Flood Watch 1, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
225 PM AKDT MON MAY 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE BROOKS RANGE
PROGGED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES WEST BY TOMORROW MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER WESTERN CANADA AND EXPAND ACROSS THE
ARCTIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WEST COAST...THE 986 MB LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EAST THIS AFTERNOON...THEN TURNS BACK NORTHWEST
INTO SOUTHERN BRISTOL BAY TONIGHT...AND DISSIPATES TUESDAY.
ANOTHER WEAK WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THING IS PRESENTLY
SPREADING A BIT MORE MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. ENOUGH
TO KEEP A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE AREA AT LEAST.

NORTH SLOPE...AREAS OF DENSE FOG AND FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

INTERIOR...REMAINING WARM AND DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES
SLOWLY RISING ACROSS THE EASTERN INTERIOR. TEMPERATURES WILL
RANGE FROM 65 TO 70 FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF FORT YUKON ON WEDNESDAY.

FIRE WEATHER... FIRE WEATHER WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ZONES
221...222 AND 224 FOR LOW HUMIDITY. FIRE WEATHER WATCHES FOR
STRONG WIND AND RH VALUES LESS THAN 30 PERCENT FOR 223...225 AND
226. ALL THESE WATCHES ARE VALID TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. WATCHES LIKELY TO BE UPGRADED TO WARNINGS TUESDAY
MORNING.

HYDROLOGY...
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE KOYUKUK RIVER AT ALLAKAKET AND ALATNA IS
CANCELLED. THE ICE JAM HAS RELEASED ON THE KOYUKUK RIVER SUNDAY NIGHT.
WATER LEVELS DROPPED 6-8 FEET AT ALLAKAKET.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR AKZ221-AKZ222-AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ225-AKZ226-
AKZ227.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

JK MAY 11