Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 101, NWS Fairbanks, AK

September 9, 2011

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 9, 2011, 2:02 AM AKDT. It was in force for 59 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 9, 2011, 2:02 AM AKDT (10:02 UTC)
Expired
Sep 11, 2011, 1:27 PM AKDT
In force
59 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

207 
FZAK51 PAFG 091002
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
202 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-100115-
202 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 993 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA TODAY. THE
LOW WILL MOVE EAST AND WEAKEN TONIGHT. ON SATURDAY A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM WEST OF WRANGEL ISLAND TO ALONG THE
EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST. A 980 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE
NORTHWEST BERING SEA SATURDAY.

$$

PKZ225-100115-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
202 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. FOG. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-100115-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
202 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER NOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT...HIGHEST OFFSHORE. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT...HIGHEST WELL OFFSHORE.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT...HIGHEST WELL OFFSHORE.
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-100115-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
202 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER NOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-100115-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
202 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW ENDING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-100115-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
202 AM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.SAT...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

JK/CB SEP 11
5 follow-up statements
283 
FZAK51 PAFG 092223
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
223 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-101330-
223 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE CHUKCHI SEA EAST TO
ICY CAPE AND INLAND OVER THE BROOKS RANGE WILL MOVE NORTH. ON SAT
AT 4 PM AKDT...THE TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM WRANGEL ISLAND TO NORTH
OF BARROW AND EAST TO DEMARCATION POINT. THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
MOVING NORTH OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN THROUGH SUN. STRONG LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER EASTERN RUSSIA SAT NIGHT AND SUN.

$$

PKZ225-101330-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
223 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-101330-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
223 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-101330-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
223 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-101330-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
223 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-101330-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
223 PM AKDT FRI SEP 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E AT 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

SAK/DA SEP 11
229 
FZAK51 PAFG 100945
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
145 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-110045-
145 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA
TO THE EASTERN BROOKS RANGE. THE TROUGH WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTH
THROUGH SUNDAY. A 990 MB LOW ALONG THE NORTHEAST KAMCHATKA COAST
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN TO 973 MB IN NORTHEAST RUSSIA
250 NM WEST OF THE GULF OF ANADYR BY 4 AM AKDT SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ225-110045-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
145 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. FOG.
.SUN...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ230-110045-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
145 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SW BY NOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.SUN...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT...HIGHEST WEST OF ICY CAPE.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT...HIGHEST WEST OF ICY CAPE.
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ235-110045-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
145 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN ENDS. FOG.
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-110045-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
145 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT.
RAIN. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FOG. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-110045-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
145 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER NOON. SEAS 2 FT 
BUILDING TO 5 FT. FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN ENDS. FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

JK/CB SEP 11
511 
FZAK51 PAFG 102209
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
209 PM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-111345-
209 PM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE ARCTIC COAST NORTH OF BARROW TO
DEMARCATION POINT WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH SUNDAY. A 977 MB
LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF THE KAMCHATKA COAST
THROUGH MONDAY. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVING EAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL STALL JUST WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND
SUNDAY NIGHT THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH MONDAY.

$$

PKZ225-111345-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
209 PM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-111345-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
209 PM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-111345-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
209 PM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-111345-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
209 PM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-111345-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
209 PM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.SUN...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. 
.MON...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

RL/DA SEP 11
628 
FZAK51 PAFG 110915
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-120015-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 972 MB LOW NORTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
SOUTH AND WEAKEN TO 986 MB ALONG THE NORTHEAST KAMCHATKA COAST BY
4 AM AKDT MONDAY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE ARCTIC COAST
NORTH OF BARROW TO DEMARCATION POINT WILL MOVE NORTH TODAY.

$$

PKZ225-120015-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. FOG. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ230-120015-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT.
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ235-120015-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ240-120015-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. FOG.
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ245-120015-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING 
TO 3 FT. FOG.
.MON...SW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

