Gale Warning 86, NWS Fairbanks, AK

079 
FZAK52 PAFG 181016
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
216 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-190100-
216 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CHUKCHI SEA. A
LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE SOUTH
OF THE BERING STRAIT ON MONDAY. A 969 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF
COLD BAY WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA ON MONDAY. AT 4 PM
AKDT TUESDAY THE LOW WILL BE 400 NM EAST OF COLD BAY.

$$

PKZ200-190100-
NORTON SOUND-
216 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-190100-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
216 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-190100-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
216 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-190100-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
216 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

RF/DA SEP 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1225 AM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2011

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER FLOW PATTERN CONTINUING OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH SUN WITH BELOW NORMAL HEIGHTS. WEAK UPPER LOW
CENTERS NEAR BETTLES AND NORTHEAST OF BARROW WILL MERGE
INTO A SINGLE LOW CENTER OVER THE WESTERN SEWARD PENINSULA
BY SUN MORNING. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL
INCREASE SOME OVER THE ALASKA RANGE AND MOST OF THE EASTERN
INTERIOR LATE SUN NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A DEEP UPPER LOW
MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA...WEAK SHORT WAVE
RIDGE TRANSITING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN INTERIOR.

ISOLATED OR SCATTERED SHOWERS IN PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/WESTERN
INTERIOR AND BROOKS RANGE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND OVER PARTS
OF THE WESTERN INTERIOR/WEST COAST/WESTERN BROOKS RANGE SUN.

EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20-25 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS
CONTINUING OVER MOST OF THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH SUN...THEN
DIMINISHING A LITTLE. WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE
BEAUFORT SEA WILL KEEP ARCTIC COASTAL TEMPERATURES ABOVE
NORMAL...EXPECT LITTLE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE VARIATION AS
TEMPERATURES REMAIN BETWEEN 35 AND 40.

LOW ENERGY PATTERN CONTINUING DURING THE EXTENDED FORECAST
PERIOD...INTERIOR AND ARCTIC COAST TEMPERATURES LIKELY
REMAINING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL...WEST COAST TEMPERATURES
NEAR NORMAL.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NONE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-
PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

RF SEP 11