Storm Warning 14, NWS Fairbanks, AK

686 
FZAK51 PAFG 081525 CCA
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
624 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-090645-
624 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A VERY STRONG STORM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST INTO THE WESTERN
BERING SEA THIS MORNING. THIS LOW WILL BECOME A 945 MB LOW
100 NM WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVE
NORTH OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA BY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ225-090645-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
624 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH
TONIGHT...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WINDS 65 KT. SEAS 21 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 55 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-090645-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
624 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ235-090645-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
624 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER NOON.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT DECREASING TO 40 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-090645-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
624 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING W. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SE. 
.WED...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-090645-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
624 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SE. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RL/JK/TF/JM NOV 11

960 
FZAK51 PAFG 082330
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
230 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-091330-
230 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A VERY STRONG STORM WILL CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST IN THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THIS EVENING. THIS LOW WILL BECOME A 945 MB LOW
100 NM WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND THIS EVENING...THEN MOVE
NORTH OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA BY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ225-091330-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
230 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 19 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SEAS 22 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
SNOW SHOWERS. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS DECREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SW WINDS 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO
8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-091330-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
230 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 13 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 17 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SE WINDS 35 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-091330-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
230 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 45 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-091330-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
230 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SE. 
.WED...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-091330-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
230 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RF/CCC/CWA NOV 11

507 
FZAK51 PAFG 091203
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
303 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-100315-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A VERY STRONG STORM WILL CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST IN THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THIS EVENING. THIS LOW HAS CURRENTLY BECOME A
945 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...THEN MOVE NORTH
OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA BY WED MORNING AS A 952 MB LOW.

$$

PKZ225-100315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 65 KT DECREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SE WINDS 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING
TO 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-100315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-100315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 45 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 45 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-100315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-100315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JK/RL NOV 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
154 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT MODELS AGREE WELL ON THE DEVELOPMENT AND TRACK
OF BERING SEA SUPERSTORM WHICH WILL CAUSE SEVERE BEACH
EROSION AND MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING OVER PARTS OF THE
WEST COAST. MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OVER MOST WEST COAST
AREAS WILL BE GALE TO STORM FORCE...HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS
IN AKZ207-AKZ213. OVER WATER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXPECTED PKZ210-PKZ220. THIS WILL BE ONE OF THE MOST SEVERE
BERING SEA STORMS ON RECORD. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND
SIGNIFICANT SNOW EXPECTED IN AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-
AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214. WINDS INCREASING OVER MUCH OF
THE ARCTIC COAST WED...EAST TO SOUTHEAST 30-40 MPH IN AKZ201
AND 40-50 MPH IN AKZ201. BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE WED IN AKZ201.

973 MB STORM ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT
MID AFTERNOON DEEPENING RAPIDLY TO AROUND 945-950 MB
MILES WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND BY 00Z WED...MOVING
TO NORTH OF THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA BY 00Z THU WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE NEAR 950 MB. LOWEST CENTRAL PRESSURE
WILL BE NEAR 940 MB.

LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST INTERIOR AND EASTERN
ALASKA RANGE TONIGHT...TAPERING OFF TUE.

APPROXIMATE SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...
AKZ207...5-9 INCHES
AKZ208...6-8 INCHES
AKZ209...5-8 INCHES
AKZ210...9-14 INCHES...SMALLER AMOUNTS NORTH PARTS
AKZ212...5-10 INCHES
AKZ214...4-8 INCHES

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL...

MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING AND SEVERE BEACH EROSION EXPECTED
TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

1. BERING SEA COAST FROM CAPE ROMANZOF TO POINT ROMANOF.
2. EASTERN AND NORTHERN SHORELINE OF NORTON SOUND.
3. SOUTH AND WEST FACING SHORES OF BERING STRAIT COAST...
   ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...LITTLE DIOMEDE.
4. CHUKCHI SEA COAST FROM CAPE KRUSENSTERN TO POINT HOPE.
5. ADDITIONALLY...HIGH WATER LEVELS IN NORTON SOUND WILL
   CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG
   THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF NORTON SOUND.

TIDAL LEVELS WILL BE AS HIGH AS 8-9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
IN NORTON SOUND...ALONG THE BERING STRAIT COAST...AND
ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST FROM CAPE ROMANZOF TO POINT
ROMANOF. TIDES MAY AS HIGH AS 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG
PARTS OF THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST FROM CAPE KRUSENSTERN
NORTHWEST TO POINT HOPE. STRONG WINDS AND WAVES WILL
PUSH ICE IN NORTON BAY ONSHORE.

IN THE NOME AREA...MAXIMUM STORM SURGE OF AROUND 8 FEET IS
EXPECTED EARLY WED EVENING.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AKZ207-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214.

WINTER STORM WARNING AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214.

BLIZZARD WARNING AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209.

BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ201.

HIGH WIND WARNING AKZ213.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.

GALE WARNING PKZ220-PKZ225.

STORM WARNING PKZ210.
&&

RF NOV 11