Gale Warning 109, NWS Fairbanks, AK

021 
FZAK69 PAFG 020951
OFFAFG

EXPERIMENTAL OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
151 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-030030-
151 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...

A 995 MB LOW 200 NM NORTHWEST OF PRUDHOE BAY WILL MOVE 300 NM
NORTH OF DEMARCATION POINT AS A 995 MB LOW BY 4AM WED AND THEN
CONTINUE NORTHEAST. A COLD FRONT STRETCHING WEST FROM THIS LOW
WILL MOVE TO DEMARCATION POINT TO POINT LAY BY 4AM WED AND THEN
STRETCH EASTWARD.

$$

PKZ500-030030-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
151 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-030030-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
151 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

PKZ510-030030-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
151 AM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

JK NOV 11

464 
FZAK69 PAFG 022206
OFFAFG

EXPERIMENTAL OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
206 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-031315-
206 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A 1030 MB HIGH OVER THE INTERIOR WILL DRIFT EAST...THOUGH PART OF
THE RIDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE BROOKS RANGE AND ARCTIC COAST INTO
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A 1016 MB HIGH CENTER WILL DEVELOP 300 NM
NORTH OF BARROW THURSDAY MORNING. A 1000 MB LOW WILL REMAIN OVER
THE HIGH ARCTIC THROUGH FRIDAY.


$$

PKZ500-031315-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
206 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-031315-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
206 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

PKZ510-031315-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
206 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

SDB/CCC/CWA NOV 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
500 AM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

.DISCUSSION...

SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT....
A LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THIS LOW OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA WILL PROGRESS EAST TO NW CANADA BY WED. A VERY COLD AIR
MASS HAS NOW MOVED OVER THE STATE UNDER THIS LONG WAVE TROUGH WITH
THE BELOW SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE CLEAR AREAS. TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO FALL UNDER THROUGH MID-WEEK AS A LONG WAVE RIDGE
BUILDS OVER MAINLAND ALASKA AND SKIES BECOME MORE CLEAR.

SURFACE... A 990 MB POLAR LOW 600 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY WILL
WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT FROM THIS LOW TO
DEMARCATION POINT TO THE BERING STRAIT WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT.
THIS IS NOW CAUSING LIGHT SNOW BLOWING SNOW AND NORTH-WEST WINDS
25 MPH ALONG THE FRONT.

AS COLD AIR ADVECTS IN BEHIND THIS LOW THE WINDS WILL
INTENSIFY PRODUCING STRONG NW WINDS AROUND 35 MPH WITH LOCAL
GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS WITH POOR
VISIBILITY TODAY. BLIZZARD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ZONES
201-204 THROUGH TONIGHT.

NORTH SLOPE COASTAL FLOOD POTENTIAL..THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO REACH
THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA TUESDAY MORNING. A RISE IN SEA
LEVEL OF 1 TO 2 FEET DOWN BY POINT HOPE AND 2 TO 3 FEET UP BY
BARROW IS EXPECTED TO BE REACHED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

AS OF 8 PM...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BARROW REPORTED
RISING SURF AND WATER MOVING UP OVER THE LOWEST STRETCHES OF ROAD
NORTH OF TOWN. THE FULL STRENGTH OF THE WIND WILL NOT BE REACHED
UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...SO THE SURF TONIGHT IS ONLY THE
BEGINNING.

A STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA ON WED.
THIS WILL CAUSE STRONG E WINDS IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WED NIGHT.
A GOOD CHANCE FOR SNOW FOR ZONES 214-215-212 ON THURSDAY.

INTERIOR...CLEAR AND COLD FOR MOST OF THE INTERIOR. SOME MOISTURE
IS ADVECTING IN FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA BRINGING SOME LIGHT SNOW
FOR SOUTHERN ZONE 224 SOUTH OF CHICKEN AND EASTERN 226 TODAY. 2-4
INCHES BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATER TONIGHT.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR AKZ201-AKZ202.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ210.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ204.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ207.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ225-PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215.

STORM WARNING FOR PKZ230-PKZ235.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

JK NOV 11