Small Craft Advisory 178, NWS Fairbanks, AK

939 
FZAK51 PAFG 142258
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
158 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-151400-
158 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST THROUGH
MONDAY WHILE GENERAL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST AND WEAKEN OVER
THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ225-151400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
158 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-151400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
158 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-151400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
158 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-151400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
158 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-151400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
158 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CF/CC NOV 11

120 
FZAK51 PAFG 151149
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
249 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-160030-
249 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1009 MB LOW 180 NM NORTH OF BARTER ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 60 NM
NORTH OF BARTER ISLAND AS 1016 MB LOW BY 3PM TUE AND THEN SLOWLY
WEAKEN. A 1040 MB HIGH OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA WILL BUILD EAST
OVER ALASKA THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ225-160030-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
249 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-160030-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
249 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-160030-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
249 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. SNOW. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SNOW. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-160030-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
249 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SNOW. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-160030-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
249 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

NOV 11

110 
FZAK51 PAFG 152258
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
158 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-161400-
158 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1012 MB TROUGH NORTH OF BARTER ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES INTO CANADIAN HIGH ARCTIC. A 1040 MB HIGH OVER THE
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA WILL BUILD EAST OVER ALASKA THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ225-161400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
158 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-161400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
158 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-161400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
158 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT BECOMING SW. 
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-161400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
158 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING.
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-161400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
158 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

CC/DA NOV 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
154 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
THE NAM AND THE GFS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT ALL WITH THE WEAK
LOW MOVING IN FROM THE BERING SEA TO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS WILL
EFFECT WIND SPEEDS AND DIRECTION IN THE SHORT TERM. ALTHOUGH IT
DOES NOT NECESSARILY AFFECT NORTHERN ALASKA THE NAM AND THE GFS
GREATLY DIFFER IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WITH THE APPROACHING BERING
SEA LOW.

BOTH MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING IN BRINGING IN THE UPPER LEVEL COLD
LOW TO NORTHEAST ALASKA. THE NAM IS QUICKER BUT THE GFS CATCHES UP
BY EARLY TUE MORNING. THIS WILL BRING IN THE COLDEST UPPER AIR
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN ALASKA
BEGINNING TONIGHT AND REMAIN OVER AT LEAST THE EASTERN THIRD OF
THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEK. THE ONLY PROBLEM WITH THIS IS THAT IF
WE MAINTAIN THE CLOUD COVER OVER CENTRAL ALASKA...COLDEST
TEMPERATURES MAY NOT BE REALIZED AT THE SURFACE.

EXPECT THE WEST COAST TO BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL
HIGH THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL SEE
OVERRUNNING SNOWFALL THROUGH PROBABLY MON NIGHT OR EARLY TUE WHICH
WILL BE GOOD FOR PROBABLY ABOUT AN INCH OF SNOW THROUGH THAT PERIOD.

THE ARCTIC COAST WILL BE MUCH LIKE THE INTERIOR THROUGH ABOUT WED
NIGHT OR THU WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS COMING OFF OF THE OPEN WATER.

WINDS THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT WILL INCREASE WITH BUILDING OF THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER EASTERN RUSSIA.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

CF NOV 11