Red Flag Warning 10, NWS Fairbanks, AK

901 
WWAK62 PAFG 272231
RFWWCZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
231 PM AKDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITY FOR A PORTION OF THE WESTERN INTERIOR...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES FOR A PORTION OF THE WESTERN
INTERIOR...

AKZ216-281030-
/X.EXT.PAFG.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110529T0600Z/
LOWER KOYUKUK AND MIDDLE YUKON VALLEYS-
231 PM AKDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY. 

DISCUSSION... RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP TO BETWEEN
13% AND 20% THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THAT LOW THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THE LOWEST HUMIDITIES WILL BE EAST OF GALENA IN LOW
ELEVATION VALLEYS.

ALTHOUGH HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER ABOVE 50% AFTER 10PM TONIGHT 
THEY ARE EXPECTED TO DROP DOWN TO NEAR 15% AGAIN SATURDAY 
FROM 1PM UNTIL 10PM IN THE AREAS EAST OF GALENA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ227-280600-
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110528T0600Z/
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
231 PM AKDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

DISCUSSION... RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP TO BETWEEN
13% AND 20% THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THAT LOW THROUGH THIS
EVENING. HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER TONIGHT AND NOT BE AS DRY SATURDAY 
AS COOLER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THIS AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

049 
WWAK62 PAFG 280530 AAA
RFWWCZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
930 PM AKDT FRI MAY 27 2011

UPDATED FOR CANCELLATION OF RED FLAG WARNING IN ZONE 227

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR A PORTION OF THE WESTERN
INTERIOR...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY
FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR A PORTION OF THE WESTERN INTERIOR...

AKZ227-280630-
/X.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110528T0600Z/
UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
930 PM AKDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

DISCUSSION...THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE BEGINNING TO SLOWLY RECOVER 
THIS EVENING AND ARE NOW ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  SATURDAY WILL BE
ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY...BUT WITH A BIT MORE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 
15 PERCENT. 

$$

AKZ216-281715-
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110529T0600Z/
LOWER KOYUKUK AND MIDDLE YUKON VALLEYS-
930 PM AKDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY
FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY. 

DISCUSSION... THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
RECOVER THIS EVENING...AND IS NOW ABOVE 15 PERCENT. MINIMUM RELATIVE 
HUMIDITIES OF AROUND 15 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO 
THE EAST OF GALENA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

912 
WWAK62 PAFG 281510
RFWWCZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
710 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR A PORTION OF THE WESTERN
INTERIOR...

AKZ216-282315-
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110529T0600Z/
LOWER KOYUKUK AND MIDDLE YUKON VALLEYS-
710 AM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY EAST OF GALENA...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...EAST OF GALENA THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP 
TO NEAR 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
454 AM AKDT FRI MAY 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
RIDGE OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA RECENTERING OVER INTERIOR ALASKA NEXT
36 HOURS...WITH RIDGE AXIS FROM CHUKOTKA TO WHITEHORSE BY EARLY
SUN MORNING. MEANWHILE...CLOSED LOW PRESENTLY NEAR THE NORTH POLE
WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD THE NW CANADIAN ARCTIC BY LATE SUN. THE MAIN
IMPACT FOR ALASKA WITH THIS FEATURE WILL BE TO INCREASE THE WLY
FLOW OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA AND NORTH SLOPE. SMALL BUT PERSISTENT
CLOSED LOW OVER THE ERN BROOKS RANGE SHOULD BE QSTNRY INTO THE
WEEKEND BEFORE BEING ABSORBED.

CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL TODAY...THOUGH UNDER THE ERN
BROOKS RANGE CLOSED LOW THERE WILL PROBABLY BE A FEW TSTMS. ON THU
THERE WERE ONLY 175 STRIKES STATEWIDE...A TENTH OF THE NUMBER WED.
PRECIP WATER FORECAST TO CREEP UP A BIT FOR SAT...WHICH SHOULD
HELP FIRE OFF A FEW TSTMS.

NORTH SLOPE...VARIABLE ST/FOG ON THE COAST. WARM INLAND. WINDS
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT THRU THE WEEKEND.

WEST COAST...CONSIDERABLE MARINE ST/FOG HAS DEVELOPED. THIS
SHOULD BURN OFF INLAND AREAS DURING THE DAY BUT COASTAL LOCATIONS
WITH PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW MAY LAST ALL DAY. SOME CLOUDS FROM
OLD OCCLUSION MAY MAKE IT INTO THE SWMOST ZONES SUN.

INTERIOR...NEAR RECORD HEAT FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...THOUGH NOT QUITE UP TO THE MAY 1947 HEATWAVE THAT SET ALL-
TIME MAY RECORDS AT PLACES WITH OBS FROM THEN.

THE MEDIUM RANGE STARTS OFF SUN NIGHT WITH AN ELONGATED RIDGE
STRETCHING FROM FAR EASTERN RUSSIA TO THE SOUTHERN YUKON.  UPPER
LOWS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ALEUTIANS...FAR NORTHEAST
PAC...AND NEAR THE POLE.  THE SOUTHERN ALEUTIAN LOW TRACKS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA NEXT WEEK WITH THE RIDGE BECOMING REPOSITIONED
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PAC AND BC.  THE MODELS AGREE IN A GENERAL
SENSE WITH THE LONGWAVE PATTERN...BUT DIFFER WITH MANY OF THE
SHORTWAVE DETAILS.  HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY FALL NEXT WEEK
WITH TEMPERATURES TO COOL TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS.  WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID-WEEK IN THE EASTERN
INTERIOR.  THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL INCREASE MID-LATE NEXT WEEK
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA AS THE LOW IN THE BERING SEA MOVES TO THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND BY LATE IN THE WEEK. THE NCEP RMOPS WERE NOT
AVAILABLE FOR REVIEW TODAY.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
HOT A DRY TODAY. NO SGFNT LTNG XPCTD TODAY...THO A HAND FULL OF
STRIKES ARE LIKELY IN THE ERN BROOKS RANGE. MORE...BUT STILL
QUITE ISOLATED TSTMS SAT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NOT MUCH CHANGE WITH THE FLOODING ON THE PORCUPINE. LEVELS ARE SLOWLY
FALLING WELL UPRIVER OF FORT YUKON BUT THAT WILL TAKE A WHILE TO
WORK DOWNRIVER. ALSO...HIGH WATER EVIDENT ON MODIS IMAGERY OF THE
LOWER KOBUK RIVER THU PM...BUT NO IMPACTS KNOWN ATTM.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ220.
&&

RT/CB MAY 11