Gale Warning 129, NWS Fairbanks, AK

290 
FZAK52 PAFG 162134
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1234 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-171030-
1234 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1040 MB HIGH OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA WILL BUILD EAST OVER
ALASKA WED. STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA WED
FOLLOWED BY A SECOND STRONG LOW MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA
ON THU.

$$

PKZ200-171030-
NORTON SOUND-
1234 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 40 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-171030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
1234 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO E 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING
TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-171030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
1234 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 5 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-171030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
1234 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 15 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

NOV 11

431 
FZAK52 PAFG 162346
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
246 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-171500-
246 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1040 MB HIGH OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA WILL BUILD EAST OVER
ALASKA WED. 988 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF ATTU WILL MOVE NORTH AND
STRENGTHEN. IT WILL BE A 974 MB LOW 500 NM WEST OF ST MATTHEW
ISLAND THU PM. THE WEATHER FRONT AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST. IT WILL BE APPROACHING ST MATTHEW ISLAND THU PM.

$$

PKZ200-171500-
NORTON SOUND-
246 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-171500-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
246 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT. STRONGEST WINDS
SOUTHWEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WINDS 45 KT. STRONGEST WINDS SOUTHWEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.
SEAS 22 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 45 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ215-171500-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
246 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-171500-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
246 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

TF/CC NOV 11

696 
FZAK52 PAFG 171238
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
338 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-180045-
338 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1042 MB HIGH OVER INTERIOR ALASKA WITH A RIDGE OVER THE CHUKCHI
SEA WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH SAT. A STRONG LOW IN THE WESTERN
BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTHWEST THU. A WEATHER FRONT STRETCHING
SOUTHEAST FROM THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THU
NIGHT AND DISSIPATE FRI. A SECOND STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHERN BERING SEA FRI AND TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA SAT.  

$$

PKZ200-180045-
NORTON SOUND-
338 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-180045-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
338 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 50 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SEAS BUILDING
TO 26 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 27 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-180045-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
338 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 5 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-180045-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
338 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. FOG.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT.
BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

NOV 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
343 PM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP AND COLD LONG WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG SOUTH AND EAST
OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALASKA AS A LONG WAVE RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE BERING SEA. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT FOR NOV ARE REFLECTED
AT THE SURFACE WHERE WEAK RIDGING AND CLEAR SKIES PROMPTED THE
FIRST 40 BELOW READINGS OF THE SEASON THIS MORNING AND WILL ALLOW
FOR MANY MORE 40 BELOW READINGS TONIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF
ALASKA. ARCTIC VILLAGE BOTTOMED OUT THIS MORNING AT 45 BELOW WITH
COLDFOOT CLOSE BEHIND AT 44 BELOW. MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY HAD
POCKETS OF 50 BELOW. OVERNIGHT AND WED MORNING TEMPERATURES ARE
LIKELY TO BE SIMILARLY COLD WITH COLDEST VALLEY LOCATIONS
EXPECTED TO DROP TO 45 TO POSSIBLY 50 BELOW IN THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF CONTINUES TO MOVE
EAST AND NORTHEAST WITH LANDFALL NEAR PAYA THIS EVENING. MOISTURE
AHEAD OF THE LOW CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR WHERE
LIGHT SNOW HAS BEEN FALLING THROUGH THE DAY AT PAOR. EXPECT THE
SNOW TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT IN THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ZONE 224
AND ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ZONE 226 AS WEAK UPSLOPE DEVELOPS.
SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. WINDS
WILL INCREASE IN THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE PASSES AS THE LOW MOVES
INLAND AND REFORMS IN THE LOW LEVELS IN THE YUKON. SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW THROUGH THE PASSES WILL IMPACT THESE PASSES BEGINNING
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING TOMORROW. WIND CHILLS WILL APPROACH
CRITERIA TONIGHT AN TOMORROW IN THESE AREAS.

1009 MB LOW IN THE BEAUFORT SEA CONTINUES TO DRAG A TROUGH EAST
ACROSS THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE WITH LIGHT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
NOTED PRIMARILY EAST OF PABR. THE LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND IS
NOW AN OPEN WAVE AS IT MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN HIGH ARCTIC
TONIGHT. WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AND VISIBILITIES ARE SLOWLY
IMPROVING ACROSS THE NORTH SLOPE EAST OF PABR.

GALE FORCE LOW MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING LATE WED AND THEN
MOVES NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE WEST CENTRAL BERING SEA ON THURSDAY.
GALE FORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WELL OFF SHORE AND NEAR ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND WITH THIS LOW. ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
AND MOVES NORTHWARD TOWARD ST LAWRENCE ISLAND FRIDAY WITH SNOW
MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.

LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. A BRIEF WARM UP TO NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR THE INTERIOR IS FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER COLD SNAP
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CC NOV 11