JK/CB SEP 11
465 
FZAK51 PAFG 112127
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-121300-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 978 MB LOW NORTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
SOUTH AND WEAKEN TO 989 MB ALONG THE NORTHEAST KAMCHATKA COAST BY
4 PM AKDT MONDAY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE ARCTIC COAST
300 NM NORTH OF BARROW AND DEMARCATION POINT WILL MOVE NORTH
TONIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-121300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-121300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY
MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS  20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-121300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-121300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.  
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...W WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-121300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.  
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...SW WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

RL/DA SEP 11

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 8, 3:41 PM AKDT, 10 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 8, 3:41 PM AKDT, 10 hours 21 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
341 PM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL PATTERN INCLUDES RIDGING OVER THE
WESTERN BERING SEA...THE LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS ALONG 160W WHERE IT
HAS BEEN FOR SEVERAL DAYS...AND RIDGING OVER NORTHWEST CANADA.
THE LONG WAVE TROUGH IS FINALLY BEING SQUEEZED AWAY...AND THE
RESULT WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MORE ZONAL FLOW OVER ALASKA ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THEN BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY A DEEP UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE BERING SEA...AND RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER
NORTHWEST CANADA AND MAINLAND ALASKA.

A 993MB LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA FRIDAY AND
THEN MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD PUSHED BY THE DEVELOPING ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT. THE GFS MODEL HAS CONSISTENTLY SHOWN A MORE PROMINENT
SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE...AND IS PREFERRED OVER
THE NAM. WINDS AND FETCH OVER MARINE AREAS WILL PRODUCE SOME HIGH
SURF FOR WESTERN AND SOUTHERN FACING COASTLINES OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS IS NOT A PARTICULARLY STRONG STORM ON ITS
OWN...BUT IT COMES AFTER A PERIOD OF OFFSHORE WINDS HAVE PRODUCED
UNUSUALLY LOW WATER LEVELS ALONG PORTIONS OF WESTERN ALASKA. THE
CONTRAST OF HIGH WATER COMING SO QUICKLY AFTER THE LOW WATER IS A
RARE EVENT...AND SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION AND FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

THEN COMING ALMOST IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE CHUKCHI LOW DISSIPATES
WILL BE ANOTHER NEW LOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHWEST
BERING SEA SATURDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE QUICKLY DIGGING UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH THERE. THIS WILL BE A STRONG FEATURE...WITH THE GFS
NAM AND ECMWF MODELS ALL DEPICTING A SURFACE LOW IN THE MID 970MBS
BY SATURDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL
BE A FACTOR ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY...AND ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH SURF OR COASTAL HAZARDS WILL
NEED TO BE CONSIDERED SHORTLY AFTER THE CURRENT EPISODE ENDS.

INTERIOR...A FEW INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS
OF THE EASTERN BROOKS RANGE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ATIGUN PASS WILL
BE AFFECTED AND DRIVING CONDITIONS THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE
DIFFICULT...BUT TEMPERATURES ARE TOO WARM AT THE LOWER LEVELS FOR
SNOWFALL. SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO ABOUT 30 MPH IN THE ALASKA RANGE
PASSES WILL DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT AS THE SUPPORT UP AT 700MB
DISSOLVES WITH THE TRANSITION FROM MERIDIONAL TO ZONAL FLOW.
ISOLATED LATE-SEASON THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG A LINE
ROUGHLY FROM MCGRATH TO RAMPART...THESE THUNDERSTORMS BEING
TRIGGERED BY COMBINATION OF DAYTIME SOLAR HEATING AND THE LIFT
PROVIDED BY EASTWARD PROPAGATING SHORT WAVE 500MB TROUGH...THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE DISSIPATED BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. BUILDING
500MB HEIGHTS LOOK SET TO PROVIDE SOME DRY WARM WEATHER FOR THE
INTERIOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...PER DISCUSSION ABOVE...A
NEW BERING SEA STORM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND.
WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS STORM...AS SOME DEGREE OF HIGH
SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO SIGNIFICANT CONCERNS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NO SIGNIFICANT CONCERNS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ220.
&&

ES SEP 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 9, 2:03 AM AKDTGale WarningAFG3 days
Sep 9, 2:23 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG47 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.