GULF INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF
THE STATE HAS THE NORTHERN END BEING FORCED EAST WHILE THE
PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR OF AK AND THE YUKON INCREASE CREATING A
BUBBLE HIGH WITH A RATHER COLD POOL OF COLD AIR 850 MB
TEMPERATURES ARE AS COLD AS -28C AND SURFACE PRESSURES INTO THE
LOW TO MID 1050 VALUES.

THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT SEEMS TO LAST ONLY 24 TO 48 HOURS AS
THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH THE COLD
AIR THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA. WILL NEED TO WATCH AND SEE IF THE
MODEL BIAS HAS HAPPENED AND THE HIGH DOES NOT DRIFT OFF AS
EXPECTED. IF NOT EXPECT A CONTINUED OUTFLOW OF COLD DRY AIR
THROUGH THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST INTERIOR PASSES THROUGH THE ST.
ELIAS MOUNTAINS AND OVER PANHANDLE INTO GLACIER BAY AND LYNN
CANAL. THE EXPECTATIONS AT THIS TIME IS FOR THE WINDS AND
TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE WEDNESDAY.

THROUGH FRIDAY THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS BEING FORECAST AS AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW/TROUGH PATTERN MOVES FROM THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST ACROSS
THE BEAUFORT SEA THEN WESTERN CANADIAN ARCTIC ISLANDS BY FRIDAY
NIGHT. AS A RESULT A MORE WESTERLY FLOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHEAST GULF COAST FRIDAY AND INCREASED MOISTURE TO THE WESTERN
FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE TRYING TO SPREAD INTO THE
PANHANDLE SATURDAY AND EARLY SUNDAY. IT IS EXPECTED THE HIGH OVER
NORTHWEST ALASKA WILL REBUILD WITH ANOTHER SOUTHWARD MOVING ARCTIC
FRONT FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH CLEAR AND COOLING CONDITIONS.

FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY WERE REFRESHED WITH THE 12Z NAM
SOLUTION, WHICH WAS USED BECAUSE OF THE PRESSURE PATTERN. LATER
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST LOOKED GOOD SO MINOR IF ANY CHANGES MADE.
CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR
     AKZ017.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ011-012.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-022-041>043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-031>033-035.

&&

JBT/BEZENEK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 3:34 PM AKSTWind AdvisoryAJK44 hr
Feb 21, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Feb 21, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Feb 21, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Feb 21, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAJK24 hr
Feb 22, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Feb 22, 4:00 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAJK12 hr
Feb 22, 10:46 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 hr
Feb 22, 10:54 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK5 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.