Wind Advisory 14, NWS Fairbanks, AK

666 
WWAK72 PAFG 030440
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
840 PM AKDT THU JUN 2 2011

AKZ227-031500-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0014.110603T1700Z-110604T0200Z/
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...MCGRATH...NIKOLAI...TAKOTNA...FAREWELL LAKE
840 PM AKDT THU JUN 2 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM AKDT
FRIDAY NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM AKDT FRIDAY. 

NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE...LOCAL WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED
ON FRIDAY. WINDS THIS STRONG ARE NOT EXPECTED AT MCGRATH OR OTHER
AREAS ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN
AROUND BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

383 
WWAK72 PAFG 031446
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
646 AM AKDT FRI JUN 3 2011

AKZ227-040000-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0014.110603T1700Z-110604T0600Z/
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...MCGRATH...NIKOLAI...TAKOTNA...FAREWELL LAKE
646 AM AKDT FRI JUN 3 2011

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.

NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE...LOCAL WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED
TODAY. WINDS THIS STRONG ARE NOT EXPECTED AT MCGRATH OR OTHER
AREAS ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN
AROUND BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

504 
WWAK72 PAFG 032227
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
227 PM AKDT FRI JUN 3 2011

AKZ227-032330-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-110604T0600Z/
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...MCGRATH...NIKOLAI...TAKOTNA...FAREWELL LAKE
227 PM AKDT FRI JUN 3 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
416 AM AKDT THU JUN 2 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT 36 HOURS THEN THE NEW
BERING SEA LOW IS HANDLED SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT BETWEEN THE MODELS IN
GENERAL. THE NAM KEEPS A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST WEST OF THE
Y-K DELTA WHILE THE GFS SLIGHTLY HINTS AT IT BUT DOES NOT FULLY
ACCEPT THAT PREMISE AT 48 HOURS. BOTH MODELS DO LATCH ON TO THE
RE-DEVELOPING THERMAL TROUGH THROUGH THE ABOUT NORTHWAY TO
FAIRBANKS AND THEN WESTWARD.

SAGGING COLD FRONT FROM NORTHWEST CANADA HAS BECOME INTERTWINED
WITH THE OLD OCCLUDED FRONT FROM THE BERING SEA LOW. MUCH LOW
STRATUS BEHIND FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE
BOUNDARY WHICH CURRENTLY IS JUST BARELY TO THE EAST OF FAIRBANKS.
MODELS ARE HANDLING THIS PRECIPITATION FAIRLY WELL.

WINDS ARE PICKING UP ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST AS EXPECTED. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST BUT SLOWLY
WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY. BUT THE NEW LOW WILL PUSH UP INTO THE
BERING SEA BY THU AFTERNOON SO THE GRADIENT REALLY DOES NOT
SUBSIDE ENOUGH TO CAUSE THE WINDS TO SUBSIDE MUCH.

THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE
STATE ON FRIDAY WHICH WILL WARM THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES UP AGAIN
BEFORE DROPPING OFF A BIT AGAIN STARTING SAT.

WEST COAT DOES NOT LOOK TO BE IN THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD ON THIS GO
AROUND WITH THE NEW LOW AS IT APPEARS MUCH OF THE ENERGY IS SENT
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND ENDS UP IN THE GULF OF ALASKA BY
FRIDAY.

LOW PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND
DRIFT TO THE NORTH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT
THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE ARCTIC COAST.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE INTERIOR SHOULD AVERAGE MUCH CLOSER TO
NORMAL WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS AND 850 MB TEMPS NOT FAR FROM SEASONABLE
NORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY LATE NEXT WEEK...THE NCEP RMOPS
ARE STILL TRYING TO REBUILD THE RIDGE ACROSS THE INTERIOR...BUT THE
RIDGE IS NOT AS STRONG AS THE RMOPS WERE INDICATING YESTERDAY...AND
THE CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH.  IN ANY EVENT...IT LOOKS LIKE
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY WARM SOME DURING THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT
WEEK ACROSS THE INTERIOR.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SOMEWHAT OVER THE AREA
THROUGH ABOUT THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
FRIDAY. THIS SHOULD ASSIST IN FIGHTING THE MULTIPLE FIRES AROUND
THE AREA.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CF JUN 11