Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 14, NWS Fairbanks, AK

January 17, 2011

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 17, 2011, 2:55 AM AKST. It was in force for 49 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 17, 2011, 2:55 AM AKST (11:55 UTC)
Expired
Jan 19, 2011, 3:27 AM AKST
In force
49 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

190 
FZAK51 PAFG 171155
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
255 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-180030-
255 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A STRONG COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM BARTER ISLAND TO THE SOUTHERN
CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE SOUTH TO THE YUKON DELTA TUE. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER EASTERN RUSSIA WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA AND
NORTH SLOPE OF ALASKA MON AND MON NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ225-180030-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
255 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-180030-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
255 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-180030-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
255 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-180030-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
255 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-180030-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
255 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

JAN 11
4 follow-up statements
733 
FZAK51 PAFG 172208
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
108 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-181315-
108 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
992 MB LOW 400 NM NORTH OF DEMARCATION POINT WILL WEAKEN TO 995 MB
BY TUE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN RUSSIA WILL BUILD ACROSS
THE CHUKCHI SEA AND NORTH SLOPE OF ALASKA THROUGH TUE.

$$

PKZ225-181315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
108 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-181315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
108 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-181315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
108 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...LIGHT WINDS. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-181315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
108 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. 
.THU...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-181315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
108 PM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TUE...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. 
.THU...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

DA/RT JAN 11
555 
FZAK51 PAFG 181240
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
340 AM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-190030-
340 AM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 994 MB LOW JUST NORTHWEST OF BANKS ISLAND WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST. 
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA STRETCHING EAST ACROSS THE 
NORTH SLOPE OF ALASKA WILL BUILD SOUTH OVER INTERIOR ALASKA TUE.

$$

PKZ225-190030-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
340 AM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-190030-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
340 AM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-190030-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
340 AM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-190030-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
340 AM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. FOG AND BLOWING
SNOW. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT DECREASING TO 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-190030-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
340 AM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...W WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. VISIBILITY LESS
THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND
FOG. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JAN 11
101 
FZAK51 PAFG 182305
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
205 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-191400-
205 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST
THIS EVENING WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN
CHUKCHI SEA WILL BUILD INTO INTERIOR ALASKA TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVE
NORTH OVER THE NORTH SLOPE ON WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-191400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
205 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-191400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
205 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-191400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
205 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-191400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
205 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BLOWING SNOW.
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-191400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
205 PM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BLOWING SNOW.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RL/JM/JK JAN 11
203 
FZAK51 PAFG 191227
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
327 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-200015-
327 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM NORTHERN RUSSIA EAST ACROSS THE
NORTH SLOPE OF ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH THU. A WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA FROM THE NORTHWEST THU PM.

$$

PKZ225-200015-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
327 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

.TODAY...N WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-200015-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
327 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

.TODAY...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-200015-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
327 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

.TODAY...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 5 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT BECOMING S. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-200015-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
327 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-200015-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
327 AM AKST WED JAN 19 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

JAN 11

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 16, 3:59 PM AKST, 10 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 3:59 PM AKST, 10 hours 56 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
359 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...
THE NAM AND GFS COMPUTER WEATHER FORECAST MODELS HAVE SIMILAR
PROJECTIONS THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA
ALOFT THAT PERSISTED FOR DAYS OVER ALASKA HAS MOVED WEST AND IS
OVER SIBERIA. THE NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT NOW OVER NORTHERN ALASKA
HAS BROUGHT IN DRY AND COLDER AIR ALOFT. BOTH MODELS FORECAST
LOWERING TEMPERATURES ALOFT...AND A FAST MOVING SHORT WAVE ALOFT
MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE CHUKCHI SEA DOWN TO THE
SOUTHEASTERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
NOON.

POLAR ORBITING WEATHER SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN THE CLOUDS IN
ADVANCE OF THIS SHORT WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CHUKCHI SEA. AS THE
SHORT WAVE MOVES DOWN OVER NORTHERN ALASKA THERE WILL BE A 12 TO
24 HOUR PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLOUDY WEATHER...WITH SOME FLURRIES OVER
THE ARCTIC AND THE WEST. SKIES WILL THEN CLEAR AS THE SHORT WAVE
EXITS.

THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY AND STRONG
LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF ALASKA ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN
SUBSTANTIALLY TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE WINDS AT BIG DELTA WERE
GUSTING TO ALMOST 40 MILES AN HOUR AT 3 PM SUNDAY...THE WEAKENING
OF THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND LOW IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
A RAPID DECREASE OF THE WINDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN INTERIOR BY 6
PM.

