Gale Warning 65, NWS Fairbanks, AK

220 
FZAK52 PAFG 081144
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
344 AM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-090245-
344 AM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SAT. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA INTERIOR WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SAT. A 998 MB LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOFS WILL MOVE TO
50 MILES NORTHWEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND BY 4AM SAT DEEPENING
TO 992 MB.

$$

PKZ200-090245-
NORTON SOUND-
344 AM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FOG. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-090245-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
344 AM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS WINDS 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER NOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.SAT...E WINDS 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FOG. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-090245-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
344 AM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ220-090245-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
344 AM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

RF/DJH JUL 11

673 
FZAK52 PAFG 082233
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
233 PM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-091345-
233 PM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SAT. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA INTERIOR WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SAT. A 995 MB LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOFS WILL MOVE TO
50 MILES NORTHWEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND BY 10AM SAT DEEPENING
TO 991 MB.

$$

PKZ200-091345-
NORTON SOUND-
233 PM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-091345-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
233 PM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-091345-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
233 PM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-091345-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
233 PM AKDT FRI JUL 8 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS 5 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

CF/JM JUL 11

247 
FZAK52 PAFG 091138
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
338 AM AKDT SAT JUL 9 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-100045-
338 AM AKDT SAT JUL 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SAT. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA INTERIOR WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SAT. A 995 MB LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOFS WILL MOVE TO
50 MILES NORTHWEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND BY 10AM SAT DEEPENING
TO 993 MB.

$$

PKZ200-100045-
NORTON SOUND-
338 AM AKDT SAT JUL 9 2011

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-100045-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
338 AM AKDT SAT JUL 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-100045-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
338 AM AKDT SAT JUL 9 2011

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ220-100045-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
338 AM AKDT SAT JUL 9 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

JK/RF JUL 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1242 PM AKDT THU JUL 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SYNOPTIC SCALE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH REMAINING IN PLACE OVER THE BERING SEA. BOTH THE GFS
AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO DEPICT THE 500MB LOW NOW CENTERED JUST
SOUTH OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND MOVING SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH AND WEST
AND WEAKENING. A WEAK RIDGE IS NOTED OVER WESTERN YUKON AND
EASTERN ALASKA WHILE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS NOTED OVER THE HIGH
ARCTIC. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE BERING IS PROGGED TO WEAKEN AS
IT CONTINUES TO WOBBLE SOUTH AND WEST IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA
THOUGH THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND. 12Z ECMWF RUN IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH THE 12Z GFS THAN WAS THE 00Z RUN WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
MOVING WEST AND SOUTH OUT OF THE CANADIAN HIGH ARCTIC TO THE NORTH
SLOPE AND BROOKS RANGE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT NEXT WEEK.

SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS OCCLUDED LOW IN THE BERING SEA JUST WEST
OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND WITH WEAK FRONT STRETCHING FROM PAMC
NORTHWESTWARD TO PATC. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NOTED IN THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL INTERIOR WITH RAPIDLY BUILDING TCU NOTED ON VISUAL IMAGERY
TO THE EAST OF PAFA. SATELLITE ALSO REVEALING RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR AS UPPER LEVEL
EASTERLY WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST INTO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR.
THERMAL TROUGH IS NOTED ALONG A SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST LINE FROM
PAEG TO PABL.

PAFA SOUNDING ALONG WITH FORECASTED SOUNDINGS REVEALING FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR WITH CAPE PROGGED TO BE NEAR 650
IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO NEAR 1000 BY EVENING. LIFTED
INDEX VALUES BETWEEN MINUS 2 AND MINUS 4. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
LOOSE ITS CAP BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE EASTERLY WAVE CONTINUES TO
MOVE WEST. THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAIN HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE WELL
INTO THE EVENING. CONVECTION FIRING UP ON RADAR ATTM. WILL NEED TO
MONITOR POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS DROPPING HEAVY RAIN
ON RECENTLY RAIN SOAKED TERRAIN ESPECIALLY AS MANY RIVERS AND
SMALL STREAMS IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR CONTINUE TO RUN
HIGH.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS
3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AFTERNOON AND EVENING WET THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WITH VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR AND BROOKS
RANGE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO LARGE SCALE RAINFALL EVENTS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN COULD OCCUR WITH TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

CC JUL 11