Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 166, NWS Fairbanks, AK

November 5, 2011

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 5, 2011, 2:35 AM AKDT. It was in force for 50 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Nov 5, 2011, 2:35 AM AKDT (10:35 UTC)
Expired: Nov 7, 2011, 3:08 AM AKST
In force: 50 hr
Issued by: NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

908 
FZAK52 PAFG 051035
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
235 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-060145-
235 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 979 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
EAST TO THE KUSKOKWIM BAY BY EARLY SUN MORNING...THEN MOVE INLAND.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE BERING SEA SUN EVENING.

$$

PKZ200-060145-
NORTON SOUND-
235 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER NOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY BECOMING
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER NOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SW WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ210-060145-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
235 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER NOON.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY BECOMING
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER NOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...W WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ215-060145-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
235 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-060145-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
235 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING
THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

RL/TF NOV 11

4 follow-up statements

846 
FZAK52 PAFG 052230
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
230 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-061330-
230 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 979 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL DEEPEN TO 975 MB
THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE EAST TO THE KUSKOKWIM BAY BY EARLY SUN
MORNING...THEN MOVE INLAND. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
OVER THE BERING SEA SUN EVENING.

$$

PKZ200-061330-
NORTON SOUND-
230 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG...SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SW WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-061330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
230 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-061330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
230 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-061330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
230 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

JK/SDB NOV 11

754 
FZAK52 PAFG 061157
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
257 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-070300-
257 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 976 MB LOW JUST EAST OF KUSKOKWIM BAY WILL MOVE EAST SUN AS
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA. A
DEVELOPING STORM EAST OF JAPAN SUN AM WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE
RAPIDLY NORTHEAST. THE STORM WILL BE A 960 MB LOW NEAR ATTU TUE
AM...AND A 945 MB LOW NEAR BERING STRAIT WED AM. 

$$

PKZ200-070300-
NORTON SOUND-
257 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SW WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-070300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
257 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT.
.WED...W WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-070300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
257 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...S WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-070300-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
257 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...S WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT.
.THU...W WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT.

$$

TF/RL NOV 11

370 
FZAK52 PAFG 062252
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
152 PM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-071400-
152 PM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 980 MB LOW EAST OF KUSKOKWIM BAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND
WEAKEN SUN AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN
BERING SEA. A DEVELOPING STORM EAST OF JAPAN SUN AM WILL
STRENGTHEN AND MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST. THE STORM WILL BE A 958 MB
LOW NEAR ATTU TUE AM...AND A 943 MB LOW NEAR BERING STRAIT WED AM.

$$

PKZ200-071400-
NORTON SOUND-
152 PM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED...S WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-071400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
152 PM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT...WINDS STRONGEST
WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-071400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
152 PM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-071400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
152 PM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

JK/SDB NOV 11

598 
FZAK52 PAFG 071208
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
308 AM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-080100-
308 AM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE WEST
COAST OF ALASKA BY MON EVENING. A VERY STRONG STORM WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY EAST INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA TUE MORNING. IT WILL
BE A 942 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY LATE
TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVE NORTH OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA BY WED MORNING.


$$

PKZ200-080100-
NORTON SOUND-
308 AM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT.
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...S WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-080100-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
308 AM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING
TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WINDS 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 70 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING
TO 26 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SW WINDS 60 KT. SEAS 28 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-080100-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
308 AM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WINDS 60 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-080100-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
308 AM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING
TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT INCREASING TO 70 KT.
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WINDS 65 KT. SEAS 22 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

RL/TF NOV 11

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 4, 3:03 PM AKDT, 11 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 4, 3:03 PM AKDT, 11 hours 32 minutes before

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
303 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...

COMPLEX AND FAST MOVING WX PATTERN FOR MOST OF NRN ALASKA NEXT FEW
DAYS...WITH THE PROSPECT OF A MAJOR BERING SEA STORM MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

A 986 TRIPLE POINT LOW NE OF KODIAK MOVG TO S OF PAMD BY 4PM. 1011
MB SFC HIGH OF NW BERING SEA BUILDING TO NEAR THE BERING STRAIT BY
4PM AND THENCE INTO THE WRN INTERIOR SAT AM. MEANWHILE...NEW SFC
LOW DVLPG NEAR THE PRIBILOFS SAT AM MOVG INTO BRISTOL BAY SUN
AM...AGAIN WITH TRIPLE POINT LOW DVLPG IN THE NRN GLF OF ALASKA.

NORTH SLOPE...RELATIVELY QUITE WX ON THE SLOPE FOR A FEW DAYS WITH
NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND NOT TOO MUCH WIND.

WEST COAST...WITH SURFACE LOW MOVING EWD WE HAVE ENDED THE WINTER
STORM WARNINGS FOR ALL ZONES. ANOTHER 977 MB LOW WILL ENTER
THE SOUTHERN BERING SAT NIGHT/SUN AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL
AGAIN BRING SNOW FOR ZONE 214 AND 215. THIS ONE IS QUIT MOVING AND
EXPECTED 3 TO 5 INCHES FOR ZONE 214 AND UP TO 4 INCHES FOR ZONE
212 AND 215 BY SUNDAY MORNING.

INTERIOR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW WILL EXPIRE BY MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT FOR ZONE 221 AND 6 AM SAT MORNING FOR ZONE 219. THE SNOW
SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT IN ZONE 219 AS WELL. WE
HAVE ADDED WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR ZONE 220 STEESE HIGHWAY SUMMITS
FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IN THE SOUTHWEST WIND BURST AS THE COLD
AIR SLOSHES BACK EWD TONIGHT. 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED THIS
EVENING FOR FAIRBANKS AND SURROUNDING AREAS OF ZONE 222.

IN THE MID-RANGE...ALL OPERATIONAL MODELS ARE NOW FORECASTING A
MAJOR NORTHERN BERING SEA STORM FOR TUE NIGHT/WED TIME FRAME. 00Z
FRI GEM AND ECMWF HAVE CENTRAL PRES AROUND 940MB AND GFS IS BELOW
950MB. GFS AND ECMWF HAVE LOW CENTER NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND
WED...WHILE 00Z GEM IS CONSIDERABLY FARTHER WEST. DEPENDING ON THE
TRACK THIS STORM HAS COASTAL FLOOD POTENTIAL AND WILL HAVE TO BE
WATCHED CLOSELY. IN ANY CASE...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STORMY WX IS
LIKELY OVR THE W CST AND WRN ARCTIC AT LEAST. MEANWHILE...CHILLY
AMS OVER THE INTER EARLY IN THE MID-RANGE WILL BE ROOTED OUT BY THE
BIG STORM.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.
&&

JK NOV 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 5, 8:24 AM AKDT	Winter Storm Warning	AFG	27 hr
Nov 5, 8:24 AM AKDT	Winter Weather Advisory	AFG	31 hr
Nov 5, 2:25 PM AKDT	Brisk Wind Advisory	AFG	38 hr
Nov 5, 2:25 PM AKDT	Heavy Freezing Spray Warning	AFG	13 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011 Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.