TODAYS POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS ALSO SHOWN TWO DECKS
OF STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS THAT HAVE MOVED FROM THE YUKON TERRITORY
INTO THE EASTERN INTERIOR. THE FIRST CAME FROM THE SOUTHERN YUKON
TERRITORY OVER TO THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY AND THE EASTERN ALASKA
RANGE. THE SECOND MOVED FROM THE UPPER PORCUPINE VALLEY TO THE
EASTERNMOST PORTION OF THE BROOKS RANGE. BOTH OF THESE AREAS OF
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR TONIGHT AS WINDS ALOFT SHIFT FROM
EASTERLY TO NORTHERLY.

THE ARCTIC COAST EAST OF CAPE HALKETT HAS HAD EXTENSIVE FOG...JUST
ALONG THE COAST...ALL DAY. POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE IMAGERY HARDLY
SHOWS THIS...SO THE FOG BANK COVERS JUST THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL
ZONE. THE INBOUND SHORT WAVE FROM THE CHUKCHI SEA HAS BROUGHT
STRATOCUMULUS AND ALTOSTRATUS CLOUDS TO THE ARCTIC WEST OF CAPE
HALKETT. THIS AREA OF CLOUDS IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND EASTWARD AND
SOUTHWARD TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

THERE IS A VERY RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING STORM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC
WHILE WILL BE HEADED TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE YUKON DELTA AND SAINT LAWRENCE
ISLAND ZONES WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW
WILL REMAIN ON A PATH WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE REALM. THE
INCREASING EAST WINDS WILL BE THE ONLY EFFECT THIS SYSTEM HAS IN
NORTHERN ALASKA.

THE OTHER AREA OF INCREASING COASTAL WINDS IS THE COASTAL MARINE
AREA FROM CAPE HALKETT TO THE CANADA BORDER. AS HIGH PRESSURE FROM
SIBERIA BUILDS IN BEHIND THE CHUKCHI SEA WEATHER FRONT ON
MONDAY...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THIS AREA...AND
THEN WEAKEN BY TUESDAY EVENING.

WEATHER BALLOON DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW VERY STRONG TEMPERATURE
INVERSIONS OVER THE INTERIOR. THIS PATTERN OF COLD TEMPERATURES ON
VALLEY FLOORS AND CONSIDERABLY WARMER TEMPERATURES IN THE HILLS
AND AT LOWER ELEVATIONS WHERE THERE IS SOME WIND IS EVIDENT FROM
SURFACE WEATHER OBSERVATIONS. FOR EXAMPLE...AT 3 PM...

TANANA...EAST WIND 11 MPH...TEMPERATURE 5 BELOW ZERO
FAIRBANKS...WINDS CALM MOST OF THE DAY...TEMPERATURE 26 BELOW

THE MEDIUM RANGE COMPUTER WEATHER FORECAST MODELS HAVE SIMILAR
PROJECTIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THURSDAY THE GFS MODEL
MOVES AN EXPECTED STRONG SHORT WAVE ALOFT TO MOVE MORE SLOWLY
THAN THE EUROPEAN MODEL DOES. FOR THIS THURSDAY...THE GFS
FORECASTS AN STRONG SHORT WAVE ALOFT TO TRANSIT THE CHUKCHI SEA
AND TO REACH THE NORTHWEST ALASKA COAST. THE EUROPEAN MODEL
FORECASTS THE SHORT WAVE TO MOVE MORE RAPIDLY...REACHING THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR ON THURSDAY. BOTH MODELS FORECAST STRONG WESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT OVER THE ARCTIC THROUGH FRIDAY. AND BOTH MODELS
FORECAST RETURN FLOW FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA TO BEGIN NO EARLIER
THAN FRIDAY...AND TO BE LIMITED TO THE SOUTHEASTERN INTERIOR.

NONE OF THE MODEL OUTPUT POINTS TO SEVERE COLD...BUT SOME 50 BELOW
WEATHER IS A GOOD BET IN THE NORTHERN INTERIOR AT MID WEEK...AND
PERHAPS BEYOND. A SIGNIFICANT SHIFT TO WARMER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL PROBABLY NOT OCCUR UNTIL THE LAST 4 DAYS OF THE
MONTH.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

TF JAN 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 17, 2:55 AM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG35 hr
Jan 17, 3:00 AM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG25 hr
Jan 17, 3:11 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG32 hr
Jan 17, 1:23 PM AKSTGale WarningAFG62 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.